(AP:SINGAPORE) Oil prices jumped to near $103 a barrel Monday in Asia after Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi vowed a " long war" amid a second night of allied strikes in the OPEC nation.
Benchmark crude for April delivery was up $1.82 to $102.89 a barrel at midday Singapore time in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract fell 35 cents to settle at $101.07 per barrel on Friday.
In London, Brent crude was up $1.83 at $115.76 a barrel on the ICE futures exchange.
A military coalition of the U.S., France, U.K. and other nations bombed tanks and anti-aircraft sites Sunday and deterred Libyan fighter jets from flying. Gadhafi said he would not resign and pledged to continue to attack the eastern rebel stronghold of Benghazi.
Fierce fighting during the last month has already shut down most of Libya's 1.6 million barrels per day of crude output. Investors are now concerned international intervention could extend the conflict and keep Libya's oil production out of the market longer than perviously estimated.
" The regime in Tripoli shows no sign of giving up," Capital Economics said in a report. " The prolonged loss of Libyan oil could push prices all the way up to the highs above $140 seen in 2008."
Gadhafi also warned that Western powers would not get Libya's oil, suggesting his forces may sabotage crude installations. Some traders worry a cornered Gadhafi could lash out in a last stand that disrupts regional tanker shipments.
" A 'scorched earth' response from Gadhafi could cause disruptions to ships traveling the Mediterranean," energy consultant The Schork Report said.
In other Nymex trading for April contracts, heating oil was up 3.9 cents at $3.06 a gallon and gasoline added 5.1 cents to $3.00 a gallon. Natural gas gained 3.1 cents at $4.20 per 1,000 cubic feet.
  * Coming Up: U.S. existing home sales for Feb 1400 GMT (Adds second wave of air strikes in Libya)
  By Alejandro Barbajosa
  SINGAPORE, March 21 (Reuters) - Brent climbed 1.5 percent on Monday towards $116 after western forces launched a military campaign against Libya, stoking fears that violence will intensify in North Africa and the Middle East, source of more than a third of the world's oil.
  Unrest over the weekend also flared in Syria and Yemen in the wake of popular uprisings that toppled long-time leaders in Tunisia and Egypt earlier this year and a crackdown on protests in Bahrain last week.
  U.N.-backed strikes led by the U.S., the U.K. and France raised the stakes in a civil war that has cut Libya's oil output to less than a quarter of the previous 1.6 million barrels per day (bpd), nearly paralysing shipments abroad from what used to be the world's 12-th largest crude exporter.
  Brent crude for May rose as much as $2.29 to $116.22 a barrel and was up 1.5 percent at $115.69 by 0343 GMT, about $4 from last month's 2-1/2-year high near $120.
  U.S. crude for April advanced $1.79 to $102.86 after western powers launched a second wave of air strikes on Libya early on Monday, dismissing a ceasefire announced by the country's military late on Sunday.
  " With involvement from the West, the uncertainty that has surrounded the region and the fear of upheaval and unrest spreading to countries like Saudi Arabia, where we could lose a lot more crude that what we did Libya, is definitely going to be the main price driver," said Matthew Lewis, an analyst at CMC Markets in Sydney.
  President Barack Obama ordered U.S. forces into the biggest military intervention in the Arab world since the 2003 invasion of Iraq, while Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi vowed to fight to the death.
  " At this stage, it looks like Libya has further to play. Gaddafi still seems very defiant. We'll see further spikes and shocks in the oil market this week," Lewis said.
  Military action on Libyan air defenses over the past two days, sanctioned by the United Nations in a Security Council resolution on Thursday, has crippled Gaddafi's capability to launch airstrikes and detect foreign aircraft, a senior U.S. military official said on Sunday.
  But Gaddafi's control of oil infrastructure in the long term would probably mean reshaping deals with foreign oil companies in favour of countries not participating in the attacks.
  Libya is considering offering oil block contracts directly to China, India and other nations it sees as friends, Libya's top oil official said on Saturday, instead of opening bidding processes.
  China, India, Russia, Brazil and Germany were the five nations that abstained in last week's U.N. vote to authorise the use of force against Gaddafi. The other ten members of the Security Council voted in favour.
  The weekend's military intervention hit a diplomatic setback as the Arab League chief condemned the " bombardment of civilians" .
  The strikes began on Saturday, as a coalition of western nations vowed to prevent Gaddafi from launching attacks on civilians as he seeks to crush a rebellion against his four-decade rule.
 
  MIDEAST PREMIUM
  Crowds set fire to a headquarters of the ruling Baath Party in the Syrian city of Deraa on Sunday, while Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh fired his government after a string of allies broke ranks with him as he faces increasing pressure from street protests to step down.
  Saudi Arabia and other countries from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) last week sent troops into Bahrain to help quell Shi'ite protests there against the Sunni monarchy. That angered Iran, which denounced the foreign intervention in the island state that lies less than 100 kilometres from the hub of the Saudi oil industry.
  " The key is really how Saudi (Arabia) and Iran play out. Cool heads need to prevail. It's contained at the moment but if things worsen, you see a Mideast premium very quickly," said Jonathan Barratt, managing director of Commodity Broking Services.
  Iran's oil minister said on Saturday said any output increase by individual OPEC members aimed at reducing oil price pressures caused by the Libyan crisis would not have the desired effect.
  Some OPEC countries, including Saudi Arabia, have already increased production partly to compensate for the drop in Libyan output and to prevent prices from reaching levels that could derail the global economic recovery. But that has also eroded the group's spare capacity to offset further disruptions.
  " None of the OPEC countries have considered it (the current oil price) damaging" to the world economy, Nigerian oil minister Allison-Madueke said on Sunday.
  Oil prices have now recovered completely from a slump triggered by Japan's strongest earthquake on record on March 11.
  Japan hoped power lines restored to its stricken nuclear plant may help solve the world's worst atomic crisis in 25 years, triggered by the earthquake and a tsunami that also left more than 21,000 people dead or missing.
