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Prospects__Just high lighted FYI only on it Price Earing Ratio:
In a 26-page report on China EnerSave released last month, research firm Standard & Poor's forecast that the group will make a net profit of $18.6 million this year, or almost four times its earnings last year. But this assumes a 51 per cent stake in the Yima coal power plant (Take note that CEnersave is buying up another 49%, taking it to own 100% of Yima coal power plant). And 2008 will be the year when the biomass projects start to chip in to the bottom line. S&P, whose report is paid a fee by China EnerSave, reckons the group could rake in $24.5 million.
At $18.6 million forecast earnings for 2007, China EnerSave is trading at about 10 times that. And for 2008, the multiple is 7.6 times.
hi john, hopefully this piece of news will spur CS to greater heights! :)
hi regret
I got this news from today's Business Times Online under the "Show me the Money" section. Enjoy! Its good research done by Teh Hooi Ling and definitely a word of encouragement to all those vested :)
agree. it is now moving into consolidation band. when it break out, may go higher than 25c or more. however with 50 million convertible bonds. i dun think it is going to go up much..
CEnersave: Accumulation possible. Patience needed for those invested in this counter. Things may start looking better soon. Good luck.
hi johnbrendan, may l ask where u gt this piece of info from?
And currently, it is in the process of issuing a $50 million convertible bonds. Four months after the completion of the issue, the bonds can be converted at a 10 per cent discount to the then-traded price of the shares. So the lower the share price, the more shares the bond holders will get. However, there is a minimum conversion price.
no wonder for the oppressed price of the shares.
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Published June 2, 2007 
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China EnerSave is worthy of closer look
By
TEH HOOI LING
SENIOR CORRESPONDENT
IT is not uncommon for a company that has found its original business
to be going nowhere to embark on a restructuring process and enter a
new industry.
 | | Waste not: Biomass
power plants burn plant matter like trees, grass, agricultural crops or
other biological material in a boiler to produce high-pressure steam.
This steam will rotate a turbine and generate electricity |
During the transition, there will be significant uncertainty about
whether the company can succeed in its new venture. Lack of management
expertise in the new area and the many execution problems that may crop
up weigh heavily on the minds of investors.
And obviously, a new business needs time to develop - so there is no decent profit to talk about during the transition period.
All these things make investors reluctant to commit. Yet it is also at
this juncture that the company needs a lot of new funds to pay for its
new investments.
So, those who are willing to supply the capital
at such a time can be described as early-stage financiers. And
early-stage financiers come in at a risk-adjusted price. For taking on
this risk, they may be rewarded with a sizable return two or three
years down the road. Or they may have underestimated the risk, and two
or three years on, they may get only marginal returns on their capital,
or worse, suffer a capital loss.
On the other hand, fund-raising
through new shares or convertible bonds dilutes future earnings and
creates the spectre of a share overhang, putting a dampener on a
company's market share price.
Transition
One
company that is going through such a transition period is China
EnerSave. When it was listed on Sesdaq in 1998 it was into electronic
ballasts and home furnishings. In 2004 it dipped its toes into the
energy business in China. Two years later, after it came to know about
the China Renewable Energy Law, which took effect on Jan 1, 2006, it
stepped up its involvement in that area.
Now China EnerSave has
a 270 MW coal-fired power plant called Henan Yima Jinjiang. It acquired
a 51 per cent stake in Yima in mid-Sept 2006 for US$45 million. And in
the last three months of 2006, that 51 per cent stake contributed $6.3
million or 76 per cent to the group's 2006 full-year operating profit.
In essence, Yima helped increased China EnerSave's 2006 net earnings to
$4.8 million, from $1.1 million the year before.
Just over a
month ago, China EnerSave entered into another agreement to buy over
the remaining 49 per cent of Yima for US$20 million. The deal will be
completed by end-July. This means the group will get 100 per cent of
Yima's revenue and earnings for four months this year.
China
EnerSave is also a major partner in the 2004 joint development of a
greenfield project to develop a waste-to-energy plant. The 12 MW plant
in Huizhou, in which it has a 71 per cent stake, started operating late
last year. It will make its maiden contributions in the current
financial year.
But the group's biggest bet is in biomass energy
projects. It is now building three 24 MW biomass power plant projects
in China. The first two - in Chengdu County and LongChang County, in
Sichuan province - are scheduled for completion in 2008, while the
third, in Changyi County in Shangdong, should be ready in 2009.
Tay Wee Kwang, China EnerSave's executive director, said the group has
managed to negotiate with the exclusive right to run a biomass plant in
each of the above counties.
