
Apr 21 ?07: Originally Posted by Musicwhiz in Shareinvestor.com
Hi, nothing much to say except to wait for GV to report its half-year results. Contracts have come in but profitability is still far off. As I did mention in my review, I think their recurring revenue was too low for FY 2006, but the CEO has an explanation that most of the contracts' income will flow in during FY 2007. That factor, and the representation of the Standard Chartered lawsuit in the Annual Report, plus the fact that losses had been incurred in disposing of Horizon (which was the leftover vestiges of the reverse takeover), made me hold on to this a little longer. Vested as this makes up about 8% of my total portfolio, thus I see it as a potential company. Still, I maintain my usual healthy dose of skepticism.
I won't dare say this rally is sustainable. Look at how most of the pennies have run up in the past 2 weeks. GV must still show sustainable earnings in order to force a re-rating. All the news about contracts is well and good, but will it translate to better earnings ? Profitability ? Better cash flow management ? We shall have to see....
Someone else did mention GV having to pay interest costs on their CB, which is a huge expense. Assuming they do have residual cash, will they use it for buy-backs ? Another good question to ask at the AGM/EGM, but I cannot make it as I have work commitments.
Thanks to all good and sound advice (esp. Novocaine and ultrahisham).
CHEERS

Share buyback will reduce the outstanding number of shares and the paid-up capital. It will improve the earnings per share for us.
For GV case it is double good news for the retail investors because the business contracts keep coming in .
hikitty..
Share buyback can be activated for a couple of reasons..be it to enhance shareholder value..to support undervalued share price..and sm other reasons..
if price drop drastically it can be activated to mop up shares at dirt cheap prices and enable a win win situation..
Its true smtimes buyback is not activated as decision lies with management..
Honestly i think this time rally is sustainable for a number of reasons..
firstly..company has showed that they have built the grounds for growth and reinforce this with many contracts..
secondly..profits havent been really encouraging becoz payments from contracts won havent really been realised and when they are realised this year it should jump many folds..
If these materialise plus company keeps winning new contracts and maintaining old ones and extending current clients..then theres only one way to grow..up..and dun forget the business they are in is expected to grow substantially meaning demand is high..and entry price for any new competitors is very high due to infrastructure and such..
Hi eellee..
Share buyback is a mechanism for company to buy back shares using available funds which are normally surplus..it is up to company's discretion and buyback price is normally pegged to previous average five days market price ie..maximum price is at 105% of average if open market purchase and 120% of average if off market purchase..
Whether company wants to exercise buyback is entirely up to the directors..if they think share is undervalued and they intend to enhance sharevalue they can exercise buyback up to 10% of issued share capital..
CEO did mention in the EDGE he believes the fair value of GV is around 30 cents and hes frustrated its undervalued..dats y hes toying with a second listing in europe where the companys physical presence and growing staturemight probably entice investors..
So based on the 30 cents fair value he indicates and being probably one of those who can influence decision to buyback at current price of even 18.5cents now he might think share price is still undervalued and he might initiate buyback..
Just my humble thoughts..
Anyway company fundamentals are very strong and they are winning deals after deals and this year might be the year the profits show up in their books..a good growth company in my honest opinion..but not for speculation..
Hi Novocaine
Check me if I am wrong. Share buy back would be activated if share price drops drastically . It's usual for approval to be given, but seldom activated Hope this rally can hold, unlike the one that happened more than a year ago. It fizzled out after briefly hitting a peak of 20cts..
Hi Novocaine
Care to enlighten me (greenhorn) what might happen if share buyback does kick-in. I understand, sometime ago, GLOBAL was seeking for shares consolidation (i.e.. 5 shares to 1 share).
Thanks in advance.
Breakout in progress..price at 0.185 now..Increased GLOBAL institutional interest (particularly europe and US)..
And not to forget..when share buy back gets approved and kicks in..I dont have to say what will happen..hehe
Now approaching neck level of head and neck long term formation..will break out even higher once neck break out happens..director recently mentio 30cents..he might up his target soon..contracts pouring in like water..recently won another one on 18/04/07!!
Global Voice is making a breakthrough!
Stock price now 17.5 cts (+1 ct).
Several roadshows to convince analysts & fund managers being planned in Europe & US soon!
Excerpt from chairman Ng Jui Ping's letter to shareholders (from annual report):
...........the Board and Management are aggressively growing the profile of the
Company with investors and analysts, and having already
completed an Investor Roadshow in Singapore will now
conduct same in Europe and the US during April and May.
The telecommunications environment is on the threshold
of a major transformation and in 2007 we have already
experienced a surge in demand for high capacity, mission
critical solutions - all of which can only be delivered on
fiber
Testing new level .....
Seems ready for a strong breakout .....
Anyone notice the big buy for Global Voice ?
If Global Voice cheong, will Ariane Corp cheong too ?
sharealley wrote: "So, the biodata of particular person does not guarantee successful trading."
I didnt imply that the biodata wld guarantee profitable investment. I did say, however, that the man has solid credentials and I am prepared to take his words at face value. In this case, his words are, in essence, that the profits will roll in and the stock price should reflect that.
In the case of Horizon, the business flopped and so did the stock price. Simple as that.
SUBSTANTIAL SHAREHOLDERS
(As recorded in the Register of Substantial Shareholders)
Direct Interest % Deemed Interest %
Christopher Nightingale (1) - - 576,979,477 23.85
Noel Meaney (2) - - 576,979,477 23.85
Brenda O?Keefe (3) - - 576,979,477 23.85
Peter Cundill & Associates (Bermuda) Ltd.
? Mackenzie Cundill Recovery Fund (4)
- - 220,000,000 9.18
Real Capital International Limited 576,979,477 23.85 - -
Beta Antalis Establishment 135,808,043 5.61 - -
ABN AMRO Bank N.V., London Branch 147,027,000 6.08 - -