
New article, a 3 digit oil price soon maybe.......
SINGAPORE: Oil was lower in Asian trade Monday as the under-pressure dollar made some modest gains against the major currencies, analysts said.
New York's main contract, light sweet crude for November delivery eased 13 cents to 81.12 dollars a barrel.
Brent North Sea crude for December delivery was 25 cents lower at 82.20 dollars a barrel.
"It (the dollar) will continue to be a major factor," said Ong Yi Ling, a Singapore-based investment analyst in the precious metals market and crude oil with Phillip Capital.
"When you see weakness in the dollar, there is increased interest in commodities as an asset class," she said.
A weak greenback makes dollar-denominated commodities like oil cheaper for buyers holding rival currencies, thereby boosting investor demand.
When the dollar strengthens, the opposite occurs.
In early Asian trade, the euro was trading at 1.3905 dollars compared with 1.3973 in New York late Friday while the dollar was quoted at 81.31 yen versus 81.44 yen.
Analysts said they expected the dollar to weaken further in the coming months after Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke on Friday said that the central bank was ready to ramp up extraordinary measures to prime the economy amid sky-high unemployment and the risk of crippling deflation.
He said that the current inflation rate was too low and raised the specter of deflation, which would spell a debilitating spiral of lower prices and wages that would send firms to the wall.
"The risk of deflation is higher than desirable," he said.
Bernanke's comments raised already elevated expectations that the Fed is ready to pump billions into the financial system, in what is known as quantitative easing.
-AFP/wk
Stonger resistance remains at 462
typo error : )
krisluke ( Date: 18-Oct-2010 12:24) Posted:
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SMM ta,
R1 = 452
A break may see 455/456
Stronger resistance remain at 562
Short term S1= 447
Short term R1 = 452
Surging oil price and demand seems like to benefit tourism sector and service industry more apart from rig builder and ship repair.
Just my view only : )
KUWAIT CITY : Kuwait has boosted its oil production capacity to around 3.3 million barrels per day as it strives to achieve its target of four million barrels per day by 2020, a top oil executive said on Sunday.
Three million barrels per day are produced by the state-run Kuwait Oil Company and the rest comes from the neutral zone with Saudi Arabia, said KOC chairman Sami al-Rasheed, cited by the official KUNA news agency.
Rasheed said that KOC has successfully tested raising its output to three million barrels per day for the first time in line with its strategy of reaching four million barrels per day.
"We have come quite close to achieving our strategy of raising output capacity to four million barrels per day by 2020," Rasheed said.
"KOC production capacity now tops three million barrels per day, besides our share of around 270,000 barrels per day from the divided zone" with Saudi Arabia, he added.
He said KOC expects to add a new production of 120,000 barrels per day by the end of October, boosting total output capacity to around 3.42 million barrels per day.
Rasheed gave no spending figures on oil projects, but Kuwait's Oil Minister Sheikh Ahmad Abdullah al-Sabah said in December the emirate plans to spend 87 billion dollars on oil projects until 2030.
Kuwait says it sits on 10 per cent of proven global oil reserves and currently pumps around 2.3 million barrels per day.
- AFP
Forex Market;
The US Dollar was under siege this morning, recording losses across the board and numerous currencies posting all time highs against the Greenback. EURUSD, USDSGD, USDJPY, and AUDUSD broke through key levels this morning; EURUSD made a new 8 month high of 1.4094, USDJPY broke through the Oct 11 low of 81.39 after being large range bound in trading yesterday, and the AUDUSD was approaching the promised land of parity, posting an intraday high of 0.9982 (the highest level since the currency began trading freely). USDCAD already hit the magical parity mark, the first time since April this year, when it made a low of 1.0000. The Loonie has prospered on the combo of Dollar weakness and higher commodity prices and has gained 2.5% over the past month against the Greenback.
The star performer of the session was the Singaporean Dollar which surged to its all-time strongest level after it appreciated to 1.2894 against the Greenback. The Monetary Authority of Singapore announced it would ‘seek a modest and gradual appreciation,’ a stance quite opposite to its Asian Tiger counterparts. Commodities & equity markets also rallied hard during the Asian session, with Gold recording another all time high of 1380 and the Nikkei 225 gaining 1.91% on the day, despite a stronger Yen. Looking ahead, we await the weekly jobs numbers & PPI data from the US.
The trend would be gettin' stronger and stronger.
Resistance remains 450 at 52 weeks high.
