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Hi All Readers,
Below are my review to your request !
ShareJunction ( Request & Review ) ? 2 ( Sat )( 3 Feb 07 )
Forumer 6 ? ?Enyato? :
- Jurong Tech à ?Dividend is nothing, profit gain is everything?, You bought $0.35, currently $1.13, you made 223% & still not selling ?. ? ? ? Maybe you will wait till it drop back to $0.35 ?. Then you celebrate ? ? ? ? DO NOT turn from a Winner to Looser ! Many people already suffered & regret that ! By then, you will regret your whole life ? ! You should not hold back your stock just because of dividend gain, cos the profit gain itself with the multiple in & out stagedy, I believed is far far exceeded as compared to your dividend gain ! Think twice !
- Longcheer & Gent Int à It seems like you are using ?Cost Averaging Down Concept?. Bad bad stagedy, try to use ?Cost Averaging UP Concept? instead ! Averaging down concept is only good if you know where is the rock bottom price and is reaching soon, whichever the reason, not a good idea to use !
- Starcruise, Sapphire, Bio-Treat à Your ?Greed Factor? killed you ! Greed & Fear Factors are the 2 greatest killer for any investor. Try to overcome this ! Stocks move in cyclical cycles, if you don?t sell at the high, it will come down again after some time, that defeats the whole purpose of investment ! The right concept should be à nibble a bit & go away just like the sparrow, stay there too long, you it will get caught and killed, and there goes all your capital, not worth ! Once cycle low again, you can always come back again & EAT MORE and MANY MORE TIMES !
- Chartered & StatsChipPac à Both lost 73% to date ! You bought all these during the high time & in the down trend mode. Wrong Concept ! Try NOT to buy any Stocks that is in the down trend mode ? you will get caught or stuck there easily ?! It?s like trying to catch a falling knife ! Unwise !
- Asiapharm à You did not state the bought timeframe, it?s difficult for me to analyze ! I think you got it somewhere between Feb to Jul 06?. This is one example why it is NOT advisable to hold long timeframe. You don?t know when it?s going to drop, and when it drops ?. You got no time to run, by then you discover ? it?s too late to exit ! You should also buy when it?s in the low & NOT high cycle ! That way is safer & much higher chance of winning !
- Ellipsiz à Bad timing, you bought this during the high cycle ? which should NOT be ! You should buy only when it is in the low cycle ? and when there is blood on the street ? !
- Adv Hldg à You did not state the bought timeframe, it?s difficult for me to analyze ! To date you lost about 18%. This counter has been in the down trend mode for the last 7 mths. And It?s still bleeding ? you have NOT lost too much yet, try to bite the bullet & cut loss. That way you can still ?PRESERVE? much of your cash, re-stategize & make a come back ! If you don?t ? you will only get stuck there forever ?. For how long ? I don?t know either ! Try to select a good one & re-enter. Remember, time is money ! If you don?t ? you not only lost opportunity cost but recovery opportunity as well ! This is unwise !
Forumer 7 ? ?Ysh2006? :
- Addvalue Tech à You bought at $0.095 on 2 Feb 07 ?. Which bought at a cycle high, WRONG STAGEDY ! You should have move in at $0.075 anywhere from 19 ? 31 Jan 07 ( 1.5 weeks duration ) which was a cycle low price ! That way, you made an INSTANT 27% in about a week time ( eg. 107% per mth ). Super Wise investment STAGEDY ! Now, you can do nothing but to wait ? and yet NO profit to take ! You have 2 choice à cut loss or wait, you decide yourself ! If you can wait a little longer ? for the next 3 ? 6 weeks, this counter has high chance of going up ! Good Tips ? ? ? ?
- Global Test à You bought at $0.36 on May 06 ( 8 mths ago ). You actually have an
Opportunity to sell at $0.39 on 3, 10 & 11 May 06 ( 8% profit gain ) ?. But you didn?t take profit ! Thereafter, it go down all the way till now at $0.24. To date you lost 33% in 8 mths. Looks like it going to be down for quite some time ? ! You can either cut loss or hold, but I would advise you to cut loss. Select another better stock & play like I thought you in your ?Addvalue Tech Counter? ? ( 107% gain pe mth ). In that way, in no time, you will recover all your lost very fast ?. And only if you do it right ! The choice is yours !
