
Last | Trades | Volume | Bid Volume | Mid | Ask Volume |
0.245 | 4 | 73,000 | 73,000 | 0 | 0 |
0.250 | 20 | 261,000 | 103,000 | 0 | 158,000 |
0.255 | 11 | 384,000 | 380,000 | 0 | 4,000 |
0.260 | 1 | 15,000 | 15,000 | 0 | 0 |
TOTAL | 36 | 733,000 | 571,000 | 0 | 162,000 |
Keep buying up, thinking of buying.......anyone can confirm the deal.......dare not go in at this falling moment.......market........is down.......?
But, but, somethings brewing for this counter......today and yesterday.....
Another buying up
0.535 | 200,000 | Buy Up | |
0.535 | 350,000 | Buy Up |
SSH quietly change hand......
Takeover talk in progress........
16:24:51 | 0.535 | 200,000 | Buy Up |
16:22:55 | 0.535 | 60,000 | Buy Up |
16:21:46 | 0.535 | 10,000 | Buy Up |
16:21:33 | 0.535 | 300,000 | Buy Up |
16:20:57 | 0.535 | 309,000 | Buy Up |
16:19:04 | 0.535 | 182,000 | Buy Up |
16:15:01 | 0.535 | 140,000 | Buy Up |
16:13:02 | 0.535 | 50,000 | Buy Up |
16:12:41 | 0.535 | 382,000 | Buy Up |
16:12:14 | 0.535 | 71,000 | Buy Up |
Strong resilient counter, quick rebound from yesterday's jolt....

Potential to advance further...
Starting to move last 3 days from 0.61 jumped to 0.67...SIAS TP 0.75 coming?

Digital Media (Minority Report stuff), very sexy especially China 3G and IT infrastructure taking off...

Hope to see more action....
Singapore, June 19, 2007 ? Singapore Exchange (?SGX?) Mainboard-listed
DMX Technologies Group Limited (?DMX? or the ?Group?), a leading
information technology enabler that provides a wide range of digital media
software solutions and network infrastructure solutions and services to service
providers across Asia, today announced that its subsidiary, BEE MediaSoft
Limited (?BEE?) has entered into a technology partnership with NASDAQ
listed Harmonic Inc. (?Harmonic?), to provide advance TV-on-Demand
(?TVoD?) solutions to telco and cable video service providers, offering
innovative, high quality and reliable on-demand TV services to consumers.
宏天科技 (DMX Tech) 目标价:0.75元
尽管它自上市以来就一直保持盈利,它相对而言却表现落后于大市。以现价即相等于9.4倍的上财年本益比来说,它其实比本益比约20倍或以上的同行公司股便宜得多。这也许是因为它上财年的净利只增长18%,比预期的30%增长还少,令投资者相当失望。
至于现财年,它料能取得17.4%的净利增长,约相等于它的18%营收增长预测。根据相对和历史估值计算,它相信会在56分和75分之间起落。由于目前它在这个范围内的下限波动,而考虑到它的业绩记录以及可取的企业动向,新加坡证券投资者协会研究建议?买入?它,并把目标价定为75分。
宏天科技昨日收报57.5分,起半分。
Seems like even when the report is out there is still very little interest in this counter.
Vested at 0.575, getting a little worried
DMX Technologies ? Initiate Coverage www.siasresearch.com admin@siasresearch.com DMX Technologies BUY
SIAS Research Pte Ltd
32 Maxwell Road #01-15
Whitehouse
Singapore 069115
Tel: [65] 6227 2107 Fax: [65] 6227 2079
Email:
25 April 2007
Initiate Coverage
High-margin player aims higher
Current: S$ 0.575
Target Price: $0.75
DMX Technologies ? Initiate Coverage
www.siasresearch.comSIAS Research Pte Ltd
32 Maxwell Road #01-15
Whitehouse
Singapore 069115
Tel: [65] 6227 2107 Fax: [65] 6227 2079
Email:
admin@siasresearch.com25 April 2007
DMX TechnologiesInitiate Coverage
High-margin player aims higher
BUYDMX is an IT systems integrator which is repositioning itself for
explosive growth in digital media and interactive television while
maintaining its core competence in ?IT infrastructure enabling?.