  Likely to limit oil's gains was Friday's increase in China's rate reserve requirements as the nation stays focused on stifling inflation, traders and analysts said. (With additional reporting by Cho Mee-Young in SEOUL and Nick Trevethan in SINGAPORE Editing by Manash Goswami)
* Investors take wait-and-see attitude on PBOC's next step
  * But China unlikely to change long-term yuan rise strategy
  * Yuan at 6.5659, up about 4 pct since depegging in June 2010
  By Chen Yixin and Jacqueline Wong
  SHANGHAI, March 21 (Reuters) - The yuan rose versus the dollar on Monday after the People's Bank of China fixed a record high mid-point, signalling its intentions to use the yuan as another inflation-fighting tool following an unexpected increase in banks' reserve requirement ratios last Friday.
  The 50 basis point rise in RRR after markets had closed on Friday was the third such increase this year and the sixth since November.
  But spot yuan traded in a small range around the mid-point, with investors preferring to take a wait-and-see stance to monitor the central bank's next policy step.
  " Another quiet day again," said a dealer at a Chinese commercial bank in Shanghai. " We cannot be very sure about the central bank's next step, so we still focus on the dollar's move and clients demand for now."
  " But in the long term, the yuan still has room to rise because of high domestic inflation and overseas pressure."
  The dollar index was at 75.6 by midday, after hitting a 15-month low on Friday.
  The yuan was trading at 6.5659 versus the dollar by midday, up from Friday's close of 6.5691. The currency has now risen around 4 percent since it was depegged in June 2010.
  Before trading began, the PBOC fixed the yuan's mid-point at a record high of 6.5632 to the dollar, stronger than Friday's 6.5668.
  China appears to be using the yuan's exchange rate to fight high inflation and help adjust an economic structure heavily reliant on exports, promoting widespread expectations that the currency will appreciate at a much faster pace than last year's 3.6 percent rise.
  The PBOC uses the fixing, from which dollar/yuan can rise or fall 0.5 percent each day, to express the government's intentions for the Chinese currency.
  Benchmark one-year dollar/yuan non-deliverable forwards (NDF) were bid at 6.4400 by midday on Friday, little changed from 6.4410 at Friday's close. Their implied yuan appreciation in a year's time was at 1.90 percent.
china is scared of inflation that's why raised RRR on friday. china felt sad for ang mios vs " Lu Bu" tension. better avoid and thinky think of doing something else like upgrading one's knowledge on technology or go holiday.
i think the media is going to leave japan soon, due to usa-mid east war. I mean  most ppl found it difficult to communicate with the japanese.
less market noise, do make one's spirit and mind clear , i mean for $ market only.
niuyear ( Date: 21-Mar-2007 08:51) Posted:
Warren Buffett said -
" ........................  In a much-needed boost for Japan's battered stock market, billionaire investor Warren Buffett said the earthquake and tsunami were an " enormous blow" but should not prompt selling of Japanese shares. Instead, he called the events a " buying opportunity" .
  Buffett was speaking to reporters during a visit to South Korea on Monday. .............." -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
???  May be he owns lots of jap shares...  LOL!
Is there any Heros out there will say :  I will go Japan to help, regardless of radiation., and future nuclear plan explosion, count me in.
China IRS, money rates up after reserve ratio rise
* IRS, money market rates up on RRR increase
  * RRR rise has not reversed liquidity conditions
  * No strong expectation of imminent interest rate rise
  * Liquidity to loosen, further RRR eyed
  By Langi Chiang and Jason Subler
  BEIJING/SHANGHAI, March 21 (Reuters) - Chinese interest rate swaps and money market rates rose on Monday after the central bank unexpectedly raised banks' required reserve ratio (RRR) last Friday.
  The latest increase in required reserves, the third so far this year, will lock up roughly 350 billion yuan ($53.3 billion) at the central bank that could otherwise have been lent out.
  Investors had been anticipating further monetary tightening steps after the annual session of parliament, which ended March 14, including potentially this year's second benchmark interest rate rise.
  However, such expectations had eased recently after the earthquake, tsunami and nuclear crisis in Japan, leading to excessive falls in IRS and money market rates in the past week.
  " In that sense, the tightening is less than previously expected," said a trader at a state-owned bank in Beijing.
  He said there was no fundamental change in liquidity conditions as the central bank had ended punitive reserve ratio rises for some banks before raising the industry-wide RRR.
  The benchmark five-year IRS, which had plunged 76 basis points over the past month, was up 17 basis points at 4.04 percent at midday, and may find a floor at around 4 percent, traders said.
  However, that did not imply any heightened expectations of interest rate rises, as reflected by the fact that the yield on the benchmark five-year government bond remained unchanged at 3.52 percent.
  " Of course, further interest rate increases cannot be ruled out, considering inflationary pressure in the first half," said the trader.
  " But there are no strong expectations now. Some are actually saying that we are near the end of this round of interest rate rises," he said.
  FURTHER TIGHTENING?
  The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has drained net funds through bills and bond repurchase agreements in each of the last two weeks, which was part of the reason behind the hope that Beijing may not turn to harsher tools, including RRR rises.
  " Open market operations are a must, but can only fine-tune liquidity," said Shi Lei, a senior analyst with Ping'an Securities in Beijing.
  Close to 750 billion yuan in central bank bills are set to mature by the end of April, putting extra pressure on China to find ways to drain liquidity.
  That, together with rising foreign exchange reserves and a possible rebound in bank loans in April, will probably prompt the central bank to raise the reserve ratio again in around a month, Shi said.
  On Monday, the weighted average seven-day bond repurchase rate, the main barometer of short-term liquidity supply, moved up to 2.9727 percent at midday from Friday's close of 2.0245 percent.
  It is expected to edge up further in the run-up to banks' actual payment of the required reserves on Friday, then ease back again, traders said.