- UTAC à You bought at $0.94 on May 06 ( 8 mths ago ). You bought on the strong down trend mode. Avoid that, bad stagedy ! Once you do that, you hardly had any chance of recovery ! However, UTAC is currently profitable and making good money. Its share price has also been making a come back since Jul 06 to now ( Up trend continueously for the last 6 mths ). If it continue to be strong and show good sign, and if you are lucky, it may reach back your $0.94 in about 1 -2 mths from now. If not, you either can wait or cut loss. Current price $0.83, to date, you lost about 12%, still not too bad ! If you are confident of picking a good stock to recovery your lost, you may do so. If not, you may have to wait a little longer ( in mths ) ? !
Forumer 8 ? ?LookSeeOnly? :
- Unifiber à You bought at $0.28 but did not state the bought timeframe, I don?t know how long you have been holding ?. it?s difficult for me to analyze and advise also ! Currently at $0.28 and it has been on the up trend mode for the last 4 mths. Good to buy Up trend ! It is also on the cycle low soon ? price dropped from a high of $0.31 to current level low ( dropped about 10% in 5 days or a week ) and seems to stabilized at $0.28 for now ! The next phase should be an up cycle, hence, you should continue to ?
HOLD ON
Forumer 9 ? ?Idesa168? :
- SMRT Corp à You had made the right move of bitting the bullet & cut the 8 yrs of bleeding lost. If not, you would never been today. Thanks to you wisdom ! You have also made the right move of buying stocks that is in the up trend mode ! The result can be seen by everybody today !
You bought at $1.12 for 5 Lots mid last yr. Another 5 lots at $1.19 later. Total SMRT portfolio cost $11,550 ( $12K ). Current share price $1.45. If you sell, to date, you have $14,500 ( $15K ). You made profit $2950 ( 3K or 26% in about 7 mths ). That is about 4% per mth or 44% a yr. Not bad but could have been better !
SMRT counter has been around for the last almost 7 yrs. From a low of $0.50 to a current all time high of about $1.50. On surface ? it looks good and wonderful ? but if you were to observe carefully, it seems to be on the ?Overbought? level or high side currently. It is currently on a high or top cycle ?.. NOT a good sign ! A ?Triple Top? has already formed on the RSI Chart. As the saying goes, ?What goes down must come up ?. And what came up must goes down again ? !? This is the fear that I have ?. There is nothing that goes up forever or un-ending ?! You asked whether should hold long long term ? the ?danger sign? has already started to appear ? it?s just a matter of time that the bubble will burst. The question is WHEN ? ? I myself don?t know, but it would be advisable for you to take profit & exit soon ! If you decide to hold LONG LONG ?. Then your profit and money may also LONG LONG goes ? becareful !
To me, it is very simple decision ! There are so many better stocks out there, with lower risk level and much better return ? ! Why should you take this kind of risk ! Take profit now, GARANTEEN PROFIT. Delay further, Money NO GAURANTEEN ! You decide for your next move !
- SPH à Good stable Blue Chip, but also ?Slow & Steady? Stock. In the immediate short term ( 2-4 Weeks ), it is on a high cycle now, means you should avoid to go in now ! However, in the long term ( 6 ? 12 mths ), I believe the fundamental are still sound and will continue to appreciate ! Hence, if you want to ?Accumulate?, you may ? but NOT now ! Try to be patience and wait till the cycle low then go in which is few weeks from now ! You may like to know that is may be quite a ?Slow Moving & Appreciating? counter. If you want something of a faster return, try to pick another lower price counter, that can give you a better return !
Current Performance, you bought at $4.36 on early Dec 06 ( 2 mths ago ). Current price $4.68, to date, made $960 ( 7% in 2 mths or 4% per mth ). This is NOT really a fantastic figure but a so so one ! If you don?t mind this kind of return, carry on. If you mind, change counter ! You decide the rest !
