
Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 9/21/2012
By  Ryan SchwimmerSeptember 21, 2012GOLD GAINING MOMENTUM
Precious Metals prices have ticked downward in afternoon trading, echoing the end of the week for stocks. Art Hogan of Lazard Capital Markets said of the stock market, “After having two explosive weeks to the upside, where the S& P 500 was up 3.5 percent, it’s a huge victory to come out this week virtually flat in the face of the concerns we have: the Middle East, the fiscal cliff and more bad news than good in the economic data stream.” Not mentioned was the recently-announced third round of quantitative easing, which is seen as increasing inflationary concerns.
The Gold price is still well within reach of the 2012 high of $1,790.30, and as previously reported, many hedge funds and central banks are getting back in the game. Jeffrey Sherman of DoubleLine Capital LP said, “There are a lot of hedge funds that bought call options a week or two ago. There have been big buyers after the Fed has committed to the monetization of debt.”  Reuters has more details and charts that explain this further, but Gold’s 50-day moving average broke a plane earlier this week that indicates rapidly building momentum for the metal.
At 5 p.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
- Gold, $1,774.10, Up $4.90.
- Silver, $34.58, Down $0.11.
Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 9/21/2012
By  Nicholas WilseySeptember 21, 2012GOLD MOVES UP TALK OF MORE STIMULUS FORTHCOMING
Gold is continuing to rise following the abundance of economic stimulus in the global economy. Many central banks around the world have implemented plans to ease financial issues, including the United States, Europe and Japan.  These moves have had a positive impact on Gold’s pricing and they could become a growing trend.  “With the open-ended scheme to print as much dollars as needed until the U.S. economy recovers, Gold's uptrend has fewer barricades on the way at least to earlier highs,” Richcomm Global Services senior analyst Pradeep Unni said.
In Europe, there has been an upward swing that has the financial outlook more positive this week. Last week the Euro hit a four and a half month low. This week was a chance to rebound and gain back some of the lost ground.  Many financial experts believe it has more to do with politics than the actual economy.  “One of the real plus points we have had this week is that there have been no European politicians saying anything stupid, so if that can continue over the coming weeks it will help stabilize markets,” said Alastair McCaig at financial spread betting firm IG index.
In the United States, the talk over the past few weeks has been in regards to the Federal Reserve’s financial stimulus.  It has had a positive effect on the markets so far however there are some that believe there is more to be offered.  “They’re sending a message to people making long-term decisions about investment and hiring: Don’t worry about us clamping down, we are going to have accommodative policy even in a stronger recovery,” said Michael Gapen, senior U.S. economist at Barclays Plc’s investment-banking unit and a former member of the Fed’s Division of Monetary Affairs. “They are telling you, ‘We have a long way to go, and we are going to let this run.’”
At 9 am (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
- Gold, $1,787.90, Up $18.70.
- Silver, $35.18, Up $0.49.
Gold Possibly in Short Term Triangle
60 Minute Bars
Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT
 
Consolidation since Monday may take the form of a short term bullish triangle. If a triangle is underway, then expect 1 to 2 more days of range trading until an upside break and test of 1800. From a trading perspective, it would be wise to allow the triangle to play out and look for a low (in the final leg of the triangle) early next week.
 
