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warrenbegger
    24-Feb-2011 19:12  
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I also dont know. I  bot 0.810 last year, saw it hit 1.52 and this few day down so much no choice this morning sell all at 1.35. STI really kanna gang rape hard this time.

crystal1818      ( Date: 24-Feb-2011 16:40) Posted:

Why the sudden dropped in price from 1.4x to 1.2x?

 
 
crystal1818
    24-Feb-2011 16:40  
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Why the sudden dropped in price from 1.4x to 1.2x?
 
 
Cookie
    24-Feb-2011 15:58  
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ohboyohboyohboy...

cuppa overbred huh?!...

what da story like....
 

 
warrenbegger
    23-Feb-2011 23:30  
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Super is a home-grown brand in Singapore and it remains a major market for us. We have since replicated in Southeast Asia our hugely successful marketing strategy.



 

Industry Outlook and Future Plans

The Group expects market conditions to remain competitive in the next twelve months while currency fluctuations and rising raw material costs, such as coffee bean and sugar price, will impact the Group’s operating performance. However, management is familiar with these challenges and will continue to take appropriate actions in managing their impact on the Group’s businesses. With increasing raw material costs, the Group will continue to review the retail prices of its products taking into account competitors’ actions in the key markets. The Group will continuously focus its efforts on the dual-engine of growth – Branded Consumer and Ingredients sales. In view of the robust demand for the Group’s non-dairy creamer, especially in the China market, management is installing an additional production line to expand the Group’s annual production capacity to 100,000 metric tons from 75,000 metric tons by 3Q11. The Group concludes the current financial year with a cash reserve of S$141.8 million and will continue to grow its core businesses and strengthen its brand. Management will also seek out synergistic business opportunities and ventures to enhance shareholder’s value.
Robusta coffee bean prices peaked at about US$2,600 a ton in 2008. Right now it is already about US$2,300 to US$2,400. We believe prices will soften.


krisluke      ( Date: 23-Feb-2011 22:11) Posted:



soaring coffee seeds increase operation expenses, thus require more $ to buy soft comm.

nestle? i heard BBs selling ? ??

 
 
krisluke
    23-Feb-2011 22:11  
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soaring coffee seeds increase operation expenses, thus require more $ to buy soft comm.

nestle? i heard BBs selling ? ??
 
 
warrenbegger
    23-Feb-2011 21:27  
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SOUTHEAST ASIA'S leading instant coffeemix player, Super Group, today posted revenue growth of 18.8% in FY2010 to reach S$351.8 million.

Group rewards shareholders with total dividends of 5.4 cents per share for FY10, representing 50.1% of net profit

We plan to launch 3 to 4 coffee-related products this year. We have the quality and food safety.   China players currently do not have the technology (they are not even able to export Taiwan) while large food ingredient manufacturers like Nestle charge a premium.   So there is a gap where we can fill. The manufacturers of consumer F& B products in China are very large players with large volumes given its huge population.

http://www.nextinsight.net/index.php/story-archive-mainmenu-60/912-2011/3528-super-grows-fy2010-top-line-188-to-s352m-proposes-36-cent-dps

 

 
warrenbegger
    23-Feb-2011 14:08  
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SUPER DELIVERS 46.7% YOY NET PROFIT GROWTH FOR FY10

Group rewards shareholders with total dividends of 5.4 cents per share for FY10, representing 50.1% of net profit

http://info.sgx.com/webcoranncatth.nsf/VwAttachments/Att_25B0B5A77996977E4825784000194860/$file/Press_Release_FY10.pdf?openelement

 
 
warrenbegger
    23-Feb-2011 14:05  
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SUPER DELIVERS 46.7% YOY NET PROFIT

GROWTH FOR FY10

Highlights:

Consumer and Ingredients salesRevenue jumped 18.8% YoY boosted by higher Branded

Gross profit margin increased by 2.4 percentage points YoY



share for FY10, representing 50.1% of net profit

http://info.sgx.com/webcoranncatth.nsf/VwAttachments/Att_25B0B5A77996977E4825784000194860/$file/Press_Release_FY10.pdf?openelement
Group rewards shareholders with total dividends of 5.4 cents per

 
 
krisluke
    18-Jan-2011 12:36  
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wah seh ! !! 147 liao. vested last year. hmm yum yum ^-^
 
 
enghou
    17-Dec-2010 17:30  
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UOBKH recommends BUY with Target price at $1.66

 




What’s New 

• Initiate with BUY. We initiate coverage on Super Group (Super) with a 

BUY. 

