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I fervently hope my long-term chart analysis pans out, but at the same time, I still stay nimble, on the alert for any change in the FA or long-term trend, and review my analysis and act accordingly, as nothing is guaranteed.
bennykusman ( Date: 08-Oct-2009 17:07) Posted:
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Hope tmr aft hit 0.74/0.75 & it wun go back 0.71/0.715... ('',)
bennykusman ( Date: 08-Oct-2009 17:12) Posted:
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Just my advice (but dyodd n BOSAYOR), do not to be too eager-beaver to take short profits and remember the 3rd golden mantra:
3) Cut losses short n let profit runs with trailing stops, we need to let profit runs as much as it can to cover all the losses made n yet make net gains. When we hit the cut-loss, never be emotional, be mechanical, immediately exit n never regret even if later it goes up bcos if dun cut, wat if it continues to go down, preserving ammunition to fight another day is the key. We can always re-enter if there is another buy sign candles, even if buying at a higher price
3) Cut losses short n let profit runs with trailing stops, we need to let profit runs as much as it can to cover all the losses made n yet make net gains. When we hit the cut-loss, never be emotional, be mechanical, immediately exit n never regret even if later it goes up bcos if dun cut, wat if it continues to go down, preserving ammunition to fight another day is the key. We can always re-enter if there is another buy sign candles, even if buying at a higher price
Why such high vol buying up after trading hour?
since dow looks promising tonite, i think tmrw will be more than 0.72
Bon3260 ( Date: 08-Oct-2009 17:10) Posted:
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i still using my strategy..
buy low 70s sell mid 70 or above :)
very good trading counter
Tmr can hit 0.75 I guess... ('',)
bennykusman ( Date: 08-Oct-2009 17:07) Posted:
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you are right richtan!
richtan ( Date: 08-Oct-2009 16:56) Posted:
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Wah say, so chun, immediately after posting, it really cover the gap.
richtan ( Date: 08-Oct-2009 16:54) Posted:
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last min power up! BBs in play
Will be covering the gap at 0.715 soon.
tankuku ( Date: 08-Oct-2009 15:49) Posted:
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Not surprise to have last minute buying up by BB
Not to be alarm with the 50 or 100 lot sold at low price, cause when BB buying up it is in term of 500 lot ir 1000lot. Can move up very fast with BB buying. Keep a look out
Below is my long term chart analysis for sharing and exchange pointers.
My TA chart is posted to share n exchange pointers with those TA practitioner whom believes in TA.
If u are a TA detractor, plse just ignore n refrain from peeping at my chart posting n start making unconstructive comments and plse do not be so childish or lunatic as to abuse the rating system by intentionally rating it as "bad post", this is not cursing but Buddhism beliefs tat intentional bad deeds will accumulate for yourself and possibly your next generation, "bad" karma for your "bad" deeds.
If u think it is a bad post, then be constructive and kindly post your TA for sharing. This is only my view n I may be right or wrong, so dyodd and SOBAYOR.
Below is my chart analysis for sharing and exchange pointers.
My TA chart is posted to share n exchange pointers with those TA practitioner whom believes in TA.
If u are a TA detractor, plse just ignore n refrain from peeping at my chart posting n start making unconstructive comments and plse do not be so childish or lunatic as to abuse the rating system by intentionally rating it as "bad post", this is not cursing but Buddhism beliefs tat intentional bad deeds will accumulate for yourself and possibly your next generation, "bad" karma for your "bad" deeds.
If u think it is a bad post, then be constructive and kindly post your TA for sharing. This is only my view n I may be right or wrong, so dyodd and SOBAYOR.
"Trade Summary" at this point in time shows extremely heavy buying-up (almost doubled the sell-down), but of course, nothing is guaranteed, may change, so dyodd n BOSAYOR:
5GJ (AusGroup)
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tankuku ( Date: 08-Oct-2009 14:52) Posted:
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Rumous claim that Ausgroup had already secure one of the gorgon project worth million AUD.
Hope it announce soon
BB slowly buying up. Keep a look out guy.
| 14:50:17 | 0.700 | 869,000 | Bought from Seller |
| 14:42:59 | 0.700 | 5,000 | Bought from Seller |
Ausgroup: Outperform and target price of S$1.08 (CIMB)
We initiate coverage on AusGroup with a target price of S$1.08, based on 13x CY11 P/E, in line with its historical average since listing. We see share-price catalysts from order wins from a series of LNG and mineral projects in Australia.
Highlights:
Purer exposure to Australian LNG sector; potential A$200bn capex in next decade. Capex for the Gorgon LNG project in Western Australia has been projected at A$43bn. Tendering for various contracts is underway and we believe AusGroup can secure an initial A$125m contract in FY10. Among its SGX-listed peers with exposure to Australia, AusGroup stands to benefit the most from an expansion of Australia’s LNG sector thanks to its wider ambit of services, including the fabrication of wellhead platforms and the construction of process modules. Crucially, with the bulk of its operations and skilled labour in Australia, it has an edge over its peers.
Order book to grow 25% by Jun 2010. AusGroup is bidding for A$2bn worth of orders in LNG and mineral resources over the next 12 months. We estimate its order book could grow by 25% to A$500m by Jun 2010 from A$400m currently.
Trading below historical valuations. AusGroup is trading at a market cap to order book of 0.74x, a discount to its 3-year average of 1.34x. On a forward P/E basis, it is trading at 9x for CY11, below its historical 13x average. We see a buying opportunity.
We initiate coverage on AusGroup with a target price of S$1.08, based on 13x CY11 P/E, in line with its historical average since listing. We see share-price catalysts from order wins from a series of LNG and mineral projects in Australia.
Highlights:
Purer exposure to Australian LNG sector; potential A$200bn capex in next decade. Capex for the Gorgon LNG project in Western Australia has been projected at A$43bn. Tendering for various contracts is underway and we believe AusGroup can secure an initial A$125m contract in FY10. Among its SGX-listed peers with exposure to Australia, AusGroup stands to benefit the most from an expansion of Australia’s LNG sector thanks to its wider ambit of services, including the fabrication of wellhead platforms and the construction of process modules. Crucially, with the bulk of its operations and skilled labour in Australia, it has an edge over its peers.
Order book to grow 25% by Jun 2010. AusGroup is bidding for A$2bn worth of orders in LNG and mineral resources over the next 12 months. We estimate its order book could grow by 25% to A$500m by Jun 2010 from A$400m currently.
Trading below historical valuations. AusGroup is trading at a market cap to order book of 0.74x, a discount to its 3-year average of 1.34x. On a forward P/E basis, it is trading at 9x for CY11, below its historical 13x average. We see a buying opportunity.