As infrastructure enabler, DMX provides telecom operators, cable TV
operators and broadcasters with network integration, network
security and other conventional IT services. In the new business of
?Technology Provisioning?, DMX is marketing digital video software
which enables enhanced television experiences e.g. video on
demand, news on demand, electronic program guides, personal
video records, and other interactive value-added services such as
TV shopping. Target customers are television service providers,
especially in China - its core market, accounting for 70% of sales.
Significant earnings impact from marketing digital media solutions
may materialise in later years. Meanwhile, IT Enabling will continue
providing the bulk of revenue and profits.
DMX has been a relative underperformer despite being profitable
every year since listing and consistently achieving superior ROE. At
9.4x FY06 earnings, it is under-valued relative to peers whose PE
ratios are in the 20s or higher. This is likely due to lingering
disappointment with FY06 results when earnings grew 18% against
30% expected growth. For FY07, we are forecasting 17.4% earnings
growth, in line with 18% projected revenue growth.
Based on relative and historical valuations, we believe the stock
should trade between S$0.56 and S$0.75. As it is currently trading
on the low side of the range, and given its track record and
interesting corporate direction, we are initiating coverage with a
?Buy? recommendation.
Current: S$ 0.575
Target Price: $0.75
MAIN ACTIVITIES
A systems integrator that
provides solutions which cover
the entire IT spectrum. The
Group is repositioning itself to
play a bigger role in providing
digital media solutions.
ISSUE STATISTICS
No of shares: 460.960m
Market cap: S$278.88m
Year Hi/Lo: S$1.06/S$0.50
Listing Bourse: SGX-Mainboard
Listing Date: December 2002
(on SESDAQ). Upgraded to
Mainboard in April 2005.
SHARE PRICE v STI
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Apr-06 Jul-06 Oct-06 Dec-06 Mar-07
Returns
DMX STI
Source: SIAS Research
SIAS Research
Financial Summary
USDm (Y/E Dec) FY05 FY06 FY07F FY08F
Turnover 129.2 160.7 189.8 220.4
Net profit 15.1 17.8 20.9 24.8
Dil EPS (USDcts) 4.04 4.05 4.53 5.36
EPS Growth (%) 71.2 0.3 11.8 18.4
P/E (x) 9.4 9.4 8.4 7.1
P/BV (x) 1.4 1.1 1.0 0.9
Div yield (%) - 1.7 1.7 2.1
ROE (%) 16.5 13.4 12.0 12.8
Net Gearing Cash Cash Cash Cash
Current ratio (x) 2.8 4.0 5.1 4.9
Refer to last page for important disclaimer
FUNDAMENTALS
GOOD
VALUATION
ATTRACTIVE
NEUTRAL
TECHNICALS
DMX Technologies ? Initiate Coverage
Page 2 of 30TABLE OF CONTENTS
Company 3
Industry Outlook 10
Investment Merits 12
Risks 14
Financials 17
Forecasts 20
Valuations 20
Financial Tables & Ratios 23
Appendix I? Digital TV 24
Appendix II? PE Band 26
Appendix III? Implications of PE Band 27
Appendix IV? Key Management & Shareholders 28
Disclaimer
DMX Technologies ? Initiate Coverage
Page 3 of 30DMX provides
end-to-end IT
infrastructure
solutions
Bulk of
revenue from
China, despite
geographical
spread
DMX is
reorganising
business
segments in
2007
COMPANY
Founded in 1999 by a group of former senior executives of Datacraft
Asia, DMX Technologies specializes in providing end-to-end IT
infrastructure solutions, which include network integration, network
security and other value-added IT services. Providing end-to-end
solutions means that DMX offers a wide range of products that
addresses its customers? needs, from start to completion of an IT
project.
Over the years, the Group has built up an extensive network of
operations in the Asia Pacific region. With a staff of about 340
professionals, DMX currently operates in seven countries ? China,
Hong Kong, Indonesia, Korea, Macau, Malaysia and Singapore.
Future plans might include expanding into India and Thailand.
Despite the geographical diversity, the bulk of DMX?s revenue is
derived from China.