LEVELS: 1715 1737 1747 1791 1800 1825
Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 09/20/2012
By  Brandi BrundidgeSeptember 20, 2012GOLD RESISTS PRESSURE U.S. ECONOMY IN SLOW GROWTH
Gold held its position well today despite a strong movement in the dollar  and weaker U.S. equities. Also, China reported low manufacturing activity, which pushed  European stocks down  for the third time in four days, worrying investors. The yellow metal was able to remain stable for the day. James Cordier at Optionsellers.com said, “Gold’s resilience stems from recently announced monetary easing in the United States and elsewhere. You’d think (a stronger dollar and weaker equities) would be a great excuse to take pretty big profits this feels more like a pause.”
The United States unemployment rate has been a major concern, not only for the American people but for the Federal Reserve, and it is one of the reasons they’re launching QE3. The unemployment rate has been well above 8 percent for the past three years, which is the highest rate since the Great Depression. " We've seen a little move upward in jobless claims over the last few weeks, but nothing to suggest the economy is in trouble.  It's more the case that we are still in a period of slow growth," said Gary Thayer, chief macro strategist at Wells Fargo Advisors in St. Louis.
At 5 p.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
- Gold, $1,769.80, Down $0.90.
- Silver, $34.73, Up $0.13.
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 9/20/2012
By  Ryan SchwimmerSeptember 20, 2012‘SUPPORT REMAINS UNDER THE MARKET’ FOR GOLD
U.S. stock futures and Precious Metals have edged downward this morning as the dollar firmed. “The rise in Gold and Silver will be tempered by drops in the stock market and rises in the dollar, and if this continues then the upside is limited for the time being,” Marex Spectron said in a note. “However, support remains under the market…” VTB Capital said in its own note, “Judging by the broader commodity market, QE3 euphoria from last week is now over.  Yet we… remain bullish in the long run, given the debasement of major fiat currencies as interest rates remain subdued, while liquidity boosts… will bring about inflation concerns.”
Disappointing news out of China has all eyes on the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank’s manufacturing report,  due later this morning. Mike McCudden of Interactive Investor said, “After what was appearing to be some decent U.S.-led support on the back of solid housing data, Chinese manufacturing numbers have come in overnight and spoiled the party. Optimists may well be gambling on a turn in Chinese fortunes soon, but whatever they are up to behind the curtain isn’t working.”
With dissenting voices from certain branches of the Fed regarding QE3, many branch presidents arefeeling the need to defend the decision. The latest is Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren, who said, “The actions taken by the Federal Reserve last week provide significant additional support to the economic recovery. They should result in stronger economic growth, and return us to full employment more quickly than would be the case absent the policy.” Many investors, and even some Fed policymakers, are particularly concerned with the fact that this round has no end date in sight.
At 9 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
- Gold, $1,766.60, Down $4.10.
- Silver, $34.53, Down $0.07.

Closing Gold & Silver Market Report - 9/19/2012
By  Brandi BrundidgeSeptember 19, 2012STABLE DAY FOR PRECIOUS METALS INVESTORS ACQUIRE RECORD HOLDINGS OF PLATINUM
Precious Metals prices remain flat following today’s trends. The small movement came after a decrease in crude oil by almost 4 percent for the day along with the Bank of Japan’ confirmation of further easing measures to improve the country’s economy. Stephen Platt at Archer Financial Services said, “Amid the crude oil break,  Gold is holding on to a tight range. The metal is torn by an easier U.S. money policy and some caution about when the ECB is going to turn on the monetary spigot with its bond purchases.”The price drop in oil came from sell-offs  as Saudi Arabia is attempting to control prices and liquidation has begun from Hurricane Isaac increasing U.S. crude inventories. “People are thinking that maybe the Saudis are going to produce more, and some funds are taking the opportunity to liquidate positions,” said Christopher Bellew at Jefferies Bache.
Platinum holdings have significantly increased  with investors feeling uneasy about the supply interruption that occurred at Lonmin’s Marikana mine in South Africa. The miners are scheduled to return to work tomorrow after coming to an agreement yesterday on a pay raise. David Lennox, a resource analyst at Fat Prophets, said, “What’s happened in South Africa has been the prime driver, but there would have been a rub off from what happened in terms of quantitative easing.  People have also taken the opportunity to run into platinum on the back of the discount to Gold.”
At 5 p.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
- Gold, $1771.80, Up $1.60.
- Silver, $34.65, Down $0.08.


Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 9/19/12
By  Ryan SchwimmerSeptember 19, 2012GOLD NEAR SEVEN-MONTH HIGH AS BANK OF JAPAN EASES
The Gold price rose this morning on news that the Bank of Japan has joined the United States Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank on the  quantitative easing bandwagon. Max Cohen of Spreadex Ltd. said, “As central banks around the world pull together to provide stimulus and growth to the markets, currencies are at risk of devaluing, and as a result of this, Gold has climbed to its highest level in more than six months.” Austin Kiddle of Sharps Pixley said, “I believe that the central bank moves will be a strong support structure for the current range that Gold is in, and I feel that they are part of the ‘holy trinity’ of factors that will see Gold continually edge upwards in the future.” According to Kiddle, the other parts to the ‘holy trinity’ are global political tensions and a rise in Gold production costs.
The quantitative easing announcements have not sat well with everyone, however.  The Fed’s James Bullard said, “We should take a little bit more (of a) wait-and-see posture.” He added, “I would have voted against it based on the timing. I didn’t feel like we had a good enough case to make a major move at this juncture.” The president of Germany’s Bundesbank  pointed to Goethe’s tragedy Faust,  saying that the play identifies “the core problem of today’s paper money-based monetary policy” and the “potentially dangerous correlation of paper money creation, state financing and inflation.”
At 9 a.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
- Gold, $1,772.90, Up $2.80.
- Silver, $34.64, Down $0.09.
Here Comes $10,000 Gold
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Last Updated : 19 September 2012 at 08:55 IST
‘Gold may hit new highs in medium term’
Source :Commodity Online
  With markets already quite saturated by liquidity this is likely to be supportive for gold and the rest of the precious-metals complex.
  NEW YORK (Commodity Online):  SEB Commodity Research says it looks for gold to potentially hit new highs in the short to medium term but has a “more bearish view” on a one-year time horizon.
Federal Reserve quantitative easing and a European Central Bank bond-buying plan have provided support.
“With markets already quite saturated by liquidity this is likely to be supportive for gold and the rest of the precious-metals complex,” SEB says.
However, SEB looks for an improved macroeconomic backdrop in 12 months, with liquidity settings likely to stabilize and later contract, making it harder for gold to prosper then.
“To avoid a major sell-off as investors switch into growth assets, inflation expectations must increase,” SEB says.
“This is not impossible given the fact that central banks worldwide are trying to achieve just that. However, it could take several years for them to succeed, leaving gold in a soft spot,” SEB concludes.
Global gold prices ended the United States day session near unchanged on Tuesday. The market saw some more profit-taking pressure and consolidation on the charts following last week’s strong upside price action.
The key “outside markets” were also in a bearish posture for the precious metals Tuesday, as the US dollar index was higher and crude oil prices were lower.
December gold last traded up $0.40 at $1,771.00 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Spot gold was last quoted up $5.50 an ounce at $1,768.50. December Comex silver last traded up $0.268 at $34.63 an ounce.
Gold May Take out 1800 Before Meaningful Dip
Daily Bars
Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT
 
“Gold has reached the long cited 1755 objective and may be in for several sessions of much needed consolidation. As mentioned last week, “the huge volume and large range is consistent with the beginning of some consolidation before the continuation of the advance.”” Gold has come off about $30 but the ‘correction’ isn’t noticeable on a daily closing basis. The market is stretched but a tag of the highs from February (1790.55) and November 2011 (1802.80) may be in the cards before something more meaningful on the downside takes place.
 
LEVELS: 1715 1737 1747 1791 1800 1825
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Last Updated : 18 September 2012 at 23:10 IST
Gold to reach new high of $2,000/oz in the first half of 2013: Deutsche Bank
 
Source :Commodity Online
 
  The gold market to continue to respond positively to further central bank activity--which in our view is likely to continue to be biased towards further monetary expansion.
 
