
It's not just tech stocks cheonging .....
To be specific, it's the semi-cons cheonging .....
Global Test ..... a super laggard .....
Global Test .....
Now STATS gap almost 22% .....
Hope Global Test will get it's fair share of good news .....
Like I say ..... if UTAC breaches the $1 again .....
Global may test $0.30 again .....
And hopefully it will be a BIG cheong .....
Just like what happened to the rest of the peers .....
So far .....
CSM cheonged .....
STATS cheonged .....
UTAC cheonged .....
Hopefully, it will be Global Test anytime soon .....
Futures green green ?
Couldn't believe your eyes right ?
STATS is only 5 cents away from yesterday. Will it surpass yesterday and turn positive ? Soon we will know.
Didn't someone said the Shanghai thing is just rumour ?
STATS very swee swee man.
Global Test will likely follow closely.
Target ..... to return back to 24.5 cents quickly ?
www.dbsvickers.com
S$0.255
FY06 Below
expectation
Buy
(Maintain)
FY07F: Unchg
FY08F: Unchg
S$0.37
(Prev: Unchg)
GTC SP
S$262.5m
US$171.2m
07 ?7.0x
08 ? 6.6x
07 ?0.9x
08 ?0.8x
Comment on Results Outlook Recommendation
Global Testing reported results that were
about 9% below our expectations due to
slower quarterly sales and higher than
expected forex losses. Sales were within
our expectations and Group?s earlier
guidance of 5% and 10% q-o-q decline.
Depreciation expenses increased 34%
which affected gross margins when
utilization fell below expectations in
4Q06. The drop in ASP in 4Q06 and the
tepid demand lead to the weak
profitability during the quarter. 4Q06 net
profit declined 55% qoq and 65% yoy. For
the full year, sales increased 33.5% while
net profit increased 15%
In the current quarter, Global
Testing expects sales to decline
18% to 22% over 4Q06 due to the
current weak market demand and
the shorter working period during
the quarter as a result of the
Chinese Spring Festival. As a result,
we estimate Global Test will report
a loss of between US$1m to US$3m.
Sales 17.4 18.8 17.0 -2% -10% Slower qoq and yoy sales due to the ongoing semiconductor inventory
correction by its key customers.
Gross Profit 9.7 8.7 5.3 -46% -40% Negative operating leverage effects as higher depreciation expenses were
incurred from the new capacity added during the year
EBIT 7.6 7.4 2.6 -66% -65% Incurred a forex loss in 4Q06 compared to forex gains in both 3Q06 and
4Q05
EI 0.0 0.0 0.0 nm nm
Pretax 7.3 7.1 2.2 -69% -68%
correction by its key customers.
Gross Profit 9.7 8.7 5.3 -46% -40% Negative operating leverage effects as higher depreciation expenses were
incurred from the new capacity added during the year
EBIT 7.6 7.4 2.6 -66% -65% Incurred a forex loss in 4Q06 compared to forex gains in both 3Q06 and
4Q05
EI 0.0 0.0 0.0 nm nm
Pretax 7.3 7.1 2.2 -69% -68%
incurred from the new capacity added during the year
EBIT 7.6 7.4 2.6 -66% -65% Incurred a forex loss in 4Q06 compared to forex gains in both 3Q06 and
4Q05
EI 0.0 0.0 0.0 nm nm
Pretax 7.3 7.1 2.2 -69% -68%
4Q05
EI 0.0 0.0 0.0 nm nm
Pretax 7.3 7.1 2.2 -69% -68%
-69% -68%Net Profit 7.4 5.8 2.6 -65% -55%
-65% -55%EPS (S cts) 1.07 0.85 0.38 -65% -55%
-65% -55%Hit a high of 26 cents yesterday .....
Immediate support now at 24 cents .....
Time to catch the slight dip .....
Looking at CSM, STATS and UTAC performances ..... technically, this Gloabl Test is a super laggard .....
i found that globaltest is really quite a lousy stock ... so fast reaching its G-spot and die down now to 0.235, phiu...
just another air bubble! sian.....