0138 GMT [Dow Jones] The STI is +0.4% at 2947.43, taking the positive cue from Wall Street's rise Friday volume is light at 139 million shares with over half of that in Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (NS8U.SG), which is up 1.1% at US$0.955 after a weak debut Friday. After UN-backed air strikes against Libya over the weekend, Phillip Securities says " we think a protracted Libyan civil war may be an economic non-event as Saudi will make up for (oil) supply shortfalls. More importantly, serious nuclear fallout in Japan looks increasingly unlikely with some power restored to plants, and fire engines having good success in keeping spent fuel rods cool." It adds, " as we lurch from one crisis to another, sentiment remains bad though we maintain that the overall outlook is still positive." It tips support at 2919/15, then 2900/2890 resistance at 2960/65, before 2980/88 and 3000. SGX (S68.SG) is up 2.1% at S$7.47 rising after Australian media reports over the weekend that its bid for ASX (ASX.AU) is likely to be opposed by the government. (matthew.allen@dowjones.com)
" ........................  In a much-needed boost for Japan's battered stock market, billionaire investor Warren Buffett said the earthquake and tsunami were an " enormous blow" but should not prompt selling of Japanese shares. Instead, he called the events a " buying opportunity" .
  Buffett was speaking to reporters during a visit to South Korea on Monday. .............." -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
???  May be he owns lots of jap shares...  LOL!
Is there any Heros out there will say :  I will go Japan to help, regardless of radiation., and future nuclear plan explosion, count me in.
Seoul shares gain, recover losses since Japan quake
* KOSPI climbs as foreign buying continues
  * POSCO up after reports Buffett continues to favour shares
  * Nuclear power issues rally, transporters bounce
  By Jungyoun Park
  SEOUL, March 21 (Reuters) - Seoul shares rose on Monday with Japan's nuclear crisis seen abating, but gains were limited as investors remained wary amid military action against Libya.
  The market has recovered losses made since the Japan quake and tsunami as fears of a nuclear crisis in Japan have eased, according to Chung Seung-jae, a market analyst at Mirae Asset Securities.
  The Korea Composite Stock Price Index < .KS11> (KOSPI) was up 0.94 percent at 1,999.79 points as of 0242 GMT, hovering near the psychologically significant 2,000 point level and above the close of 1,981.58 points on March 10, a day before the quake hit Japan.
  Japan hoped power lines restored to its stricken nuclear plant may help solve the world's worst atomic crisis in 23 years, triggered by an earthquake and tsunami that also left more than 21,000 people dead or missing. [ID:nL3E7EK08V]
  " Foreign buying momentum is still weak. The ongoing Libya situation is keeping investors on edge," Chung added.
  Foreign investors were buyers of a net 22.6 billion won ($20.09 million) worth of stocks, poised to pick up shares for a fourth consecutive session.
  Western powers pressed ahead on Sunday with a campaign of air attacks on Libya, promising more strikes despite criticism by the Arab League.[ID:nLDE72J009]
  Nuclear power related issues bounced robustly following their recent sharp falls.
  Shares in KEPCO Engineering & Construction < 052690.KS> rose 12 percent after tumbling 23 percent in the past five sessions. Shares in KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering < 051600.KS> jumped 14.1 percent, after declining 13.5 percent during the previous five sessions.
  Transporters and tour agency issues also recovered, with Korean Air Line < 003490.KS> rising 4 percent and Asiana Airlines < 020560.KS> advancing 6.1 percent.
  Hana Tour < 039130.KQ> rose 2.5 percent and Modetour < 080160.KQ> climbed 3.2 percent.
  Shares in POSCO < 005490.KS> outperformed, rising 1.4 percent after billionaire investor Warren Buffett, whose Berkshire Hathaway < BRKa.N> holds a stake in the firm, was quoted by local media as saying on a visit to South Korea that he continues to like the steelmaker.
Some progress at Japan reactors U.S. sees turning point
By Kazunori Takada and Junko Fujita
  TOKYO (Reuters) - Engineers restored electricity to three reactors at a crippled Japanese nuclear power plant and hope to test water pumps at the quake-damaged facility soon, the first clear signs of progress in tackling the world's worst atomic crisis in 25 years.
  Japan suffered an estimated $250 billion (£154.2 billion) in damage from the earthquake and tsunami on March 11 that left more than 21,000 people dead or missing, while radiation leaks from the Fukushima nuclear plant have caused global alarm.
  U.S. Energy Secretary Steven Chu, asked by CNN whether the worst of Japan's 10-day nuclear crisis was over, said: " Well, we believe so, but I don't want to make a blanket statement."
  Japanese authorities said the Iodine 131 density at the plant was about six times the standard for workers, which meant they needed to wear masks, but U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Chairman Gregory Jaczko said radiation levels there appeared to be falling.
  But new problems have emerged, especially from contaminated food and water.
  Japan's health ministry urged some residents near the plant in Fukushima prefecture to stop drinking tap water after high levels of radioactive iodine were detected, Kyodo news agency said on Monday.
  Cases of contaminated vegetables and milk have already stoked anxiety despite assurances from Japanese officials that the levels are not dangerous. The plant lies 240 km (150 miles) north of Tokyo.
  The government prohibited the sale of raw milk from Fukushima prefecture and spinach from another nearby area and might announce more restrictions on food on Monday.
  " The contamination of food and water is a concern," said Gerhard Proehl of the Vienna-based U.N. watchdog the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).
  In a much-needed boost for Japan's battered stock market, billionaire investor Warren Buffett said the earthquake and tsunami were an " enormous blow" but should not prompt selling of Japanese shares. Instead, he called the events a " buying opportunity" .
  Buffett was speaking to reporters during a visit to South Korea on Monday.
  Japan's crisis spooked markets last week, prompted rare intervention by the G7 group of rich nations to stabilise the yen, and fuelled concerns the world economy may suffer because of disrupted supplies to the auto and technology industries.
  Tokyo's markets are closed for a holiday on Monday. The Nikkei index shed 10 percent last week, wiping $350 billion off market capitalisation.
  NO POWER YET TO REACTORS 1,3 AND 4
  At Fukushima, 300 engineers have worked around the clock inside an evacuation zone to contain the worst nuclear accident since Chernobyl, Ukraine, in 1986.
  They have been spraying the coastal complex with thousands of tonnes of sea water so fuel rods will not overheat and emit more radiation. Hopes for a more permanent solution depend on electricity cables reactivating on-site water pumps at each of the six reactors.
