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Prepare for trading on Bear market!

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cashiertan
    21-Nov-2007 23:34  
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however based on my proprietary OBOS indicator, we still have more to go. possible 3200 region will be touched this week or next before the technical rebound to form the M & A pattern

 

weekly chart, STI may or can touches 2800 before bounce up for a valid long term uptrend

however if 2800 is breached, than we will be likely into recession. 
 
 
cashiertan
    21-Nov-2007 23:26  
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good post collin, plz do a chart analysis for DOW too. thanks.

 
 
 
collinseow
    21-Nov-2007 22:23  
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2 cents worth on the STI . my personal view

First on the STI monthly chart,
STI has been rally since early 2003, uptrendline has become steeper from mid 2006 showing public partcipation in the stock market. Recently, we had a steep correction , however the STI is still far from the long term trend line showing that there will be more correction in the long term.
However, we have to note that the uptrend is still intact.

Now to the weekly charts,
STI has support at the 50MA, RSI remain at around 50 indicating the market is still not oversold in the weekly chart.

Now to daily charts,
Daily chart show that momentum is at the extreme now.The last time this happen was the correction in Aug, on the daily chart, market look extremely oversold.
A technical rebounce may happen any time now.

Please go to www.collinseow.com to look at the charts

 
 

 
01101749
    21-Nov-2007 22:12  
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from bloomberg,  sell below Aug 16 low is sell signal for Dow theory. nothing is 100%
 
 
01101749
    21-Nov-2007 21:46  
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my opinion.

12000 dow should be comming on panic selling 1-3 weeks. 

STI likely fall 2400 or so.  we mighty see buying at dow low.
 
 
01101749
    21-Nov-2007 21:13  
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DOW comming close to test or break support 12800.
 

 
01101749
    21-Nov-2007 21:05  
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feels like bear market?  maket keep falling and rebound and go lower, pattern keeps repeating.

Thoses who keep buying on dips and thinks it's a rebound will keep bleeding cash as market goes lower and lower. Best thing to do is stay away. put your money in the bank for short term traders. maket keeps falling and falling, cant get up!Smiley    it's the sad truth. some say china will support stock market. Well STI link to US, When US goes down so does STI and the rest.
 
 
Manikamaniko.
    19-Nov-2007 06:21  
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Jackjames... :)

No lah... because the words are so big that I thought it's so much emotional elation... hehehe... Smiley

Anyway, it's only human to feel euphoria, elation, etc... when great news is experienced...  
 
 
cashiertan
    19-Nov-2007 03:31  
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jack james, avoid the newspapers and media unless it is news not abt the economy.
 
 
jackjames
    18-Nov-2007 21:00  
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very emotional response ar? aiyaa.. don't be wet blanket lei...

didn' listen to our master Livermore said meh? holding power ! I only hold not more than 1 month, u start to pull my legs, aiyooo..

must far sighted mah... correct or not.
 

 
Manikamaniko.
    18-Nov-2007 20:52  
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What an emotional response (elation) !!!... Smiley
 
 
jackjames
    18-Nov-2007 20:03  
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After reading today The Sunday Times Property Buying Guides, my confidence in properties and construction rise again, let's cheong until 2009!!!!!!!
 
 
cashiertan
    18-Nov-2007 17:39  
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i ask them google it becoz they /he may find a cheaper retail price than on the wed. i got mine charting software at 30% discount before or they can buy it from others who are selling theirs.
 
 
nickshot
    18-Nov-2007 15:41  
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Bros, which data service provider do you use with Metastock?. Do they provide EOD or intraday prices? Grateful for your advices.
 
 
thomaskw
    18-Nov-2007 13:12  
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cashiertan
    18-Nov-2007 12:35  
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google it

 
 
 
Elidor
    18-Nov-2007 12:11  
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Where can you buy it or how do I find more information about this metastock? My trading account at ocbc does not have much analysis.
 
 
Manikamaniko.
    18-Nov-2007 09:57  
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Yes, if you buy Metastock for your PC, you also need to subscribe to a data service... Smiley
 
 
cashiertan
    18-Nov-2007 09:55  
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no offence but just gonna say something,

 

for me, i wouldnt bother use nikkei as the indicator whether we will be going to bear market at all, why?

nikkei is not the major indicator for STI or the asia as we dun export to japan as much, in fact we import from them more.

next nikkei if dip abit will be good as

1)it makes the yen weaker. solve the rising yen issue

2)it makes the BOJ a good reason to keep the increase the interest low or lower it ! the rally since 2003 has been mainly to US economy and also the low yen interest rates which many institution borrowed trillions to dump into the stocks market. if japan is to do well and have to increase the interest rate, the institutions would 1)withdraw the $ from the stocks market to pay back japan 2)take a gamble to play a while more till the interest rate reach the breaking level which they have to pay back japan.

for me, i think institution would do the 1st options as they will have much lesser risk.

3)with declining japan but rising china and india would force money out of japan into other markets in asia which wil be good for especially HSI and indirectly us becoz of the china stocks in sti.

lastly, i think if u see the market chart well for the past histroy, sti is not link to nikkei anymore or as much now. HSI and dow has more impact to us than before. well all i can say is that i wont consider nikkei bearishness as a major reason for concern. thou it can be one of the concern.

conclusion: dun bother much with the posting by 01101749 on the bearish yet. we may have a rally or 2 before the recession comes.

we should pay more attention to DOW and HSI and SSE more!

 

Cheers!
 
 
Elidor
    18-Nov-2007 09:36  
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How do you get this metastock? You need to buy it?
 
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