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Sembmarine

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GuavaXF30
    02-Jul-2012 09:11  
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I have to agree that you sold too early too. May not be a 6.00 counter but at least 5.50.

rotijai      ( Date: 02-Jul-2012 09:04) Posted:



u sure? it's a $10 stock..

y i sell? cause i shiok :)

KepcorpSembmar      ( Date: 29-Jun-2012 22:25) Posted:



$6 stock you sell at $4.XX ?

 


 
 
rotijai
    02-Jul-2012 09:04  
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u sure? it's a $10 stock..

y i sell? cause i shiok :)

KepcorpSembmar      ( Date: 29-Jun-2012 22:25) Posted:



$6 stock you sell at $4.XX ?

 

rotijai      ( Date: 29-Jun-2012 11:08) Posted:



ok i am all out.. (sold).

thanks everyone everything...

i am free


 
 
ozone2002
    02-Jul-2012 09:02  
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$4.9.. fundamentals still king! woots!
 

 
KepcorpSembmar
    29-Jun-2012 22:25  
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$6 stock you sell at $4.XX ?

 

rotijai      ( Date: 29-Jun-2012 11:08) Posted:



ok i am all out.. (sold).

thanks everyone everything...

i am free

 
 
ozone2002
    29-Jun-2012 11:43  
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have a gd weekend!

rotijai      ( Date: 29-Jun-2012 11:08) Posted:



ok i am all out.. (sold).

thanks everyone everything...

i am free

 
 
rotijai
    29-Jun-2012 11:08  
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ok i am all out.. (sold).

thanks everyone everything...

i am free
 

 
GuavaXF30
    29-Jun-2012 10:53  
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Okay, 4.79 touched. How many of you are having a Good Friday now ?

GuavaXF30      ( Date: 29-Jun-2012 10:28) Posted:

Yup. Fundamentals always king. Be patient, be happy.

New123      ( Date: 29-Jun-2012 10:23) Posted:

broke out. is moving up .


 
 
GuavaXF30
    29-Jun-2012 10:28  
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Yup. Fundamentals always king. Be patient, be happy.

New123      ( Date: 29-Jun-2012 10:23) Posted:

broke out. is moving up ..

ozone2002      ( Date: 29-Jun-2012 10:04) Posted:



474..fundamentals still king.. :)

gd luck dyod


 
 
New123
    29-Jun-2012 10:23  
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broke out. is moving up ..

ozone2002      ( Date: 29-Jun-2012 10:04) Posted:



474..fundamentals still king.. :)

gd luck dyodd

ozone2002      ( Date: 28-Jun-2012 09:07) Posted:

464....fundamentals at the end of the day still wins :)


 
 
ozone2002
    29-Jun-2012 10:04  
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474..fundamentals still king.. :)

gd luck dyodd

ozone2002      ( Date: 28-Jun-2012 09:07) Posted:

464....fundamentals at the end of the day still wins :)

 

 
sgnewbie
    28-Jun-2012 09:43  
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ozone2002
    28-Jun-2012 09:07  
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464....fundamentals at the end of the day still wins :)
 
 
ysh2006
    28-Jun-2012 07:03  
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Any input on this interpretation..?
 
 
ysh2006
    27-Jun-2012 22:01  
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Petrobras Chief said please " don't any how build so many  rigs , no money don't build ,don't borrow money more.. afer drilled oil can't sell because cheap cheap." ..??    I think only..

 

 

hlfoo2010      ( Date: 27-Jun-2012 11:29) Posted:

Petrobras chief urges cost control



Petrobras plans: Chief Maria das Gracas Foster speaks on spending plan
Shares of Brazil's state-led oil company Petrobras tumbled more than 7% on Monday after its chief executive said the company must be " more realistic" about its plans after missing annual output targets for nine straight years...............................

 
 
KepcorpSembmar
    27-Jun-2012 16:43  
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up 5% ! 

 

short sellers die pain pain liao!

hlfoo2010      ( Date: 27-Jun-2012 11:29) Posted:

Petrobras chief urges cost control



Petrobras plans: Chief Maria das Gracas Foster speaks on spending plan
Shares of Brazil's state-led oil company Petrobras tumbled more than 7% on Monday after its chief executive said the company must be " more realistic" about its plans after missing annual output targets for nine straight years...............................

 

 
hlfoo2010
    27-Jun-2012 11:29  
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Petrobras chief urges cost control



Petrobras plans: Chief Maria das Gracas Foster speaks on spending plan
Shares of Brazil's state-led oil company Petrobras tumbled more than 7% on Monday after its chief executive said the company must be " more realistic" about its plans after missing annual output targets for nine straight years...............................
 
 
GuavaXF30
    27-Jun-2012 10:34  
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Just stating from layman's view based on cash outlay. Semb Marine is half the price of Keppel.

As of now, SMM is up 3% vs Kep 1.2%. But not really indicative as price changes by the hour, minute even.

Also, would like to share the following report from OCBC.

SMM has underperformed KEP…

Sembcorp Marine’s (SMM) share price has dropped by about 13.9% vs

Keppel Corp’s (KEP) 8.7% fall since we switched our preference from

SMM to KEP in late Feb (24 Feb 2012 report). We believe this is partly

due to several reasons: 1) risk-off sentiment particularly in May which

has affected the higher beta SMM stock, 2) earnings disappointment for

SMM in its 1Q12 earnings, and 3) recovery in sentiment amongst

property stocks (KEP has a property arm).

