
From KimEng this morning!!!!!!!!
Overlooked value
Premier EMS service provider for the big boys
Valuetronics is an integrated EMS provider for customers in the
telecommunications, industrial and commercial electronic products, and
consumer electronic product industries. Currently, its client portfolio includes
market leaders in their respective fields such as Philips, Dymo, and KitchenAid.
100% of its active customers are repeat customers.
Leveraging on the buoyant EMS industry
According to In-Stat research, Asia?s EMS market is projected to grow by 132%
from US$121.5b in 2006 to US$281.8b by 2011; of which, China will account for
76% of the Asian market (US$214.2b in value). With its facilities in the PRC,
Valuetronics is in a sweet position to capitalise on this outsourcing trend;
leveraging on its extensive network, and consistently upgrading its manufacturing
expertise through its design and development (D&D) capabilities.
Sturdy organic growth
We are forecasting Valuetronics to deliver 21% bottomline CAGR over FY07-
FY10F with strong orders from existing and new customers. We are also
anticipating steady net margin expansion underpinned by economies of scale as
orderbook is expected to grow 17% in FY08 and 25% in FY09, and
management?s continued focus on maintaining healthy gross margins of between
18-20%.
Compelling valuation; Initiate with a Buy
We are initiating coverage on Valuetronics with a Buy recommendation. We see
fair value at $0.49 based on 8x FY09 PE, implying a 42% upside potential.
Valuetronics trades at a compelling 5.7x FY09 PE (3.4x ex-cash) and at a steep
36% discount to local ODM/OEM peers. With cash of HK$176.6m (representing
29% of market capitalization), sustainable margins, superior ROE of ~33%, and
an A-list customer portfolio, we believe the market has overlooked the intrinsic
worth of Valuetronics. Management is confident of keeping to its 30% dividend
payout ratio; implying a FY09 dividend yield of 5.3%. Key risks include exposure
to the volatile electronics industry and a slowdown in orders from key customers.
Low PE counter....should be hit 0.45 - 0.60 range based on higher average PE or maket peers.
Suspect V is having a good year with global electronics recovery....

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happyday Joined: 20 Apr 2007 Posts: 701 |
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i am still thinking weather to pick valuetronics or not. Now its 0.335.
hi happyday..nice to meet U here.So far U've been right in prediction Lottis,Rowsley,Banjoo and Jade but I did not buy any and have been following your recommenndations closely.This toime I 'm going to buy 50lots of valuetronics on Mon 16 since the downside is limited but upside is gd.Wish me able to make $