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Is Biosensors a good buy?

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allright
    18-Apr-2012 15:20  
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Nomura Equity Research

  Biosensors’ share price corrected 8.9% on high volumes. We believe the

pullback is overdone and continue to recommend a Buy for the stock.

We analyse some of the possible reasons for the pullback:

 A news report – “Biodegradable Stent Safe for Long-Term Treatment

of Coronary Artery Disease”, Globe Newswire, 16 Apr 2012 –

highlighted the viability of biodegradable stents for treating coronary

artery disease. The idea of biodegradable stents is not new. Indeed

back in January 2011, Abbott Labs received approval from the EU for

its biodegradable ABSORB stent with the company looking to

commercialize it in late 2012 or 2013. Meanwhile Abbott is doing

further trials to support the marketing of the stent.

 Concerns about the impact of the 14% ASP cut in Japan for DES this

month. This is not new news and had been well flagged by analysts

since February.

 The impact of Abbott and BSX’s new stents in Japan. Again this is not

new and has been well flagged as a potential risk. However we believe

that Nobori will be able to hold its own against the new stents given its

strong clinical data.

 Consensus earnings being too high for FY13. We had highlighted this

earlier and analysts have been lowering their numbers over the past

couple of months.

We believe the share price pullback does not relate to new news and

perhaps is an over-reaction. On the other hand, the news of the DES

tender in Gansu was better than expected. The new tender price was cut

by less than 5%, which is much better than the market expectation of 15-

20%. Gansu is the first province to announce the new tendering price for

drug eluting stents (DES) this year. Although Gansu is not a major

market for DES, their better-than-expected tendering price for DES may

be a positive signal for the government to ease the pressure to cut

prices. Please refer to note written by our China healthcare analyst for

more details — “China health care - Daily pulse: 17 April 2012”.

We maintain our Buy rating with a target price of S$1.84.
 
 
allright
    18-Apr-2012 14:45  
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Good to see everyone is acting like gentleman..never good to fight. Everyone has their point of trading and I wish everyone GOOD LUCK whether they are long or short. 

chanting      ( Date: 18-Apr-2012 13:14) Posted:

I hope it can be same at your side.... "Agreed with your view but need to be gentle in language used. "

 
 
sinisteral
    18-Apr-2012 14:36  
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1.46-1.46 stalemate for the past hours. It goes up to 1.46 level only to get knocked down solid to 1.45s

  The rich/powerful at play. Just wonder how long it'll go on though.

 

 
 

 
chanting
    18-Apr-2012 13:14  
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I hope it can be same at your side.... "Agreed with your view but need to be gentle in language used. "
 
 
sinisteral
    18-Apr-2012 11:56  
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BB? 

That's true. Guess it might be what someone said as well, after lunch either bargain hunters/short covering or this stock will continue to get manipulated downwards to 1.4-1.45 levels.

   
 
 
infancybird
    18-Apr-2012 11:42  
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Agreed with your view but need to be gentle in language used.

Current firewall at $ 1.455 with quite massive road block installed by BB. Need another gp of BB to break it. 

chanting      ( Date: 18-Apr-2012 11:36) Posted:

You're investor that holding on long term while we are speculators / traders so which way its goes I really dont care, as long as we make $  in market and that's the most important.... 

infancybird      ( Date: 18-Apr-2012 10:48) Posted:

Great, we are finally on the same term and view. Cheer


 

 
chanting
    18-Apr-2012 11:36  
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You're investor that holding on long term while we are speculators / traders so which way its goes I really dont care, as long as we make $  in market and that's the most important.... 

infancybird      ( Date: 18-Apr-2012 10:48) Posted:

Great, we are finally on the same term and view. Cheers

chanting      ( Date: 18-Apr-2012 10:16) Posted:

Golden chance to Buy now... Loading up for the rise in coming days ahead...double my earning after earn from shorted yesterday :)..... RSI@50, stockhistic @5%... but bad MACD. An oppotunity here! My TP@ $1.54


 
 
sinisteral
    18-Apr-2012 11:29  
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Seems to be trying to break through mid 1.4s but weak. 
 
