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Risktaker forecast

Starter Sat 15 Sep 12 - 8248

Second Wed 05 Sep 12 -9780 

Any numbers for today ? Master Risktaker? 

risktaker      ( Date: 01-Sep-2012 08:40) Posted: 1) 4882 2) 2995 3) 8790 Ang Bao from ＂ 好 兄 弟 公 ＂

 

thanks for sharing.... Huat!!!!!

risktaker      ( Date: 01-Sep-2012 08:40) Posted: 1) 4882 2) 2995 3) 8790 Ang Bao from ＂ 好 兄 弟 公 ＂

 

1) 4882
2) 2995
3) 8790
Ang Bao from ＂ 好 兄 弟 公 ＂

 

Wow Bern say no QE for now how "unexpected" lol

 

ok everyone.. quick quick place ur bets...

and it's friday!!!

wat's the 4 numbers again ? :D

 

Hehe hehe ..... Market already turn cautious ...... But market havent disappointed by the fed so far ...... So if bern disappoint market tonight ...... U can say 10% dip coming :)

skk888      ( Date: 31-Aug-2012 12:49) Posted: What's your margin of error?  risktaker      ( Date: 31-Aug-2012 11:36) Posted: QE3 will be delayed ...... 99.9% confirmed ......

 

What's your margin of error? 

risktaker      ( Date: 31-Aug-2012 11:36) Posted: QE3 will be delayed ...... 99.9% confirmed ......

 

QE3 will be delayed ...... 99.9% confirmed ......

 

My father told me recently he went market .... He saw people buying juicy apple.......... At high price ask me to bring out our apple and sell it to them .... We have been selling since 2 days ago.....

Correction won't be a straight line ..... When it start ride on it .... It will be fast and furious ......

 

Just as we expected fed mins say "more easing is warranted unless conditions improved" ..... Like we expected QE3 will be delivered in sept.....
However this round it will not do much to the overly run equity....
1) Iran - US and his buddies are planning something. Since neg failed. However military action is still unlikely at this stage.
2) Greece is asking for extension for its austerity measures..... Which I do not think it will work .... It is very likely that Greece may leave EU within 6-12 months period
3) Will ECB gain its ultimate pay master Germany vote on its proposed measures to save EU ? No one knows because Germany is too smart ..... They seriously played this crisis so well... Before the crisis Germany has never have so much power ..... Now it's different .... I believed Germany will eventually do agreed but in return they will demand more....
The world is getting more chaotic each day ..... Order are falling in some places .... But it will be restored the question is how and when ....

We are in correction mode now .... It won't be a straight line down but with ups and more downs... Good luck...

 

 

In June 2012 posted


Bob Janjuah, Nomura's famously bearish strategist, has some good news and bad news.The Good News

Janjuah forecasts a near-term rally in the stock market.  He had two main reasons.




" Sentiment has gotten very, very bearish," he said.  " Sentiment is at an extreme."

But more bullish than that is the bearish sentiment toward Greece.

" There seems to be an expectation that Greece is suddenly going to exit the euro next week," he said.  " It seems to us that this is not correct."

Janjuah didn't say specifically how much higher this would send stocks.

The Bad News

Janjuah notes that there will be more dovish signaling and monetary easing from the world's central banks.  He thinks we'll eventually get a new " Operation Twist" type program from the Federal Reserve and some sort of deposit insurance scheme from the European Central Bank (ECB).

Again, these are bullish stock market drivers in the near-term.  But they will also be the cause of the stock market collapse.

" None of these fixes are really fixes," he said.

Once the jig is up, stocks will tumble.  Janjuah thinks stock could fall all the way to 1,000 by the end of the year.

Today BOB Janjuah says

In a research note published on Tuesday, the long-term bear who called the recent rally for U.S. stocks said he expects investors to be back in risk-off mode until the U.S. election is over.

“I now think the correct thing to do — as I also said in April and June — is to prepare for a serious risk-off phase between August and November…over the August to November period I am looking for the S& P 500 [.SPX  1421.81    3.68  (+0.26%)   ] to trade off down from around 1400…by 20 to 25 percent...to trade at or below the lows of 2011.”

Janjuah expects the dollar to be a big beneficiary if the S& P 500 does fall as sharply as he predicts.

“This coming major risk-off phase will, in my view, also be very dollar bullish and bullish core government bonds,” said Janjuah, who thinks 10-year debt in the U.S., Germany and the U.K. could hit just one percent, and who is predicting more quantitative easing from the Federal Reserve in December.

Those hoping for a big bazooka from the Fed or the European Central Bank before December will be disappointed, he said.

We expect “Mr Bernanke to disappoint markets at Jackson Hole next week, and also because we are confident that markets will soon discover that neither the ECB nor Eurozone politicians will actually be able to deliver on their promises,” Janjuah said.

