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Ying Li

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samson
    25-Jan-2010 22:02  
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Another buying call from phillip Securities  TP S$1.15

DBS Securities Buying call TP S$1.20

Kim eng Securities buying call Tp S$1.20

Tomorrow Today Paper , my paper will showing Buy

I belive Tomorrow they will push this Baby up to s$0.60 - s$0.70

But no contract player if you canot afford to loss money ???

Ying Li International Real Estate

- Issuing S$200mil convertible bond

Phillip Securities Research Pte Ltd

25 January 2010

Market Singapore Stock Exchange

Sector Real Estate Operations

Reuters YING.SI

Bloomberg YINGLI LI SP

BUY

(Unchanged)

Closing Price

S$0.580

12-month Target Price

S$1.150 (+98.3%)

Last Price 0.58

52w k High (9/25/2009) 0.92

52w k Low (3/4/2009) 0.06

Shares Outstanding (mil) 2162.492

Market Cap (S$ mil) 1254.25

Avg. Daily Turnover (mil) 20.80

Free float (%) 28.23

PE (X) 4.48

PB (X) 3.91

1M 3M 6M

Absolute

Relative -7.9% -30.1% 107.1%-7.7% -35.2% 92.2%

Price performance %

Price

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

11/01/2009 11/05/2009 11/09/200 11/01/2010

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

Major Shareholders %

1 Newest Luck Holding 42.86

2 Leap Forward Holdings 18.94

3 Phillip Securities Pte Ltd 9.98

Source: Bloomberg

Analyst

Brandon Ng Chenhao

Tel: +65 6531-1792

Fax: +65 6536-4435

Email: brandonngch@phillip.com.sg

Web: www.poems.com.sg

MICA (P) 153/01/2010

Ref No: SG2010_0026

Yingli announced that they have successfully priced a S$200mil convertible

bond issuance to global institutional investors

•

into new Yingli shares at a price of $0.8029 per share.5-year convertible bonds will have a coupon rate of 4.00% per annum and are convertible

•

acquisitions, strategic joint ventures and alliances and the rest for working capital.More than 90% of the estimated net proceeds of S$192mil will be used to fund land

•

CBsConvertible bond is slightly cheaper than bank rates but expensive as compared to recent

• Funds raised to develop Lu Zu commercial projects

•

RNAV of S$1.150. We maintain our BUY recommendation.We tweak our valuation model to assume full S$200mil bond conversion to reach a diluted

Yingli announced that they have successfully priced a S$200mil convertible

bond issuance to global institutional investors

The 5-year convertible bonds will have a coupon rate of 4.00% per annum and are

convertible into new Yingli shares at a price of $0.8029 per share. This is a 30.6% conversion

premium to its closing price on 21 Jan 2010, the day before the announcement. The

management adds that the conversion premium of 30.6% is the highest ever for an Asian

Real Estate Issuer in the last 23 months and is a testament of strong institutional investors’

confidence in the company’s resilient growth potential. More than 90% of the estimated net

proceeds of S$192mil will be used to fund land acquisitions, strategic joint ventures and

alliances and the rest for working capital. The convertible bond will have an upsize option of

an additional S$75mil pursuant to the exercise of such option by the Lead Manager, J.P.

Morgan.

Convertible bond is slightly cheaper than bank rates but expensive as compared to

recent CBs

The current CB has an annual coupon rate of 4.0% and the company will redeem each CB at

114.496% of its principal amount. As such, the reported yield to maturity calculated on a

semi-annual basis is 6.5%. But after we account for the estimated expenses of S$8mil, the

real interest cost to the company is approximately 7.48%. This is slightly lower than the

7.78% interest on the 10-year RMB 450mil loan Yingli secured from the China Construction

Bank in November 2009 but higher as compared to the recent convertible bonds issued. We

believe this is to compensate for the high conversion premium of 30.6%.

Conso' Profits EPS DPS BV ROE P/E Yield P/BV

Ending (RMB mil) (RMB) (RMB) (RMB) (%) (X) (%) (x)

12/06 A 26.9 0.01 NA 0.06 21.88 231.12 NA 50.56

12/07 A 680.1 0.31 NA 0.37 86.02 9.15 NA 7.87

12/08 A 357.4 0.17 NA 0.59 34.42 17.42 NA 4.84

12/09 E 38.3 0.02 NA 1.01 2.21 147.25 NA 2.80

12/10 E 567.6 0.26 NA 1.27 23.04 10.42 NA 2.22

 
 
tanstg
    25-Jan-2010 18:56  
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Good vision, I should say. There will be bumpy road ahead of YingLi base on loan tighten from China. This may create short term financing difficulty and may prompt money raising again.

There are many other questions as well:

- Be then, does the property market still as hot as now?

- Are we sure China property market are still growing 2 years from now?

- etc



tankuku      ( Date: 24-Jan-2010 13:13) Posted:



Have to wait long long to reach 0.6 agin.

Short term will move down toward 0.38. Just wait and see la.

