
C
HINA NEW TOWN DEVELOPMENTA Unique Land Development Player In China
A leading niche player in primary land development.
the only listed Chinese company that focuses on land development in China. It has 16.3m sqm of residential land
available for sale, which bodes well for land sales over the next 5-10 years.
China New Town Development (CNTD) (CNTD SP) isBeneficiary of rapid urbanisation in China.
will be built to meet the housing needs of a growing urban population. CNTD is set to benefit from this trend.
As urbanisation gathers pace in China, more and more new townsPlugged into long-term land appreciation in China.
can reap the benefits of land appreciation over a long period of time. This gives it an unparalleled advantage over
home builders who have to replenish landbank every year and take the risk of timing the market.
By securing large-scale land development projects, CNTDHigh margins.
could become more and more profitable on the back of land appreciation over time. In 2009, CNTD’s gross margin
hit 60%, beating listed Chinese property developers’ 34% average.
As CNTD’s entry costs are almost locked in in its agreements with local governments, its projectsDual listing to be a near-term catalyst.
Exchange by introduction. Although there will be no issuance of new shares, the dual listing should help diversify
CNTD’s investor portfolio, enhance liquidity of the stock and boost the likelihood of a re-rating.
CNTD plans to seek dual listing on the mainboard of Hong Kong StockKey investment risks:
year, b) huge capex needed at the early stage of land development, c) CNTD being a margin player rather than a
volume player due to capex restrictions and government control of land sales schedule, d) reliance on the Shanghai
Luodian project and Shanghai property market for the next few years, and e) policy and operational risks of the
Shenyang project.
a) Volatile land sales and earnings due to limited land sales for each project within eachDecent discount to NAV.
discount to NAV, which is lower than the sector’s 40% discount to NAV.
We estimate CNTD’s NAV at S$0.21/share. Thus, the stock is trading at a 48%52-Wk Range: S$0.155/S$0.100 52-Wk Avg Daily Vol. (m): 12.9 Market Cap: S$428m ROE: 7% NTA/Share: S$0.123
Net EPS EV/
Year to Turnover EBITDA Profit EPS Growth PE EBITDA DPS Yield
31 Dec (Rmbm) (Rmbm) (Rmbm) (Rmb˘) (%) (x) (x) (Rmb˘) (%)
2007 363 109 (287) (34.3) n.a. n.a. 24.5 0.0 0.0
2008 564 (455) (846) (53.4) n.a. n.a. n.a. 0.0 0.0
2009 1,087 342 167 6.0 111.2 9.0 9.8 1.4 2.5
ozone2002 ( Date: 21-Jun-2010 14:10) Posted:
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China yuan reform..
ChinaNtown will benefit from this..
also awaiting dual listing on HSE
ozone2002 ( Date: 13-May-2010 14:36) Posted:
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ok just saw the SGX announcement..
after cup n handle formation .. the sky is the limit!
freeme ( Date: 13-May-2010 00:00) Posted:
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CHINA NEW TOWN: Not affected by austerity measures on China real estate | ![]() |
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Written by Sim Kih | |
Sunday, 09 May 2010 | |
Banks were also given discretion to refuse mortgages to people buying their third property, and to exercise residency requirements on buyers. ![]() China New Town is a pioneer in commercial transformation of rural land for urban use, said its CEO.
In FY09, 80% of China New Town’s revenues came from its share of proceeds in land sales by local authorities in Shanghai to third-party residential real estate developers. As a land infrastructure developer, the company has been managing the entire process of a new town development for 8 years, from designing the master urban plan, to relocation and resettlement of incumbent residents and enterprises, clearing and preparation of the rural land, to installation of infrastructure. According to Mr Li, about 60% of China’s 1.3 billion people are still rural residents, versus an ideal agrarian population proportion of 30% when it is envisaged that farmers will be lifted out of poverty. Until then, China’s push for urbanization will spur demand for the 3 land parcels that the company is developing at Shanghai (Luodian), Wuxi (Hongshan) and Shenyang (Lixiang), he said. He also clarified that unlike for real estate developers, which are under China’s policy to curb land hoarding, the 2 to 3-year time limit for real estate development after land acquisition does not apply to China New Town. Neither is the company affected by tightening on grant of mortgage loans. Minority shareholders then voiced concern over the relatively small amount of interest income generated after cash balances had ballooned to as much as Rmb 1.5 billion as at end 2009. After all, even going by the 0.36% demand deposit rate of Rmb in China banks as at end Apr 2010, cash balances of Rmb 1.5 billion would have generated at least Rmb 5 million of interest income, five times that of the Rmb 1.2 million reported in China New Town’s annual report. Its independent auditor separately pointed out that cash influx from sale of land parcels took place progressively over the year, and not necessarily at the beginning of the year when its cash balance was only Rmb 138.0 million. ”We expect profits and cash flow to improve over the next 2 years as land prices are expected to stay firm,” concluded Mr Li. ![]() Executive director Li Yao Min became CEO on 7 Jan 2010. Photo by Sim Kih.
China’s latest measures to address this social imbalance have been described as the most severe ever, and observers are saying more is to come. |
huge lot buy up @ leilong price..
pump n dump again?????????
Company buy back shares again ??
another married deal done
5,000 lots.. @ 14c
Standard & Poor's initiates coverage of CHINA NEW TOWN, forecasting RMB295 m profit in 2010
nice!!
NOW i know why CNT is attracting so much interest...
there was an S&P report on this company..
anyone can share? i have read it in hardcopy..