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Is Biosensors a good buy?

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allright
    10-Nov-2010 14:38  
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Heard DBS downgraded to a hold at S$1.20. BUT OCBC upgraded( S$1.35) and NOMURA upgraded(S$1.50) 
 
 
topdog22
    10-Nov-2010 10:09  
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OCBC  Company Update

10 November 2010Results MITA No. 010/06/2009

Current Price: S$1.22

Fair Value: S$1.35

SINGAPORE Company Report Results MITA No. 013/06/2010

Reuters Code BIOS.SI

ISIN Code B20

Bloomberg Code BIG SP

Issued Capital (m) 1,086

Mkt Cap (S$m / US$m) 1,325 / 1,025

Major Shareholders

Autumn Eagle Ltd 29.5%

Free Float (%) 45.2%

Daily Vol 3-mth (‘000) 17,312

52 Wk Range 0.675 - 1.260

Turnaround story continues as expected

2Q11 results largely within expectations.

International Group (BIG) reported its 2Q11 results with revenue

increasing 33.9% YoY and 10.4% QoQ to US$36.5m. Net

profit increased 31.6% YoY and 161.7% QoQ to US$8.5m.

Both revenue and core earnings were largely within our

expectations. Gross profit margin and EBIT margin also

showed good improvement at 78.7% (vs. 70.1% in 2Q10 and

75.7% in 1Q11) and 25.8% (vs. 15.2% in 2Q10 and 22.6% in

1Q11) respectively. For 1H11, revenue increased 30.4% to

US$69.5m, meeting 43.8% of our FY11 revenue forecast

(44.0% of consensus); and net profit rose 10.2% to US$11.7m,

meeting 27.8% of our full-year earnings figure (30.1% of

consensus). While this seems to be on the low side, it was

due to exceptional items including charges related to the

revaluation of warrants as well as the restructuring of BIG's

US operations. Excluding these one-off items, 1H11 net profits

would have increased 95.3% to US$21.1m. BIG has also

guided that profitability for 2H11 is expected to be higher than

in 1H11.Biosensors

Growth driven by BioMatrix.

stent (DES) saw a 63.4% YoY surge in sales to

US$20.9m in 2Q11, which helped to offset a decline in sales

of other interventional cardiology products. There was an

increase in penetration rates in existing markets and continued

expansion in new geographical areas such as Taiwan. This

change in revenue mix (64.5% of product revenue in 2Q11 vs.

51.1% in 2Q10) has helped to drive up gross margins as

BioMatrix DES fetches a higher selling price.BIG's flagship BioMatrix drugeluting

Organisational changes to drive China strategic focus

BIG announced changes to its organisation structure in line

with the recent change in major shareholder. Mr. John Zhao

(CEO of Hony Capital) and Mr. Yuan Bing (MD of Hony Capital)

were appointed as Non-Executive and Non-Independent

Directors of BIG. Mr. Jeffrey Jump and Dr. Jack Wang have

also been appointed as Co-CEO. Mr. Jump would continue to

lead the company's strategy outside of China while Dr. Wang

will focus on BIG's operations and its China strategy. Coupled

with the expertise of Hony Capital, this shows BIG's intent to

drive its China strategic focus. We view this as a positive

move given the potential of the Chinese DES market..

Maintain BUY

in BIG's gross margins moving forward and fine-tuned our

assumptions. We continue to be sanguine about BIG's growth

prospects and believe there is further upside ahead. As such,

we reiterate our

estimate from S$1.30 to S$1.35.
. We have taken into account the improvementsBUY rating and revise our DCF-based fair value

 
 
infancybird
    10-Nov-2010 09:30  
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Correction.....In my opinion, this is  far from the Climax yet. It is only the foreplay before even the actual act play. Run and you will miss all the fun and the final ecstatic climax...... Don`t forget the new owner is by the name of `Hony ``who is  famous for making deal and zeal. 



greendino      ( Date: 09-Nov-2010 21:37) Posted:

results out...all priced in...buying climax achieved...time to take profit

 

 
allright
    10-Nov-2010 09:28  
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Besides Nomura ( Target raised from S$1.20 to S$1.50) OCBC research raised Biosensors from S$1.30 to S$1.35

fragaria      ( Date: 10-Nov-2010 09:20) Posted:

Biosensors Target Raised To S$1.50 From S$1.20 By Nomura

 
 
fragaria
    10-Nov-2010 09:20  
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Biosensors Target Raised To S$1.50 From S$1.20 By Nomura
 
 
topdog22
    10-Nov-2010 08:44  
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OBSERVATIONS:

Earning report VERY solid!!!  NO NEGATIVE surprises.  Financial guidance a little conservative but on the whole accurate.  New geographic market approvals; New unique novel products addressing underserved markets to hit sales & earnings streams within short time;  China & Japan market approvals in short time.  New products and mkt approvals NOT in guidance.  Guidance has upsides. 