3. SPC à You bought at $4.14 on Jan 07 ( 1 mth ago ). Current price $4.46. You made $640 ( 8 % in 3 weeks or 10 % per mth ). Not a bad deal ! This counter has been on the down trend mode for the last 7 mths since early May 06. You are lucky that you went in at the RIGHT TIMING or cycle low ?. If not, there would be NO returning back for you ! Try to avoid buying stocks at the down trend mode ?. Very dangerous, not worth the risk ! Your Ques à do you think I can add on further this counter ?? The answer is NOT ADVISABLE ! You should only buy stocks that are sideway trend of up moving trend, AVOID down trend stock !
__________END ___________
Regards
Simon Loh
Hi Simon, read those analysis u wrote and are quite convinced.
Would appreciate your comment on the stock "Digiland". What is your opinion on this counter? Does it have any potential to go further than 0.015?
I'm a newbie :) Hope u could advise a thing or two.
Thanks
Aiya! still cannot get to sleep, let me tell story here then.
I am a great follower of Warrent Buffet. Learn much from him, a few point here and there. He said we should not hold too many stocks in our life. 3-4 stocks is ideal. You can then slowly analyse the company and once you found it, put all your $$ and show hands.
He also said we should not treat the stock mkt as a casino. Punting stock will only loose out in the long run as the commission the brokers is sucking from us is a huge amt. If all of us are Warrant Buffet, there will not be any broker existence...hahaha! He said we should not invest in a company if we are not ready to put our $$ there for less than 5 years. See long term. He wants us to assume that we bought a company stock today and happens that the stock mkt is closed tomorrow for 5 years.
Another points that he brought up is very true, and I am still following it. Never buy shares with borrowed $$. Only invest in share if you have spare cash that you do not need in the short term. Buying share with margins is a form of borrowing. I bought China Aviation Oil 3 days before it was suspended for $1.39 a piece (3 lots). But because it was my spare cash, I slept well throughout the 6-8 mths of suspension. I was stucked with STAT 2 lots @$3.50 a pcs before I decided to admit defeat and clear my holding for $1.28. I slept well too, it was my spare cash$.
One thing I don't agree with him is the way he show us how we should select a stock in a company, finding gems. Good earning is one criteria which we can find out from annual reports. Good management is a big thing when he select a stock. But we small mosquito with just a few thousands of $$ to invest, how to find out the management fare in a company. Interview the CEO and tell him we want to invest in his company 2000 shares of their stock? Will Tony Tan of SPH meet us for that purpose? If we are Warrant Buffet stature, that's diff story. He buys big, sure can get to talk to management of a company he is keen. So we are left with not much of choice but to get in before the big boys. How to predict what's the Big Boy's nest move?...we tikam lah!
Stock trading is like a box of chocolate like Forest Gump had said. You won't know you be getting next. Lots of people anticipate that STI will start correcting last yr when when it was 2800 range. They are professional from banks, broker and analysis. STI shot above 3000 and now 3200 is coming. Why no one predicted that new high will be achieved.
I beg to be different. I am not fortune teller that can predict STI will hit which level at which time frame, but I see Singapore's robust Economy, US soft landing and oil price dropping graduation, makes me feel that STI will run for another 1-2 good year before a huge correction to take place. Hence I started loading stock in the middle last year after clearing all my non performing stocks. But to go against the wave can be scary especially against those proffesional prediction for STI to correct. So instead of going in big way, I slowly building it, choosing stock that are laggard but blue blue chip (SMRT, SPH, SPC).
Thanks ed88ks and geojam for your compliment. I did sleep well, indeed well. But cafnnot sleep tonight due to coffee! Hence writing this at 1am. But we should not sit on our laurrels that we profit from stock picking in this bull enviornment. STI up 60 over points in a single day, chances for anyone buying any stocks tend to make. Our objective is sustainability. Can we still profit when the bull turns bear tomorrow? Only the selected stock will withstand the plunge. Those with consistence earning will survive. These stock are hard to find in Singapore...I am still insearch of such stock. Company like Miscrosoft earning avg 25-35% for 15 years, Coca Cola, Gillette, Procter and Gamber, just to name a few. If anyone found any, please share with us here. I can buy beer for you...not coffee!
