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bsiong
    05-Dec-2012 20:18  
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Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Bear Raid of a Sort
December 04, 2012 • 16:22:02 PST

Gold Daily And Silver Weekly Charts - Bear Raid Of A Sort

It was announced today that Elizabeth Warren will have a seat on the Senate Banking Committee. The Wall Street lobbyists... Read More

 
 
bsiong
    05-Dec-2012 08:55  
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 12/4/2012

by Nicholas Wilsey December 4, 2012


GOLD DROPS MORE THAN ONE PERCENT OUTLOOK FOR 2013

Today’s Gold market ended at its lowest point since November 4, dropping more than one percent of its total value. There have been multiple factors that attributed to the move, such as the United States’ inability to deal with the budget crisis and the major sell-off of Gold by investors in the past week. However, some believe this has been in the making for much longer. “You cannot attribute this kind of volatility to any sudden, new fundamentals. There are obviously some large fund-algorithmic-type players moving the market around,” Bill O'Neill, partner at commodities investment firm LOGIC Advisors, said.

While the European economic outlook has remained bleak this entire year and beyond, the euro has made a comeback. Today the euro hit a seven week high against the U.S. dollar for two main reasons. First is the uncertainty of the U.S. government’s ability to avoid the fiscal cliff at the end of the calendar year. Second is the announcement of the terms of the Greek debt buyback program. The economic issues in Greece have been well documented and many believed it was a lost cause. However, Greece announced they would be spending more than previously expected by market experts. “The market is taking a fairly optimistic view that we will see a smooth implementation of these (Greek) plans,” said Ian Stannard, head of European FX strategy at Morgan Stanley in London.

All the uncertainty in the U.S. economy has left most people wondering what 2013 will bring. One leading U.S. economist believes the outlook is sluggish at best. “There is an element of repetitiveness in being an economist these days, because adjustments that affect the economy are all very long-term and are not going to change anytime soon,”  says Joshua Shapiro, chief U.S. economist at New York-based forecasting firm Maria Fiorini Ramirez, Inc.

At 5 p.m. (EST), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
  • Gold, $1699.10, Down $22.00.
  • Silver, $32.98, Down $0.76.
 
 
bsiong
    05-Dec-2012 08:54  
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 12/4/2012

by Ryan Schwimmer December 4, 2012


METALS DOWN ON TECHNICAL TRADING

Precious Metals are trading lower this morning, with Gold and Platinum down approximately 1.5 percent, Palladium down one percent and Silver down more than two percent. Analysts at UBS explained that “taking positions ahead of key policy decisions – with the [Federal Open Market Committee] meeting next week and the ongoing negotiation on the fiscal cliff – has become increasingly difficult … Many have chosen to stay on the sidelines.” Peter Fertig, a consultant with Quantitative Commodity Research, explained that Friday’s jobs report could have a significant impact on Gold if the numbers are low, which is a distinct possibility following Hurricane Sandy.

U.S. stock futures are trading slightly higher this morning, but analysts at Deutsche Bank are looking forward. “Our view is that if growth doesn’t materialize by around Q2 of next year, markets could sharply decline again. Given that most economists expect the recovery to be building by Q2, then maybe markets are right, but it shows there’s not much room for error on this.” Historically, sharp stock market declines have brought about an increase to Gold’s safe-haven appeal.

At 9 a.m. (EST), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
  • Gold, $1,695.50, Down $25.60.
  • Silver, $32.94, Down $0.80.
 

 
bsiong
    04-Dec-2012 21:48  
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Last Updated : 04 December 2012 at 18:20 IST

Gold tumbles as risk-aversion grips market

 

Source :Commodity Online Editorial Desk, Bloomberg

NEW YORK (Commodity Online):  Gold prices continue to tumble as risk aversion is taking the markets by a storm. Gold prices on the Comex are down by 1.03% and was seen trading at $1703.45 as of 6.15 pm IST.

“Worries over U.S. fiscal cliff keeping buyers wary and Rupee appreciation are the two major reason for correction in gold prices.” said Ankush Kumar Jain, Manager-Researrch, Metals-Energy, Commodity Online.

Prices on India's MCX has also tumbled by 0.64% in February contract and was seen at 31496 on 6.00PM IST.

“It’s more the risk aversion out of commodities which is probably having an impact on gold,”Peter Fertig, the owner of Quantitative Commodity Research Ltd. in Hainburg, Germany, said today by phone to Bloomberg.

