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CapitaLand: Too early to bottom fish

 Post Reply 1721-1740 of 1965
 
Sept11
    06-May-2008 13:05  
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Market sentiment still weak. Typical months of May & June that you would see flooding of buy call from stock houses. This counter will XD  (20cent) tomorrow. Guess the worst is not over yet.......Tempted to go in this morning. Let's see how's the price movement tomorrow.....What goes up will goes down eventually.... 
 
 
Stupidbear
    06-May-2008 11:13  
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jackjames
    06-May-2008 10:08  
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it was at 5.5 level 3 times this year, you should grab by then.

Sept11      ( Date: 06-May-2008 09:48) Posted:

Capitaland down this morning. Is it wise to go in now? 6.97 a good deal?? Can anyone share his/her view??

 

 
Sept11
    06-May-2008 09:56  
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Still monitoring , 6.92 now.....
 
 
Sept11
    06-May-2008 09:48  
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Capitaland down this morning. Is it wise to go in now? 6.97 a good deal?? Can anyone share his/her view??
 
 
tanglinboy
    05-May-2008 21:14  
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I believe all methods are inaccurate in these times. People are buying and selling based on pure emotions.

ilovebull      ( Date: 03-May-2008 20:14) Posted:

like what some forumers mentioned, TA may not be that accurate in such volatile time.  luckyl168 seems to be right in his prediction.  Price went up by 30 cents instead of down - probably also due to nearing ex-divy date :)

 

 
AK_Francis
    05-May-2008 19:10  
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This burger down leh, strange, as compare with other ppties arms like Citydev n Kepland. 25 Apr coy reported of its FY07 profit triple digit surged on higher portfolio gains and contribution from PRC projects. Moreover, there are bright sides at Abu Dhabi and Aussie as well.

Div 15 cts, XD 7 May. Your choice leow.
 
 
LilyLi
    05-May-2008 14:35  
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I am skeptical TA is of much value for the local bourse. It's too small and so levels are often set by some big price setters. Most of us are juz price takers.

stockseeker is right that we shld concentrate on the income from operations.

If farmers in OREC (Orgn for rice-exporting countries) get really rich in the next few years, they are likely to invest in properties rather than financial assets.
 
 
ilovebull
    03-May-2008 20:14  
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like what some forumers mentioned, TA may not be that accurate in such volatile time.  luckyl168 seems to be right in his prediction.  Price went up by 30 cents instead of down - probably also due to nearing ex-divy date :)
 
 
stockseeker
    03-May-2008 15:42  
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Underperform?

It's child's math here:

Q1-07 profits of 608.1 million, of which was partly contributed by a sale of 8 Shenton way for $426.8 million. Without the sale, it's profit margin is 181.3 million.

Q1-08 profits was 247.5 million, with no significant land/property sale.

Thus, by discounting 8 Shenton way's sale, the profit margin of 2008 is better than that of 2007 by 66.2 million. Thus shouldn't it be better?

'Only hear the good stuff'. :P



viruz7667      ( Date: 03-May-2008 15:16) Posted:



CapitaLand
May 2 close: S$7.09
CIMB-GK Research, May 2


CAPITALAND'S Q1 2008 core EPS of 7.5 cents formed 20 per cent of our full-year forecast. We believe the results were below consensus forecast. Q1 2008 saw revenue from the residential segment falling by 8 per cent y-o-y to $412 million, while revenue from commercial and retail operations leapt 62 per cent and 67 per cent y-o-y respectively. With the pace of completion of residential projects expected to pick up, we expect stronger recognition in the next few quarters. CapitaLand is also expected to launch several overseas projects this year.

We have lowered our FY2008-10 core EPS forecasts by 21-219 per cent on less aggressive recognition assumptions in Singapore. On the other hand, our end-2008 RNAV estimate and target price have been raised by 6 per cent to $6.86 to factor in higher market valuations for its listed subsidiaries and higher fee income growth assumptions. Rich valuations remain the main reason for our 'underperform' rating.
UNDERPERFORM

 

 
viruz7667
    03-May-2008 15:16  
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CapitaLand
May 2 close: S$7.09
CIMB-GK Research, May 2


CAPITALAND'S Q1 2008 core EPS of 7.5 cents formed 20 per cent of our full-year forecast. We believe the results were below consensus forecast. Q1 2008 saw revenue from the residential segment falling by 8 per cent y-o-y to $412 million, while revenue from commercial and retail operations leapt 62 per cent and 67 per cent y-o-y respectively. With the pace of completion of residential projects expected to pick up, we expect stronger recognition in the next few quarters. CapitaLand is also expected to launch several overseas projects this year.