Seriously speaking, I haven't the slightest doubt that you'll very quickly have a rather huge following... :)
Perhaps, you'll need to set up a website for your great service, which I also have no doubt will be an instant hit! ... :)
| Stocks To Buy Recommendation | ||||||||
| Rank | Counters | Buy | Sell | Gain % | Gain % | Duration | Remarks | |
| Price | Price | Per Mth | ( Wks ) | |||||
| 1 | China Hong | $2.35 | $3.40 | 45% | 89% | 2 | Wks | Buy at End Jan or Early Feb 07. |
| 2 | Fabchem | $0.57 | $0.75 | 32% | 63% | 2 | Wks | May Buy Now ! |
| 3 | Magnus | $0.19 | $0.22 | 16% | 63% | 1 | Wks | May Buy Now ! |
| 4 | Yellow Pages | $1.20 | $1.55 | 29% | 39% | 3 | Wks | May Buy Now ! |
| 5 | SSH | $0.285 | $0.34 | 19% | 39% | 2 | Wks | May Buy Now ! |
| 6 | HL Asia | $1.80 | $2.35 | 31% | 35% | 3.5 | Wks | Buy at End Jan 07. |
| 7 | Macqlnt Infra | $0.98 | $1.12 | 14% | 29% | 2 | Wks | Buy at Early Feb 07. |
Hi idesa168
I would sleep easy if i have ur type of share portfolio.
yours is a good holding, keep it up, in trading share most of the time it's rotational, and holding power is very important. as long as it's not speculative, and as you say there are values, you are doing all the right thing..... you are on the way.....only if you are punting than you have to be sure and that day trading... ypur holding allow you to sleep well each nite...
Looks like Simon Loh is in great demand to analyse stocks holding. I would to join in the que...hehehe.
Dear Simon
I have made some $$ and lost some along the way when I started trading 8 yrs ago. After all those blunders and mistakes in the past,I had decided last year to liquidate all my stock holding which were bleeding $$ and concentrate on just a few stocks and keep adding on those that I had found "with value". Stock that gives out gd div and earning appreciate gradually each year will catch my eye.
Started to buy in middle of last year with a clean sheet, zero holding. I bought SMRT at $1.12 lots and subsequently added another 5 lots when it hit $1.19. Now the stock is at $1.47. I am still holding on, intend to hold for long long time. Do you think it's worth holding since I have made quite a handsome profit now.
Dec last year, started my fingers on SPH just before XD for $4.36 as the dividens was a handsome $0.17. Went in for 3 lots and it went down to $4.14 after XD. Quite disappointed then (even div in pocket), but surprised it came to live and started moving to now $4.66. But these 2 weeks, the share price is trading at very tight range and dropping at certain time. I wanted to add on more but no guts now as it had appreciated quite a bit from my last month trade price. Pls advise if I can add more now or hold for a further drop.
Begining of this year, I bought SPC at $4.14 (2 lots) after seeing the share price had drop quite abit from $5-6 plus and the volume at that moment was quite low. I see that energy stock will be in great demand in the coming months, hence interested in this stock. It also appreciated after I went in, now I think about $4.38. Recently the crude oil price go yoyo but the stock kept still, also trading at tight range. Do you think I can add on this stock further, also I got no guts trading this stock as you know, oil is very volatile comodity. Earning is up for last 4 years but 06 quite disappointing numbers. Pls advise.
Summary
5 lots SMRT $1.12
5 lots SMRT $1.19
3 lots SPH @ $4.36
2 lots SPC @ $4.14
If you realised I bought stocks that starts with "S"...hehe. Now I am eyeing on a very very small HK company Karin which was recommended by a forumer here. Went in to check in detail and surprising earning is consistant. Can you advise on this stock also. Thanks and sorry for this long tread...Cheers! I buy you beer after this...hahaha!
