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junction
    02-Nov-2009 17:39  
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So Phillips Sec has changed tack.  I remember someone in this forum quoted Phillips fair value x rights as 12.5 cts and now, just a couple of months later it is 17 cts.  By the way it never reached 12.5 cts.  With the convervation price about 23 cts, NAV 26 cts, well what do you know?  Do your own homework.

tradersgx      ( Date: 01-Nov-2009 23:22) Posted:



Frasers Commercial Trust
Oct 26 close: $0.155
PHILLIP SECURITIES RESEARCH, Oct 26

FRASERS Commercial Trust (FCOT) announced results for 9M FY2009, which is also the full year result for FY2009 because the financial year-end was changed from Dec 31 to Sept 30. For the three months ended Sept 30, gross revenue came in at $25.7 million (down 3.4 per cent y-o-y, up 13.3 per cent q-o-q), net property income was $20.0 million (down 0.6 per cent y-o-y, up 12.3 per cent q-o-q) and distributable income was $6.1 million (down 23.9 per cent y-o-y, up 10.4 per cent q-o-q).

Distribution per unit (DPU) for the quarter was 0.2 cents and total DPU for the nine months was 1.65 cents. Overall, financial performance was better in FY2008 compared to FY2009. In our opinion, the office market remains weak and should remain subdued at least in the next quarter. For FCOT, master leases of Alexandra Technopark and China Square as well as the annual rent increment of Caroline Chisholm provide stability to its revenue. We estimate this contribution to be approximately 46 per cent of FY2010F revenue. FCOT will also be drawing down its Australian dollar loan facility so as to create a natural hedge of its revenue contribution from Australia; this will then minimise foreign exchange uncertainty leading to greater stability of DPU.

As mentioned in our previous report, the repositioning of FCOT by management takes time to crystallise and we are now seeing plans being implemented. We roll forward our discounted-cash-flow valuation into FY2010F, which gives us a fair value of $0.17. Our DPU forecast for FY2010F is 1.11 cents, which translates to a dividend yield of 7.16 per cent. Our valuation has not factored in the conversion of the convertible perpetual preferred units whose conversion price is $0.2369.
HOLD

 

 
 
nickyng
    02-Nov-2009 13:56  
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hmm...punters seems to hv forgotten about this burger....dont seems to break up from 15cts level too....mother share  overhagn

due to Rights issues sometime back? ?? :P
 
 
tradersgx
    01-Nov-2009 23:22  
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Frasers Commercial Trust
Oct 26 close: $0.155
PHILLIP SECURITIES RESEARCH, Oct 26

FRASERS Commercial Trust (FCOT) announced results for 9M FY2009, which is also the full year result for FY2009 because the financial year-end was changed from Dec 31 to Sept 30. For the three months ended Sept 30, gross revenue came in at $25.7 million (down 3.4 per cent y-o-y, up 13.3 per cent q-o-q), net property income was $20.0 million (down 0.6 per cent y-o-y, up 12.3 per cent q-o-q) and distributable income was $6.1 million (down 23.9 per cent y-o-y, up 10.4 per cent q-o-q).

Distribution per unit (DPU) for the quarter was 0.2 cents and total DPU for the nine months was 1.65 cents. Overall, financial performance was better in FY2008 compared to FY2009. In our opinion, the office market remains weak and should remain subdued at least in the next quarter. For FCOT, master leases of Alexandra Technopark and China Square as well as the annual rent increment of Caroline Chisholm provide stability to its revenue. We estimate this contribution to be approximately 46 per cent of FY2010F revenue. FCOT will also be drawing down its Australian dollar loan facility so as to create a natural hedge of its revenue contribution from Australia; this will then minimise foreign exchange uncertainty leading to greater stability of DPU.

As mentioned in our previous report, the repositioning of FCOT by management takes time to crystallise and we are now seeing plans being implemented. We roll forward our discounted-cash-flow valuation into FY2010F, which gives us a fair value of $0.17. Our DPU forecast for FY2010F is 1.11 cents, which translates to a dividend yield of 7.16 per cent. Our valuation has not factored in the conversion of the convertible perpetual preferred units whose conversion price is $0.2369.
HOLD

 
 

 
bluebox11
    17-Sep-2009 17:45  
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Think some big player is controlling the price for this counter....

beckleong      ( Date: 17-Sep-2009 13:46) Posted:

What is the TP for this counter?  Any sifus can advise?

