
Dow commenced trading in the red, down 20 points; Nasdaq down 6 points.
Last Friday was only slight correction due to lower US' GDP and the lower mother board demand - as excuses for profit taking. Next week will recover ...
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MARKET SNAPSHOT
Stocks seen higher but data may bring in cool front
Employment report for October due Friday; earnings growth rate rises to 17%
By Carla Mozee, MarketWatch
Last Update: 7:00 AM ET Oct 28, 2006
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) - U.S. stocks are expected to edge higher next week as investors struggle to decide whether to take their cues from strong corporate earnings or signs that economic growth is moderating.
Some analysts said the strength of earnings - nearly three-quarters of major companies have reported higher-than-expected profit for the third quarter -- should provide support for the market next week. Others said the recent rally has left the major indexes vulnerable and that any weakness in the raft of economic reports due could send stocks lower or keep them range-bound.
"The market is projecting at least no Fed [action], modest economic growth and diminishing inflation numbers. Any economic report that deviates significantly from that is going to shake up the market," said Paul Nolte, director of investments at Hinsdale Associates.
Investors will have to parse data including October payrolls, snapshots of September's inflation, manufacturing and construction reports as well as monthly retail sales data from chain stores.
But the economic data won't completely steal the spotlight from the strength that corporate earnings have shown so far this season and from the pile of results still to be released, analysts said.
"In the third week of earnings season, we're still coming out with more positive surprises...and usually those taper off by this time," said Marc Pado, U.S. market strategist at Cantor Fitzgerald.
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Its about time the Dow pulled back anyway.
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Stocks end lower on day, higher on week
GDP sparks pullback from new highs; Goldman note hits tech sector
By Leslie Wines, MarketWatch
Last Update: 4:23 PM ET Oct 27, 2006
"We are seeing some skepticism here after the GDP number, with people wondering whether the rally can continue or if we are beginning to see the beginning of a correction that seems to be a long time coming," said Robert Pavlik, chief investment officer of Oaktree Asset Management.
But the prospect that continued weak economic data will prompt the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates kept losses in check.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 78 points at 12,084.
The S&P 500 dropped 12 points to 1,377 and the Nasdaq Composite gave up 27 points to 2,351.
For the week, the Dow rose 0.8%, the S&P 500 gained 0.7% and the Nasdaq ran up 0.4%.
Shares were pressured by news that gross domestic product grew at a 1.6% seasonally adjusted annual rate in the third quarter, down from 2.6% growth in the second quarter, the Commerce Department said.
Economists surveyed by MarketWatch had been expecting growth of 2%, on average.
"GDP was below expectations, but it may not have that much impact because the general expectation is for a small rebound in the fourth quarter," said Michael Metz, chief investment strategist at Oppenheimer & Co.
"To me it just looks like a little profit-taking," Metz said, referring to the stock-price losses. On Thursday, the Dow closed at a record high, and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended at their best levels in nearly six years.
There were losses among many technology stocks after Goldman Sachs analysts said it expects downside surprises for many companies in this sector after the strong earnings seen in the third quarter. "Mother board demand is falling of a cliff," Goldman said.
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Stocks fell Friday after the Commerce Department reported that the economy grew at the slowest pace in more than three years.
While investors expected the reading on gross domestic product would show growth to be slowing, the report stirred concern that a cooling in the housing market would spill over into other parts of the economy.
The GDP, the broadest measure of the economy, showed growth slowed to 1.6% in the third quarter; economists had been expecting a 2.1% expansion. The report identified the slowing housing market as a significant drag on growth, as money pumped into homebuilding fell by the largest amount since 1991.
Providing some optimism, the University of Michigan reported that its consumer sentiment index rose to 93.6 for October from a reading of 85.4 last month.
Another record for Dow last nite .... WoW!