  " There have been some positive developments in the last 24 hours but overall the situation remains very serious," said Graham Andrew, a senior official of the IAEA.
  Working in suits sealed by duct tape, engineers have connected power cables to the No. 2, 5 and 6 reactors and plan to start testing systems soon, officials say. Officials earlier said a cable had been connected to reactor No.1 but engineers on Monday said this was not yet the case.
  The most badly damaged reactors are No. 3 and 4, which were both hit by explosions last week.
  If the pumps cannot restart, drastic and lengthy measures may be needed like burying the plant in sand and concrete.
  Some expatriates, tourists and local residents have fled Tokyo over radiation fears. Those who remain are subdued but not panicked.
  " There's no way I can check if those radioactive particles are in my tap water or the food I eat, so there isn't much I can really do about it," said Setsuko Kuroi, an 87-year-old woman shopping in a supermarket with a white gauze mask over her face.
  AID TRICKLE
  Easing Japan's gloom briefly, local TV on Sunday showed one moving survival tale: an 80-year-old woman and her 16-year-old grandson rescued from their damaged home after nine days.
  Official tolls of dead and missing are rising steadily -- to 8,450 and 12,931 respectively.
  The death toll could jump dramatically since police said they believed more than 15,000 people had been killed in Miyagi prefecture, one of four that took the brunt of the tsunami.
  Scores of nations have pledged aid to victims, but little foreign relief supplies are visible in some devastated towns and villages.
  " All we have had is the clothes on our backs. But they are good enough. They've kept us warm through all of this," said Machiko Kawahata as she, her daughter and granddaughter looked for clothes at a drop-off point in Kamaishi, a coastal town.
  " We will make do and we will make it through this."
  The 9.0-magnitude quake and ensuing 10-metre (32-ft) tsunami made more than 350,000 people homeless. Food, water, medicine and fuel are short in some parts, and near-freezing temperatures during Japan's winter are not helping.
  While Japanese have been focussed on the rescue operation rather than recriminations, media and others have raised questions over the government and plant operator Tokyo Electric Power Company's (TEPCO) performance.
  There have been suggestions the nuclear drama was taking priority over the human suffering, and that the early response of some officials was slow and opaque.
  TEPCO head Masataka Shimizu apologised at the weekend for " causing such trouble" at the plant but has not visited the site or made a public appearance in a week.
  (Additional reporting by Paul Eckert in Tokyo, Yoko Kubota and Chang-ran Kim in Rikuzentakata, Jon Herskovitz and Chisa Fujioka in Kamaisha, Michael Shields and Fredrik Dahl in Vienna Writing by Andrew Cawthorne and Jason Szep Editing by Dean Yates and John Chalmers)
Today’s Focus • Sino Grandness - beverage segment expected to drive growth fair value estimated at S$0.60, based on 6x FY11F PE. We maintain our view that any further near-term downside for the STI should be limited at around the 2880-2900 level, which coincides with the -1 SD forward PE level based on FY11 and FY12 earnings forecast.
We advocate accumulating stocks at current levels or slightly lower (STI 2880-2900) and trade a technical rebound to STI 3050-3070 in coming week(s) with minor resistances along the way at 2973 and 3010-3020. Our oversold technical rebound picks are F& N, SIA Engineering and Cosco Corp for large caps, Goodpack and MIDAS for mid/small caps. DBSV Research is introducing a new product format called the Equity Explorer (EE). The EE provides a ‘first cut’ look at small/mid-cap companies with market cap of < USD2bil.
The EE differs from the usual stock coverage under the Company Focus product in 2 major ways: 1) No call recommendation (i.e. No Buy, Sell, Hold) is provided in the EE. Instead, the EE will have a risk and return ratings on the company. 2) The EE may not provide ongoing coverage (i.e. it can be just a one-off report). The first company to use this new format is Sino Grandness. Sino Grandness is a canned fruits and vegetable manufacturer that has diversified into bottled juice manufacturing. The beverage segment is expected to drive growth over the next two years. Fair value for Sino Grandness is estimated at S$0.60, based on 6x FY11F PE. We assign a return rating of 1 (24% potential upside) with moderate risk rating.
ST Engineering said its marine unit has received a termination notice for a contract from Louis Dreyfus Armateurs to build a passenger vessel worth about S$179m. Louis Dreyfus Armateurs has alleged that there has been a delay in the delivery of the vessel and that even if it is offered for delivery, there will be deficiency in the deadweight capacity of the ship. If the Louis Dreyfus claim is valid, ST Marine is required to refund the milestone payments amounting to S$129m plus interest. ST Marine's position is that under the terms of the contract, its total liability for damages is capped at 10% of the contract price.
Alpha Investment Partners (AIP), a wholly owned unit of Keppel Land, and NTUC Income have agreed to buy Capital Square for about $889m in the biggest office deal so far this year. Together, they will together pay about $2,300 psf for the prime office property at Church Street. The seller, Ergo Insurance Group - a subsidiary of reinsurer Munich Re - bought the property for $505m in 2002, Bloomberg reported. Both AIP and NTUC Income have plans to enhance the property to maintain its competitive edge. We estimate gross rent to average of $9-10psf pm in the building. Based on the purchase price of $2300 psf, that would translate to a gross and net yield of 5.2% and 4% respectively, which is in line with some of the recent transacted office cap rates of between 3.8% to 4.0%. Separately, Keppel Land announced that it is planning to develop a condo of about 630 units near Sengkang MRT station. It expects this project to be ready for launch by the end of the year. The project, to be completed in early 2015, will be developed on a 99-year leasehold plot that the group was awarded last Friday by the government. KepLand was the highest bidder for the site which was sold at a tender that closed on March 15. Its winning bid was $286.79m or $501.76 psf ppr. The project's breakeven cost is estimated at about $850 psf. New launches in the vicinity, eg the H2O Residences is selling at average price of about $920 psf.
