
From: [mailto:simkih@nextinsight.
Sent: Friday, September 25, 2009 11:23 AM
To: nextinsight17jun2009
Subject: NEXTINSIGHT 25 Sep: GMG, Saizen, Oceanus, Hyflux, SPH, YZJ
Dear Readers,
We have 5 reports for you today.
Do remember to also check out our update from Chinas Ministry of Commerce on how foreign trade impacts Chinas economy.
Read these reports and more at www.nextinsight.com.sg.
GMG: S$100-m rights issue as rubber prices recover
SAIZEN REIT: Insights from Q&A with CEO
FOREIGN TRADE: How it boosts Chinas economic development
OCEANUS, HYFLUX, SPH: What analysts now say
YANGZIJIANG: Why (still) no order cancellation
Have a restful weekend!
The Team @ NextInsight
http://www.nextinsight.com.sg/content/view/1509/60/

Target price of analyst is 53 cents, with significant possibility of revision to a higher target if Oceanus restaurants deliver good earnings
Congrats to those who vested.. I vested at 0.355 , release some and holding on to it using trailing stops. Still learning how to trail the stops..
Anyway, Support level still strong for this stock.
SOBAYOR,
rgds,
star-trader
star-trader ( Date: 08-Sep-2009 22:28) Posted:
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~~quote~~
Oceanus Group Ltd
- Multi-million Dollar Restaurant Empire
in the makingRestaurant Business
Much has been discussed about abalone farming since our initiation report on
Oceanus whereas restaurant and food processing segments were just briefly
mentioned as both were still in the very early development stage. About one
year since the RTO, Oceanus has made enormous progress and many changes
have taken place. We have witnessed impressive achievements made by the
management team. Some among them are strategic partnership with Ah Yat,
restaurants in Shanghai taking off very well, accomplishment in canning
processing techniques and so on.
The processing plant will be officially commenced in October this year and the
segment’s sales contribution is insignificant as of now. On the other hand,
restaurant business has taken off successfully in Shanghai and more outlet
openings are in the pipeline. Therefore, our focus in this report will be on
restaurant business, and its prospect, financial forecast and relevant matters will
be discussed in detail.
Reminiscent of Ajisen China:
aggressive network expansion plans for its “Ah Yat Tian Xia” abalone chain
restaurant is reminiscent of the renowned Ajisen (China) Holdings Ltd, which
was listed in 30 March 2007 in the Hong Kong Exchange. Similar success could
be seen for Oceanus, but at a much shorter timeframe compared to its peer.
We believe Oceanus has an appealing story. ItsA distinctive advantage over peers:
its peers in the F&B sector lies in its complete presence along the value chain.
From abalone farming, processing, to food chain operator, Oceanus basically
has full control over its supply and demand for its abalone, which is one of the
key raw materials of its restaurants. As the world largest land-based abalone
farmer, Oceanus’s interest in ensuring sufficient supply of abalone for its
restaurant business is well safeguarded. Such a unique positioning in F&B
industry has not only created a synergy in the company, but also strengthened
its competitiveness in the industry.
What makes Oceanus outstanding amongMaintain BUY; Raise target price to S$0.53:
from restaurant business in coming years, we prefer Sum of The Parts (SOTP)
valuation methodology which allows us to evaluate each division of the company
separately. Farming and food restaurant divisions are valued at 6x and 10x
FY10 EV/EBITDA respectively. Net debt is then netted off to derive a target price
of S$0.53 (previous S$0.44). We believe there is potentially significant upside for
our target price, if the restaurant business could achieve better turnover and
operating efficiency.
This baby will test new high again...Could it be 0.38? with bullish harami dominating and hugh volume today..
SOBAYOR,
rgds, star-trader.
star-trader ( Date: 21-Aug-2009 22:38) Posted:
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this abalone growing bigger... :)
lawcheemeng ( Date: 27-Aug-2009 11:20) Posted:
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gordongecko ( Date: 27-Aug-2009 13:00) Posted:
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As far as I know,Oceanus produces small abalones which is not in direct competition with say producers of large abalones from Aust or NZ. Hopefully with the downturn.. more pple will buy thesmaller abalones which Oceanus produces.
Yes, you are right on the CNY period.
but I still see a potential upside for short term on this , need not wait until CNY.
SOBAYOR,
rgds, star-trader
battouchai ( Date: 21-Aug-2009 13:35) Posted:
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