Still, “there are arguments investors should buy gold on worries the U.S. economy could fall over the fiscal cliff,” he added, citing demand for a haven investment.

The Obama administration has rejected a new offer from Republicans to address the fiscal cliff issue. 

 

 
 
bsiong
    04-Dec-2012 21:46  
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 12/3/2012

By  Brandi BrundidgeDecember 3, 2012


GOLD ON RISE AFTER SELLOFF GLOBAL ECONOMY SHOWING RECOVERY

Gold is on the move as investors flock back to the metal after last Friday’s selloff. “[For] a lot of commodity firms, their fiscal year ended in November, December starts another year, and these guys could have liquidated some [Gold positions] and they could be re-establishing right now,” Phil Streible, senior commodities broker at RJO Futures, said.  Another positive for Gold is that a bailout fund has been approved for Greece, as long as the country agrees to purchase its own debt. Today Greece announced they will buy back at least 10 billion euros of the outstanding balance.

The global economy is in its best shape in more than 18 months as China had higher than expected production data for November. Also,  China's economy has received a boost as optimism grows for new leadership headed by Xi Jinping, who is expected to increase the financial condition. “The global economy continues to expand next year,” said Peter Sorrentino, who helps manage about $14.6 billion of assets at Huntington Asset Advisors in Cincinnati. “Commodities will not have a ‘shoot the lights out’ year but it should be a profitable year for commodities.”

At 5 p.m. (EST), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,717.70, Up $5.00.
  • Silver, $33.71, Up $0.46.
 
 
bsiong
    03-Dec-2012 23:30  
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 12/03/2012

By  Geoffrey VarnerDecember 3, 2012


GOLD STARTS DECEMBER STRONG

The Gold price started December strong on  positive manufacturing news from China, regaining some of the footing lost in November. The data from a private manufacturing purchasing-managers index came in slightly stronger than anticipated. In addition, the Gold price could stabilize after last week’s sell off. A strategist at Credit Suisse wrote in a research note that the sell off “appears absorbed and we think prices should now stabilize before a modest recovery could take place towards the end of the year. The seasonal weakness of the U.S. dollar in December should also help.”

Closer to home, the fiscal cliff is being set up as a holiday showdown between the two government powers. Last week saw both the president and the Republican leadership sparring with words over the spending cuts and tax increases due to be implemented early in 2013.  The past three Christmas seasons showed us similar eleventh-hour developments  that ended up being resolved: 2009 health care, 2010 tax cut, and 2011 payroll tax holiday. Maybe we are getting used to this type of last minute resolution.

At 9 a.m. (EST), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,718.10, Up $5.40.
  • Silver, $33.68, Up $0.42.
 

 
bsiong
    01-Dec-2012 17:57  
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November 30, 2012 • 14:01:17 PST

 

How Will the Fiscal Cliff Affect Gold and Silver, Metals?

If it all go's you don't want to be holding ETF Paper. Purchase Pure Physical Gold and Silver ...



 

Nicholas Brooks, head of research & investment at ETF Securities discuss the impact of the fiscal cliff on the gold and commodity markets and what investors are focused on.Read More 

 

 

 
 
bsiong
    01-Dec-2012 17:44  
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Gerald Celente - Gold, Silver &  The Top Trends For 2013
November 30, 2012 • 14:06:00 PST

Gerald Celente - Gold, Silver & The Top Trends For 2013

“This trend is one that everyone should really study, I believe, because it’s going to show what the future is going to ... Read More

 
 
bsiong
    01-Dec-2012 09:22  
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Weekly Gold & Silver Market Recap – 11/30/2012

By  Nicholas WilseyNovember 30, 2012


GOLD LOWERS IN SELL-OFF:

