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Biz Times june 26..Valuetronics to expand

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spurs88
    17-Jul-2007 10:04  
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From KimEng this morning!!!!!!!!

Overlooked value

�� Premier EMS service provider for the big boys

Valuetronics is an integrated EMS provider for customers in the

telecommunications, industrial and commercial electronic products, and

consumer electronic product industries. Currently, its client portfolio includes

market leaders in their respective fields such as Philips, Dymo, and KitchenAid.

100% of its active customers are repeat customers.

�� Leveraging on the buoyant EMS industry

According to In-Stat research, Asia?s EMS market is projected to grow by 132%

from US$121.5b in 2006 to US$281.8b by 2011; of which, China will account for

76% of the Asian market (US$214.2b in value). With its facilities in the PRC,

Valuetronics is in a sweet position to capitalise on this outsourcing trend;

leveraging on its extensive network, and consistently upgrading its manufacturing

expertise through its design and development (D&D) capabilities.

�� Sturdy organic growth

We are forecasting Valuetronics to deliver 21% bottomline CAGR over FY07-

FY10F with strong orders from existing and new customers. We are also

anticipating steady net margin expansion underpinned by economies of scale as

orderbook is expected to grow 17% in FY08 and 25% in FY09, and

management?s continued focus on maintaining healthy gross margins of between

18-20%.

�� Compelling valuation; Initiate with a Buy

We are initiating coverage on Valuetronics with a Buy recommendation. We see

fair value at $0.49 based on 8x FY09 PE, implying a 42% upside potential.

Valuetronics trades at a compelling 5.7x FY09 PE (3.4x ex-cash) and at a steep

36% discount to local ODM/OEM peers. With cash of HK$176.6m (representing

29% of market capitalization), sustainable margins, superior ROE of ~33%, and

an A-list customer portfolio, we believe the market has overlooked the intrinsic

worth of Valuetronics. Management is confident of keeping to its 30% dividend

payout ratio; implying a FY09 dividend yield of 5.3%. Key risks include exposure

to the volatile electronics industry and a slowdown in orders from key customers.

 
 
timewatch
    17-Jul-2007 10:02  
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hi,, equation now 0.265, so its likely to go up to howmuch, want to buy.
 
 
wait2buy
    17-Jul-2007 09:57  
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I'm in for Valuetronics at 33.5cts and Equation at 26cts...........Gar gar la, can't  go wrong !
 

 
adeline
    17-Jul-2007 09:50  
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Happyday..zun..zun ..ah!..make $ liao.Thanks so much.Hear he is calling for a buy on Equation on CNA website.Any comments?
 
 
wait2buy
    17-Jul-2007 09:18  
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Hi Happyman, U are the Champ.................... Cheers !
 
 
1234567
    16-Jul-2007 19:45  
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hi eagles, when will be the earning report?
 

 
adeline
    16-Jul-2007 18:22  
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Looks like Valuetronics won't drop below 33cts liao.should be safe to buy
 
 
Eagles
    16-Jul-2007 17:58  
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Low PE counter....should be hit 0.45 - 0.60 range based on higher average PE or maket peers.

Suspect V is having a good year with global electronics recovery....Smiley watch out for its earnings report.
 
 
adrian01
    16-Jul-2007 17:18  
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Anyway I think there's still more potential for this one. Not too late.
 
 
spydertrader
    16-Jul-2007 17:15  
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ya loh. too late. but, i'll take whatever market price. :)
 

 
adrian01
    16-Jul-2007 17:14  
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Tomorrow's opening price might be different liao.... :P
 
 
spydertrader
    16-Jul-2007 17:12  
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hi all, sigh! market closed liao. nvm, tomorrow, i am getting into this (swimming) pool too.
 
 
1234567
    16-Jul-2007 16:59  
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Author Message
happyday



Joined: 20 Apr 2007
Posts: 701

PostPosted: Mon Jul 16, 2007 4:52 pm    Post subject: will be like Chinakangda...drop n drop Reply with quote

switch to valuetronics or equation Razz
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adrian01
    16-Jul-2007 15:37  
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Cheong arrrrr...........
 
 
adeline
    16-Jul-2007 15:35  
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34/34.5cts liao
 

 
adeline
    16-Jul-2007 13:30  
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Heard Happyday is recommending Equation when it was 24cts...besides valuetronics.he said Valuetronics will move near 25July when avi Tech is listed.Look like valuetronics will not drop below 32cts.should be safe,any comments?
 
 
timewatch
    16-Jul-2007 11:37  
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i am still thinking weather to pick valuetronics or not. Now its 0.335.
 
 
lawrencelau
    15-Jul-2007 19:03  
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hi happyday..nice to meet U here.So far U've been right in prediction Lottis,Rowsley,Banjoo and Jade but I did not buy any and have been following your recommenndations closely.This toime I 'm going to buy 50lots of valuetronics on Mon 16 since the downside is limited but upside is gd.Wish me able to make $
 
 
goodluck
    13-Jul-2007 13:47  
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time to buy >
 
 
happyday
    12-Jul-2007 23:29  
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U have seen its worst..remain unchg when mkt corrected on June 26...so resillient...limited downside..but gd upside..with the ipo listing of another electronic co..valuetronic shd hve no problem hitting TP of 47cts by CIMB-GK Goh
 
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