We have lowered our FY2008-10 core EPS forecasts by 21-219 per cent on less aggressive recognition assumptions in Singapore. On the other hand, our end-2008 RNAV estimate and target price have been raised by 6 per cent to $6.86 to factor in higher market valuations for its listed subsidiaries and higher fee income growth assumptions. Rich valuations remain the main reason for our 'underperform' rating.
UNDERPERFORM
 
 
viruz7667
    03-May-2008 15:11  
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Published May 3, 2008

CapitaLand CEO sits on paper gain of $2.86m from options


By KALPANA RASHIWALA



CAPITALAND Group president and CEO Liew Mun Leong is sitting on a handsome paper gain of $2.86 million (based on yesterday's closing price for the counter) after exercising options for a total of 600,000 CapitaLand shares at an average $2.33 per share on April 30.
Mr Liew received $6.49m in pay last year, mostly in bonuses - more than the $5.14m he earned in 2006.


The counter closed 30 cents higher yesterday at $7.09.

A filing by CapitaLand to Singapore Exchange yesterday evening gave a breakdown of the exercise prices of the share options. Mr Liew exercised options for 200,000 shares each at $1.02, $2.25 and $3.73 each. Following the exercise, his direct stake in the property giant increased from about 1.832 million shares to 2.432 million shares, or a 0.086 per cent stake. His deemed interest in CapitaLand remains unchanged at 158,000 shares.

Mr Liew received $6.49 million in pay from the property developer last year, mostly in bonuses - more than the $5.14 million he earned in 2006.

On top of the $6.49 million pay packet last year, Mr Liew was granted contingent share awards of some 462,800 CapitaLand shares last year, based on information in CapitaLand's latest annual report.

The actual number of shares that Mr Liew receives from the share awards last year will depend on his achieving 'pre-determined targets' over a period of one to three years, according to CapitaLand.

If 'superior targets' are met, Mr Liew could receive a maximum of 845,000 CapitaLand shares - nearly twice the 'baseline' number of shares awarded. But if he fails to meet the targets, no shares will be issued under the awards.

CapitaLand this week posted a 59.3 per cent year-on-year drop in Q1 net profit to $247.5 million, from $608.1 million in Q1 2007 when the bottom line had been boosted by a $426.8 million fair-value gain from the sale of 8 Shenton Way.
 
 
LilyLi
    02-May-2008 14:47  
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No1 can expect a bumper revaluation surplus of S$1.1bn to recur for a long long time.

It's the ops that count. Any1 who had attended the AGM juz this week will go away impressed with the mgmt team.
 
 
mike8057d
    02-May-2008 14:29  
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the way I see it....3 options to choose from:

1. Buy

2. Sell

3. Don't do anything (well, spend your money on something else)

hehehehe
 
 
lucky168
    01-May-2008 22:40  
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dun have to be so defensive.

everyone should form his/her own opinion. no one is always correct.

if wrong, just learn from the mistake & life goes on...

if right, be humble & teach others...

 
 

 
Henry$$$
    01-May-2008 22:25  
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it is downside based on TA, I agree with Singaporegal.

_________________________________

http://www.freewebs.com/henryhts
 
 
winsontkl
    01-May-2008 22:16  
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When Singaporegal speaks, need to listen....
 
 
lucky168
    01-May-2008 22:11  
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i disagreed leh

capitaland holding up surprising well, short term uptrend

as long as 6.40 support hold, no worry
 
 
singaporegal
    01-May-2008 21:10  
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TA signals show signs of bearishness. Acc/Dist and Chaikin charts are downtrending.
 
 
tanglinboy
    01-May-2008 21:04  
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Is it good time to go in now?
 
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