… but the trend may reverse in the months ahead

However, we believe that this trend may reverse in the coming months,

and now favour SMM. Although there is a possibility of further market

volatility due to Eurozone concerns which may affect the higher-beta

SMM more, we think that the recent sell-down in the stock is

unwarranted, as: 1) we still hold a positive view on the premium offshore

rig market, 2) SMM is likely to catch up in the orders front in the months

ahead (partly due to Petrobras orders), 3) SMM’s earnings are expected

to pick up in 2H12, and 4) so-called “speculative builds” at SMM are

probably better-termed “opportunistic builds”.

Newbuild enquiries remain healthy

Enquiries for newbuild rigs remain healthy as major oil companies take a

long-term view on oil prices in their capital expenditure plans and hence

are much less affected by short term fluctuations in oil prices. The

utilisation levels and dayrates for premium rigs remain strong and the

outlook for this sub-sector is still positive.

Order book provides defensiveness

Sembcorp Marine’s net order book of S$7.4b provides good earnings

visibility at a time when uncertainty in the global economy has resulted

in a general lack of clarity in corporate earnings outlook. We roll over our

valuation to blended FY12/13F core earnings with an unchanged peg of

14x for the offshore & marine business (ex-Cosco Shipyard Group), and

update the market value of Cosco Corp in our SOTP valuation. As such,

our fair value estimate rises from S$5.13 to S$5.71. Maintain
BUY.

jamesng      ( Date: 27-Jun-2012 09:37) Posted:



When you say KepCorp is more expensive, are you saying that the share price of Kepcorp is more expensive than SembMarine.........

Think this is not the way to see it.....should look at the PE ratio instead......

GuavaXF30      ( Date: 26-Jun-2012 09:42) Posted:

Yes, but Keppel also seeing lower share price. Think they are relatively priced. Keppel more contracts but also doubly more expensive. Market is quite efficient that way. Don't worry, be happy. Lower price presents opportunity to accumulate. Remember, every few months, will see high and lows....


 
 
hlfoo2010
    27-Jun-2012 09:48  
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I think down trend, down to t0 9.1
 
 
jamesng
    27-Jun-2012 09:37  
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When you say KepCorp is more expensive, are you saying that the share price of Kepcorp is more expensive than SembMarine.........

Think this is not the way to see it.....should look at the PE ratio instead......

GuavaXF30      ( Date: 26-Jun-2012 09:42) Posted:

Yes, but Keppel also seeing lower share price. Think they are relatively priced. Keppel more contracts but also doubly more expensive. Market is quite efficient that way. Don't worry, be happy. Lower price presents opportunity to accumulate. Remember, every few months, will see high and lows.....

jamesng      ( Date: 25-Jun-2012 20:39) Posted:

kecorp win much more contract


 
 
ozone2002
    27-Jun-2012 09:30  
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OCBC report

Sembcorp Marine: More going for SMM in

2H12

.SMM has underperformed KEP

.Macro events may lead to market

volatility

.Trend may reverse due to cospecific

factors

SMM has underperformed KEP…

Sembcorp Marine’s (SMM) share price has

dropped by about 13.9% vs Keppel Corp’s

(KEP) 8.7% fall since we switched our

preference from SMM to KEP in late Feb (24

Feb 2012 report). We believe this is partly

due to several reasons: 1) risk-off sentiment

particularly in May which has affected the

higher beta SMM stock, 2) earnings

disappointment for SMM in its 1Q12 earnings,

and 3) recovery in sentiment amongst

property stocks (KEP has a property arm).

… but the trend may reverse in the

months ahead

However, we believe that this trend may

reverse in the coming months, and now

favour SMM. Although there is a possibility of

further market volatility due to Eurozone

concerns which may affect the higher-beta

SMM more, we think that the recent selldown

in the stock is unwarranted, as: 1) we

still hold a positive view on the premium

offshore rig market, 2) SMM is likely to catch

up in the orders front in the months ahead

(partly due to Petrobras orders), 3) SMM’s

earnings are expected to pick up in 2H12,

and 4) so-called “speculative builds” at SMM

are probably better-termed “opportunistic

builds”.

Newbuild enquiries remain healthy

Enquiries for newbuild rigs remain healthy as

major oil companies take a long-term view

on oil prices in their capital expenditure plans

and hence are much less affected by short

term fluctuations in oil prices. The utilisation

levels and dayrates for premium rigs remain

strong and the outlook for this sub-sector is

still positive.

Order book provides defensiveness

Sembcorp Marine’s net order book of S$7.4b

provides good earnings visibility at a time

when uncertainty in the global economy has

resulted in a general lack of clarity in

corporate earnings outlook. We roll over our

valuation to blended FY12/13F core earnings

with an unchanged peg of 14x for the

offshore & marine business (ex-Cosco

Shipyard Group), and update the market

value of Cosco Corp in our SOTP valuation.

As such, our fair value estimate rises from

S$5.13 to S$5.71. Maintain
BUY.