Stock Impact 

• Undervalued proxy on Asia consumption.  We initiate coverage on 

Super with a BUY and a target price of S$1.66. This is based on a PEG 

of 1.0x, which we think is justified given its steady and solid 16% net 

profit CAGR over the next three years. Our target price implies 16.4x 

2011F PE, which is within its historical PE range of 7-25x since 2003. 

• Strong presence in Southeast Asia. The group is a leading instant food 

and beverage brand owner with a strong position in Southeast Asia. 

Super owns more than 10 brands that target different consumer groups. 

The Group has a top-3 market share (for 3-in-1 coffee segment) in 

Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand and Myanmar.   

• Solid track record. The group has a solid earnings track record, with a 

17% net profit CAGR over the past five years. Looking ahead, we 

forecast Super to register a three-year EPS CAGR of 16%, underpinned 

by a 10-15% rise in demand in its consumer goods segment and a 

stronger 22% CAGR growth in ingredient sales over 2010-12F (which 

account for 11-13% of group turnover in 2010-12F).  

• Capital management and M&A.  Management is committed to a 

dividend payout of 50%. Given its free cash flow, we project the payout to 

translate to a decent dividend yield of 3.9% in 2010F and 3.7% in 2011F. 

As at Sep 10, its net cash was S$117.6m (S$0.21/share).  

Earnings Revision/Risk

• We estimate Super’s EPS to rise at a 3-year CAGR of 16% in 2010-12F, 

driven by: 

a) Steady annual demand growth of 10-15% in its key markets, 

including Singapore, Malaysia, Vietnam and Myanmar for its 

branded consumer goods (mainly 3-in-1 instant coffee). In Vietnam, 

the group also plans to increase its distribution channels to improve 

market coverage. 

b) Strong growth from its ingredient sales division. This segment has 

enjoyed strong growth since its inception in 2007 and we think this 

division could continue to grow significantly given its scalability and 

the market’s strong demand for reliable suppliers of ingredients. 

Key markets for this segment include China and Taiwan

  Key risks include volatile raw material prices, forex volatility,  reputational 

risk from contamination of raw materials and non-accretive M&A activities.

Valuation/Recommendation 

• BUY with a target price of S$1.66, based on a PEG of 1.0x. At our 

target PEG of 1.0x, the implied target PE is 16.4x, which is within the 

stock’s historical PE band of 7-25x since 2003, and still below 1SD above 

its mean PE of 17.7x since 2003. As a sanity check, we estimate its DCF 

valuation at S$1.63, which is close to our target price.   

Share Price Catalyst  

• We see potential share price catalysts from:

a) Better-than-expected earnings in 2011F (as its Indonesia and Vietnam 

plants commence), potential M&A due to its strong balance sheet (net 

cash of S$117.6m), and

b) Capital management exercise (higher dividends and share buy-backs). 

As at Sep 10, its net cash balance was S$117.6m, a war chest for 

more M&A or capital management

Life Is Great 
 

 
enghou
    16-Nov-2010 20:05  
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Super Group: S$1.31                             NEUTRAL (TP: S$1.24)

Input cost spike a concern

3Q10 results were within expectations as recurring net profit increased 71%
YoY  to  S$14m  on  the  back  of  12% revenue growth and 7ppt gross margin
expansion  to 40%. Our previous BUY recommendation has played out well with
share  price  raising  60%  since  our  April  2010  initiation.  After six
consecutive  quarters  of expansion, GPM could soon weaken on surging input
costs.  At higher effective tax rate assumption of 15%, we reduce our FY10F
and   FY11F  earnings  estimates  by  -4%  and  -14%  to  S$49m  and  S$47m
respectively.  We  increase  our  target  multiple to 14.6x P/E (previously
11x),  +1SD from its historical 11x mean to factor in a positive F&B sector
sentiment ,and roll it forward to FY11F earnings estimates. Our new derived
TP is S$1.24. Downgrade to NEUTRAL.

