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Is Biosensors a good buy?

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gbleng
    09-Mar-2011 13:17  
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You were bang on the last time.... hope you're right again  Smiley

metaphoricsymbol      ( Date: 09-Mar-2011 12:02) Posted:

Today did crosss the recent high of 1.19 to touch 1.20, before pulling bacl to 1.18.  I believe Biosensors is now building a base now at 1.18 to attempt to cross the 1.24 resistance within the next few days.

 
 
bishan22
    09-Mar-2011 12:13  
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Target of 1.2 is hard to get. Vol is low.........  Smiley
 
 
metaphoricsymbol
    09-Mar-2011 12:02  
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Today did crosss the recent high of 1.19 to touch 1.20, before pulling bacl to 1.18.  I believe Biosensors is now building a base now at 1.18 to attempt to cross the 1.24 resistance within the next few days.
 

 
infancybird
    09-Mar-2011 09:56  
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Kyoto University DES Noobori trial will begin its patient recruitment in May 2011. Based on this the timetable, Noobori  stent`s approval for sales in Japan will most likely be given 1 to 2 months ahead of May..........and hence one can assume this approval  will be announced this month.   BIG share has been in a very clear steady uptrend since its last  Feb low price of .98cents . There is a constant small steps upward momentum of  2 cents per day , enabling the Big Buyers to mob up  weak but sizable sellers without creating any undue price stress and overbought situation as shown by the  still favourable  MACD and RSI  indicators.

I see $1.20 to be breached soon .     

topdog22      ( Date: 09-Mar-2011 07:33) Posted:

any news on dates when approvals to be announced?

 
 
investor
    09-Mar-2011 09:32  
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Latest Report from Nomura dated 8th Mar 2011 (They seem to be very active in issuing reports)

Target Price has been raised from 1.40 to 1.50. Excerpts from the report .........

"

Upgrade in earnings and price target

We lift our earnings for the group’s ex-China business by 10~35% for FY11-13F (overall EPS revision: 5~27%). The group saw strong revenue momentum for 9MFY11and we believe that the momentum can be sustained with further market penetration. We have increased our royalty revenue forecast from Terumo by 20-24% on more optimistic market share assumptions in FY12F and FY13F. Consequently, our PT has been revised to S$1.50 (from S$1.40).

We highlight the fact that the company has in the past made provisions for US taxes even though it had no revenues from the US. Now with the closure of its US presence, the group stands to make significant tax write-back of prior year provisions. While this adjustment is non-cashflow, this could boost reported earnings for FY11F as an exceptional item, we believe.

Key catalyst: Nobori’s approval in Japan – anytime now

Nobori has received preliminary regulatory clearance from the Ministry of Health and Welfare of Japan, paving the way for the imminent approval of the stent (

  The Nobori stent, which is marketed by Terumo, has licensed Biosensors’ proprietary technology, including the stent with biodegradable polymer and its proprietary Biolimus A-9 drug. The DES market in Japan is worth approximately US$600mn, currently dominated by the four US medtech giants (Johnson & Johnson, Boston Scientific, Medtronic and Abbott).

There is no locally made DES offered by Japanese medtech companies. According to Millennium Research, Nobori’s market share will be significant upon its launch given Japanese physicians’ loyalty to local companies (Abbott Vascular Targets, 22 Apr 2010). In its recent 4Q10 results, Boston Scientific (BSX) warned of potential market share loss in Japan on the back of the launch of a new product by a“Japanese competitor” in early 2011 (presumably Terumo, in our view).

Asia Pacific

Moreover, Kyoto University has announced that it will conduct a 3,200 patient DES trial with Nobori, measuring it against Abbott’s Xience V stent. This trial could provide a lift to the initial market share gain momentum as doctors enroll their patients into this trial.

For Info. Not a call to buy/sell.

Nobori – one step closer to approval in Japan, 3 Mar 2011).