Figure 1: Revenue by geographies
% FY06 FY05 FY04
China 71 65 80
Non-China 29 35 20
Source: Company
Figure 2: Revenue by geographical region
FY 06
(USD '000)
FY 05
(USD '000)
North East
Asia 130, 642 81.3% 102,957 79.7%
South East
Asia 29,960 18.7% 25,937 20.1%
Others 129 - 262 0.2%
Total 160,731 100% 129,156 100%
Source: Company
Apart from operating in various countries, DMX also has a diversified
customer base. Its customers include big players in the finance
industry, sizable utilities companies, educational institutions,
telecommunication companies, media operators, and government
bodies. Sales from telecommunication projects, however, account
for most the Group?s revenue.
In response to rapid changes in the IT industry, DMX is reorganizing
its business segments as of 2007 to better capitalize on shifts in
market opportunities.
Prior to 2007, DMX operated three business segments: Digital
Infrastructure, Digital Fixed Media and Digital Mobile Media. The bulk
of sales came from Digital Infrastructure. This segment contributed
68.8% of FY06 revenue.
DMX Technologies ? Initiate Coverage
Page 4 of 30DMX is placing
greater
emphasis on
market for
digital media
From 2007, these three segments were grouped into a single
segment ?
Provisioning
Group?s technological development in digital video software.
Infrastructure Enabling. A new segment, Technology, has been set up to extend the market reach of theFigure 3: Reorganization of business segments
Source: Company
The reorganization of the Group?s business segments marks a major
shift in strategy. Although infrastructure solutions are likely to
continue constituting the bulk of DMX?s revenue in the near future,
the Group is enlarging its focus and placing a greater emphasis on
the market for digital media. For DMX, this would mean expending
more resources on enabling telcos, service providers, cable
operators and media companies to provide advanced digital video
and feature-rich multimedia services. (Refer to Appendix I for more
information on Digital TV)
This shift in strategy is reflected in the falling proportion of revenue
that is derived from the digital infrastructure segment. From FY05 to
FY06, revenue from digital fixed media and digital mobile media
segments grew 76.8% and 50.2% respectively.
DMX Technologies ? Initiate Coverage
Page 5 of 30Figure 4: % revenue from digital infrastructure segment
Source: SIAS Research
Figure 5: FY06 revenue by business segments
Revenue USDmil Contribution Change from FY05
Digital Infrastructure 110.6 68.8% 15.1% increase
Digital Fixed Media* 26.0 16.2% 76.8% increase
Digital Mobile Media 18.2 11.3% 50.2% increase
Services 5.9 3.7%
5.5% decreaseTotal 160.7 100% 24.4% increase
* Including revenue from digital video software
Source: Company, SIAS Research
78.5%
21.5%
74.4%
25.6%
68.8%
31.2%
0.00%
20.00%
40.00%
60.00%
80.00%
100.00%
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006
Other Segments
Digital Infrastructure
Segment
DMX Technologies ? Initiate Coverage
Page 6 of 30DMX believes
its market
share for
Infrastructure
solutions will
continue to
grow
DMX is
focusing on
the digital
media market
as its main
growth driver
in future
DMX has made
several
inroads into
China?s digital
media market
Infrastructure Enabling Segment
The infrastructure enabling segment comprises integrated solutions
that enable telecom operators, cable TV operators, media
corporations and enterprises to offer secured and enhanced services.
The two main offerings provided by this segment are
Infrastructure solutions
and Digital Media solutions.Infrastructure solutions
security solutions, value added services (VAS) such as network
optimization, and network integration services. These solutions have
traditionally been the mainstay business of DMX.
The increase in demand for broadband services from both existing
and new customers has been a central growth driver for
infrastructure solutions. In future years, more emphasis will be
placed on security and value added services. Network integration
services will complement the solution offerings. Although DMX is
actively pursuing new avenues of growth in digital media, the
management has expressed optimism that DMX?s market share for
Infrastructure solutions will also continue to grow.
consists of the full range of networkDigital Media solutions
enable broadcasters, Cable TV operators, and telecom operators to
offer digital TV, Internet Portal TV (IPTV) or mobile TV services.
Combining the Group?s advanced Digital Video Software platform
with superior products from a diversified base of technology vendors
around the globe, DMX is able to provide end-to-end digital media
solutions.