Resistance at 447 support at 440
Oil price hovering around 8200 -8300.
Substainability dependent on 3Q earning results.
Jackpot2010 ( Date: 13-Oct-2010 17:11) Posted:
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SEMBCORP MARINE’S JURONG SHIPYARD SECURES S$351 MILLION FPSO CONVERSION CONTRACT
Singapore, October 12, 2010 :
Jurong Shipyard (JSPL), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Sembcorp Marine, has secured an approximately S$351 million contract to convert the Aframax tanker, the MT Arc II (ex MT Arc), to a Floating Production Storage and Offloading (FPSO) vessel, to be renamed FPSO Petrojarl Cidade de Itajai, for Teekay Petrojarl Production AS.Cash flooding Asia stock ahead of Fed meeting----- Marketwatch
Let's wait for Europe market opening.
: )
Asia oil price trade higher--- CNA
SCMM ta
Long leg doji (Friday closing) follows by
{White} Marubozu / bullish harami closing suggest trend still up.
Resistance 440
:::: )))
Contracts Offering,
It was clear to note that Petrobras will not be offering new rig order after brasil election...
USA also has its own election during Nov 2 2010.
Just my sense of view : ))
Let's share chart patterns you need to know
http://www.chartadvisor.com/freereport/report_index.aspx
> <
Wall street article...
Petrobras busts the oil price and ignore oil trends
Crude oil has been on fire and prices were as low as $74 per barrel less than 3 weeks ago before recent highs of $84.00. Generally a rise in the commodity price garners a rise in the price of the key underlying shares in companies that drill black gold. Petroleo Brasileiro (NYSE: PBR) or Petrobras, was trying to do well after its mammoth secondary offering. That came to an end and Petrobras is now trading as a busted deal once again. We wanted to see how this compares to other oil giants and we took a look at BP plc (NYSE: BP), Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM), Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX), and even ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP).
The original deal of about 2.9 billion shares went off at an ADR price of $34.49. On September 24 the ADRs traded more than 111 million shares and closed down at $34.92 versus $35.59 the day before. It was just this Tuesday, less than two weeks after the offering, that shares hit a high of $36.90 and its highest close was also that day at $36.71. What a difference 48-hours can make…Today shares are down 4.35% at $33.56 and shares closed down $1.61 at $35.09 yesterday.
Whether this is true is something we weren’t able to confirm,but there are market rumors that local weekly news outfits are going to reveal information which could bring on a corruption scandal involving the ruling Workers’ Party. Brazil is supposed to be the hottest of the BRIC (Brasil, Russia, India, China) nations with what is supposed to be. There is still the notion that this is Latin America and scandals have a long history to overcome throughout the region. Petrobras this week noted that it would fall short of its annual production targets.
Yesterday’s drop was exacerbated because of a downgrade from Barclays. The rating went to Equal-Weight from Overweight. Morgan Stanley also maintained an overweight rating but lowered its fair value target down to $45 from $61 after the effects of the stock offering. UBS gave Petrobras a SELL rating back in August and we recently gave the two varying takes on Petrobras and Brazil where a key technician and a key fundamental analyst were both effectively at the same conclusion.
How this compares to elsewhere….
BP plc (NYSE: BP) is down the least now, amazing considering its woes of 2010 and considering that it is back above the $40 handle. Shares are down 0.4% at $41.45. Shares hit a high of $42.08 this morning and that marked a high in the stock since this was trading under $30 as recently as the week before the Fourth of July break. The 52-week range is $26.75 to $62.38.
Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM) is down only 0.55% today at $63.59 and its 52-week range is $55.94 to $76.54. Shares hit a high of $64.00 this morning, but Exxon has also lagged as this was a $61 stock at the start of September.
Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX) is down almost 1% today at $83.07 and shares hit a new 52-week high of $84.50 this morning and this was just a $77 stock at the start of September.
ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) is down only 0.5% today at $59.39 and its 52-week range is $46.63 to $60.53. Shares hit a high of $60.00 this morning and this was just a $54.00 stock at the start of September.
Whatever is happening at Petrobras is not pretty. Many investors now have to be wondering whether they should have participated in the largest share offering in history.
USA employment situation.
1 : ) Average workweek m/m change
2 : ) Non farm payroll m/m change
Gobally eying report. let see....
OP at 428, supporting level.
closed at 428 will remain bullish.
gap up may see 431, then 438
Columbus Day
11th october 2010, monday