Ultro Technologies is proposing to acquire a 51% stake in Continental, principally engaged in the business of trading petroleum related products and commodities in Asia. Continental has successfully established itself in the fuel oil market in Vietnam and is poised to expand its trading business in the South East Asia region. Ultro Tech will satisfy the consideration via S$3m in cash and the issue of new ordinary shares at the issue price of S$0.03 per new share. Elec & Eltek announced that it is contemplating the possibility of seeking a dual primary listing of the shares on the main board of the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong.
Singapore shares ended weaker, in line with regional trends. The STI gave up 28.1pts (-0.9%) to end at 2,942.9. In the broader market, 1.2bn shares worth S$1.5bn changed hands, with losers leading gainers 372 to 98. News of G7’s agreement with Japan on joint forex intervention has lifted the Nikkei Index +2.9% as at writing. We expect this piece of news to lift the STI higher at open.
Corporate News...
Singapore Property. We attended the soft launch of Allgreen's SkySuites@Anson where demand was expectedly fuelled by investors seeking rental yields. Weaker investor sentiment after the government's cooling measures and uncertainties in global markets resulted in weaker crowd and take-up (50-60 of 360 units) over the weekend. We continue to see policy risks for the residential space, and thus maintain UNDERWEIGHT on the residential sector with CityDev and Allgreen remaining our key UNDERPERFOM. Our top picks are F& N and UOL.
Cosco Corp. Upstream reported that Cosco and Sevan Marine are bidding for the construction and supply of a FPSO for Dana Petroleum (owned by Korea National Oil) to be deployed in UK. Award for Dana's FPSO is expected by end 2Q11 or 3Q11, with delivery taking place in 2013. Maintain TRADING SELL due to the risk of future order cancellation of bulk carriers due to weak BDI and sharp surge in steel prices. Target price remains at S$1.74.
Elec & Eltek announced that it is considering the possibility of a dual primary listing on the main board of the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong (SEHK). The company has submitted an application to the SEHK with regards to the proposal listing. Maintain OUTPERFORM, target price of S$4.03.
ST Engineering has received a notice of termination from French trading and shipping company, Louis Dreyfus Armateus in respect of the shipbuilding contract for the Roll-on/Roll-off Passenger ferry (Ropax) contracted in Jul-2007 for approx S$179m. We believe that impact on earnings should be minimal at less than 1% of earnings. Maintain OUTPERFORM, target price of S$3.88.
Oceanus. Investors may want to take note that the company has announced a change in CFO. According to announcement on SGX, Ex-CFO, Leong Koon Weng (Group’s CFO since Sep 09), has left to pursue other career opportunities. Yap Siew Khim, previously CFO of a Singapore-based venture capital fund, has been appointed the new CFO of Oceanus.
Trades of the Day...
Fundamentally: Cache Logistics Trust (Cache SP S$0.94 OUTPERFORM TP S$1.32) – Volatile markets? Don’t know what to buy? Get some yields on your cash hoard with Cache REIT. Prospective 10% yield for 2011. Current price weakness is a good buying opportunity.
Technically: - Singapore Post Holdings (SPOST SP S$1.16, BUY) - Good time to switch camp to the bulls. - Sunmart Holdings (SUNM SP S$0.22, BUY) - Use any pullback to get in long on the stock. - Beng Kuang Marine (BKM SP S$0.20, SELL) - Doubtful triangle support can hold out longer.
(AP:BANGKOK) Asian markets were mostly higher in early trading Monday, buoyed by news over the weekend that Japan was making progress in its battle to control radiation leaks at a nuclear complex that was severely damaged in the March 11 earthquake.
South Korea's Kospi index was up 0.9 percent in early trading to 1,999.15. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index rose 1. 3 percent to 22,584.66. Australia's S& P ASX 200 was up 0.1 percent to 4,632.70. Japan's Nikkei index was closed for a public holiday after a week of dizzying plunges.
Benchmarks in Singapore, Taiwan and mainland China also rose.
Still, the crisis in Japan was far from over. The World Bank said Japan may need five years in order to rebuild after the strongest earthquake in the country's history unleashed a towering tsunami that decimated the industrial northeast, causing $235 billion in damaged and likely killing more than 18,000 people.
On a positive note, the World Bank added that it expected growth in Japan to pick up " as reconstruction efforts, which could last five years, accelerate."
But another crisis _ this one in the Middle East _ threatened to shake the market's fragile confidence.
U.S. and allied forces launched a military campaign over the weekend in support of a U.N. resolution authorizing military action against OPEC-member Libya to protect civilians amid an internal rebellion against the leadership of Moammar Gadhafi.
Benchmark crude rose $2.13 to $103.26 in Asia. The contract for April delivery fell $2 to settle at $100.75 a barrel late Friday.
Moody's Investors Service has warned that if oil prices remain around $100 a barrel, it will imperil the global economic recovery. Carmakers, airlines and agricultural companies would be hit the hardest.
Oil prices may soon surge if Japan weans itself off nuclear power. Economists think that oil prices above $130 could push the U.S. into another recession.
LIBYA LIVE: Qaddafi's Compound Bombed, Son Khamis Reportedly Dead
Update 20:09: After heavy bombardment of Qaddafi's complex, there are reports that his son Khamis Qaddafi has been killed in strikes. Khamis is a commander of the elite Khamis Brigade
The Latest 16:20 ET: Heavy anti-aircraft fire is being heard in Tripoli right now, according to Reuters. A no-fly zone is now in place in Libya. Air defenses in the country were targeted in the coalition assault, though some in Tripoli are obviously still functioning.
A U.S. official has told Reuters " we are not going after Qaddafi." However, a CNN producer reports that smoke is now rising from Qaddafi's complex. The Pentagon is also denying any coalition planes have been shot down, or that there is any evidence civilians have been killed.
Qaddafi's military is still operating on the ground. He has attacked the city of Misrata today, and rebels there tell Al Jazeera that many are hurt or killed. Qaddafi says there is a cease fire in effect, as of 3 PM ET. 
The international coalition is fraying a bit over the issue of civilian deaths in the air strikes. We have no firm numbers on civilians killed, though the Libyan government says 48 non-military individuals have been killed. The Arab League, which once supported the attacks, is now backing away a bit over the civilian deaths.