Goog luck

 
 
Farmer
    25-Jan-2010 16:26  
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Just a word of cautious! If all these brokers are recommended a buy with Tp anything > $1 recently, why is it trading at 58cts now? Could they be playing the opposite game?
 

 
novicetrader
    25-Jan-2010 16:22  
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tankuku,

 

I really do not know what you have regarding this counter. All the stock broking houses are recommending this counter and yet you are on the contrary. I guess you must have your own agenda to mislead.



tankuku      ( Date: 24-Jan-2010 13:13) Posted:



Have to wait long long to reach 0.6 agin.

Short term will move down toward 0.38. Just wait and see la.

Goog luck

 
 
yummygd
    25-Jan-2010 15:05  
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wow that is the best lines i have heard!!!I believe in that too.

pharoah88      ( Date: 25-Jan-2010 14:41) Posted:



When you BELIEVE in itm, JUST BUY

and DON'T LOOK BACK........

 
 
pharoah88
    25-Jan-2010 14:41  
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When you BELIEVE in itm, JUST BUY

and DON'T LOOK BACK........
 

 
samson
    25-Jan-2010 14:00  
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Buying Call from kim eng

2) Ying Li International – company update (Anni KUM: 64321470)

Recommendation: Buy (maintained)

Target price: $1.20 (maintained) Previous day closing price: $0.575

Convertible bond issue provides funding for landbanking

Ying Li issued a S$200m, 5-year convertible bond (CB) with a conversion price S$0.8029 and upsize option of S$75m. The CB has coupon rate of 4% p.a. payable semi-annually and yield-to-maturity of 6.5%. Net proceeds of S$192m will be used to acquire two land parcels along Wuyi Road in the prime area of Yuzhong district in Chongqing. JP Morgan is the lead manager and sole bookrunner of this deal.

Dilution to be minimal

The CB will mature on 3 March 2015. The issue and bondholders have the option to redeem early on 3 March 2013. The number of shares to be issued upon full conversion of the CBs is 249.1m, representing 11.5% of the total share capital of the Group. We estimate a net gearing of 0.34x by the end of 2010.

Strong interest in bond issue, but company reaps greater benefits

According to management, the CB issue received strong interest from global institutional investors, comprising existing as well as new investors. The terms of the CB is beneficial for the Group, in our view, given that the yield-to-maturity (cost of debt) of the bond is lower than the interest rate of existing loans (8-9%). Moreover, the CB is not immediately dilutive.

Anticipated projects likely to be RNAV-accretive

With this source of funding, Ying Li will be able to deliver on its plan to acquire the two parcels of land along Wuyi Road. We keep our estimates unchanged, pending details of the project. Ying Li is likely to retain a large portion for rental. Assuming an average base rental rate of RMB200psm/mth for retail and commercial space and cap rate of 7%, we estimate RNAV-accretion of $0.14/share.

Short-term catalysts aplenty. Reiterate Buy



http://www.remisiers.org/research//mb%2025%20Jan.pdf

 

With the financing overhang removed, Ying Li should perform in the longer term. We anticipate more positive newsflow involving the signing of tenancy agreements at the upcoming IFC and acquisition of land parcels. Management is also open to exploring options to obtain better valuations. Reiterate Buy at target price of $1.20. Year End Dec 31

2007

2008

2009F

2010F

2011F

Sales (RMB m)

na

86.7

140.6

378.6

2,237.0

Pre-tax (RMB m)

na

26.0

85.4

241.7

1,263.0

Net profit (RMB m)

na

355.6

28.0

90.8

719.6

EPS (RMB cents)

na

63.2

1.4

4.2

33.3

EPS growth (%)

na

na

-97.8

195.4

692.6

PER (x)

na

4.3

191.4

64.8

8.2

EV/EBITDA (x)

na

4.0

16.0

10.3

2.0

Yield (%)

na

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

 
 
samson
    25-Jan-2010 12:50  
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DBS Group Research . Equity 19 January 2010

Ying Li International (Bloomberg: YINGLI SP | Reuters: YING.SI)

BUY; S$0.62; Price Target: S$ 1.08

Analyst:

paulyong@dbsvickers.comPaul Yong (8621) 6888 3372

Ying Li to acquire 2 parcels of land in Chongqing CBD totalling

GFA of c. 2.5m sqf.

Ying Li announced that it intends to buy 2 parcels of

land on Wu Yi road, which has been designated as the

new Financial Street by the Chongqing government,

with a total GFA of about 2.5m square feet or c.

240,000 sqm.

Whilst this is positive news for the company, we have

little other details at this point in time with regards to

the development schedule, type of development i.e.

retail / commerical / mixed etc.. as well as the funding

options for this project. We estimate that the land cost

for this is around RMB4,500 per square metre with

development costs of around RMB4,000-RMB4,500 per

sqm and potential sale prices of above RMB20,000 per

sqm on average. However, with total land cost of c.

RMB1.1bn and similar size of development cost, Ying Li

is likely to need to come to the market for equity or

funding of some sort for this project, especially if it

intends to keep a substantial portion of it for rental. This

project certainly looks RNAV-accretive but we want to be

more certain of the above details before adjusting our

numbers.

