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AUSGROUP: 1H09 revenue up 28.8% to reach A$260.5 m

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Peter_Pan
    06-May-2013 12:51  
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Karara withholds Gindalbie mine payments

Updated  Sun May 5, 2013 2:39pm AEST

The operator of the Karara iron ore mine in Western Australia's Mid-West region has withheld millions of dollars from its main contractor in a dispute over works at the site.

Singapore-listed AusGroup says Karara Mining is refusing to pay almost $22 million in payments to its subsidiary AGC Industries.

AusGroup says the money is owed for engineering and plumbing work carried out at the site, about 200 kilometres east of Geraldton.

It says the payments are legally due and Karara has no basis for refusing payment.

AusGroup made the statements in an announcement to the Singapore stock exchange late last week.

Karara has also told AusGroup it will call on a performance guarantee worth nearly $9 million dollars.

A spokesman for Karara says the matter is a contractual dispute and AusGroup has failed to deliver under the terms of its contract.

The Karara project, a joint venture between local iron ore miner, Gindalbie Metals, and Chinese steel producer, Ansteel, was officially opened last month.

 
 
Peter_Pan
    06-May-2013 12:25  
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Broken support of 0.445 with high volume.

Peter_Pan      ( Date: 03-May-2013 11:13) Posted:

Next support at 0.445-0.415...

 
 
blaz3007
    06-May-2013 12:04  
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It's still a very good stock imo, just a bad incident, and its not neccessarily ausgroup's fault. but in short term, its better to wait for the fallout to clear first. Especially if this is not resolved by earnings report. 
 

 
ozone2002
    06-May-2013 11:43  
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for those who have lost faith in Ausgrp may want to consider Geo energy as an alternative..

gd luck dyodd
 
 
shuncheng
    06-May-2013 11:41  
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share trading is a mental game.. smart and experience one catch it right but " experience" need to pay school fee (I paid mine)
 
 
ozone2002
    06-May-2013 11:33  
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Excerpts from latest analyst reports....

OSK-DMG says knee-jerk selling provides entry point into AusGroup 

Analyst: Lee Yue Jer

AusGroup made an announcement today regarding i) withholding of AUD21.7m of progress payments from Karara Mining Ltd (KML), ii) KML’s notice of intent to call on AusGroup’s AUD8.8m performance security, and iii) KML’s claim against AusGroup of unfinalised value. We cut FY13F earnings by 21% to reflect possible provisions, and reduce our TP to SGD0.66 (from SGD0.73) based on 9x blended FY13F/14F EPS. 

marinecomplex lctAn AusGroup fabrication complex in Australia. NextInsight file photoNo complaint from KML on past 13 months of work.  AusGroup stated that “in the past 13 months AGC has performed this contract, KML have not issued any formal show cause notice” and that “KML has not provided a substantiated basis for refusing payment”. Operations began at KML on 9 Apr 2013, and according to Gindalbie Metals, production “continued to ramp up…currently running at 70% of its capacity”.
 

KML is a JV between ASX-listed Gindalbie Metals and China’s AnSteel. KML appears financially-troubled. 
MiningWeekly states that during the March quarter, each JV partner advanced a AUD50m interest-free loan to KML “to assist with short-term capital requirements”, which was subsequently followed by AUD30m advances from both parties. Three days ago, AnSteel offered another AUD30m loan to KML. Gindalbie’s MD expects it to turn “cash flow positive within months”.
 

Appears to be a squeeze on suppliers/contractors.
  From this angle, KML’s action against AusGroup appears to be an effort to pass losses on to its suppliers and contractors. AusGroup’s legal team is of the opinion that the Progress Payments are validly due. There is of course a possibility that AusGroup did not perform satisfactory works and KML is due damages, but the fact that the mine is now operational and ramping up production gives more credence to AusGroup’s point of view.
 

Market knee-jerk reaction offers attractive entry point. 
While we have made an AUD6m adjustment to reflect possible provisions, the dispute resolution process now currently underway may produce a better result. AusGroup remains in a net cash position, and valuation is attractive at 6.4x FY14F EPS. We maintain our BUY call with a lower TP of SGD0.66.
 

 

 
blaz3007
    06-May-2013 10:45  
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No one really knows whats happening in this incident now. If it turns out fine, stock price should go back to pre-announcement level right? But with earnings so closeby, witholding of payment will surely be taken into account and make this a record bad quarter, wldn't it.
 
 
smallsgshare
    06-May-2013 10:43  
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hammered my account signficantly. A good, real lesson about greed and fear (a wining counter became a loss). This experience made me stronger.
 
 
ozone2002
    06-May-2013 10:33  
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let the falling knife land to the ground before doing anything else

gd luck dyodd
 
 
ace333
    06-May-2013 10:24  
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shorters darling?

raymaster      ( Date: 06-May-2013 10:01) Posted:

Free fall.... this babe no longer a darling.

 

 
raymaster
    06-May-2013 10:01  
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Free fall.... this babe no longer a darling.
 
 
Blanchard
    06-May-2013 09:58  
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price going down... towards 0.40?
 
 
flatfoot
    06-May-2013 09:13  
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Seems more like a Bear Trap in days to come.

 
 
Kong75
    06-May-2013 09:02  
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Interesting counter. Let's see how the price will move for the day :)
 
 
shareflux
    05-May-2013 00:12  
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Beware of the value trap as cheap today can become cheaper tomorrow. For investors with longer time frame, it is time to accumulate. Whether buy, hold or sell, know yourself and be sure of your objectives prior to any action will save you countless sleepless night.

As for me, I am helping myself to this discounted price with a small order queue on Monday.This will be a positional play with a six months time frame.
 

 
teeth53
    04-May-2013 23:57  
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Just to re-cap. Last yr got a lot of very strong story to tell, especially dual listing in AU. Players were very optimistic. Most recent calling, for a buy as strong interests shown by DMG calling with a TP of 0.66c.
I was wondering some players may have got stuck ur stuff in...

Teeth53 thot - please do ur own due diligence when betting on very sexy story. Just want to promote stk/shr trading interest here in SJ.
 
 
teeth53
    04-May-2013 23:03  
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Target Run Potential And Margin Concerns
The estimate polled by FactSet, which shows OSK-DMG’s target price of $0.73 effectively represents a 37.7% upside potential based on its closing price of $0.53 on 29 April. OSK-DMG felt that with a consistent performance of above 15% seen in AusGroup’s return on equity, strong net cash position of $0.054 per share, it has given a “Buy” call on AusGroup’s stock.

Just sharing some info on TP target prices by DMG...


teeth53      ( Date: 03-May-2013 22:51) Posted:

DMG reiterates knee jerk selling of ausgroup is good price to load . TP :66cents

Thot target price is set @$0.80 cents...?


 
 
teeth53
    03-May-2013 22:53  
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Today closing prices is....AusGroup  Last:0.46c  Vol:35605k  -0.075
 
 
teeth53
    03-May-2013 22:51  
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DMG reiterates knee jerk selling of ausgroup is good price to load . TP :66cents

Thot target price is set @$0.80 cents...?

 
 
Blanchard
    03-May-2013 18:59  
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oops... correction...

The amount of A$21.7m is about 2.4x of Ausgroup half-year after-tax profit in 2013.
 
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