Post Reply
1501-1520 of 2099
el7888 ( Date: 10-Jul-2009 14:33) Posted:
|
el7888 ( Date: 10-Jul-2009 14:33) Posted:
|
Hi richtan,
I agreed with your analysis and hope that we are in the bull market. But look moneycentralonline, they seen to have a different point of view.
http://www.moneycentralonline.blogspot.com/
richtan ( Date: 10-Jul-2009 14:24) Posted:
|
Below is my chart analysis of STI for sharing and exchange pointers.
I maybe wrong or right, so dyodd
| Updated: 9th July 2009, 0900 hrs | |||
| IMF raises outlook for the global economy next year | |||
|
|||
|
The International Monetary Fund has raised its outlook for the global economy in 2010, but said recovery from the worst recession since World War II would be sluggish. The IMF boosted its 2010 global growth forecast to 2.5 percent, an improvement of 0.6 points from its April forecast. The updated IMF forecast was marginally worse for 2009, showing a contraction of 1.4 percent across the global economy. IMF chief economist, Olivier Blanchard put the new forecast into perspective. “Yes, we are a bit more optimistic but one has to keep it in perspective, which is that 2.5 % is still far below the kind of growth rate you need to maintain unemployment constant, which means that throughout 2010 we still basically predict an increase in unemployment so it’s good news but it’s not great news.” In an update to its semiannual World Economic Outlook, the IMF said financial conditions have improved more than expected, owing mainly to public intervention. It added that recent data suggest that the rate of decline in economic activity is moderating, although to varying degrees among regions. Nevertheless, it said financial systems remain impaired, support from public policies will gradually diminish, and households in countries that suffered asset price busts will rebuild savings, curbing consumption. The downturn now was expected to hit advanced economies harder this year, with a combined contraction of 3.8 percent instead of the flat growth previously seen. Among the major economies, the IMF significantly marked up estimates for the United States and Japan. |
Buy and hold strategy doesn't work in today's environment. I'd tend to agree that 5-year-term in really too long as far investing in equity market nowadays - today the Market environment changes at such a fast pace! If you don't change with the Market, you could really be loooong forever!
6 mth is the longest I'd hold on to any stock - be it blue, red or yellow or even green :o. Of course, to each his own 
Cheers!
iPunter ( Date: 03-Jul-2009 17:49) Posted:
|
U.S. stocks set for a positive open
Investors wait for a slew of economic news, including updates on the retail and labor markets.
At 7:05 a.m. ET, the Dow Jones industrial average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 futures were all positive.
Futures measure current index values against the perceived future performance. They can be used as a forecast for trading after the bell, but they're not always an accurate harbinger.
Wednesday, stocks managed to largely recoup losses, with the Dow tacking on 15 points by the end of the day. The S&P 500 index lost 1 point, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq was unchanged.
After a 40% run-up off March 9 lows, Wall Street has taken a step back. Investors are concerned that the recovery will be slow and protracted. A weaker-than-expected June jobs report, released last week, set the dour mood. Investors are taking a cautious stance as the quarterly financial reporting 'season' gets underway.
"It looks like Alcoa is ushering in a less-worse-than-expected earnings [season,]" said Len Blum, managing director at Westwood Capital LLC.
Alcoa (AA, Fortune 500) was the first Dow component up to bat and it posted a smaller-than-expected loss, sending its shares higher in after-hours trading Wednesday. Analysts are largely expecting mostly dismal reports but investors will be hoping for some positive forecasts to help spur a sustained turnaround.
Art Hogan, chief market strategist at Jefferies & Co., said that futures are also being bolstered by strong car sales in China, because that could have a positive impact on the U.S. automakers and supporting industries.
Going forward, he said the weekly jobless claims report "could throw a wrench into, or could accelerate" the futures markets, depending on the outcome. He said that any number below 615,000 claims would be seen as positive.
Economic reports on tap: The weekly jobless claims report from the Labor Department is also due in the morning. Initial claims for jobless benefits are expected to have increased by 603,000 in the most recent week, a modest improvement from the 614,000 claims in the week prior.
May wholesale inventories are expected to have fallen 1% after dropping 1.4% in the previous month. The Commerce Department report is expected to show that inventories plunged for a ninth straight month.
The nation's chain stores will release sales figures for June throughout the morning.
In Washington: The House Financial Services committee holds a morning hearing on reinvesting bank bailout money.
In the afternoon, a House Financial Services subcommittee debates expanding the Federal Reserve's role as a risk regulator.