Hence, we maintain our TP of S$1.08, which is based on

10% discount to RNAV of S$1.21. We will issue a full

note once we get more details on the numbers for this

project as well as funding options.

DBS Group Research . Equity 19 January 2010

http://www.remisiers.org/research//yingli190110-flash%20buy%20DBSVpdf.pdf

 
 
samson
    25-Jan-2010 12:20  
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The Convertibe Bond is 100 % sold at S$0.8029 to outside singapore buyer. ( midst buyer )

======================================

Ying Li successfully priced S$200 million

convertible bond issuance at record conversion

premium of 30.6%

issuance out of Singapore in 20101 - first convertible bond

·

tightening environment and volatile financial market – issue was multiple times

oversubscribedStrong demand from global Institutional Investors in the midst of a credit

·

the last 23 months

http://info.sgx.com/webcoranncatth.nsf/VwAttachments/Att_E5D290C231E0F300482576B3000072F5/$file/Yingli_Press_Release.pdf?openelement
High conversion premium of 30.6% - highest ever for an Asian Real Estate Issuer in

 
 
ronleech
    25-Jan-2010 11:32  
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By CNY week should be close to 70cts...i guess...
 

 
risktaker
    25-Jan-2010 11:24  
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BUY BUY BUY :)
 
 
yummygd
    25-Jan-2010 11:22  
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ermmmm convertible bond who can buy it??? bonds will expire or not??

samson      ( Date: 25-Jan-2010 09:32) Posted:

phillipresearch

Ying Li International Real Estate – Company Update (Brandon Ng)

Recommendation: Buy

Previous close: S$0.580

Fair value: S$1.150

•

investorsYingli announced that they have successfully priced a S$200mil convertible bond issuance to global institutional

•

price of $0.8029 per share.5-year convertible bonds will have a coupon rate of 4.00% per annum and are convertible into new Yingli shares at a

•

ventures and alliances and the rest for working capital.More than 90% of the estimated net proceeds of S$192mil will be used to fund land acquisitions, strategic joint

•

maintain our BUY recommendation.

http://www.phillipresearch.com/document/com/mn.pdfWe tweak our valuation model to assume full S$200mil bond conversion to reach a diluted RNAV of S$1.150. We


 
 
samson
    25-Jan-2010 09:32  
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phillipresearch

Ying Li International Real Estate – Company Update (Brandon Ng)

Recommendation: Buy

Previous close: S$0.580

Fair value: S$1.150

•

investorsYingli announced that they have successfully priced a S$200mil convertible bond issuance to global institutional

•

price of $0.8029 per share.5-year convertible bonds will have a coupon rate of 4.00% per annum and are convertible into new Yingli shares at a

•

ventures and alliances and the rest for working capital.More than 90% of the estimated net proceeds of S$192mil will be used to fund land acquisitions, strategic joint

•

maintain our BUY recommendation.

http://www.phillipresearch.com/document/com/mn.pdfWe tweak our valuation model to assume full S$200mil bond conversion to reach a diluted RNAV of S$1.150. We

 
 
yummygd
    25-Jan-2010 08:57  
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risktaker you think it will go down too??
 
 
ronleech
    24-Jan-2010 21:39  
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frankly speaking.... china property counter had been surpressed for the last fornight not just end last week....i think i will burst up soon....just my view
 

 
risktaker
    24-Jan-2010 20:33  
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51cts? are you sure ? Monday is gonna be 0.60>

bh704428      ( Date: 24-Jan-2010 17:01) Posted:



is yingli likely to fall towards 51 cts in the next few days? Or worse how much lower is it likely to fall to before bottoming?

Me sold everything at 64.5 cts,

now still waiting

 
 
bh704428
    24-Jan-2010 17:01  
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is yingli likely to fall towards 51 cts in the next few days? Or worse how much lower is it likely to fall to before bottoming?

Me sold everything at 64.5 cts,

now still waiting
 
 
rpires
    24-Jan-2010 13:50  
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this counter should be under pressure in the short term.

china already asking banks to increase the reserve ratio that means stop lending.

bank stop lending should be targeting the overheating property sector in china. i think investor should think twice before investing. wait for correction.
 
 
yummygd
    24-Jan-2010 13:49  
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i am small time investor and wanted to buy ying li since last year but was hoping it will be cheaper den finally fri fell to 0.58 i save alot liao from 0.645 .Ying Li is good company especially if china really really become the next big thing their property can be as ex as new york hor..no joke. And since Ying Li has cash to sit on no worries so much from bank tightening.Think its a value stock so i think will keep and hopefully their target price will hit soon and i can make a little spending money haha.I dun think it will go down as much to 30cent la. if really fall so much den can buy more .
 
 
tankuku
    24-Jan-2010 13:13  
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Have to wait long long to reach 0.6 agin.

Short term will move down toward 0.38. Just wait and see la.

Goog luck
 
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