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GoldenAgr

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ykjuay
    01-Apr-2008 11:13  
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commodities price dropped today , directors might b unloading 1st , then buy in later at a cheaper prc ....stockists r also shorting on commodities prc weakness
 
 
hotstock
    01-Apr-2008 11:08  
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Anyone know the reasons of unloading in big quantity?
 
 
investor38
    27-Mar-2008 09:32  
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Technical charts like chaikin's, MACD, stochastic, RSI seemed to suggest palm oil counters ( Wilmar, Golden Agri, first resoources) are coming out from oversold position last week. Accumulation past few days.  This is my personal opinion.  Trade with caution. Vested.
 

 
investor38
    27-Mar-2008 09:22  
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KUALA LUMPUR, March 26 (Reuters) - Sime Darby , the world's largest listed palm-oil producer, expects palm oil prices to remain at around 3,400 ringgit per tonne this year, Chief Executive Ahmad Zubir Murshid told reporters on Wednesday.

The benchmark June contract KPOM8 on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange rose as much as 150 ringgit to 3,650 ringgit ($1,147) on Wednesday, a level unseen since 14 March. By the midday break, the contract was trading up 140 ringgit at 3,640 ringgit. (Reporting by Naveen Thukral; Editing by Niluksi Koswanage)

 

Palm oil demand globally still very strong.  Very strong buying support for Golden agri this morning despite STI being down. 
 
 
ccktsp
    26-Mar-2008 23:28  
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Asia Planataion 25 Mar ->

India slashes CPO import tariffs

CPO tariffs cut but not soy oil?s

Effective 20 March, import duties for vegetable oils, with the exception of soy oil, have been cut. The import tariff for crude palm oil (CPO) has been slashed to 20% from 45% ? one of the single largest cuts in recent times. Similarly, refined palm product duties have been slashed to

27.5% from 52.5%. The duty on soy oil imports remains at 45%. We believe more cuts are in store in coming months.

Driven by inflationary concerns and poor harvests

�� Demand for commodities is most inelastic at the lowest prices and hence, CPO is the prime beneficiary of any down-trading;

��

These events further strengthen our conviction that the sector offers excellent buying opportunities, despite the subdued commodity market.This tariff cut may occur at the expense of soy oil, despite it not being included in the recently released Indian budget.

India will stay a strong buyer of palm oil

417,000 tonnes of palm oil, 70% more than in January 2007 ? even with a 45% import tariff. In the same period, however, India only imported 84,000 tonnes of soy oil (unchanged compared to January 2007). India is expected to buy between 4.8-5.0m tonnes of palm oil in 2008, up from 4.3m tonnes in 2007, while soy oil imports will fall to 0.6m tonnes from 1.2m tonnes a year ago.India will buy more CPO in 2008-09. As of January 2008, India imported

Remain overweight plantations Share prices are coming in-line with the sell down of the physical commodity now that speculative positions and market nervousness is decreasing. Nevertheless, the sector?s drivers are strong and have not changed. As seen in this new development, our expectations are crystallizing. Top picks are in the table above. Strongest upstream players are: KL Kepong, Golden Agri Resources and Astra Agro Lestari.Concern over rising inflationary pressure from imported foodstuff and poor domestic harvests (drought induced) are the main drivers. Even after the recent global commodity sell-down, CPO still trades at a USD200/tonne discount to soy oil. In India, CPO is used primarily to make vanaspati ? a common item used in cooking food. In our recently released ?Asia Plantations? report dated 18 March 2008, we argued that:

 
 
jimitan
    26-Mar-2008 20:32  
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Got below from PHilip Securities.

Anyone care to analyst bvelow news on price movement of this ctr. Vested too early this morning at .965

accdg to bbrg news ....
By Yoga Rusmana and Naila Firdausi

   March 25 (Bloomberg) -- Indonesia, the world's biggest
producer of palm oil, will double the tax rate on exports of the
commodity next month, the country's trade ministry said.
   The rate on crude palm oil shipments will be raised to 20
percent, Erfandi Tabrani, a director for agricultural exports at
the ministry, said in a telephone interview in Jakarta today.
   The government will also raise next month's base price for
calculating tax on exports of crude palm oil to $1,196 on April 1
from $988 a ton in March, Erfandi said. Indonesian exporters pay
the government tax on crude palm oil exports using a base price
determined by the ministry of trade every month.
   The Indonesian government, seeking to stem gains in local
cooking oil prices, announced last month revised tax rates for
palm oil exports. Previously, shipments of crude palm oil were
taxed on a rising scale linked to international prices that
peaked at 10 percent. Under the new plan, the export tax will be
stepped up in stages to 20 percent if prices exceed $1,200 a ton,
and at a maximum rate of 25 percent if prices exceed $1,300 a ton.
   ``The rate will increase because the reference price in
Rotterdam was $1,273 a ton in Feb. 20 to March 19,'' Erfandi said.
   Palm oil futures in Malaysia, a global benchmark, have risen
70 percent in the past a year and reached a record 4,486 ringgit
($1,401) a ton on March 4. The June contract traded at 3,448
ringgit as of 12:30 p.m. Kuala Lumpur time.
   The following table shows the export tax rates and base
prices for palm oil products the government sets for April, and
the rates for March. Base prices are stated in U.S. dollar per
ton. Base prices for April were given by Erfandi, while March
rates were announced by the trade ministry last month. RBD refers
to refined, bleached and deodorized.
 

 
investor38
    25-Mar-2008 21:11  
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 That's what I have been noticed too over the past few trading sessions.  Below is today's last minute action.