“For now we are happy to risk 30 S& P points against us, in order to potentially pick up 300 S& P points in our favor.”

 

Hahahha apple chiong till the sky ..... Target 700 before iPhone 5 releases .... Once the last product "iphone 5" of legendary designer Steve jobs hit the market sell ...... Apple TV without Steve jobs ..... Unlikely to hit the market ....... Samsung is coming with Note2 and new galaxy series ...... Sell apple soon and buy Samsung .....

 

Yes pretty much 99.9% .....

rutheone1905      ( Date: 03-Aug-2012 09:24) Posted: QE 3 will be announced in sept together with actions from ECB Risk u sure abt above? hope many many ppl will buy b4 FOMC.......hahahaha FOMC date: 12/9 ~ 14/9 chiong n up the mkt.......yessssss

 

QE 3 will be announced in sept together with actions from ECB

Risk u sure abt above? hope many many ppl will buy b4 FOMC.......hahahaha

FOMC date: 12/9 ~ 14/9

chiong n up the mkt.......yessssss 

 

 

So guys don't be disappointed ..... It's all expected like I discuss about QE3 in June and July .... QE 3 will be announced in sept together with actions from ECB ......

However Everyone has to know 3 scenario.

1) if market remain resilience and refuse to correct..... There won't be much upside once fed and ECB finally act. It's likely to have a short pump and dump..... And fall... Reason global economy slump ......

2) if there's a 5-10% correction it is a healthy move ..... Where they flush out the weak players ..... Then stock market could go higher .....

3) if market remain too bullish and price keep running .... It may setup a scenario which u see quite similar in last 3 months of 2007 ....... But it's unlikely ...... As many CPF investment account has been milk .....


But given the above .... Scenario 2 will likely to be the case as We expect Weak results from some coy..... That may dampen market sentiment ..... Aug will be the quiet month ...... Unless unexpected events occurred .... Case 2 it is ....

 

CFO resign..... Coy announced profit guidance ..... CFO resign is a serious matter...... Not good to be in this stock ....

viromics      ( Date: 02-Aug-2012 17:05) Posted: Dear Risktaker, Appreciated so much!  Guess you are one kind  shark and know the game, I am just a very small shrimp, no way to  control anything, just to minimize my loss. BTW, what's your view on  Metech Int? thanks,

 

Dear Risktaker,

Appreciated so much!  Guess you are one kind  shark and know the game, I am just a very small shrimp, no way to  control anything, just to minimize my loss. BTW, what's your view on  Metech Int? thanks,

 

There is a grey area here since often we do key in wrong direction..instead of sell we buy and click the button too fast and bought our own stocks.    It is possible for anyone to buy his own queue by mistake.  So they will probably give you chance, upto a certain limit of time, maybe 3 times or maybe 5 times for the mistakes.  I made these mistakes too, and it could be costly considering the amount of double brokerage fees you are paying.  But BBs will do it secretly via other accounts as it is not easy for SGX to check on them

 

Yes..... It is possible .... One typical example is TT int ..... Could be one..... Cos who will invest coy like this ? That could potentially bankrupt if deal is off.....

TT int is not a coy that retailers should buy and invest ......

Also stock manipulation is illegal. Don't play play .....

It is very grey though because how many BB are there in SG ..... There are certain grps of BB who only play penny's and another grps who play blue chip ..... So the circle is relatively small ..... So sometimes they are unintentionally trading within themselves and found out only when they meet and know each other.....

Also there are traders that like to trade in counters that have volume ..... As it is easiler for them to get out/in with big lots.... Like there are certain stocks that always hover 1-2 bids and with big volume that makes it a good trading stock ...... Because if u can be the first in the queue to buy and first u the queue to sell..... U are 99% sure win .....

Stock manuniplation happens in all counters..... If they want to clear up the streets ...... There will be no BB left and Singapore market will be dead..... Theres a limit of tolerance .... So once this limit is hit ..... Authority will likely to come after u and invite u for kopi ...... So don't push over thier limit .....

Hopes that answer ur question.....

viromics      ( Date: 02-Aug-2012 15:04) Posted: Hi, Risktaker, A bizarre question stayed in my  mind and cannot kick it out. Do you think it is possible for BBs have two or  more  accounts for trading one particular stock, one is to sell to another, or buy from another,  making a fake movement of stock price, or manupulate the stock price, without  real gain or loss or  just marginal gain or loss.

 

Hi, Risktaker,

A bizarre question stayed in my  mind and cannot kick it out. Do you think it is possible for BBs have two or  more  accounts for trading one particular stock, one is to sell to another, or buy from another,  making a fake movement of stock price, or manupulate the stock price, without  real gain or loss or  just marginal gain or loss.