Japan — the next leg of growth

 
 
topdog22
    09-Mar-2011 07:33  
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any news on dates when approvals to be announced?
 

 
infancybird
    07-Mar-2011 16:53  
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TOKYO (Reuters) – Japanese medical equipment firm Terumo Corp (4543.T) plans to buy U.S. medical device company CaridianBCT from Sweden's Gambro AB for $2.6 billion, joining a list of firms eyeing to expand abroad via acquisitions.

The acquisition, the biggest-ever in Japan's medical equipment sector, comes as the country's pharmaceutical companies gear up overseas buys to leverage the yen's strength and bolster product pipeline.

Terumo will buy CardianBCT from Gambro, which is owned 49 percent by Investor AB (INVEb.ST) and remaining by EQT IV, in a move that will make it the world's biggest equipment maker for blood banks.

Terumo, which ranks No.5 in the global blood banking business, said the acquisition would help it achieve 70 billion yen ($850 million) in annual sales in the sector.

" Terumo has been trying to boost its blood transfusion-related operations and the deal is expected to help it," said Satoru Takaoki, chief analyst at SMBC Friend Research Center.

" The transaction value is about 14 times Caridian's EBITDA, and it's slightly higher than typical multiples, but I think it is within an acceptable range."

Colorado-based CaridianBCT specializes in making equipment used in blood banks and other disposable medical devices. It had sales of $524 million in the year ended in December.

Terumo said it plans to use cash available and bank loans to complete the deal. It plans to close the deal by May.

Terumo's shares closed down 1.75 percent at 4,495 yen before the announcement, while the Nikkei 225 average (.N225) lost 1.8 percent.

($1=82.31 Yen)

(Reporting by Mariko Katsumura and Taiga Uranaka Editing by Joseph Radford and Vinu Pilakkott)

 


bishan22      ( Date: 07-Mar-2011 09:27) Posted:

Well supported at this current price.  Smiley

 
 
james87
    07-Mar-2011 10:15  
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I bought it high at 1.22...If it reaches 1.4..I'll be die laughing
 
 
investor
    07-Mar-2011 10:00  
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Latest Report from Nomura dated 4th Mar 2011

"

 

According to a reputed Japanese healthcare journal Nikkan Yakugyo (4 March 20-11), the committee overseeing the approval of devices in Japan has cleared a major regulatory hurdle on March 2nd. This, we believe, will likely pave the way for formal approval of Nobori in Japan. Nobori is a drug eluting stent, produced and marketed by Terumo but with a licensing revenue-sharing arrangement from Biosensors. We believe this is potentially positive re-rating news for Bionsensors.

 

Nobori - one step closer to approval in Japan

Note also that Kyoto University will be conducting a 3,200 patient trial for the Nobori stent, measuring against Abbott’s market-leading Xience V (http://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01303640). The trial is expected to start enrolment in May this year. This trial could provide a boost to Nobori’s market share at least initially, and could be a game-changer if results are positive in Nobori's favour.

We continue to remain positive on Biosensors given the imminent approval of the Nobori stent and see upside risk to our earnings estimates and PT. "

For info. Not a call to buy/sell.



 
 
 
bishan22
    07-Mar-2011 09:27  
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Well supported at this current price.  Smiley
 

 
hotokee
    07-Mar-2011 09:09  
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I skeptical whenever they say you can make money if you buy this price and that price as they are having a higher target for you to make you richer.   How often do people make because of analysts recommending?
 
