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Funds preferrential - Property counter - least preferred.
Property are regarded too high in most emerging market - people income can not match incl Singapore - Govt are going all out to suppress property prices and the least contain.
Who are the BBs? The Rothschild family..
CPL is still in downtrend.... Up is an opportunity to sell.... Nothing much I want to say... Dont believe blindly with anyone including me.. Dp your homework.... Most here are bias with their position in CPL... For me, I waiting to short again somewhere... Enjoy...
from your friends feedback, this is good for us in the next 2 months as the funds will pour back in... good for us to as this minor pullback is good opportunity to buy before the technicals improve
today just met my old group of friends, working as funds managers , based in US , China and local. have a great day. i ask for their advise. And i would like to share with u guys. But to believe is up to u.
1) the news recently aboyt a) debt ceiling b)europe crisis 3) china overhang. are all " old' news. These news announced are the timing for the BBs to antipate the shorting. The analiyst are all " connected: to various funds companies. So they " create" the negative mood, to panick the punters to " sell' . The fund managers in fact are net buyers in these fer weeks.
2) they knew that by 3rd quarter, the bulls will be coming. By then the analsist will begin to put a better prospect so punters will begin to chase the price up. But the fubd already had cheap stocks.
3) why i ask them . reply- US have no choice but to agreed to increased the ceiling- or they will lose their" big brother: staues. They will not allow china to overtake their statues.
4) europe- PIGS will be saved by IMF and EU. Loans given to them are not free . They have to pay back with interest. So IMF will benifit. If that not happen, chinese will be grate to " lend " them . This will make China a " powerful: figure in Europe. This is a threaten to the US. Remember IMF major holdwe is America. Die die also cannot let china invlove.
5) China will used their resreve to invrease the people purchasing power- to overtake US econmy. Thats is the main objectives in China policy. The chinese.wants to become no1.my friends re afirm that they had been " ordered" to transfer their fungs back to asia. 1) yuan is trading up 2) bulls will begin inasia soon.. most in 3rd quarter, when the FEd begin with 25 basic points rise . Obama will not be re-elected .
overall, i was told not to believe the news . They are commentors employed by the funds. They are told what to say- to create opportunies for the funds and BBs. As we had seen in CPL. Huge volume is transacted has been 3fold than last few months. the funds are " quietly" accumulate. tired lao. continued tomorow.
Just to reinforce capland`s point......it is a very healthy correction for the world markets and spore market. I will be very worried if it keep shooting up without pausing to recharge and let weak holder get out and later strong player come back in. Only a market with bigger up and smaller down and more up and smaller down will be sustainable. Only in this way can long-term investor like capland can accumulate stock cheaply while allowing opportunity for shortist trader like isolator a chance to laugh to the bank with his successful short trades. No country in this world will allow another Lehman incident to happen again. The market is still in long term uptrend, no doubt about it. Good luck to all of you.
Riskless ( Date: 17-May-2011 18:42) Posted:
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you are right, all news are just an excuse for the up and down of prices.
capland ( Date: 17-May-2011 12:32) Posted:
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Looking at historical data, market always correct after peaking in Apr/May.
Nothing unexpected.
Good time to start looking for bargains :)
Hawkeye ( Date: 17-May-2011 12:58) Posted:
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I would buy at 3.....and ignore TA......think a lot of you would do so here.....
Personally, if price falls below $3.10, I would short Capitaland.
$3.10 is the current support level now, falling below that would means more down slide coming.
New123 ( Date: 17-May-2011 16:03) Posted:
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TA is based on the chart pattern pertaining to this counter prices movement.
I think any weakening of the shares prices below $3.10 will be an opportunity to add for long.
Juzztrade ( Date: 17-May-2011 14:03) Posted:
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Tech Analysis
What is that?
stevenk ( Date: 17-May-2011 13:10) Posted:
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Not sure whether you have seen the tech analysis for this Capland. The simplest one is the moving average. The price is currently below the 14DMA. followed by the 50D,100D and 200D. And all lines are turning down. Expect further drop to continue.
capland ( Date: 17-May-2011 12:41) Posted:
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World Economy is Entering a Correction
US got to cut spending (Debt too high) - means cut demand
Europe got to cut spending (Debt too high - boost export) - means cut demand
China spend too much - inflation - too much money - need to hold back - means cut back spending
Japan natural disaster - GDP growth will be hit - inward looking - cut back spending outside Japan spend inside Japan
No body Need Singapore - Singapore Need everyone - Singapore Government going through transformation
So FACTOR in everything - Market Tailspin - Everyman for himself
GOOD LUCK to All
if i am not wrong. Tomorow, will see CPL edge up alittle. It will " hang" aroiung this current level. Unless, punters short again.But overall, i can say , is the whole market had factor in all negatives news. And may see funds flowing to asia as DIJA has hit its high, will not go futher up. So index in asia will do some catching up. Sign already seen in china, funds are flowing back to the China... Expect to see big movement in june (end) - july. For the last few session, can notice that Funds are accumulating singapore shares. Blue chips in heavy volume. I am not instigate any buyings or sellings. Just my own view.
as u look at the situation now.
1) when oil prices up, market worry about inflation acceralate, causing market down. But when oil price down, market worry that the world is having a much slower growth. Which is right? Oil up , no good. Oil down also no good.
2) US QE2 , makes market worry that the world will flooded with money supply, driving up inflation. No good. But when Qe2 ceased, again worry that funds will be ceased.flowing also no good.
3) Interest rate increase , no good for stock market. Interest maintain , also worry inflation may increased further with cheap loans.
4) when sg properties slow down, market worry that sales will be affected. But when sales up, again worry that measures will be implement.
5) interest rate rises - to control inflation, but caused damage to the properties sale (higher instalment) .
whatever it is, the stories are all manupulate by Bbs , just to make punters panick. All news are in fact " bullshit" . policy are all double sword.
1) EU crsis are old stories. PIGS will be financed eventually. It will not allow any of its members to be in troubles. China will step in as saviour to its EU members. Chinese will make this opportunties to show " who is the boss" .
2) US will increased its debt ceiling. They are not worry about " printing" money.
As i mention, this yr is a conslidation year after crisis before bulls set in. Whenever there is a crisis, there bound to have a yr of conslidation, where balancing takes plc. Bulls will in charge when
1) Inflation shoots up- shows business is chasing limited resources. DD over ss.
2) then interest rate increased. Shows further confirmed that bulls is coming. Inflation will be down. SS=DD
This are the facts of cycle of a crisis. I can say is , there will no more crisis, for the next 5-6 yrs. Interest rate has to be increase, as banks then will willing to give loans. So, expect rates to increased in EU and US in coming months. China may not increased its rate- yuan will be allow to rise.
See u at 2.74.
Bye Bye Capitaland, See You down stream. LOL
eplepl ( Date: 16-May-2011 17:48) Posted:
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wed better vision?
alexchia01 ( Date: 16-May-2011 17:03) Posted:
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sHORT = TARGET SUPPORT AT 2.74