Why Isn't The Media More Skeptical Of Obama's Decision To Attack Libya?
It was eight years ago this weekend that the U.S. invaded Iraq. 
Presumably the media, and the military, and the country in general is wiser for intervening years, and revelations, and losses. 
Or not.
Here's Howie Kurtz on this morning's Reliable Sources, asking some actual important questions.
U.S. warplanes hitting targets in Libya for a second day today. And I have to say this at the outset -- the media get excited by war, the journalistic adrenaline starts pumping as we talk about warships and warplanes and cruise missiles, and we put up the maps and we have the retired generals on. And sometimes something is lost in that initial excitement.
It reminds me of eight years ago this very weekend, when Shock and Awe was rained down upon Baghdad and the media utterly failed to ask skeptical questions. So, I looked at my " New York Times" this morning, went through all the sections, I looked at my " Washington Post" this morning and looked through all the sections. Didn't see any skeptical articles, columns, editorials about this no-fly position. Two fine newspapers, don't see the skeptical questions.
What if there's a long-term stalemate here? What is this goes on and on? What if there are American casualties? Do you stop this operation with Qaddafi still in power?
These are the questions I think we need to be asking.
  WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Top U.S. officials on Sunday stressed the limits of American military involvement in Libya, despite a heavy assault on Muammar Gaddafi's forces, and said Libyans would decide their country's fate themselves.
  White House National Security Adviser Tom Donilon said Libyan leader Gaddafi had " lost legitimacy" and was isolated but the focus of military action was on protecting Libyan civilians, not ousting the veteran ruler from power.
  Defence Secretary Robert Gates, speaking as he flew to Russia, said the U.S. will not have a " pre-eminent role" in the coalition that will maintain a no-fly zone over Libya, and expected to turn over " primary responsibility" for the mission to others within days.
  Britain or France could take charge of the air operation, or NATO could lead, if sensitivities among the Arab League over working under the Western alliance leadership were assuaged.
  Gates spoke amid growing concern among U.S. politicians over the scope and nature of the Libya mission and after an acknowledgement from the top U.S. military officer that the assault on Gaddafi's forces could lead to an impasse.
  But Donilon, who spoke to reporters while travelling with U.S. President Barack Obama in Brazil, said Washington and its allies had " a very good first day" in the Libya mission.
  The United States says the U.N.-endorsed intervention is aimed at forcing Gaddafi's troops into a cease-fire and ending attacks on civilians who launched an uprising last month.
  Obama has called in recent weeks for Gaddafi to step down but U.S. officials have emphasised that is not the goal of the United Nations authorized attacks on Libya. The United States is eager to avoid similarities to the 2003 invasion of Iraq and ouster of President Saddam Hussein.
  Forces loyal to Gaddafi, who has ruled Libya for 41 years, had been taking back large swathes of territory from rebels until the air attacks, which may give the rebels the chance to regroup. Military analysts say it is unclear if they can.
  " I think this is basically going to have to be resolved by the Libyans themselves," said Gates. " Whether or not there is additional outside help for the rebels remains to be seen."
  Admiral Mike Mullen, chairman of the U.S. military's Joint Chiefs of Staff, told the CBS program " Face the Nation" the air mission in the North African country has a clear, limited scope.
  STALEMATE POSSIBLE
  But Mullen said the outcome of military action in Libya was " very uncertain." Asked if it could end in a stalemate with Gaddafi, Mullen replied: " I don't think that's for me to answer. Certainly, I recognise that's a possibility."
  Gates said the United States wanted Libya to remain a unified country, saying partition into a rebel-held east and Gaddafi-controlled west " would be a real formula for enduring instability."
  The aerial assault by U.S., French and British planes has halted an advance by Gaddafi's armoured units on the rebel-held city of Benghazi and attacks on air defences and radar sites have allowed the ad-hoc Western coalition to establish " a consistent and persistent" air presence over Libya, enforcing a no-fly zone, a U.S. official said.
  Vice Admiral Bill Gortney, director of the U.S. military's Joint Staff, told reporters there had been no new Libyan air activity or radar emissions and had been a significant decrease in Libyan air surveillance since strikes began Saturday.
  Benghazi was not yet free from threat, said Gortney, but Gaddafi's forces in the area were in distress and " suffering from isolation and confusion" after the air assaults.
  A Libyan army spokesman declared a fresh cease-fire earlier on Sunday but the United States and Britain said they did not believe Gaddafi was honouring it and said they would continue to enforce the no-fly zone.
  PRESSING FOR CLARITY
  Senior Republicans pressed U.S. President Barack Obama to give a clear rationale for the Libya mission, reflecting concern that U.S. forces could get bogged down in a long-running, costly operation that lacks defined goals.
  " The administration has a responsibility to define for the American people, the Congress and our troops, what the mission in Libya is," House of Representatives Speaker John Boehner, the top Republican in Congress, said in a statement.
  " I am concerned that the use of military force in the absence of clear political objectives for our country risks entrenching the United States in a humanitarian mission whose scope and duration are not known," added Republican Representative Howard McKeon, chairman of the House Armed Services Committee.
  The United States is now fighting in three conflicts -- Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya -- while struggling under a huge budget deficit and national debt. The Pentagon also has plans to cut $78 billion in Defence spending over five years.
  (Additional reporting by Phil Stewart, Alister Bull, Mark Hosenball, Missy Ryan and Vicki Allen Writing by Alistair Bell and Sean Maguire editing by Todd Eastham)
  * Coming Up: U.S. existing home sales for Feb 1400 GMT (Adds broker comment, China tightening measures)
  By Alejandro Barbajosa
  SINGAPORE, March 21 (Reuters) - Oil jumped by more than $2 on Monday, sending Brent to $116 after western forces launched a military campaign against Libya, raising the stakes in a civil war that has nearly paralysed crude exports from the north African nation.
  Brent crude for May rose as much as $2.26 to $116.19 a barrel and was up almost 1.7 percent at $115.82 by 0026 GMT. U.S. crude for April rose as much as $2.12 to $103.19 and was up $1.93 at $103.