 
topdog22
    07-Mar-2011 07:33  
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NOMURA RATING Biosensors International BIG SP HEALTH CARE & PHARMACEUTICALS | SINGAPORE Jit Soon Lim, CFA +65 6433 6969 jitsoon.lim@nomura.com Yuan Yiu Tsai +65 6433 6964 yuanyiu.tsai@nomura.com More cash but with EPS dilution  Share dilution of 17% but balance sheet strengthened With the issuance of 216mn shares, we estimate that EPS will be diluted by 2%/17% for FY11/12F. However, the group’s balance sheet will improve significantly with a net cash of US$188mn. Biosensors has earmarked 80% of this for clinical trials, M&A and repayment of borrowings and the balance for working capital purposes.  Greater flexibility with stronger balance sheet With the strong balance sheet, Biosensors can pursue clinical trials to strengthen its new BioFreedom product and seek out new M&A targets in China to strengthen its product range. In addition, it can also repay its S$48.75mn in bonds (8.5% interest rate) if bondholders choose to redeem.  New shareholders are seasoned healthcare investors Atlantis is a US$4bn fund invested in various sectors in China including healthcare. Among other investments, it owns an 11% stake in Shandong Weigao. Ever Union is a fund that invests in China especially in financial services, healthcare, infrastructure and tech. With Hony Capital as a major shareholder (diluted to 21%) as well, Biosensors can avail of the significant expertise and network of its three largest institutional shareholders.  Re-rating factors: Nobori approval in Japan With the pullback in the share price, we believe Biosensors remains attractively valued even after accounting for the dilution from the placement. The key catalysts are the approval of the Nobori stent in Japan, potential listing in Hong Kong and CE Mark for its nextgeneration BioFreedom stent. Key financials & valuations 31 Mar (US$mn) FY10 FY11F FY12F FY13F Revenue 116.2 148.4 190.5 232.5 Reported net profit 31.4 39.6 70.3 100.2 Normalised net profit 31.4 48.9 70.3 100.2 Normalised EPS (US$) 0.029 0.045 0.054 0.077 Norm. EPS growth (%) na 53.2 19.6 42.4 Norm. P/E (x) 28.5 20.0 16.2 11.4 EV/EBITDA (x) 26.5 14.8 10.1 6.6 Price/book (x) 5.5 2.4 2.4 2.0 Dividend yield (%) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ROE (%) 25.3 15.7 17.9 20.9 Net debt/equity (%) net cash net cash net cash net cash Earnings revisions Previous norm. net profit 48.7 69.9 99.9 Change from previous (%) 0.5 0.7 0.3 Previous norm. EPS (US$) 0.046 0.065 0.093 Source: Company, Nomura estimates Source: Nomura Nomura vs consensus We believe consensus has not recognised the potential of Terumo’s accelerating royalties to BIG. Maintained BUY NOMURA S INGAPORE L I M ITED  Action BIG announced a surprise fund raising, issuing 216mn new shares to Atlantis (HK) and Ever Union who will each own 8.2% of Biosensors. The S$200mn raised will be used for clinical trials, M&A and repayment of borrowings. The placement will dilute EPS by 2%/17% for FY11/12F, assuming the funds are passively managed. We maintain our BUY with a lowered PT of S$1.40 to account for the dilution.  Catalysts Continued momentum in its forthcoming results, the potential value-unlocking of its 50% stake in domestic drug-eluting stent (DES) manufacturer in China, JWMS, and Japanese approval of Terumo’s Nobori, whose technology is licensed from BIG. Anchor themes The US$5bn DES industry is one of the most profitable segments in the medical technology space, with market share changes driven by innovation. Start-ups like Biosensors, with its leading-edge technology, could be M&A targets for incumbents.
 
 
topdog22
    07-Mar-2011 07:28  
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hope citigold correct.  FYI:  Nomura rated BIG BUY price target $1.40:      Nomura ranked #2 analyst predicting income in Asia see following

How they were scored

By FT reporters Published: March 3 2011 16:40 | Last updated: March 3 2011 16:40

 

StarMine, a Thomson Reuters company, uses real data rather than surveys to measure how brokerages perform.  For stock picks, brokers score well if their house recommends a “buy” and the stock outperforms its industry or a “hold” that stays in line with its industry and a “sell” that underperforms its industry. In estimates, brokers score well for estimates that are timely and different and more accurate than consensus.  StarMine aggregates the scores on each stock to arrive at a score for the broker in each category.