MARKET SNAPSHOT
S&P 500 reaches best level in almost 6 years
Exxon Mobil profit tops $10 billion; Boeing falls after Airbus wins China order
By Mark Cotton, MarketWatch
Last Update: 4:40 PM ET Oct 26, 2006
The Dow Jones Industrial Average struck yet another record high close, for the fourth time this week.
Dow closed up 28.98 points at 12,163.66, erasing earlier losses of as much as 39 points. The average struck a fresh intraday record high of 12,167.02.
The Nasdaq Composite Index closed up 22.51 points at 2,379.10, its best close since February, 2001, while the S&P 500 Index rose 6.86 points to end at 1,389.08, its highest level in approximately six years.
Peter Boockvar, equity strategist at Miller Tabak, said Thursday's gains were "more of the same. We are in a market where all news is good news. If oil falls, the market goes up. If oil rises, the market also goes up."
"The economy is clearly slowing, but that doesn't matter now," Boockvar said. "We are just seeing continued momentum and continued earnings excitement."
"The market has gone up very far, very quickly. From a technical point of view, the S&P for example, is overbought in the near term so you're definitely going to see some investors take some profits at these levels," said Michael Malone, trading analyst at Cowen & Co.
"But with that said, one thing that we've seen recently is investors are coming in to buy any market weakness so I wouldn't expect it will be something that will last."
On the broader market for equities, advancers had an 11-to-5 advantage over decliners on the New York Stock Exchange, and led by more than 2-to-1 on the Nasdaq.
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The median price of a new home plunged in September by the largest amount in more than 35 years, even as the pace of sales rebounded for a second month.
The Commerce Department reported that the median price for a new home sold in September was $217,100, a drop of 9.7% from September 2005. It was the lowest median price for a new home since September 2004 and the sharpest year-over-year decline since December 1970. The weakness in new home prices was even sharper than a 2.5% fall in the price of existing homes last month, which had been the biggest drop on record.
The declines in prices served to underscore the severity of the correction in the once-booming housing market, which had seen sales of both new and existing homes soar to record levels for five consecutive years, propelled by the lowest mortgage rates in more than four decades.
The Commerce Department reported that orders for durable goods rose by 7.8% last month. The increase followed two consecutive months of declines and was the biggest gain since June 2000.
In a third report, the Labor Department said the number of newly laid off workers filing claims for unemployment benefits rose by 8,000 last week to a seasonally adjusted 308,000. That increase was in line with expectations.
The Commerce Department reported that the median price for a new home sold in September was $217,100, a drop of 9.7% from September 2005. It was the lowest median price for a new home since September 2004 and the sharpest year-over-year decline since December 1970. The weakness in new home prices was even sharper than a 2.5% fall in the price of existing homes last month, which had been the biggest drop on record.
The declines in prices served to underscore the severity of the correction in the once-booming housing market, which had seen sales of both new and existing homes soar to record levels for five consecutive years, propelled by the lowest mortgage rates in more than four decades.
The Commerce Department reported that orders for durable goods rose by 7.8% last month. The increase followed two consecutive months of declines and was the biggest gain since June 2000.
In a third report, the Labor Department said the number of newly laid off workers filing claims for unemployment benefits rose by 8,000 last week to a seasonally adjusted 308,000. That increase was in line with expectations.
Another record close for Dow! A rate PAUSE last nite as expected .... Shiok for another STI record today!
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MARKET SNAPSHOT
Stocks get a lift from Fed's non-action
Dow hits new high, as Altria's gain mutes GM, Boeing weakness
By Mark Cotton & Tomi Kilgore, MarketWatch
Last Update: 4:13 PM ET Oct 25, 2006
Investor optimism over the quarterly reports from Altria and Amazon offset disappointment with numbers from Boeing and General Motors, and helped send the Dow Jones Industrials Average to yet another all-time high.
The Dow industrials seesawed around the flatline after the Fed's decision, but settled on positive territory. The Dow closed up 6.80 points at 12,134, with 22 of 30 components contributing to gains, and tapped a record high of 12,148 in intraday trading.