  President Barack Obama has ordered U.S. forces into the biggest military intervention in the Arab world since the 2003 invasion of Iraq, while Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi vowed to fight to the death.
  Unrest over the weekend also flared in Syria and Yemen in the wake of popular uprisings that toppled long-time leaders in Tunisia and Egypt earlier this year. A crackdown on protests in Bahrain last week also had oil traders on edge.
  " I can see uncertainty and fear driving the price of oil higher in the short term," said Matthew Lewis, an analyst at CMC Markets in Sydney.
  " At this stage, it looks like Libya has further to play. Gaddafi still seems very defiant. We'll see further spikes and shocks in the oil market this week."
  Military action on Libyan air defenses over the past two days, sanctioned by the United Nations in a Security Council resolution on Thursday, has crippled Gaddafi's capability to launch airstrikes and detect foreign aircraft, a senior U.S. military official said on Sunday.
 
  Still, the military intervention hit a diplomatic setback as the Arab League chief condemned the " bombardment of civilians" .
  The strikes began on Saturday, as a coalition of western nations vowed to prevent Gaddafi from launching attacks on civilians as he seeks to crush an uprising against his four-decade rule.
 
  FEAR OF UPHEAVAL
  " With involvement from the West, the uncertainty that has surrounded the region and the fear of upheaval and unrest spreading to countries like Saudi Arabia, where we could loose a lot more crude that what we did Libya, is definitely going to be the main price driver," Lewis said.
  Crowds set fire to a headquarters of the ruling Baath Party in the Syrian city of Deraa on Sunday, residents said, as the wave of unrest in the Arab world shook even one of its most authoritarian states.
  Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh fired his government on Sunday after a string of allies broke ranks with him as he faces increasing pressure from street protests to step down.
  Saudi Arabia and other countries from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) last week sent troops into Bahrain to help quell Shi'ite protests there against the Sunni monarchy. That angered Iran, which denounced the foreign intervention in the island state that lies less than 100 kilometres from the hub of the Saudi oil industry.
  " The key is really how Saudi (Arabia) and Iran play out. Cool heads need to prevail. It's contained at the moment but if things worsen, you see a Mideast premium very quickly," said Jonathan Barratt, managing director of Commodity Broking Services.
  Iran's oil minister said on Saturday said any output increase by individual OPEC members aimed at reducing oil price pressures caused by the Libyan crisis would not have the desired effect. Libya was pumping 1.6 million barrels per day (bpd) before the rebellion started last month.
  Oil prices have now recovered completely from a slump triggered by Japan's strongest earthquake on record on March 11.
  Japan hoped power lines restored to its stricken nuclear plant may help solve the world's worst atomic crisis in 25 years, triggered by the earthquake and a tsunami that also left more than 21,000 people dead or missing.
  Likely to limit oil's gains was Friday's increase in China's rate reserve requirements as the nation stays focused on stifling inflation. (With additional reporting by Cho Mee-Young in SEOUL and Nick Trevethan in SINGAPORE Editing by Manash Goswami)
Golden Agri-Resources Ltd: Weaker CPO prices factored in
Summary: Golden Agri-Resources (GAR) has seen its share price coming under some pressure of late, easing some 9.2% from its recent S$0.705 high no doubt weighed by the decline in CPO (crude palm oil) prices, given that the group is one of the largest oil palm plantation owners in Indonesia. In any case, we have already taken the impact of softening CPO prices into our assumptions, given that our base CPO price assumption remains at US$950/ton for the whole of this year this versus the current price of US$1108. Meanwhile, we believe that any sharp tumble in CPO prices is unlikely, given the still rising crude oil prices. Short-term market volatility notwithstanding, we remain sanguine about the growing demand for CPO-based products from rapidly developing countries such as China, India and Indonesia over the medium term. Maintain BUY with S$0.88 fair value (17x FY11F core EPS). (Carey Wong)
BreadTalk: Margins intact maintain Buy
Summary: Wheat prices had spiked in the earlier part of the year after the UN Food & Agriculture Organization issued an alert regarding the reduction in wheat production due to China’s drought, before retreating recently on reports of better weather in China and reduced demand from Japan. We were initially concerned about the impact on BreadTalk’s margins but realized that the run-up in wheat prices was overdone as wheat produced in China was of a lower quality and is not involved in BreadTalk’s supply chain, which consists of high quality wheat. Secondly, with an anticipated lower demand from Japan exerting downward pressure on prices, we do not foresee any adverse effects on BreadTalk’s margins. As such, we maintain our BUY rating for BreadTalk with a fair value estimate of S$0.74. (Lim Siyi)
Biosensors International Group: Forms new subsidiary in Germany
Summary: Biosensors International Group (BIG) reported that it has incorporated a subsidiary, Biosensors Deutschland GmbH in Germany with an initial issued and paid up capital of €25k. Its principal activities are the sales and marketing of medical devices. The transaction is funded by internal resources and is not expected to have any material impact on the EPS or NTA of BIG for FY11. Europe remains the key market for BIG although it has been trying to increase its strategic focus in Asia. We note that BIG has highlighted the acquisitions of new assets as one of its key reasons for undertaking a private placement to raise ~S$200.8m (still pending SGX approval). Hence we expect more upcoming acquisitions that could potentially complement its product portfolio and enhance its capabilities. Maintain BUY and fair value estimate of S$1.36 (S$1.13 after accounting for dilution) (Wong Teck Ching Andy)
ST Engineering: LDA cancels S$179m contract
Summary: ST Engineering (STE) announced that its marine arm – ST Marine (STM) – has received a notice of termination from Louis Dreyfus Armateurs (LDA) regarding the shipbuilding contract for the Roll-on/Roll-off Passenger ferry (Ropax) LDA is alleging that there is a delay in the delivery of the S$179m vessel, as well as a deficiency in the deadweight capacity. In the event that the notice is valid, STM is required to refund the milestone payments made by LDA (amounting to S$129m plus interest) but STM maintains that under the contract, its total liability is capped at 10% of the contract price. In any case, STM has referred the matter to its legal advisers STE also does not expect the contract termination to have any material impact on its NTA or EPS for FY11. As the milestone payments are just 2.2% of STE’s FY10 revenue, we do not believe that it will impact our FY11 estimates, although the news may result in a near-term knee-jerk reaction on its stock price. We are still positive on the group’s overall prospects and maintain our BUYrating and S$3.71 fair value (21x FY11F EPS). (Carey Wong)
- Global air travel markets could take a significant hit from the tragic events unfolding in Japan, with Singapore among the 10 most exposed.
