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STI vs DOW

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stevento
    20-Aug-2007 08:42  
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Nikkei started really strong this morning 500pts gain. Let's watch for the YEN vs the rest of the currency.
 
 
Pinnacle
    20-Aug-2007 08:40  
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Shares in Asia ended the previous week sharply lower after plummeting for several days in a row, amid a tide of bad news and panic-selling. But - apart from Japan - the falls in most markets last Friday were less severe than those seen last Thursday, as equity indices bounced off their intra-day lows in afternoon trading to regain much of the ground lost earlier in the day. The Straits Times Index plunged by as much as 190.15 points or 6% during the day, before recovering to end just 21.45 points or 0.7% lower at 3,130.71. The STI is up 4.9% for the year-to-date, compared to 22.8% at its peak just a month ago on July 24.

In a surprise move before the market's open last Friday, the Fed cut the discount rate on its loans to banks to 5.75 percent from 6.25 percent. The fed funds rate on interbank loans was left at 5.25 percent. Stocks, which erased nearly all of a 300-point decline in the Dow industrials in the final hour of last Thursday's trading, rocketed higher on Friday after the Fed's move. But the rally on Friday was not enough to prevent the major indexes from finishing with losses for the week. The Dow Jones industrial average ended the week down 1.2 percent, the Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 0.5 percent and the Nasdaq composite index declined 1.6 percent. For the year, though, all three U.S. stock indexes are still higher. The Dow is up 4.9 percent, the S&P is up almost 2 percent and the Nasdaq is up 3.7 percent. Friday's surge helped the S&P recover from the previous two days, when the broad index had given up all its gains for the year.

 
 
Pinnacle
    20-Aug-2007 08:37  
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Asian stocks listed on Wall Street jumped 2.7 percent in line with a rally in global markets after the U.S. Federal Reserve cut a key bank lending rate to help soothe fears of a credit crunch.

India's second-largest lender ICICI Bank soared 12.9 percent, while Taiwan's UMC, the world's number 2 contract chip maker, surged 9.2 percent.

The U.S. central bank slashed its discount rate by a half-percentage point to 5.75 percent on Friday, but left its benchmark federal funds rate steady at 5.25 percent.

The Fed also said "downside risks to growth have increased appreciably," in a rare statement issued between regular meetings, dropping its views about inflation being a major concern.

Nikkei futures traded in Chicago closed 3.5 percent above their peers traded in Osaka , suggesting a strong start for Japanese stocks.

MSCI's measure of Asia Pacific stocks excluding Japan dropped 9.6 percent last week -- its biggest weekly tumble in nearly a decade.
 

 
stevento
    19-Aug-2007 23:13  
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Yup, I do agree with you. Sell into a rally this week. The pit falls are in front of us. Got to WATCH OUT for the bears. until everything is clearer. Asian bourses are a little over value as of now. 
 
 
cyjjerry85
    19-Aug-2007 23:09  
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this coming week we should see a short term bull coming back (not only of the Friday good news and the fundamental reassurance, also on the technical charts we may be able to see a reversal using the Japanese candlestick method)...the bear had just subsided...but its not into hiding...it is actually doing more push-ups behind a cave to grow stronger when it makes a comeback...a bear-hug...
 
 
stevento
    19-Aug-2007 23:02  
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Yes, the mood or sentiment has changed. The bear tide is taking over. Inflation in china and tightening of credit in CHina will take a bite off the heated economy. The YEN carry trade will cause turmoil in the world around. I guess the emerging markets will pay more for the loans made using Yen denominated loans. This will caused many hedge funds to sell off stocks and other assets to quickly redeem these loans. Will see some sell off in the next 3 to 6 months.
 

 
cyjjerry85
    19-Aug-2007 22:57  
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I don't usually give such pessimistic views but just stating the reality that we really do not know what is to come...with the bull market being beaten up quite badly recently...the bear muscles had grown...and the general psychology of humans worldwide will remember this...thus with the slightest bad news, people will react in a very strong way too
 
 
cyjjerry85
    19-Aug-2007 22:28  
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so well..the Fed moves in and now we have a temporary curb for the problems in US...I wonder what could be the next triggering point for the bear...will China or even Japan be next to spiral our shares downhill? or will new problems resurface back from the US market...stay tune!
 
