
SGX recent 1Q2014 earnings above estimate, despite market volatility due to U.S. tapering and debt issues. SGX to introduce more derivative products, securities activities likely to improve in the coming months.. smart longists huat ar!
  how nice.. :)
WanSiTong ( Date: 26-Jul-2013 10:35) Posted:
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CIMB TP : 8.69 Outperform
 
 
 
Many little positives
SGX kicked off its FY14 by beating expectations handsomely. Securities clearing fees rate was higher-than-expected. Listing fees crept up and tech expenses growth was curbed. With new products to cement its position as the derivatives exchange of Asia, we turn positive.
1Q14 profit (S$92.3m) was 10% above our expectations and 11% above the Street?s. 1Q was 25% of FY14 estimates, more than we expected as 3Q (Jan-Mar) is typically stronger. The beat came from a variety of factors, which we think can keep up. We raise our FY14-16 EPS by 10-17%, roll forward our DDM-based target price to S$8.69 and upgrade from Underperform to Outperform. Catalysts include new derivatives products gaining traction.
What went right?
1) Securities revenue (38% of the total) came in strong as the clearing rate rose to 3.2bp (vs. average of 2.9bp). The higher rate was due to a low proportion of capped trades as retail activity rose and institutional trades shifted to a more diversified pool of smaller stocks. Although the 3.2bp rate is a little high and will recede, the focus on smaller names in Singapore means that the clearing rate should be higher than before.
  2) Listing fees (6% of total) crept up. This was due to a phased increase of listing fees and more rights and bonds issuances. The full effect of the fees hike is yet to be felt.
  3) Technology expenses did not rise as guided. SGX has guided for a rise in costs in FY14, but we think the original cost guidance was too high.
Earnings drivers in 2H14
We believe there are two key earnings catalysts to look for in 2H14-FY15. The first is the increase in listing fees which will come into full effect in 2H14. The second is the launch of new derivative products (Thai and the Philippines index futures) and further traction in the derivative space.
Our favourite: derivatives
Interestingly, derivative open interest rose 6% qoq in a quarter where volumes fell 16%. As products come on and add to client stickiness, there are clear signs that SGX is becoming the derivatives exchange of choice in Asia. We believe that is the key reason to buy SGX.
https://brokingrfs.cimb.com/iJFFMxRR2H2p1-2SDnfdKfkyAsXLnryKdTaymeI-R8gxPW9Gud0QLvuF1d3nhRZ515AlTGYYw5c1.pdf
 
 
17 October 2013
SGX reports first-quarter net profit of $92 million
?
? Operating profit: $107 million, up 21%
? Net profit: $92 million, up 24%
? Earnings per share: 8.6 cents, up 24%
? Interim dividend per share: 4.0 cents
 
For the full SGX Financial Statements announcement, please visit www.sgx.com.
Technically SGX show potential rebound from here.
http://mystocksinvesting.com/singapore-stocks/singapore-exchange-sgx/singapore-exchange-sgx-rebound-from-here/
 
WanSiTong ( Date: 04-Oct-2013 17:17) Posted:
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Singapore Exchange - Continued positive outlook on shift towards Equities
Written By Stock Fanatic on Friday, October 4, 2013
What is the news?
SGX Ltd will be announcing its 1Q14 results on 17 Oct 2013. Based on monthly statistics recently released by SGX, 1Q14?s SDAV decreased (17.5%) q-q, (1.8%) y-y to S$1.329 billion. DDAV was (19.4%) weaker q-q, but 35.4% y-y to 0.415 million contracts.
How do we view this?
Due to economic concerns during the quarter, q-q trading activities for both the Securities and Derivatives were weaker than expected. On a y-y basis, 1Q14?s revenue is expected to be higher. Securities revenue is expected to be higher due to higher expected yield per dollar traded mitigating the marginally lower SDAV. Derivatives revenue is also expected to be higher due to the y-y higher DDAV. 
On a q-q basis, we expect lower revenue due to the lower trading activities for both Securities and Derivatives. 
On outlook, we continue to be positive for Securities and Derivatives. Markets are likely to be quieter relative to the earlier part of this year on concerns over both the pace of recovery of the global economy, and assessments over QE tapering by the US Fed. 
However, we continue to expect higher interest in global equities. Trading activities for both Securities and Derivatives are expected to increase as investors shift their interest from yield to growth. Continued q-q volatility is however expected.
Investment Actions?
We are positive on SGX on 
1) Higher Securities revenue forecast 
2) Strong Derivatives revenue 
3) Attractive dividends, with potential for increase. 
We adjust our forecast to reflect the lower SDAV and DDAV revenue expectations, but continued positive FY14 outlook. Based on our unchanged PE multiple of 24X, and lowered EPS of S$0.33, we derive a revised Target price of S$7.90. Based on current share price, we maintain our ?Buy? rating. (Read Report)
Source : Phillip Securities Research
Update on supports and resistances.
Pivot: 7.1
Our preference: Long positions above 7.1 with targets @ 7.55 & 7.68 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 7.1 look for further downside with 6.95 & 6.8 as targets.
Comment: the RSI calls for a rebound.
Key levels
7.85
7.68
7.55
7.33 last
7.1
6.95
6.8
Copyright 1999 - 2013 TRADING CENTRAL

hotokee ( Date: 28-Jul-2013 10:13) Posted:
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Be careful, don't be over confident.
Evidence showing bearishness on the horizon for global stocks and Singapore stocks may not like to be standing on their own. Most of the time STI will copy other markets.
Two clear signals are there raring the ugly head for the coming of the bears.
1.   The divergence in US Shares, where indices continuing upwards but many shares are falling down.
2.   China slower growth can cause concerns for investors as this also affects American stocks having their investments in China.   Only Chinese property counters are worthwhile because as the economy weakens, land and development resources will be cheaper and   helps future growth and profitability of these companies.
3. Britain is recovering from recession and this will attract investments that pull out from the US causing more catalysts for US shares to fall as a result. When US markets fall, we in Singapore will become more kiasu.
Thus I warn that a bear is coming.   It is just a matter of time.   But how long the market will stay bearish after that, who knows? 
 
FV from $6.80 to $8.10 ..this shows what a joker is capable of doing.
MrSGX never depend on the so-called analysts' TP/FA out there, read read only no harm but never follow.. best to depend on own analysis.
SGX is a blue-chip with zero debt n tremendous growth potential.. MrSGX not surprise if its share price say hallo to $10 n above anytime.
..

 
WanSiTong ( Date: 27-Jul-2013 23:06) Posted:
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and don't forget they are going to increase the maintenance fees  for the listed Cos. Huat ah !
  Bottom line will be boosted !!

Mr_SGX ( Date: 26-Jul-2013 10:28) Posted:
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