 
  NEW YORK (Commodity Online):  Gold prices likely to reach the new high of $2,000 an ounce in the first half of 2013, says Deutsche Bank in a snippet. The bank cites growth in the supply of fiat currencies such as the U.S. dollar.
“When one has accumulated too much debt, while the right thing to do is pay it back, the easiest thing to do is default and hope your creditor has a short memory,” Deutsche Bank says.
“We believe the Western economies in general are biased towards the latter, whether they will admit it or not. We expect a soft default will likely be the preferable course of action a managed form of currency depreciation through various stages of quantitative easing or successive bailouts by central banks of the banking system,” bank continues.
“This ‘easy’ scenario is good for gold, in our view. We expect the gold market to continue to respond positively to further central bank activity--which in our view is likely to continue to be biased towards further monetary expansion,” the German bank notes.
Deutsche Bank adds that low interest rates are likely to keep making gold attractive due to a “negligible” opportunity costs and longer-term fears of adequate stores of value and wealth preservation.
Global gold prices are moderately lower in early trading on Tuesday. The market is seeing some profit-taking pressure and consolidation on the charts following last week’s strong upside price action.
The key “outside markets” are also in a mildly bearish posture for the precious metals Tuesday, as the U.S. dollar index is firmer and crude oil prices are weaker.
December gold last traded down $10.30 at $1,760.20 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Spot gold was last quoted down $4.70 an ounce at $1,758.25. December Comex silver last traded down $0.172 at $34.195 an ounce.
 
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 9/18/2012
By  Ryan SchwimmerSeptember 18, 2012BANK SAYS GOLD COULD REACH $2,400 PER OUNCE IN 2014
Gold has recovered from earlier losses, Silver added to gains, and Platinum and Palladium continued to dip in afternoon trading today. The latter two metals are being pushed down by the end of the sometimes violent strike of miners in South Africa. Bank of America Merrill Lynch said in a note, “Given the new open-ended nature of QE3, the upward pressure on Gold prices should continue until employment is strong enough to warrant a change in policy. In our view, this is unlikely to happen until the end of 2014.”  The firm then predicted that by the end of 2014,  Gold could see a record high of $2,400 per ounce.
John Stephenson of First Asset Investment Management Inc in Toronto explained this a little more, saying that “People will see  commodities as something they want to hold, because they see these moves as inflationary. It’s hugely bullish in the short run, now that all of the central banks seem to be singing from the same hymnal.” said Jack Ablin of BMO Private Bank in Chicago. “The Fed statement does change things. It really shows the Fed’s unwavering desire to inflate asset prices, and commodities will certainly be part of that.”
At 5 p.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
- Gold, $1,772.90, Up $3.30.
- Silver, $34.86, Up $0.49.
Last Updated : 18 September 2012 at 09:05 IST
Gold, Silver, to continue rising after QE: TD Securities
Source :Commodity Online
  Gold is projected to jump to well over $1,825 by the end of 2012, with $2,000 on the horizon next year.
NEW YORK (Commodity Online):  TD Securities looks for further gains for gold, silver and other precious metals after the Federal Reserve’s open-ended quantitative easing announced last week.
Expectations for a stronger U.S. economy should help demand for industrial base and precious metals, the firm says.
Also, the open-ended nature of the easing suggests the Fed will continue to add accommodation until the labor market improves, in turn implying a willingness to tolerate inflation, which supports gold. TDS also cites possible concerns about currency debasement.
“Gold is projected to jump to well over $1,825 by the end of 2012, with $2,000 on the horizon next year,” TDS says.
“While the prospects for gold are good, the outlook for industrial precious metals is even better, particularly platinum and palladium. Platinum could also hover near $2,000, while a daily high of over $975 for palladium is a real possibility by the second half of 2013. Volatile silver could surge to materially past $44, benefitting from rising investor and industrial demand.”
Global gold prices ended the United States day session moderately lower on Monday mainly due to profit-taking pressure from big gains scored last week.
A quick, sharp drop in crude oil futures prices in afternoon trading on Monday helped to spark the selling pressure in gold and silver.
The precious metals are pausing and seeing some chart consolidation following last week’s price action that saw December gold on Friday hit a six-month high of $1,780.20.
December gold last traded down $11.70 at $1,761.00 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Spot gold was last quoted down $11.40 an ounce at $1,759.50. December Comex silver last traded down $0.721 at $33.93 an ounce. 
 
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