The week started off well for Gold. As of Monday morning Gold prices stayed near five week highs in overnight trading even after the dollar strengthened.  Edel Tully, an analyst at UBS AG in London said,  “The uncertainties surrounding the euro group meeting on Greece have impacted the euro-dollar and in turn Gold.” However, by the end of business on Tuesday the price started to lower. One of the main reasons for the decrease has been a rebound in the value of the United States dollar. October’s demand for products such as machinery and electronics went up the most in five months.  Another reason is a lower than expected demand from India. India has been the leading in Gold buying country, and when their demand goes down, the market feels the affects. The largest cause for a lower Gold price was a large sell-off in the middle of the week.  More than two million ounces of Gold futures were traded in less than five minutes.  “Clearly if a trader was looking to take profit on his positions then one would finesse metal into the market slowly - so not profit-taking going on here. More likely this could be a short play, with the seller looking to trigger stops below the market and thus extend the move lower significantly. If so, he certainly caught the market on the hop as the move is counter-intuitive with everything else that is going on in the economy.” Sharps Pixley chief executive Ross Norman said. Although it was a week of price dips for Gold, this year and the outlook for the future remains bright. The price of Gold has increased more than 10 percent for the year so far as investors have flocked to the yellow metal as a safe haven. Jeff Kilburg, CEO of Killir Kapital Management believes the Federal Reserve is adding value to Gold as they continue to print money. Kilburg said, “The theoretical value of Gold when you see that the monetary base grow by another 18.4 percent, $735 billion, it puts Gold at $2,000.”

EUROPE IN FLUX:

Financial news out of Europe has been all over the board as of late. Most of the news has been negative, but this week there was more positive news. A report commissioned by European think tank The Lisbon Council and Germany-based Berenberg Bank reflects good news for the eurozone debt crisis as they suggest the predicament may be contained in 2013 barring any major policy mistakes. “If the eurozone gets through the current acute crisis and stays on the reform path, it could eventually emerge from the crisis  as the most dynamic of the major Western economies,” Holger Schmieding, chief economist at Berenberg Bank, said on Monday. Even the debt ridden county of Greece showed signs of improvement. The eurozone and the International Monetary Fund have  reached a debt deal for Greece. The country’s debt level will be lowered to a more sustainable level, and ultimately, this deal will lead to the next $44 billion tranche of aid being released to the country. German Chancellor Angela Merkel, who many consider the political figurehead of the eurozone as Germany boasts the largest economy in the region, is coming under fire for doing the “bare minimum” to keep Greece solvent. While the eurozone news was better, the news in England was not as optimistic.  The Bank of England announced today that British banks may not have sufficient funds to protect themselves against financial market mishaps. Next year the BoE’s Financial Policy Committee will have power over British bank regulation and has already encouraged the present regulator to re-evaluate the banks’ capital to accurately represent the risk of bad loans and examine fines for misconduct. “Progress by banks in raising capital has slowed and investor confidence remains low. … The Financial Services Authority should ensure that firms either raise capital or take steps to restructure their business and balance sheets in ways that do not hinder lending to the real economy,” the BoE said in its half-yearly Financial Stability Report.

THE FISCAL CLIFF AND SIGNS OF HOPE:

There were no big breakthroughs in negotiations concerning the impending fiscal cliff in the United States. Even with a lack of progress by the federal government, U.S. citizens seem optimistic.  U.S. consumer confidence rose in November  to its highest level since February 2008 as Americans are hopeful for the economy’s future. Consumer spending in the United States currently accounts for about 70 percent of economic activity, which is below the 90 percent level that would indicate a healthier economy. While consumers are more positive it seems that elected officials are going in the opposite direction.  Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said that Republicans and Democrats of Congress are still far apart in agreeing on proper way to avoid the fiscal cliff.  Stephen Pope of Spotlight Ideas said, “I can’t believe anyone really believes that in the first serious get-together post-election, anyone will walk out and say, ‘You know what guys, we agree on everything.’ … I think you’re going to see, going forward from here, a repetition of [Tuesday], with people making grandstanding statements — a bit like how it’s gone in Europe — and trying to flex their muscles.”
 
 
bsiong
    01-Dec-2012 09:20  
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Mid-Day Gold & Silver Market Report – 11/30/2012

By  Geoffrey VarnerNovember 30, 2012


HOME PRICES ON THE RISE GOLD SET TO GAIN

Home prices rose in September, sending a signal that the housing market is showing signs of a recovery.The S& P/Case-Shiller home-price index was released this week, showing that “prices gained 3 percent over the past 12 months.”

The Gold price has held mostly steady Friday with a recent dip as U.S. trading began. The Gold price is set to gain overall for the month of November. Trading has been volatile as the asset seems to be tied to the fate of the fiscal cliff. Right now, Gold is trending with equities.  Simon Weeks, head of Precious Metals at Scotia Mocatta, said that if a breakthrough in the fiscal cliff talks came, the trend would likely continue and the Gold price would likely follow any bounce in those assets. “The knee jerk reaction will be for Gold to follow other markets up or down, and after its initial reaction, it will tend to decouple,” he said.

