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Singtel Bullish???

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arowana1
    26-Apr-2008 18:50  
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bollinger band tight so big swing expected?  accu/dist upwards?  stochastic crossover showing uptrend?

noob ta.  im going in Smiley

experts, pls alert me if im doing a harakiri here... thanks!
 
 
viruz7667
    26-Apr-2008 18:38  
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SingTel
April 25 close: S$3.82
Deutsche Bank, April 24


THE Sing dollar's (S$) strengthening is another reason to be cautious on SingTel at current prices. Given SingTel's substantial non-S$ exposure, forex trends are important. In FY07, SingTel benefited as the Sing dollar weakened against key currencies, supporting the group's P&L and valuation. But recent S$ strength will hamper non-S$ consolidation into group P&L and potentially valuation.

For example, we estimate for every 10 per cent S$ trends above our overall expectations, our SingTel valuation declines by 8 per cent. As such, given the high valuation of the Singapore / Australia operations, the strengthening S$ is another reason to remain relatively cautious.

The S$ is now strengthening against many of SingTel's component currencies, including the Indian rupee (+8 per cent since January 2008), Philippine peso (+10 per cent), and Thai baht (+12 per cent). Against the Indonesian rupiah, the S$ has hit new two-year highs. Only against the Australian dollar has the S$ been relatively stable over the last few months.

A stronger S$ will constrain non-S$ contributions (includes Optus) and affect future P&L forecasts. For example, we estimate Q4 2008 forex rates will constrain SingTel's Q4 2008 associate contributions by approximately 3 per cent q-o-q, and longer-term P&L forecasts could be optimistic if S$ further strengthens.

In addition, a stronger S$ will also impair valuation (for example, if S$ is 10 per cent stronger versus the Indian rupee than our forecast, then SingTel's total valuation would be reduced by 2.5 per cent). At this stage we maintain our forecasts (forex, P&L and valuation), but relative S$ strength is another reason to be cautious.

Our sum-of-the-parts valuation is based on Singapore's operations at $0.91 per share, Optus at $0.92 per share, listed associates under our coverage at TP, listed associates not under our coverage at market value and investment value for all others. Maintain 'hold' and the $3.95 TP for SingTel.
HOLD
 
 
Naproxen
    25-Apr-2008 09:14  
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Ok bull, have to continue and continue to believe its a never die counter.
 

 
ilovebull
    25-Apr-2008 08:48  
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Hi Naproxen,  not to worry with this blue chip counter.  I have confidence in this counter though not vested currently.  Vested many times previously and profited from it :)
 
 
Naproxen
    25-Apr-2008 08:19  
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AK, 3.86 you also want to Q ??? I kena stuck with 3.84 two days ago. Saw it coming down to 3.79 yesterday. A bit panick now. But nevermind lah, come to worst just hold.
 
 
AK_Francis
    25-Apr-2008 00:55  
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Oh no, AK Q at 3.71 after market closed. Now, DJ is high, may Q again 3.82 after this. However, if DJ later surge high, then will up the stake to 3.86. Cheers.

Alligator      ( Date: 24-Apr-2008 23:11) Posted:

May 14.

 

 
Alligator
    24-Apr-2008 23:11  
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May 14.
 
 
eltan1
    24-Apr-2008 23:09  
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When will the FY08 result be announced?
 
 
Farmer
    24-Apr-2008 21:56  
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Haha! A good chance to collect more before the coming FY08 result which should yield good divds. 
 
 
viruz7667
    24-Apr-2008 21:54  
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soon 3.69?
 

 
winsontkl
    24-Apr-2008 21:22  
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Oops break thru $3.80....
 
 
Naproxen
    23-Apr-2008 21:09  
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Bought at 3.84
 
 
winsontkl
    23-Apr-2008 21:07  
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 Noticed volume is high and slightly bearish....any TA advice...
 
 
zhenxian
    23-Apr-2008 13:22  
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News Release
SingTel to build a multi-million dollar state-of-the-art
green data centre


Kim Chuan Telecommunications Centre 2 to set
new standards in Managed Hosting Services


Singapore, 23 April 2008 - Singapore Telecommunications Limited (SingTel) announced
today that it will build a new state-of-the-art data centre at Kim Chuan, equipped to deliver
highly secure and reliable network infrastructure services.

 

http://info.sgx.com/webcorannc.nsf/ef3ba6cb188613ea482571b2003641d3/6565cbb842886f9a4825743400183452?OpenDocument
 
 
AK_Francis
    23-Apr-2008 10:38  
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3.81, good price. Not enough bullets leow. Wait after Kepcorp, Kepland and SPC XD loh.
 

 
Farmer
    23-Apr-2008 10:08  
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Well, I manage to get some at 3.81 last week...... 3.7x is a definite buy for me, but will in come before its FY08 results?
 
 
AK_Francis
    23-Apr-2008 09:45  
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3.7xxx ah, hoe shei leow, confirm grab leow. He he.
 
 
Naproxen
    23-Apr-2008 08:53  
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AK, this whole week will seem abit bearish. It may touch 3.7+

AK_Francis      ( Date: 23-Apr-2008 01:26) Posted:

 If DJ remains bearish after mid day, then SingTel gonna be chipped off 2morow leow. Try 3.83 loh. Lagi best if falls below 3.80. Cheers.

 
 
AK_Francis
    23-Apr-2008 01:26  
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 If DJ remains bearish after mid day, then SingTel gonna be chipped off 2morow leow. Try 3.83 loh. Lagi best if falls below 3.80. Cheers.
 
 
Naproxen
    22-Apr-2008 23:35  
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At 3.90, 0.16 dividend is above 4%. Sounds good.
 
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