Also, it has signed more than 10
exclusive memorandums of understanding to develop biomass plants with
various provincial authorities in China and is carrying out feasibility
studies.
To accelerate its entry into the biomass power
industry, China EnerSave is looking into opportunities to acquire small
coal-fired power plants that are suitable for conversion into biomass
power plants.
According to Mr Tay, to build a new 24 MW
biomass plant, investment of 250 million renminbi (S$50 million) and a
time frame of 20 months are required. Retrofitting a coal-fired power
plant into a biomass plant needs half of that investment and takes only
a year.
The aim is to have 20 biomass power plants in China by the end of 2010.
The Chinese government gives a 0.25 renminbi subsidy for every kwH of
electricity generated by biomass plants. Assuming that remains, and
that China EnerSave can obtain the feedstock for its plants at the
prices it expects, each plant can generate net earnings of about US$3.6
million, according to analysts' estimates. This includes carbon credits
of US$1.1 million a year.
As the investment will be 40 per cent funded by equity, the return on equity works out to a decent 28 per cent.
In addition to these power projects, China EnerSave offers engineering
services in Vietnam. In May last year,it acquired a 23 per cent equity
interest in Amanda Industries Pte Ltd (AIP).
AIP owns Amanda
Maintenance, Industrial, General & Offshore Services (Amigos),
which operates a fabrication facility in Vietnam that serves customers
worldwide from energy-related industries. Amigos's main capabilities
include the fabrication of structural steel, pressure vessels and gas
turbines.
Amigos had an order book of about $116 million at
end-2006. And in January this year, China EnerSave raised its stake in
AIP to 51 per cent.
Biomass power
Biomass power
plants burn plant matter such as trees, grass, agricultural crops or
waste, or other biological material in a boiler to produce
high-pressure steam. This steam rotates a turbine and generates
electricity.
Next to hydropower, more electricity is generated
from biomass than any other renewable energy resource in the United
States now.
Biomass plants are less efficient than coal-fired
plants but are more friendly environmentally. Biomass does not add
carbon dioxide to the atmosphere because it absorbs the same amount of
carbon in growing as it releases when consumed as fuel. Its low sulphur
content means biomass combustion is much less acidifying than coal
combustion, for example. Also, the ashes from biomass consumption are
very low in heavy metals and can be recycled.
But due to the
lower efficiency of biomass, a government subsidy is required to ensure
its viability. And of course, a biomass plant must ensure it has
sufficient feedstock available nearby at an economical rate. An
efficient collection and storage system must be in place.
Assuming the design and engineering of the plant is fine, a profitable
biomass operation must also make sure the cost of getting its
electricity on to the grid is not exorbitant. According to Mr Tay,
China EnerSave has located its plants between 800 m and 8 km from the
nearest connection points. Also, a biomass plant must have access to
water.
Prospects
In a 26-page report on China
EnerSave released last month, research firm Standard & Poor's
forecast that the group will make a net profit of $18.6 million this
year, or almost four times its earnings last year. But this assumes a
51 per cent stake in the Yima coal power plant. And 2008 will be the
year when the biomass projects start to chip in to the bottom line.
S&P, whose report is paid a fee by China EnerSave, reckons the
group could rake in $24.5 million.
At $18.6 million forecast
earnings for 2007, China EnerSave is trading at about 10 times that.
And for 2008, the multiple is 7.6 times.
However, to fund its
aggressive expansion, China EnerSave has had to raise funds. Earlier
this year it completed a $30 million convertible note issue to Value
Capital Asset Management. All the notes have since been converted to
shares.
And currently, it is in the process of issuing a $50
million convertible bonds. Four months after the completion of the
issue, the bonds can be converted at a 10 per cent discount to the
then-traded price of the shares. So the lower the share price, the more
shares the bond holders will get. However, there is a minimum
conversion price.
S&P said that despite the large share
issuance, China EnerSave's new projects should generate enough profits
to more than make up for the dilution. 'Although its new business is
not without risks, we believe the favourable medium- to long-term
demand for energy in China should help mitigate some risks. While
returns should converge to more normal levels of around 12 per cent
internal rate of return for most power assets in China, this should be
supported by stable utilisation rates and generally stable cash flow,'
it said.
So on the whole, it appears that China EnerSave is
worthy of closer attention. The Dubai Investment Group and Hong
Kong-based private equity firm Energy Partners seem to think it's a
worthwhile bet. Each owns about 11 per cent of the company. Meanwhile,
one director, Tan Choon Wee, has been accumulating the shares in the
open market. |
Friday June 1, 2:16 PM
Shanghai may face power cuts this summer
Shanghai, China's largest city, may be plunged into darkness as the city's overburdened power-distribution network lags behind its rapid economic growth, state press reported Friday.