Hi Simon
Thank you for looking into my handful of hopeless shares. Will take your advice to hold till next high. Hope to see more recommendations from you soon.
Hi Simon,
Would like to seek your opinion on Unifiber which I bought at $0.28. Is it worth holding on? Thanks in advance.
Dear Simon;
Please see whether my addvaltech still got hope to rise , bought at 9.5 cents yesterday.Also whether global test still got hope ? bought at 36 cents last May and UTAC got at 94 cents in May too.!!
Thanks
ysh2006
Hi Simon,
Thanks for the great advice
You've been a such great help to our members here... :)
I have no doubt you'll have a huge following very soon... hehe...
Great work, Sir...
and thanks for your kind generosity..
Thanks simon. Although I did not send in my request but I do benfit from you analysis.
Thanks onve again.
Hi Simon,
Many Thanks for your valuable comments and advice.
- Jurong Tech.... not sell at 2.x but get dividend every year... I will consider to sell....thanks ...
- Longcheer....1st bought at 0.89 ...immediately dropped to 0.7x... so 2nd bought at 0.795...average : 0.84....
- Genting...1st bought at 1.17, 2nd bought at 1.14, 3rd bought at 1.01, 4th bought at 0.99.....average : 1.08......
- Starcruise...1st bought at 0.335 and 2nd bought at 0.32....I did plan to sell at 0.345 but fail....suddently....halt and open at around 0.5x...not sell at 0.6x...too greedy...:(
- Sappire - biught at 0.025 but did not sell at 0.06....too greedy..:(
- Bio-treat - 1st bought at 1.03....did not sell at 1.3x....too greedy..:(
- Actually, I am holding chartered (bought at 5.5) and StatsChP (bought at 4.9) for many years........don't know how to cut loss as well.....:(
- China Energy....1.16
- Asiapharm....0.78
- Ellipsiz....0.81....
- AdvaHLG....0.325.....
Continue from last part !
Forumer "Smltimer" last part miss-out ! See below !
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Smltimer
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CSC
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Hold
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Bad move ! You bought at wrong timing ! Now cycle low, stabilized at $0.25. Try to sell off at next high cycle !
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Abterra
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Hold
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You bought at high price again ! Now cycle low, sell at next high cycle !
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Hyflux
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Hold
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Don?t know how to advise on this ! You bought at high price ? & even now another cycle high again but you still have NOT recover your money. You can either double wait or cut loss ! If you not urgent need the money, can wait for the next cycle high & sell off.
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Guthrie
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Good Buy
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Out of the below 4 Stocks you selected. I think this one has the best potential ! Low price & already stabilized at $0.395. Expected Gain from $0.395 - $0.52 ( 32% gain ).
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Jadason
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Can Consider
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Can consider buy, but timing not so good ?. ! 2nd best choice ! Expected Gain from $0.28 - $0.33 ( 18 % gain ).
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Aus Grp
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Avoid Now
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Now at high price ? Avoid buying now ! Wait for cycle low to go in !
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OCBC
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Avoid Now
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Reaching cycle high soon ! Try not to go in now ! Wait for cycle low to go in ! This counter high cost & low profit gain ! Not worth your money à it will not maximize your ?Fire Power? with that kind of investment choice !
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Hi All,
Below are my review of your Stocks !
It is only a second opnion and a personal view from me. The indivual owner however should still made your own final accessment and decision !
Hope this can give you a better idea of where your Stocks are and help you to made more money ! Cheers !
Quick Reply :
1. Forumer "iPunter" --> Most Tech Stocks are good, more important is the price and entry timing of each individual Stocks. This has to review on a case by case basis !
Some Good Potential Counters --> see some of my comments on the below reviewed Stocks or you can select some and I can help you to review too !