Counter has a big tailwind that should propell it forward:  M&A activity in Singapore; Microport value in Hong Kong; New strategic investor - Hony: New International Institutional Investors - Fidelity, etc,

STRONG Singapore & Asia economies and bull financial markets.  Finally, US market in begining of bull market - small pullback today stopping above 200 day moving average for all major sectors in US economy setting new floor for bull move.

If stock pulls back, it will NOT be for long.  All fundamentals and technicals very strong.  RUN at your own loss.

Just my observations and conclusions
 

 
Noob79
    10-Nov-2010 00:13  
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Better run if it fall tml....blowing south wind...

james87      ( Date: 10-Nov-2010 00:04) Posted:

lets see how far this wind will bring biosensor tml...

 
 
james87
    10-Nov-2010 00:04  
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lets see how far this wind will bring biosensor tml...
 
 
greendino
    09-Nov-2010 22:11  
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yes agree..mkt trend is blowing northernly winds...
 
 
iPunter
    09-Nov-2010 21:46  
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One must also not ignore market trend.

      The next quarter is just a short 3 months away... Smiley


 

 
greendino
    09-Nov-2010 21:37  
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results out...all priced in...buying climax achieved...time to take profit
 
 
iPunter
    09-Nov-2010 21:33  
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In view of the market sentiment, the price is not 'down'...

    It looks more like a shakeout... Smiley



allright      ( Date: 09-Nov-2010 15:21) Posted:

Thought the organizational changes looks promising as there is a shared CEO indicating hopefully that the approval from China is soon? Yet the price is down now at $1.22. Waiting for results  after 5

 
 
investor
    09-Nov-2010 21:17  
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Just listened to the video conference. A few things captured my attention.

A very confident presentation by Jeff Jump, the Co-CEO.

 He mentioned specifically that sales of Biomatrix has increased (and he uses the word 'of late', meaning lately or very recently), and especially after the Sept 2010 TCT conference as more and more physicians realised the importance of added safety in using a biodegradable polymer, due to the 76 % reduction and 50 % reduction in mortality in Stemi patients and complex patients.

When asked if the company is pursuing other areas (other than DES), he mentioned that there is a possibility, BUT THEN with the DES mkt doing so well, there seems to be no urgency. (or sort of in his reply).

He also uses the word 'iminent approval' of the biomatrix in Japan, when discussing licensing revenue from Terumo.

From the looks of it, the 2nd half (meaning Oct 2010 - Mar 2011) will be better in terms of net earnings, but there is also a possibility of increase R&D expenses due to commencement of a large clinical trial for Bio-Freedom.

Again not a call to buy/sell. Good to listen to the video conference yourself and you will know what I mean.

 

 
 
 
Citigold
    09-Nov-2010 18:02  
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Not bad for 2Q,  this stock will rise to a new height.
 
