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Don't forget, Warren Buffet has 32b in cash now. He is only using 8b presently, 3b in GE, 5b in GS. He only buys value stocks. He is not using all yet. Structured. No wonder he is the oracle of Ohama! Very disciplined!
He said not US is like pearl harbour economically. http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/081002/buffett_economy.html
cyjjerry85 ( Date: 02-Oct-2008 23:49) Posted:
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confidence is low now...but i just saw the confidence of Warren Buffett ...pumped in so much for GE...if Buffett is in the market scooping now...does it mean it might possibly be time? he has deep pockets...but as a general public..normal persons like u and me...there's still quite some jitters inside us..fear of the unknown...not as powerful as Buffett...even the US government also need to consult him
Unfortunately, confidence level is very much shaken at this stage...
hopefully.
winsontkl ( Date: 30-Sep-2008 21:57) Posted:
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Bear has its fair share .... time to take five....
Washington Mutual?
How many more casualties more to come????
Bear is relentless .... see more red recently.....
Even Asia is affected as can be seen on Lehman's effect.
can't possibly keep having rate cuts as it doesn't solve the entire core problem...i personally think what the Fed did was right by maintaining the 2% rate...need to think of other possible solutions and methods in dealing with the crisis now.
CWQuah ( Date: 16-Sep-2008 22:40) Posted:
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See what happens at 2.15am. Heh.
How long will the Bear roam???
Red ... Red ... Red!!!
With the Lehman down & BOA buy ML while AIG is facing a hard time....
financial stocks is badly hit and the bear is running wild not only in US....
Europe is in deep red as well...
Sea of red is back....the BEAR rules ....
Like the way the market swing, just when it is down, a surprise bailout of F & F change drastically the mood....
To me, think that this might not last as it artificially prolong the fall only...ha ha might be wrong...
Cautious trading rules...
Yawn.....Oh....the bear is out again....
Europe mostly in the red of 2% while Dow is down by 120 points....testing new low again???
Oh No.....
Force index shorting - note that angmos had been using this tool to short most of our SGX stocks especially China stocks until their price really melted to worth only less than 20% of 52 weeks high. So never believe that cheap stocks are good for bargain hunting or worst for long term investment especially in 2008. You only stand high risk to stuck with bad stocks that big boys and angmos used to play shorting with no scripts on hand.
Capture this notes over the Internet and really see this is the best tool to deal with SGX market if we want to make easy money during the 2008 Super BEAR market especially POST game over of the Olympic game in Beijing.
Sunday, February 3, 2008
Force Index Oscillator Case Study - YangZhiJiang
Force Index Oscillator
The market has moved down tremendously since the beginning of 2008. Investors that are keen to profit from down moves can make use of options, warrants or CFD to profit from any downward movement in prices.
Today I will introduce to you an interesting indicator developed by Dr Alexander Elder. This is the Force Index Oscillator.
By definition,
Force Index Oscillator = (Close[today] – Close[yesterday]) * Volume[today]
I have applied the following rules:
Enter Short Position :
1. Price must be lower than 22 day exponential moving average of the daily closing price today.
2. The 22 day exponential moving average of the daily closing price must be decreasing for the past 2 days.
3. The 13 day exponential average of the force index oscillator crosses the zero line today
4. If
condition 1 to 3 is true, open a short position at the market open on the next
day.
Exit Short Position :
1. If position is showing a loss of 10%, close the trade or
2. If
the 13 day exponential average of the force index oscillator is less than zero,
close the trade
Let’s do a case study. I have chosen YangZhiJiang, a ship building company
listed in Singapore Stock Exchange
Bear has been leaving its paw print here and there.....setting a negative mood...
Bear in action now???
Long term trend seems to favor the Bear more than the bull...
Surprise recent bullishness even though Citi loss US2.5 billion....consolation that the situation is not so bad probably BUT we are still not out of the wood....
Inflation is the catch. But just can't understand Zambabwe's inflation rate is 2.2 million %, the pooress country in the world, unless got other discovery.
Who care Zam, Vietnam sees 25 % inflation rate alrdy causing panicky in Asian liao. Keppel Land got hit, AK kena side flash. &*^*^&^% :)
Can only say for the moment, be a cautious bull. Technically a trend reversal has happened. Catch is how long this reversal will persist.
Too early to write off the BEAR, yet to be out of the wood....