 
 
beckleong
    17-Sep-2009 13:46  
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What is the TP for this counter?  Any sifus can advise?
 
 
wongkz
    14-Sep-2009 23:31  
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my intention is to accumulate this counter for long term.

neglecting short term fluctuations, anyone foresee any issues w tis counter eg, cash flow, refinancing issues?
 

 
freeme
    14-Sep-2009 18:22  
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no news.. but its chart currently look nice to entry.. but at the same time, it might not move much unless BB comes in. too many shares floating in the mkt liao.

denn_goh      ( Date: 14-Sep-2009 17:01) Posted:

Thanks alot Alligator.

Got any upcoming news for this counter :)



Alligator      ( Date: 14-Sep-2009 16:54) Posted:

Dividend had nothing to do with broker

If u are entitled, then CDP will send you CHEQUE to your registered address.

If you choose to direct credit to you bank, you should have it already.

Be sure to check when you bought, in order to be entitled, u must buy cum dividend, or on or before 3 Aug



 
 
denn_goh
    14-Sep-2009 17:01  
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Thanks alot Alligator.

Got any upcoming news for this counter :)



Alligator      ( Date: 14-Sep-2009 16:54) Posted:

Dividend had nothing to do with broker

If u are entitled, then CDP will send you CHEQUE to your registered address.

If you choose to direct credit to you bank, you should have it already.

Be sure to check when you bought, in order to be entitled, u must buy cum dividend, or on or before 3 Aug



denn_goh      ( Date: 14-Sep-2009 16:49) Posted:

Hi any idea how to check from my poems account? Thanks in advance.



 
 
Alligator
    14-Sep-2009 16:54  
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Dividend had nothing to do with broker

If u are entitled, then CDP will send you CHEQUE to your registered address.

If you choose to direct credit to you bank, you should have it already.

Be sure to check when you bought, in order to be entitled, u must buy cum dividend, or on or before 3 Aug



denn_goh      ( Date: 14-Sep-2009 16:49) Posted:

Hi any idea how to check from my poems account? Thanks in advance.



Thinkfirst      ( Date: 14-Sep-2009 16:24) Posted:

Hi, yes, it has been credited to our acct on 28 Aug


 
 
denn_goh
    14-Sep-2009 16:49  
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Alligator
    14-Sep-2009 16:47  
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I read your old posts.

it seems you talked about FCOT rights around Aug 12.

Whatever date you bought,, you need to take note that EX-dividend is on 4 Aug.

So if you buy either mother shares or rights shares on or after Aug 4, then you are not entilted for the dividend.



denn_goh      ( Date: 14-Sep-2009 15:55) Posted:


 
 
Thinkfirst
    14-Sep-2009 16:24  
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denn_goh
    14-Sep-2009 15:55  
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MikeL2009
    02-Sep-2009 09:44  
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This morning opened at 15.5. You got it? I got another 20 lots.Smiley

jiehuangsg      ( Date: 01-Sep-2009 23:09) Posted:



I am waiting for $0.155 for so long but never get it. May go up anytime?

 
 
jiehuangsg
    01-Sep-2009 23:09  
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I am waiting for $0.155 for so long but never get it. May go up anytime?
 

 
freeme
    01-Sep-2009 22:44  
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if gt 0.14 im going to take liao.. ;) also waiting

tedlim_me      ( Date: 01-Sep-2009 22:25) Posted:

hmm.. i'm with commando.. waiting and hoping for 0.13.. 

 
 
Zelphon
    01-Sep-2009 22:42  
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It will come when Q3 result release..

Massive dilution will reduce DPU..

Then we can see dumping action... 
 
 
tedlim_me
    01-Sep-2009 22:25  
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hmm.. i'm with commando.. waiting and hoping for 0.13.. 
 
 
bigbaby
    01-Sep-2009 21:55  
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Going to Q for 100 lots at 0.155. Long term.
 
 
junction
    01-Sep-2009 19:21  
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A few of us pool our money to buy this share. My share is very small compared to my friends'.  One of us is more savvy and has the time to research and take care of the movement of the market so we leave it to him to do the trading after discussing and coming to a concensus the previous day.  He sms us as soon as any trade is done.  We like this counter for a few reasons one of which is the fact that it is easy to get in and out.  Another is we feel  confident we can get much better returns than putting our money in the bank say within a 3 month period although we can wait longer.  Of course we cannot say how much it will go up or down.  That depends on the market. How many lots do I consider as significant?  That depends on the affordability of the individual.  One good advice I have been given from the more experienced investors is not to use money I cannot afford to lose.  That way I don't have to bother about the fluctuations in the price of the counter as long as I feet it will move up within my timeframe. 



MikeL2009      ( Date: 01-Sep-2009 09:37) Posted:

How many lots do consider as significant? I got 40 lots, and am looking to get another 20. Would 60 lots be significant for this stock? I personally think this is the minimum.

 
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