 
topdog22
    09-Nov-2010 17:31  
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BIOSENSORS REPORTS CONTINUED STRONG SALES GROWTH AND RECORD OPERATING RESULTS IN THE SECOND QUARTER OF FISCAL 2011 Singapore 9 November 2010 - Biosensors International Group, Ltd. (“Biosensors” or the “Company”, Bloomberg: BIG SP) today announced financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2011 (“2Q FY11”) and the fiscal six months ended 30 September 2010 (“1H FY11”). For 2Q FY11, Biosensors reported total revenue, including licensing and royalties, of US$36.5 million, a US$ 9.3 million (34%) increase over the US$27.2 million reported in the second quarter of fiscal year 2010 (“2Q FY10”). Sales of drug-eluting stents (“DES”) increased to US$20.9 million in the quarter, a 63% increase over 2Q FY10, and a 19% increase over the first quarter of fiscal year 2011 (“1Q FY11”). The Company reported US$8.4 million in sales of other interventional cardiology products (“IVP”), compared to US$9.3 million in 2Q FY10. Sales of critical care products (“CCP”) in 2Q FY11 were steady versus the previous quarter at US$3.1 million. Licensing revenues in 2Q FY11 increased to US$4.0 million from US$2.1 million in 2Q FY10, driven primarily by increased DES sales by one of the Company’s licensees. Total product revenues in 1H FY11 were US$61.8 million, up 30% from the US$47.4 million reported in the fiscal six months ended 30 September 2009 (“1H FY10”). DES revenues for 1H FY11 were up 59% to US$38.6 million compared to US$24.3 million for 1H FY10. Other IVP sales increased moderately in 1H FY11, to US$17.2 million from US$16.9 million in 1H FY10. CCP sales remained comparable at US$6.1 million versus US$6.3 million in 1H FY10. “We are very pleased with our continued revenue growth,” said Biosensors’ Co-CEO Jeffrey B. Jump. “Strong demand for our products has been maintained as we expand our share in all of our accessible markets. We also continue to achieve our operational milestones, in particular strong clinical results for both our internally developed BioMatrix and BioFreedom product families, as well as for our Sparrow and Axxess specialty drug-eluting stents, recently acquired from CardioMind and Devax respectively. We believe that we have the technology necessary to attain a very strong leadership position in the interventional cardiology market.” Research and development (“R&D”) expenses, which include costs for new product development and testing, clinical trials, patent registration and regulatory approval, were US$3.3 million in 2Q FY11 compared to US$3.6 million in 2Q FY10. In 1H FY11, R&D expenses were US$6.5 million compared to US$7.1 million in 1H FY10. The decrease in research and development expenses was mainly due to lower clinical trials expenses as well as decreased payroll- and office-related expenses. Sales and marketing expenses were US$11.4 million in 2Q FY11 compared to US$8.1 million in 2Q FY10, and US$20.8 million in 1H FY11 compared to US$15.3 million in 1H FY10. The increases were due mainly to higher headcount costs as we continue to expand our sales force and marketing activities in Europe, Asia and Latin America, as well as increased warehousing and selling expenses associated with rapid growth. General and administrative expenses were US$4.5 million in 2Q FY11 compared to US$4.3 million in 2Q FY10, and US$9.0 million in 1H FY11 compared to US$8.9 million in 1H FY10. The increase was mainly due to increased professional fees. Included in 2Q FY11 is the equity method of accounting for the Company’s 50% ownership interest in JW Medical Systems Ltd (“JWMS”) which resulted in net income of US$4.6 million, compared to US$3.7 million for 2Q FY10, and US$9.8 million in 1H FY11 compared to US$6.7 million in 1H FY10. JWMS recorded DES sales of approximately US$21.7 million for 2Q FY11, compared to US$16.0 million for 2Q FY10 and US$44.9 million in 1H FY11 compared to US$31.9 million in 1H FY10. In 2Q FY11, the Group reported a net profit of US$8.5 million (0.79 US cents per basic and 0.76 US cents per diluted share), compared to a net profit of US$6.4 million (0.61 US cents per basic and 0.60 US cents per diluted share) in 2Q FY10. The Group’s net profits for the quarter included a non-cash charge of US$2.7 million related to the revaluation of warrants issued in connection with notes payable issued in December 2009. Adjusted for the effect of this non-cash charge, the Group’s 2Q FY11 net profits would be US$11.2 million (basic and diluted earnings per share would be 1.04 US cents and 1.00 US cents, respectively). Adjusted for these non-cash charges, net profits, basic earnings per share and diluted earnings per share all grew more than 60% versus 2Q FY10. For 1H FY11, the Group reported a net profit of US$11.7 million (1.09 US cents earnings per basic and 1.05 US cents per diluted share) compared to a net profit of US$10.6 million (1.00 US cent earnings per basic and 0.99 US cents per diluted share) in 1H FY10. Adjusted for non-cash charges of US$3.4 million related to revaluation of warrants and US$ 6.0 million in restructuring charges recorded in 1Q FY10, net profits for 1H FY11 would be US$21.1 million (earnings per basic and diluted share would be 1.96 US cents and 1.90 US cents, respectively). Adjusted for these charges, net profits, basic earnings per share and diluted earnings per share increased more than 90% compared to 1H FY10. “Our record operating profits reflect strong execution of our strategic plans. Investments in our sales and marketing infrastructure continue to produce exceptional revenue growth. At the same time, continual improvement in our manufacturing process has helped drive our gross margins even higher. Our R&D and clinical programs continue to deliver innovative products with compelling data, and the effects of our restructuring efforts are beginning to be reflected in our other operating expenses. These efforts, combined with the continued strong performance of our strategic partners and the promise of our recent acquisitions, position Biosensors for a very bright future”, Mr. Jump concluded.
 

 
iPunter
    09-Nov-2010 15:23  
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TA aficionados will love this stock's chart very much...Smiley

 
 
 
allright
    09-Nov-2010 15:21  
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Thought the organizational changes looks promising as there is a shared CEO indicating hopefully that the approval from China is soon? Yet the price is down now at $1.22. Waiting for results  after 5
 
 
iPunter
    09-Nov-2010 14:57  
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Even considering the 'macro' fundamentals, this is a good play...

   Medical play is now big league story... Smiley



iPunter      ( Date: 09-Nov-2010 14:55) Posted:

That's a  good trading move!... Smiley

susan66      ( Date: 08-Nov-2010 23:22) Posted:

Yeh, I noticed, lucky just entered last week expecting this ascending triangle to breakup and it finally did! More to come, nice uptrend!! Smiley 77Smiley 77


 
 
iPunter
    09-Nov-2010 14:55  
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That's a  good trading move!... Smiley

susan66      ( Date: 08-Nov-2010 23:22) Posted:

Yeh, I noticed, lucky just entered last week expecting this ascending triangle to breakup and it finally did! More to come, nice uptrend!! Smiley 77Smiley 77

 
 
bsiong
    09-Nov-2010 14:47  
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ya same thot.
 
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