DMX is focusing on the digital media market as its main growth
driver in future. Digital Media solutions are thus expected to have a
greater impact on DMX?s bottom line in the years ahead. In FY2006,
DMX conducted an IPTV service trial in Indonesia and secured a
digital broadcast project with Vietnam Multimedia Corporation, the
nation?s leading national broadcaster and operator in digital
broadcasting. Securing the contract with Vietnam Multimedia
Corporation provides DMX with the opportunity to tap into the vast
potential offered by Vietnam?s digital TV market.
China?s digital media market, however, still remains the most
important one for DMX. In FY2006, DMX increased its penetration in
the Cable TV (CATV) sector. The Group secured the first optical
backbone network contract for the digitization of the CATV industry
in Central China. It also secured ZTE, China?s largest
telecommunications equipment provider, as a customer for their
Internet Portal TV (IPTV) projects. Going forward, the Group
believes it has a strong pipeline in the digital media segment.
consist of integrated solutions designed toDMX Technologies ? Initiate Coverage
Page 7 of 30Figure 6: Infrastructure Enabling segment
Business Segments
in 2006
Business Segment
in 2007
Growth Drivers
Digital
Infrastructure:
Consists of
solutions for the
broadband network
infrastructure of a
Telco or an
enterprise.
Infrastructure
Enabling -
Infrastructure
Solutions
Designs and builds
the nextgeneration
network
through which
service providers
and enterprises
can deliver
multimedia
services that
integrate voice,
video and data
communications.
Escalating broadband
demand
Heightened push
towards business
continuity planning
Growing need to ensure
network security
Growing networking
requirements of
businesses which are
extensively global in
operations
Digital
Fixed Media:
Consists of
solutions for the
provision of digital
video services for
cable TV operators,
Telcos and satellite
companies.
Increased adoption of
digital TV (DTV) and
internet portal TV
(IPTV)
Digital
Mobile Media:
Consists of
solutions for the
provision of digital
video and other
multimedia
services of mobile
operators and
mobile content
providers.
Infrastructure
Enabling ?
Digital Media
Solutions
Allows telcos,
service providers,
cable operators
and media
corporations to
deliver advanced
digital video and
multimedia valueadded
services.
Increased mobile
penetration rate
Mobile operator
upgrading and
expanding service
coverage
Source: Company, SIAS Research
DMX Technologies ? Initiate Coverage
Page 8 of 30The Group?s
digital video
software will
be marketed
internationally
under a
subsidiary,
BEE MediaSoft
Ltd
The solutions
provided by
BEE benefit
both viewers
and TV service
providers
BEE?s
solutions
minimize
capital and
operational
overhead of
TV service
providers
BEE offers a
broad range of
end-to-end
solutions that
allow for the
provision of
enhanced TV
services in a
cost-effective
manner
Technology Provisioning Segment
Anticipating huge growth potential in digital video services delivery,
the Group has spent the past three years developing a suite of
digital video software. The suite of software provides digital service
providers with applications that would allow them to deliver
enhanced video and interactive value-added services. The
Technological Provisioning segment operates under
Ltd
internationally market the digital video software to television service
providers.
With TV service providers and viewers needs in mind, BEE MediaSoft
offers solutions designed to fulfil the business needs of TV service
providers, and also to provide the experience fitting the lifestyle of
viewers.
For viewers, BEE?s solutions allow for an array of enhanced television
experience including electronic program guides, video on demand,
time-shift TV, pause-live TV, personal video records, news on
demand, as well as interactive value-added services such as TV
shopping, voting, and other information services.
With regard to TV service providers, BEE?s offerings would allow
them to enjoy seamless and effortless management of content,
services, subscribers, and billing. For example, the operation support
system solution enables TV service providers to visualize subscriber
behaviours, demographic characteristics and lifestyle. The
information will allow TV service providers to introduce effective and
targeted marketing strategies.
As BEE?s solutions are designed with high Customer-Premise-
Equipment (CPE) and bandwidth efficiency, they minimize the capital
and operation overhead of TV service providers.