The power supply to 1,000 families and businesses in Pudong New Area, a financial district, had to be cut off briefly on Wednesday after a major transformer collapsed on an abrupt spike in demand, the Shanghai Daily said.
"Such measures will be inevitable this summer, or we will have an even bigger problem," said Li Xinzhang, a spokesman from Shidong Power Supply Co, a major supplier, according to the paper.
In 2007, the city's
electricity demand is forecast to increase 10 percent from last year to 21 million kilowatts in peak times, the paper said.
Bottlenecks exist throughout the city where outdated infrastructure is completely inadequate in meeting demand that has soared with the economy in the past few years, said an official from the city's grid load management centre.
Shanghai has budgeted 20 billion yuan (2.56 billion dollars) in grid improvement this year but almost one third of the projects will not have been completed by the time the summer peak sets in.
The projects have been delayed because of difficulties persuading residents and firms to move to make way for the construction.
State media reported Tuesday a
serious power shortage in south China's Guangdong province has led to production cuts in many cities in the booming region.
Friday June 1, 2:16 PM Shanghai may face power cuts this summer Shanghai, China's largest city, may be plunged into darkness as the city's overburdened power-distribution network lags behind its rapid economic growth, state press reported Friday. The power supply to 1,000 families and businesses in Pudong New Area, a financial district, had to be cut off briefly on Wednesday after a major transformer collapsed on an abrupt spike in demand, the Shanghai Daily said. ADVERTISEMENT "Such measures will be inevitable this summer, or we will have an even bigger problem," said Li Xinzhang, a spokesman from Shidong Power Supply Co, a major supplier, according to the paper. In 2007, the city's electricity demand is forecast to increase 10 percent from last year to 21 million kilowatts in peak times, the paper said. Bottlenecks exist throughout the city where outdated infrastructure is completely inadequate in meeting demand that has soared with the economy in the past few years, said an official from the city's grid load management centre. Shanghai has budgeted 20 billion yuan (2.56 billion dollars) in grid improvement this year but almost one third of the projects will not have been completed by the time the summer peak sets in. The projects have been delayed because of difficulties persuading residents and firms to move to make way for the construction. State media reported Tuesday a serious power shortage in south China's Guangdong province has led to production cuts in many cities in the booming region.
is 1000 lots considered big buy? hehe
Hi Regret, I agree with you, 145 lots is no way to be considered a big transaction...
smaxmike: pardon me for asking, u were saying vol very thin, so tats y 145 lots considered alot?
Today volume very thin...
145 lots a lot meh?
Total sales or volume is 575 lot traded, opened at 18c & closed at 0.18c, time for collection..:))
Traded Summay: Cenersave on Cum dividend
Renewable Energy by CEnersave: FYI only
Credit Suisse S'pore has been invited by Cenersave, who show interest to pick $35mil of the $50mil bond issue or about 25% interest and also other even bigger BBs is showing interest to pump more money in it NeiJiang Biomass plant. So is Dubai investment, it is BBs Vs BBs whom which will be the chossen one to lead the px to goes up, BBs will earn it merit in each effort to make better value return yield, hopefully they co-operate fully and can see px move with their vested interest, S&P TP is recommended 0.29c, meanwhile i am dreaming 0.25c will do, very happy liao..
Renewable Energy
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EnerSave research and implement various ways of obtaining energy, such as the use of converting solid waste from our daily life into useable energy through the Waste-To-Energy (WTE) Plant. We are also able to produce energy from our Biomass Plant using agricultural waste through gasification technology. Our facilities are built and maintained at the highest levels of quality, which has helped us gain a strong reliability record.
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Neijiang Biomass Plant (Just For Your Info Only)
An artist's impression of EnerSave Biomass-To-Energy plant (Ready second Half 2007)
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Project Name
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Sichuan NeiJiang Biomass-To-Energy Plant |
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Location
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Neijiang, Sichuan, China |
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Area
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150,000 sq m |
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Duration of Operation
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Thirty (30) years |
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Facility
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600 TPD Biomass-to-energy system
Combustible Waste - Agricultural waste (bamboo, padi stalks & corn stalks)
Heating value - approx 3600 kcal/kg
2 X 300MT Biomass-to-energy system 24 megawatts of electricity |
Dubai Ventures go into AMIGOS (Vietnam)......more BBs is pumping $$$ into CEnersave....
Proposed Acquisition Of 15% Stake Of Amigos (16 May 07)
Someone nice willingly bot up to 19c, unless BBs 1 2 bring it down, if not...then price should be quite stable, closed off at 0.19c
Traded Summary: (Tues) 22-5-07