 


StarMine top-ranked brokers for 2011

 

Based on period from January 1 2010 to December 31 2010

 

US

 

S& P 500 index recommendations

 

Rank

 

Broker

 

Stocks scored

 

1

 

Jefferies & Co

 

226

 

2

 

Wells Fargo Securities

 

239

 

3

 

Macquarie Research Equities

 

211

 

Earnings estimates

 

1

 

Goldman Sachs

 

412

 

2

 

Barclays Capital

 

406

 

3

 

BMO Capital Markets

 

184

 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Developed Europe

 

FTSE Eurofirst 300 index recommendations

 

Rank

 

Broker

 

Stocks scored

 

1

 

Barclays Capital

 

169

 

2

 

HSBC

 

214

 

3

 

Evolution Securities

 

122

 

Earnings estimates

 

1

 

BofA Merrill Lynch

 

271

 

2

 

UBS

 

271

 

3

 

Exane BNP Paribas

 

231

 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Developed Asia-Pacific

 

Thomson Reuters Asia-Pacific developed index recommendations

 

Rank

 

Broker

 

Stocks scored

 

1

 

Citi Investment Research & Analysis

 

720

 

2

 

UBS

 

739

 

3

 

Macquarie Research Equities

 

724

 

Earnings estimates

 

1

 

Goldman Sachs

 

523

 

2

 

Nomura

 

785

 

3

 

UBS

 

686

 



 



 



 



 



 



 

 
 
Citigold
    06-Mar-2011 23:59  
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The approval to sell its products in China will come sooner than expected.Stay tuned and behold.The shares price will spike further.Smiley
 
 
lowchia
    03-Mar-2011 22:42  
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On Thursday, Biosensors re-test the support at $1.15 and closed at $1.15 with LOW volume of 7.35 million shares traded.

A gravestone doji occurred.  This often signifies a top (the longer the upper shadow, the more bearish the signal).

A long upper shadow occurred.  This is typically a bearish signal (particularly when it occurs near a high price level, at resistance level, or when the security is overbought).

RSI & MACD are bullish as RSI trend upwards.

Important Resistance of Biosensors: $1.18

Immediate Support of Biosensors: $1.15

Currently prices are well above the 20/50/100/200 days MA.

Biosensors has shown signs of.................... READ MORE

 


 

 
investor
    03-Mar-2011 10:33  
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Latest report from Nomura.......

"

 

Key takeaways from ASEAN Corp Day

On the placement of new shares to Atlantis and Ever Union, Biosensors believes that the corporate action will broaden the institutional base of investors, strengthening the group’s balance sheet. The share placement was also executed with the understanding from its strategic investor Hony Capital, which will see itself diluted from ~24% to ~21%. The group’s net cash is now ~US$190m, which positions it well for acquisitive growth.

Biosensors is optimistic about its China business and believes that its JV JWMS is likely the number 2 name by market share. In addition, the group will be completing the construction of a new manufacturing plant in Weihai, Shangdong in the next few months. The new facility will enhance capacity and improve productivity for JWMS in China.

On ASP pressures, Biosensors mentioned that, apart from the normal pricing reduction seen every year, there is no news of additional significant one-off cuts by the government. In fact, the decline will likely be gradual given that the tendering process has decentralized to the provincial level. The group is keenly awaiting the approval of BioMatrix in China, where they have submitted two applications -- approval for the stent itself, and the Biolimus drug.

Meanwhile, the group continues to perform well in the EU but concedes that the strong growth seen over the past few quarters may start to decelerate as it becomes more challenging to increase BioMatrix's market share from mid-teens to over 20%. However, it is expecting stronger growth to come from markets in Asia (eg. India, Vietnam, Taiwan). Additionally, BioFreedom may contribute to the revenue growth momentum upon its CE mark approval by FY12 (Mar-end).

The group cannot say when Terumo will receive approval as this is subject to the Japanese authorities. However, it is not a question of if, but when. "

For info. Not a call to buy/sell.