 
Pinnacle
    19-Aug-2007 21:25  
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China's Inflation Rate Jumps to Highest in 10 Years

Inflation in China, the world's fastest-growing major economy, accelerated to the highest level in more than 10 years, fueling speculation that the government may raise interest rates for a fourth time in 2007. Consumer prices jumped 5.6% YoY in July after gaining 4.4% YoY in June. The result was above consensus estimate of +4.6% YoY. The spike in inflationary pressures was led by a jump in food costs, which climbed 15.4% YoY.

Japan's GDP Growth Slows to 0.5%

Japan's economic growth slowed more than expected at 0.5% in the second quarter. This comes after a revised 3.2% gain the prior quarter and was lower than consensus estimate of +0.9%. The GDP deflator, a broad measure of price changes, fell 0.3% from the same period a year earlier, less than analysts' predictions of a 0.4% decline.

U.S. Economy: Retail Sales Rose More Than Forecast

US retail sales rose more than forecast at 0.3% in July. This follows a 0.7% decline in June and was above consensus estimate 0.2%. Excluding autos, gasoline and building materials, the retail group the government uses to calculate gross domestic product figures for consumer spending, sales climbed 0.6% after rising 0.3% the month before.

U.S. June Business Inventories Rise 0.4%, Sales Drop

The US Census Bureau announced that the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers' shipments for June contracted by 0.3% in June after rising 1.3% in May. Business inventories, meanwhile, rose 0.4%, matching consensus estimate and following May's +0.5%. As growth in inventories outpaced sales, the total business inventories/sales ratio ticked up slightly to 1.27 from 1.26 registered in the previous month.

 
 
Pension
    17-Aug-2007 21:00  
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moneymaking, click this link to see the future.

http://money.cnn.com/data/premarket/

 
 

 
mchaisheng
    17-Aug-2007 20:56  
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Why asia trumbled like hell? Subprime and credit crunch happened at US not asia markets.

STI high 3,688.58 -  today low 2,962.01 = % down 19.7

Nikkei225 high 18,300.40 - today low 15,262.10 = % down 16.6

HSI high 23,557.70 - today low 19,386.72 = % down 17.7

KLSE high 1,392.18 - today low 1,141.56  = % down 18

Kospi high 2,015.48 - today low 1,626.87 = % down 19.3

ASX high 6,469.200 - today low 5,637.300 = % down 12.8

TSEC high 9,807.91 - today low 7,987.61 = % down 18.5

Dow high 14,121.00 - last low 12,517.94 =  % down 11.35

Fed cut rate by half a %
 
 
baseerahmed
    17-Aug-2007 19:08  
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i look at the dow futures chart in http://money.cnn.com/

and latest market comments in the same site under News -->Financial News in Brief
 
 
moneymaking
    17-Aug-2007 18:52  
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Hi Pension

Where can I check the dow future movement? care to share ?

 
 
 
Pension
    17-Aug-2007 18:05  
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after sti close, now the dow future is -146. this show that tonight, dow will open lower and bloodbath continue.
 
 
jackjames
    17-Aug-2007 17:30  
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this is funny, DOW crash 300 points last night and last hour recover back 250 points, same for STI !!!!!! ha ha... STI COPY DOW !
 

 
left_bug
    17-Aug-2007 17:25  
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Well, master knightrider, you are at least getting 140 dividend. So not bad. Although not an exact replica (STI went up a bit and close a bit lower) but dow and STI are definitely twins.

By the way snior synnexo, I don't think I knelt down when I proposed to my wife. Smiley 
 
 
knightrider
    17-Aug-2007 17:07  
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This situation of market - roller coaster, is not for weak heart. It is real scary ! IF you don't care, just park some $$$ in some blue one, and wait till year end to see what is going on. I just took the challenge, helping with CPF fund to invest 1 lot on OCBC at S$7.9. Try out and see ! Good Luck to all who dare.
 
 
synnexo
    17-Aug-2007 11:30  
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left_bug,

U are making me laughing out loud in my office...hahaha...Smiley

Not need kneel again...u already done it when u asked for her hand.

This is a maket full of beast. Maybe its good to hold on to your toilet paper now. Just like me...Smiley
 
 
left_bug
    17-Aug-2007 11:22  
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My goodness. Are we gonna have a roller coaster of our own. Or we are assuming Dow will go sink tonight. What the heck! Fall STI just fall as you like. If you go down to 2800, I gonna beg really hard, kneel down if have to, my wife to loan me some dough. 
 
 
harryp
    17-Aug-2007 09:27  
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Yup, too big an intraday range signals volatility. Better to keep the heads down before the poo hits the fence.
 
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