Global markets: Asian markets closed mixed, with Japan's Nikkei giving up 1.38%. European markets were positive in mid-day trading.
Oil and money: The price of oil rose $1.05 to $61.19. The dollar was falling against the euro but rising versus the Japanese yen. 
Dow ends in the black
Wall Street erases bigger losses by the close, as select blue-chip gains counter lower oil prices and economic pessimism.
The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) gained 44 points, or 0.5%. The S&P 500 (SPX) index rose 2 points, or 0.3% and the Nasdaq (COMP) fell 9 points, or 0.5%.
Stocks slipped through the early afternoon as investors eyed falling oil prices and a better-than-expected report on the services sector of the economy from the Institute for Supply Management. But a late-session run up in biotechs and consumer issues helped the Dow turn positive.
"With a bounce in the U.S. dollar, money moved out of the volatile commodity area and into more defensive areas like consumer staples," said Ryan Detrick, senior technical strategist at Schaeffer's Investment Research.
Stocks slipped Thursday in the last session of a holiday-shortened trading week after a weaker-than-expected jobs report fueled worries about the economy. All financial markets were closed Friday for the Independence Day weekend.
Monday's trading was partly a continued response to Thursday's job report, said Paul Brigandi, vice president of trading at Direxion Funds.
"People are in 'show me' mode," he said. "They want to see hard evidence that the recession is going to end later this year or early next. That jobs report was an indication that the recovery is a little further off than what people expect."
Stocks rallied for three months, with the S&P 500 gaining 40%, on bets that the economy is closer to stabilizing. But stocks have drifted lower in the last three weeks on concerns that the run-up was too much, too soon.
There are no market-moving economic reports on tap for Tuesday.
On the move: Commodity, homebuilding, technology and retail shares were among the big decliners Monday.
On the Dow industrials, Chevron (CVX, Fortune 500) and Exxon Mobil (XOM, Fortune 500) led the declines, falling along with the price of oil. But that was countered by strength in heavily-weighted components such as Johnson & Johnson (JNJ, Fortune 500), Merck (MRK, Fortune 500) and Procter & Gamble (PG, Fortune 500).
Financial shares Travelers (TRV, Fortune 500), American Express (AXP, Fortune 500) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500) gained as well.
Market breadth was negative. On the New York Stock Exchange, losers beat winners three to two on volume of 1.14 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, decliners topped advancers by eight to five on volume of 2 billion shares.
GM: General Motors' (GMGMQ) restructuring plan has been approved by a federal judge, clearing the way for the troubled automaker to emerge from bankruptcy.
The automaker will be allowed to sell most of its assets to a new company, which should clear the way for it to exit bankruptcy. The judge's ruling came after a three-day hearing ended Thursday.
The company has received $50 billion in taxpayer funds. In exchange, the U.S. government will get a majority stake in the new GM. Other owners include the Canadian government and the United Auto Workers union.
GM shares fell 14.4%.
Other company news: Pepsi (PEP, Fortune 500) and Pepsi Bottling Group (PBG, Fortune 500) will invest an additional $1 billion in Russia over the next three years in an effort to counter weak domestic sales by boosting profits in emerging markets. The two companies have now invested more than $4 billion in Russia.
Rio Tinto (RTP) sold a division of its Alcan unit for $1.2 billion as it seeks to cut debt after the 2007 purchase of the Canadian aluminum company. The sale of Alcan's packaged food division to U.S.-based Bemis is a cash-and-stock deal.
Oil: Energy prices tumbled, with U.S. light crude oil for August delivery falling $2.68 to settle at $64.05 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Bonds: Treasury prices rose, lowering the benchmark 10-year note yield to 3.51% from 3.49% late Thursday. Bond markets were closed Friday. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite directions.
Other markets: In global trade, Asian markets tumbled and European markets ended lower.
In currency trading, the dollar gained versus the euro and the yen.
COMEX gold for August delivery settled down $6.70 at $924.30 an ounce.
Economic reports: The Institute for Supply Management's services index rose to 47 in June from 44 in May, which still indicated a contracting sector. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com thought it would rise to 46.
iPunter ( Date: 03-Jul-2009 17:49) Posted:
|
'Long-term' and '5 years', etc are only easy to say... bit living through it is actually hell!...
Because when a person invests, he would definitely love it if his investments grow fast...the faster the better... this is human nature...
Thus, in reality, no one loves to be a long-term investor if he/she has the choice... hehehe...
iPunter ( Date: 03-Jul-2009 11:00) Posted:
|