 
 
calculus1985
    03-Mar-2011 07:30  
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Might go sideway awhile.... quickly moving to overbought region.

see my analysis on Biosensors 
 
 
bishan22
    02-Mar-2011 09:54  
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quite resilient today. Still got hope.  Smiley

gbleng      ( Date: 02-Mar-2011 09:11) Posted:

Another day of market turmoil.... if true to form there must be some news for BIG.... just a thought.....Smiley

 
 
gbleng
    02-Mar-2011 09:11  
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Another day of market turmoil.... if true to form there must be some news for BIG.... just a thought.....Smiley
 
 
JustForFun
    02-Mar-2011 00:55  
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NewswireToday - /newswire/ - Beijing, China, 03/01/2011 - ResearchInChina, the vertical portal for Chinese business intelligence, announces the release of a new report - China Interventional Cardiovascular Device Industry Report, 2010.

   
 

In recent years, the prevalence rate of cardiovascular disease has increased year by year. According to the data issued by Ministry of Health of the People’s Republic of China, there were 20 million patients with coronary artery disease in China 2008, and the number rises at the annual growth of more than 1 million. The growth spurt of the patients suffering from heart disease has stimulated the fast growing demand for interventional cardiology operations and coronary stents.

In China, the number of PCI operation cases rose from 25,000 in 2002 to 242,000 in 2009 the coronary stent implantation amount increased from 40,000 sets in 2002 to 387,000 in 2009. In 2009, Chinese market size of interventional cardiovascular device (by terminal sales revenue of hospitals) reached RMB8.16 billion, up 30% from a year earlier.

Interventional cardiovascular device includes coronary stent and surgical support equipment. In 2009, Chinese coronary stent market valued RMB5.71 billion and the market size of surgical support equipment (including balloon catheter, catheter, and guide wire) hit RMB2.46 billion. The ratio of the two markets was about 7:3.

Before 2004, foreign companies dominated Chinese coronary stent market. Because of incessantly exploring core technologies and accumulating experience, Chinese enterprises enjoy the rising market shares yearly and even more than foreign counterparts by virtue of advantages in price and channel. By the amount of implantation, domestic enterprises swept about 77.7% market shares in 2009, while foreign peers took approximately 22.3% by the terminal sales revenue of hospitals, domestic enterprises held around 66.8% market shares in 2009, while foreign ones occupied 33.2% or so.

In 2009, MicroPort Scientific, Lepu Medical and JW Medical ranked the top three in terms of the market share of coronary stent by the terminal sales revenue of hospitals, MicroPort Scientific, Lepu Medical and JW Medical took the market share of 25.1%, 20.5% and 18.5% respectively. Remarkably, MicroPort and Lepu are with the diversified product lines of interventional cardiovascular device, and both of them focus on coronary stent and also pay attention to angiography catheter, guidewire, sheath introducer kit, etc, with the objective of ultimately covering the entire field of interventional cardiovascular devices. In addition, MicroPort and Lepu are making more efforts in the R& D of interventional cardiovascular devices. MicroPort is now developing the third-generation drug-eluting stent “Firehawk”, while Lepu is developing a new generation of magnesium alloy biodegradable stents.

However, in surgical supporting device market consisting of balloon catheter, catheter and guidewire, due to technical limitations, only less than 20% of products are made in China. The market is dominated by Cordis, J & J, Medtronic, Boston and other foreign brands. Yet, Chinese enterprises may simulate the development modes of those foreign companies. MicroPort, Lepu, Fisuntech, TemMed and other companies are enhancing R& D and production of surgical supporting instruments. In the future, the competition in the market of interventional cardiovascular supporting devices will intensify.

The report is based on social, economic and policy environments, the overall operation, market competition and development trends of Chinese interventional cardiovascular device industry. It not only studies such market segments as coronary stents, balloon catheters, catheters, guidewires, assistive devices and others in China, but also analyzes the operation and development of 12 major interventional cardiovascular device manufacturers including J & J Cordis, Medtronic, Boston Scientific, Abbott Guidant, B. Braun, MicroPort, Lepu, JW, Yinyi, OrbusNeich, Fisuntech, SCW Medical.


 
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