Just before the Fed statement was released, the Dow stood at 12,101.
"It's just a restatement of previous policy but obviously it's encouraging to investors in that the decent pace of economic growth can continue with inflationary pressure contained," said Ken Tower, chief market strategist at CyberTrader.
The Nasdaq Composite Index finished up 11 points at 2,356 while the S&P 500 Index was 4 points better at 1,382.
Just prior to the Fed, the Nasdaq stood at 2,347 and the S&P 500 was at 1,378.
The Fed's policy-setting committee kept its target on overnight interest rates at 5.25%, and made few changes to its policy statement. See full story.
"Economic growth has slowed over the course of the year, partly reflecting a cooling of the housing market," the Fed's statement said. "Going forward, the economy seems likely to expand at a moderate pace."
"Nonetheless, the committee judges that some inflation risks remain," the statement said. Further rate hikes, if any, would depend on "the evolution of the outlook for both inflation and economic growth." See full text of Fed statement.
Tony Crescenzi, chief bond market strategist at Miller Tabak & Co., said one can infer from the Fed's statement that interest rates will remain on hold for the foreseeable future, as the Fed removed any reference to commodity prices as a source of inflation pressure.
"The removal suggests that the Fed had become more comfortable that its expectation for a moderation in inflation pressures will be realized," Crescenzi said.
On the broader market for equities, advancers outpaced decliners by 22 to 11 on the New York Stock Exchange, and by 16 to 13 on the Nasdaq.
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Wah ... Oil supply down! Dow down 33 points now, Nasdaq still up 6 points. Hope Big Ben comes to the rescue later.
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Crude rallies after data shows unexpected supply decline
By Ciara Linnane
Last Update: 10:40 AM ET Oct 25, 2006
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Dow just swings up & down FLAT, while Nasdaq up 13 points now .... waiting FOMC at 2.15am!
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ECONOMIC REPORT
Existing-home sales fall for 6th month in a row
Median sales prices down 2.2% in past year, while inventories begin to shrink
By Rex Nutting, MarketWatch
Last Update: 10:14 AM ET Oct 25, 2006
very interesting, rare superally. that means must buy call warrant. but this momentum, isit real? or isit possible for rally one day, and suddenely 180 degress reversal the next? Divergence in dunno wat bokerage .... blah blah, seems to indicate late buying.....
quite hard to say.. either today or next week correction else it will be the rare super rally to 13050.
looks like fatigue for the bull. Oil prices set to increases. Fed will be "hawkish", Economy slowing. How can the bull rally still continue? Put warrants everybody! lol
what a fight by the bull to close at 12127! the bull seem unwavering to charge higher.
tomolo is fed report thus STI should not rallied wildly.
Good lucks guys on sti tomolo!
Dow form a double top at 2133. Sign of correction?
nevertheless, DOW will let us know the direction within this week but i believed DOW may have showed the signal for correction tonite. three time it hit the peak and trend downwards. Dun think DOW will close abv 12110 tonite.
tomolo STI rally do participate with caution. DOW look very heavy now ripe for a correction. if it dun correct soon, it may do a super rally till 13050 region.
i have exited most of my stocks on monday on fear of a correction on dow. however yesterday rally delayed that correction to a later date. thus i have a funny feeling, half wants dow to correct, another half dun. what i feel now is kinda strange. lolz
Dow fell slightly on open... now down by 6 points. Hopefully, it won't be that bad tonight.
U.S. stock futures edged lower on Tuesday as investors grew cautious as a Federal Reserve interest-rate decision neared and after a disappointing outlook from one of the world's larger microchip makers, Texas Instruments.
Blue chips resumed a three-month rally Monday after stalling Friday; the Dow had already risen 233 points in October before Monday's trading. The average also reached a new trading high Monday of 12,125.16.