Besides having an attractive user interface, a comprehensive
supporting back office suite is indispensable for a successful digital
service operation. BEE?s product portfolio thus consists of a broad
range of end-to-end solutions from middleware to asset
management and operation support at back office. All these allow for
the provision of enhanced TV services in a cost-effective manner.
BEE?s product portfolio consists of three flagship solutions:
TV
Operating Support System).
BEE MediaSoft, a separate subsidiary set up by DMX to further develop andVision, Vision AMS (Asset Management System), and MOSS (MediaVision TV
solution designed for TV service providers to offer enhanced digital
video services through broadband, cable, satellite and terrestrial
broadcasts. Middleware refers to software that connects two or more
software applications. It often serves as a solution to the problem of
is a comprehensive, tightly integrated middlewareDMX Technologies ? Initiate Coverage
Page 9 of 30linking new applications to older legacy systems.
Vision TV offers a complete range of advanced and interactive TV
functions which include:
?
browse and view broadcast TV programs to be recorded or
retrieve recorded programs from the Personal Media Library
at their fingertips.
Full functions interactive video program guide for viewers to?
Trick-play refers to using controls such pause, instant replay,
rewind, etc. It is referred to as ?trick-play? because these
functions can also be performed while watching live
programs.
Supports full trick-play for Video-on-Demand (VoD) service.?
(PVR) and VoD services via devices like PC, and wireless
devices such as mobile phones. PVR schedule can be set and
related program information can be received through email or
SMS.
Allows remote management of Personal Video Recording?
like gaming, TV shopping, or even billing enquiry though the
user interface.
Enables TV viewers to enjoy innovative interactive servicesVision AMS
service providers to control and manage on-demand digital content
(the assets) effectively. Vision AMS enables TV service providers to
repurpose content according to the requirement of the system
platform and to stage and store the content until served to viewers.
To repurpose content means to convert it into another format. By
allowing a certain piece of content to be repurposed in various ways
and distributed to service subscribers through different means,
Vision AMS helps TV service providers maximize the return on digital
content.
is an asset management system which allows TVMOSS
enables TV service providers to benefit from the convergence of
voice, data, and video services over various transmission mediums
such as mobile networks or cable. Built on platform neutral
architecture, MOSS supports hassle-free deployment on a variety of
hardware platforms and provides the functions matching the unique
needs of multimedia service providers. The scalability of MOSS
allows for the provision of enhanced TV services to an expanding
subscriber base. It also maximizes average revenue per user and
achieves a high degree of operation manageability.
The Technology Provisioning segment is expected to enjoy
significantly higher margins than DMX?s traditional infrastructure
business (where gross margins have been eroding due to stiffer
competition). If successful, the payoff of this strategy is only likely
to be felt over the long term. The Technology Provisioning segment?s
impact on the bottom line is not expected to be material in FY07.
is a next-generation Media Operating Support System whichDMX Technologies ? Initiate Coverage
Page 10 of 30IDC expects
the network
equipment
market in Asia
Pacific to grow
about 10% in
2007
INDUSTRY OUTLOOK
In October 1998, Merrill Lynch ran full-page advertisements in major
newspapers across America with the title ?The World is 10 years
Old?. This new world, which ushered in a new era of globalization,
was born with the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989.
As described by Thomas Friedman in
It is banking on growing demand for digital TV and the advent of Internet protocol TV (IPTV) to drive the next phase of its growth as growth in its traditional systems integration business slows.
This (digital TV and IPTV) market will see exponential growth onwards,' DMX CEO Jismyl Teo told XFN-Asia.
In China alone, there are 130 million cable TV subscribers, of which only 11 million are subscribed to digital cable TV services currently. Ms Teo estimates that DMX currently has about a 10% of China's digital cable TV market. The number of analog cable TV subscribers in China converting to digital cable TV services has been doubling, but Ms Teo expects IPTV subscribers to grow at a much faster rate come 2009, when regulations are in place for telecommunications companies to offer such services. Ms Teo estimates there are currently 1.5 million IPTV subscribers in Asia, with about half coming from Hong Kong. By 2009, she said experts expect IPTV subscribers in Asia to reach 39 million.
This share is going up a bit slowly. Is it because of the coming CD? Any new analysis on this share for us? Thanks.