12%  top-line  growth. Consumer goods sales grew by 7% to S$72m from growth
in  Thailand, Malaysia and Mongolia. Strong non-diary cream demand in China
helped ingredient sales to increase 47% to S$15m. New production capacities
of  25,000  tons  in  Wuxi  plant had commenced production in Sep10 and are
filled  with  orders,  which  are  backed  by  yearly contracts. Company is
committing another US$20m to expand production capacity by 75,000 tons. 1st
phase of 25,000 tons is expected to be completed by Aug 2011.

7ppt  gross  margin gain. In-line with lower input Robusta coffee prices of
around  US$1,300/ton  (3Q09: US$1,600/ton), 3Q10 GPM grew 7ppt to 40%, with
consumer  goods  commanding  better  GPM  of  >40%,  as compared to ~25% of
ingredient  sales.  After  six consecutive quarters of expansion, GPM could
soon weaken on surging input costs.

Margins  likely to contract on cost spike. Based on a 6-month lag, 3Q input
costs  for  Robusta coffee bean and palm oil are estimated at US$1,300+/ton
and  US$800+/ton. Oct prices of Robusta coffee bean and palm oil have since
increased to around US$1,800/ton and US$900/ton respectively.

Source: DMG

Make Love More, Don't Make More Enemies 

 


 
 
SupremeA
    30-Apr-2010 19:02  
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lol. pun intended?

Brendan982201      ( Date: 28-Sep-2009 20:30) Posted:



anything brewing??

 
 
elisa28
    30-Apr-2010 17:52  
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Anyone have any news on this counter, look like it is going to Cheongggggggg man.
 
 
Brendan982201
    28-Sep-2009 20:30  
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anything brewing??
 
 
knightbridge
    12-Nov-2008 23:46  
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Very hard to play when Mr Sam (BIG boys) invest. Most small investor will get caught at the high. Look at Thai village , union steel are good example.  He win most of the time.
 

 
yipyip
    12-Nov-2008 22:50  
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Super Coffeemix's Q3 net profit up +27%,  9 months ended -10%

Super Coffeemix Manufacturing said on Wednesday that its net profit for the three months ended September 30, 2008 rose 27 per cent to S$6.2 million, from S$4.9 million a year ago as sales grew.
http://info.sgx.com/webcoranncatth.nsf/VwAttachments/Att_2EFF0527CDE65731482574FF0022F8E6/$file/Super_Coffeemix_3Q08_Results_Announcement.pdf?openelement
 
 
lucky168
    13-Jun-2008 00:40  
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takeover news over...

profit falling...

any more reasons for me to hold on to this?
 
 
zhuge_liang
    11-Jun-2008 12:23  
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Super Coffeemix tumbled after the company said it will not go ahead with discussions on a "possible transaction". It had risen more than 79% after the firm said 2 months ago it has received interest on a potential transaction.

"It's very disappointing. Super Coffeemix should retract back to the 60-70 cents range. The company is still a decent takeover target, because its products are distributed to many countries -- fundamentally, the company is fine," a broker said.

"I think the management is looking for a 90 cents to $1 offer."
 
 
winsontkl
    30-May-2008 21:59  
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End of story......???
 
 
cyjjerry85
    30-May-2008 16:39  
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probably cursing the story teller and the russians 

nickyng      ( Date: 30-May-2008 16:07) Posted:

wow...94.5cts now...super volatile siah!! wonder if aunties/uncles licking wounds now or not? or is it BBs licking wounds?  kekekekek... :D

 
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