- Singapore has been named the most enterprising Asian economy in the Global Entrepreneurship and Development Index.
- Keppel Land is planning to develop a condo of about 630 units near Sengkang MRT station with the project expected to be ready for launch by the end of the year.
- Spice i2i’s acquisition spree may have encountered a road bump with investment adviser ISS Proxy Advisory Services coming out to recommend shareholders to vote against its latest buyout plans.
- ISDN Holdings is banking on two new business areas - hydroponics and coal mining - as new growth drivers.
- Transcu Group has launched a new skin whitening product in Japan.
- Sky One Holdings Ltd said that two executive directors and their respective investment companies have agreed to sell 25.08% of the total issued share capital of the company.
- Elec & Eltek International Company is proposing a dual primary listing of its shares on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.
master krisluke, if oil price is to drop tmr, wouldnt it pull down keppel/semb?
krisluke ( Date: 20-Mar-2011 18:13) Posted:
ENERGY MARKETS
April crude oil closed lower on Friday as it consolidated some of Thursday's rally and remains below the 10-day moving average crossing at 101.76. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral hinting that a low might be in or is near. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 101.76 would temper the near-term bearish outlook in the market. If April extends the decline off last week's high, broken resistance crossing at 94.89 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 101.76. Second resistance is last Monday's high crossing at 106.95. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 96.22. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the May-March rally crossing at 94.19.
CURRENCIES
The June Dollar closed lower on Friday as it extends this year's decline. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends this winter's decline, weekly support crossing at 75.23 is the next downside target. Closes above last Friday's high crossing at 77.68 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 77.11. Second resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 77.68. First support is today's low crossing at 75.84. Second support is weekly support crossing at 75.23.
The March Japanese Yen closed sharply lower due to profit taking on Friday as it consolidates some of the rally off last Friday's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging and are turning bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below last Friday's low crossing at .12011 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If June extends the rally above November's high crossing at .12457, upside targets will be hard to project. First resistance is Thursday's high crossing at .12957. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at .12227. Second support is last Friday's low crossing at 12,011.
The June Euro closed higher on Friday as it extends this year's rally. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the rally off January's low, November's high crossing at 141.80 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 138.56 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 141.65. Second resistance is November's high crossing at 141.80. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 138.56. Second support is last Friday's low crossing at 137.33.
STOCK INDEXES & MARKETS
The June NASDAQ 100 closed lower on Friday and the low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends the decline off February's high, the 38% retracement level of the July-February rally crossing at 2139.33 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 2305.26 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 2273.90. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 2305.26. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 2185.75. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the July-February rally crossing at 2139.33.
The June S& P 500 index closed higher due to short covering on Friday as it consolidates some of this month's decline. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends this month's decline, the 38% retracement level of the July-February rally crossing at 1206.25 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1300.14 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1288.56. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1300.14. First support is Thursday's low crossing at 1241.50. Second support is 38% retracement level of the July-February rally crossing at 1206.25.
The Dow closed higher on Friday as it consolidated some of the decline off February's high. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If the Dow extends this month's decline, the 38% retracement level of the June-February rally crossing at 11,339 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 12,066 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 11,963. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 12,066. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 11,555. Second support is 38% retracement level of the June-February rally crossing at 11,339.
April crude oil closed lower on Friday as it consolidated some of Thursday's rally and remains below the 10-day moving average crossing at 101.76. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral hinting that a low might be in or is near. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 101.76 would temper the near-term bearish outlook in the market. If April extends the decline off last week's high, broken resistance crossing at 94.89 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 101.76. Second resistance is last Monday's high crossing at 106.95. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 96.22. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the May-March rally crossing at 94.19.
CURRENCIES
The June Dollar closed lower on Friday as it extends this year's decline. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends this winter's decline, weekly support crossing at 75.23 is the next downside target. Closes above last Friday's high crossing at 77.68 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 77.11. Second resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 77.68. First support is today's low crossing at 75.84. Second support is weekly support crossing at 75.23.
The March Japanese Yen closed sharply lower due to profit taking on Friday as it consolidates some of the rally off last Friday's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging and are turning bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below last Friday's low crossing at .12011 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If June extends the rally above November's high crossing at .12457, upside targets will be hard to project. First resistance is Thursday's high crossing at .12957. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at .12227. Second support is last Friday's low crossing at 12,011.
The June Euro closed higher on Friday as it extends this year's rally. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the rally off January's low, November's high crossing at 141.80 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 138.56 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 141.65. Second resistance is November's high crossing at 141.80. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 138.56. Second support is last Friday's low crossing at 137.33.
STOCK INDEXES & MARKETS
The June NASDAQ 100 closed lower on Friday and the low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends the decline off February's high, the 38% retracement level of the July-February rally crossing at 2139.33 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 2305.26 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 2273.90. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 2305.26. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 2185.75. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the July-February rally crossing at 2139.33.
The June S& P 500 index closed higher due to short covering on Friday as it consolidates some of this month's decline. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends this month's decline, the 38% retracement level of the July-February rally crossing at 1206.25 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1300.14 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1288.56. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1300.14. First support is Thursday's low crossing at 1241.50. Second support is 38% retracement level of the July-February rally crossing at 1206.25.
The Dow closed higher on Friday as it consolidated some of the decline off February's high. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If the Dow extends this month's decline, the 38% retracement level of the June-February rally crossing at 11,339 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 12,066 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 11,963. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 12,066. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 11,555. Second support is 38% retracement level of the June-February rally crossing at 11,339.