Time           Price         Volume                 Type

17:05:02     0.970      14,376,000               X
16:59:59     0.960               2,000               Buy Up
16:59:59     0.960             44,000               Buy Up
16:59:59     0.955               5,000               Sell Down
16:59:56     0.960               5,000               Buy Up
16:59:55     0.960             20,000               Buy Up
16:59:47     0.960             10,000               Buy Up
16:59:36 0.960                   5,000               Buy Up

Cheers!


 
 
ktlow08
    25-Mar-2008 20:56  
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Golden Agri has very strong fundamentals... their cost of producing palm oil is about US$200, while the market price will stay likely above US$1000.  Their margin will be still big with the recent CPO price drops.  They made 34cents per share for the year, so it's ridiculously low PE that someone might actually buy them out at the current price of 90cents.

Last few days, towards the end of the day, there is always a huge buyer.. bidding up with millions of shares.  Anyone who shorts this bugger is either very brave or very big player.
 
 
investor38
    25-Mar-2008 19:34  
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Golden Agri and palm oil counters were recently sold down aggressively because of recent correction of commodity prices. They have since  rebounded in tandem with the recovery of CPO prices. 

Crude palm oil futures on the Bursa Malaysia derivatives Exchange today are trading on a positive note taking cues from CBOT market coupled with release of bullish palm oil export data. India's reduction of import duty on palm oil imports is also supporting the momentum.

According to Intertek Agri Services, during March 1st to 25th period, Malaysia had exported 1.01 million tonnes of palm oil, up by 10% from 913,062 exported in the same period a month ago.

The import duty on crude palm oil was cut to 20 percent from 45 percent, while that on refined palm oil was trimmed to 27.5 percent from 52.5 percent by the India Govt last week. 


These factors should bode well for palm oil counters at least in the near term. 
 
 
Naproxen
    25-Mar-2008 17:16  
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Eccentric counter!!
 

 
ogos2992
    25-Mar-2008 15:00  
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Wow up by 10c.Opportunity to take profit$$$ and may be, some will dare to short,,,????? 
 
 
AK_Francis
    20-Mar-2008 01:52  
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Kindly consider, why palm oil related coy, esp they were related to ....... plunged after 8 Mar 08? Eventhough China decided to lift the ban on palm oil control? Nonetheless, Golden Agri is cheap and good, it is the best buy among the other expensive palm oil coys. Now the question is when to buy, of course not this period, digest the market trend leow. Cheers.
 
 
Naproxen
    19-Mar-2008 23:34  
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Why the sudden interest in this counter. Strange.
 
 
aleoleo
    19-Mar-2008 22:32  
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last 10 mins flies up.... phew~~~~
 
 
Naproxen
    18-Mar-2008 22:44  
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Heart attacked!!
 

 
bullstalk
    18-Mar-2008 22:41  
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03/18/08 17:13 Indonesia`s CPO exports expected to reach 13.95 million tons Jakarta (ANTARA News) - Indonesia`s crude palm oil (CPO) exports are likely to reach 13.95 million tons this year as a result of an expected 9.6 percent rise in CPO production to 18.30 million tons, according to a World Oil report. Last year, Indonesia exported 12.40 million tons of CPO, down by 1.1 percent from 12.54 million tons a year earlier, the report said as quoted by plantation company PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk in its monthly report issued on Tuesday. The report attributed the drop to the government`s policy to impose new export tax as the country`s CPO production grew by 4 percent to 16.70 million tons from 16.05 million tons the year before. Meanwhile, PT Astra Agro Lestari`s CPO production in the first two months of this year grew by 23.7 percent to 166,137 tons from 134,307 tons in the same period last year.
 
 
cyjjerry85
    18-Mar-2008 14:27  
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so many counters are doing those shocking drop recently...First Res...Seksun...now Golden Agri...gosh*
 
 
Eldarchen
    18-Mar-2008 14:02  
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Hi guys,

PALM OIL : Malaysian Palm Oil Futures Hit Limit Down of 10%

KUALA LUMPUR, March 18 (Reuters) - Malaysian crude palm-oil futures fell to

their daily limit of 10 percent on Tuesday as global grains and vegetable

oil markets dropped sharply, dealers said.

The benchmark June contract <KPOM8> on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives

Exchange fell 360 ringgit, or 10 percent, to 3,240 Malaysian ringgit

($1,015) a tonne. ($1 = 3.191 ringgit)
 
 
Naproxen
    18-Mar-2008 12:42  
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what the heaven happened???
 
 
Luostock
    18-Mar-2008 12:35  
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What happen to GoldenAgr ? Are they doing a FirstRes effect ? dropped by more than 10%!
 
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