 
Bopanha
    18-Apr-2012 11:07  
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If you notice the warrants (structured ones) you will see that one of the calls have exercise price of $1.45 and another one at $1.65 expiring date in October and Sep respectively.

The issuer of structured warrants are big timer bbs, powerful enough not to allow the share price exceed the exercise price, so that they can milk the market efficiently. If they cannot control, they will be like Lehman Brothers going down. So that's why I don't like Structured warrants and companies who allow their company names to be used without legally demanding for royalties.....

sinisteral      ( Date: 18-Apr-2012 10:49) Posted:



I think most would've sold rather than bought. 

It's being aggressively traded now and yes, this whole thing smells like manipulation more than news.  

stocksburntme      ( Date: 18-Apr-2012 10:44) Posted:

super manipulative. pity those who bought at opening 


 
 
sinisteral
    18-Apr-2012 11:06  
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Quick Note - Biosensors International (BIG SP, Buy) - Much ado about nothing
April 17, 2012

Health Care & Pharmaceuticals
Target Price: SGD 1.84
Closing Price: SGD 1.58

Jit Soon Lim, CFA - NSL

    +65 6433 6969

 

The share price of Biosensors pulled back today likely on a news report – “Biodegradable Stent Safe for Long-Term Treatment of Coronary Artery Disease”, Globe Newswire, 16 Apr 2012 – about safety issues surrounding biodegradable stents after a 10 year long clinical study. The limited clinical study showed the viability of a biodegradable stent for treating coronary artery disease.

 

We believe the market reaction is misplaced. The idea of biodegradable stents is not new. Indeed back in January 2011, Abbott Labs received approval from the EU for its biodegradable ABSORB stent with the company looking to commercialize it in late 2012 or 2013. Meanwhile Abbott is doing further trials to support the marketing of the stent.

 

In this regard, the availability of competition from biodegradable stents or indeed other stent platforms is not new. Biodegradable stents are still very new to the market and will take some time for clinical data to reassure doctors on its safety, efficacy and deliverability. Meanwhile, biodegradable polymer stents appear to be showing increasing evidence of superior results compared to durable polymer stents as evidenced by Biosensors LEADERS trial.

 

We continue to maintain our Buy rating for Biosensors with a price target of S$1.84

 

 
sinisteral
    18-Apr-2012 10:49  
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I think most would've sold rather than bought. 

It's being aggressively traded now and yes, this whole thing smells like manipulation more than news.  

stocksburntme      ( Date: 18-Apr-2012 10:44) Posted:

super manipulative. pity those who bought at opening 

 
 
infancybird
    18-Apr-2012 10:48  
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Great, we are finally on the same term and view. Cheers

chanting      ( Date: 18-Apr-2012 10:16) Posted:

Golden chance to Buy now... Loading up for the rise in coming days ahead...double my earning after earn from shorted yesterday :)..... RSI@50, stockhistic @5%... but bad MACD. An oppotunity here! My TP@ $1.54

 
 
stocksburntme
    18-Apr-2012 10:44  
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super manipulative. pity those who bought at opening 
 
 
bishan22
    18-Apr-2012 10:43  
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Now in red again.  Smiley
 
 
chanting
    18-Apr-2012 10:32  
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 For sure next week we will see it.

Bopanha      ( Date: 18-Apr-2012 10:14) Posted:

BIG today is doing not bad at all. $1.50 soon..

 

 
chanting
    18-Apr-2012 10:16  
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Golden chance to Buy now... Loading up for the rise in coming days ahead...double my earning after earn from shorted yesterday :)..... RSI@50, stockhistic @5%... but bad MACD. An oppotunity here! My TP@ $1.54
 
 
Bopanha
    18-Apr-2012 10:14  
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BIG today is doing not bad at all. $1.50 soon..
 
 
Sgshares
    18-Apr-2012 10:09  
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maybe will close lower than yesterday...i think think only
 
 
infancybird
    18-Apr-2012 10:04  
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Strong price suppression noted . BB is up to something...intention is clear....keep price below 1.50 or lower for their ``unknown to us`` ulterior motive.

stocksburntme      ( Date: 18-Apr-2012 10:01) Posted:

going down again....

 
 
stocksburntme
    18-Apr-2012 10:01  
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going down again....
 
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