2. Forumer "Maxtwl" --> I was in Engineering Background. Used to be an Engineer !
3. Forumer "Crumbs" --> thanks for your comments !
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S/No
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Forumer
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Counter
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Action
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Remarks
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1
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Minireddot
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Hiap Hoe
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Hold
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Good buy at $0.71 or lower. Sell off at next cycle high.
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BBR
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Hold
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Excellent buy at $0.14 or lower. Sell off at next cycle high.
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2
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Nipang
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CAO
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Hold
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You bought at the wrong timing. Never mind, continue to hold. Now price stabilized at $1.05. Try to let go around $1.10 - $1.15.
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Sapphire
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Hold
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Very Serious Mistake ! You bought at peak of the peak, unwise ! Can do nothing now ? just hold. Price stabilizing soon ? ! Sell at next cycle high.
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Let Go
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No Trend & Low Prospect ! Try to let go and get better stocks. Exit when you break-even !
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Hold
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Moving Up Trend soon ! To Sell off at next cycle high. Try NOT to select stocks that are in down trend mode. You are trying to catch a falling knife, very dangerous move !
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4
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Enyato
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Jurong Tech
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Exit
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Try to Exit when you can ! You already made 223 % in about 4 yrs. That?s 5% per mth, not bad. Time to sell, hold too long NO GOOD, lost in ?Opportunity Cost?. Try get another stock & do shorter timeframe to maximize your ?Fire Power?.
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Longcheer
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Hold
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You went in at a very good price & timing. Currently gain 38% in about half a yr. Eg. 6% per mth, not bad. Currently in cycle low, continue to hold, now $1.16 & let go around $1.65 in about 1-2 Mths time.
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Genting Int
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Hold
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Hold ? price currently stabilized at $0.98, wait for the cycle high & sell off.
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Star Cruise
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Hold
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Good buy ! Already gain 47% in 1 Mth. Price has dropped since 24 Jan 07 ? & going to stabilized soon. Continue to hold & sell at next cycle high.
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Sapphire
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Hold
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Very Good Buy ! Continue to hold. The SUN is coming out soon ? & is going to be very bright !
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Bio Treat
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Hold
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Bad move ! You should have cut loss when things are not right ! But now too late ! This one quite slow moving counter, try to change a fast moving one. Next up cycle is coming ? sell at the next high cycle in 1-3 weeks time.
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5
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Cheng55
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Star Cruise
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Hold
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You bought at $0.55 on 23 Jan 07 ? too high a price ! Serious Mistake ! Now $0.47, price already drop ? & stabilizing soon. Sell at next cycle high.
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Liang Beng
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Hold
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You consistently bought at WRONG TIMING ? at |
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Aqua Terra
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Hold
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I can no longer review your stocks anymore ? ! You have SERIOUS MISCONCEPT ? needs major concept overhaul ?! Wait till next cycle high again & sell off.
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Heng Xin
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Hold
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Wrong move again ? ! It is now on cycle low, wait for next cycle high again & sell off between $0.80 - $1.00 in about 3 ? 6 weeks time from now !
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Sapphire
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Hold
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Bad Move ! WRONG TIMING ! Now cycle low & going up soon ! Wait for next cycle high again & sell off.
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Hiap Hoe
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Hold
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Wrong Move ! Wait for next cycle high again & sell off.
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A-Sonic
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Hold
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Wrong buy timing ! Now cycle low. Wait for next cycle high again & sell off.
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6
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Smltimer
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CSC
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Hold
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Bad move ! You bought at wrong timing ! Now cycle low, stabilized at $0.25. Try to sell off at next high cycle !
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Abterra
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Hold
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You bought at high price again ! Now cycle low, sell at next high cycle !
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Hyflux
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Hold
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Don?t know how to advise on this ! You bought at high price ? & even now another cycle high again but you still have NOT recover your money. You can either double wait or cut loss ! If you not urgent need the money, can wait for the next cycle high & sell off.
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Guthrie
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Good Buy
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Out of the below 4 Stocks you selected. I think this one has the best potential ! Low price & already stabilized at $0.395. Expected Gain from $0.395 - $0.52 ( 32% gain ).
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