At 2:30 p.m. (EST), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,712.80, Down $16.70.
  • Silver, $33.34, Down $1.08.
 

 
bsiong
    30-Nov-2012 22:23  
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Visualizing The World\'s Gold Mines And Deposits
November 29, 2012 • 19:15:10 PST

Visualizing The World's Gold Mines And Deposits

After examining data from all public, private, and government sponsored companies, research shows there are 439 undevelo... Read More

 
 
bsiong
    30-Nov-2012 22:18  
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 11/30/2012

By  Ryan SchwimmerNovember 30, 2012


ANALYSTS: ‘GOLD REMAINS IN HIGH DEMAND’

Gold is looking to end the month of November on the positive side today. Analysts at Commerzbank said that  one bullish sign for Gold’s price  is the number of investors interested in not only physical metals, but exchange-traded funds (ETF) as well.  “ETF investors … are proof that Gold remains in high demand as a store of value and a safe haven despite all the price fluctuations.  We are confident that the Gold price will continue to climb in 2013,” analysts said in a note.

The European Central Bank (ECB) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF)  continue to push for reform in the eurozone.  ECB chief Mario Draghi said, “We have not yet emerged from the crisis.  The recovery for most of the eurozone will certainly begin in the second half of 2013.”  The comments from Draghi come after 173,000 people joined the already-large number of unemployed workers in the region.  Spain, the eurozone’s third-largest economy, continues to be one area of concern, but until the country formally requests aid, the ECB is not allowed to intervene.

At 9 a.m. (EST), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,725.00, Down $4.50.
  • Silver, $34.14, Down $0.28.
 
 
bsiong
    30-Nov-2012 16:58  
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Fed To Commit To A Staggering $1 Trillion Of QE For 2013
November 29, 2012 • 19:26:24 PST

Fed To Commit To A Staggering $1 Trillion Of QE For 2013

Today acclaimed trader Dan Norcini told King World News the Fed is about to commit to more than $1 trillion of QE for 20... Read More

 
 
bsiong
    30-Nov-2012 16:57  
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What Japan Is Going To Do To Light The Gold Market On Fire


November 30, 2012 • 00:24:38 PST

 

What Japan Is Going To Do To Light The Gold Market On Fire

The bottom line is that a weakening yen will encourage Japanese investors to buy gold. So we can expect more monetary e... Read More

 

 
 
bsiong
    30-Nov-2012 16:55  
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Last Updated : 30 November 2012 at 12:15 IST

 

Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium prices to rise sharply in 2013: Commerzbank

 

Source :Commodity Online/Commerzbank

 

NEW YORK (Commodity Online):  Gold, silver, platinum and palladium prices are set to rise sharply next year, with yellow metal finally topping $2,000 an ounce, said Commerzbank in a commodity research note.

According to the German bank, other industrially oriented metals should also strengthen in 2013, listing full-year forecasts of $40 for silver, $1,875 for platinum and $855 for palladium.

The year 2013 is likely to see precious metal prices climbing further or indeed resuming their upswing. The ultra-loose monetary policy pursued by the central banks coupled with geopolitical risks should ensure that gold remains in demand as a store of value and safe haven,” Commerzbank added.

Gold
The yellow  metal to average $1,950 next year,  buoyed by central banks through both loose monetary policy of some and buying of the metal for reserves by others. In the case of gold, one headwind during 2012 is expected to abate next year, they added.

Indian buyers, who were less active this year, to become accustomed to higher prices brought about by factors such as increased duties on gold imports and a weak rupee. Also, the monsoon season is not likely to be as poor as this year, meaning more income and thus gold demand from rural areas. Improved economic prospects in  China, another key consumer, should support demand there, the Frankfurt based bank added.

Investment demand  should profit further from the low and negative real interest rates, for the leading central banks will continue to pursue their ultra-loose monetary policy in 2013 in a bid to shore up the economy and stabilize the financial markets,” Commerzbank noted.

Central banks likely will be net buyers for the fourth straight year in 2013, since gold still accounts for a small proportion of currency reserves for emerging economies.

Gold-mine output should rise, but the main noticeable production growth will be in countries where demand will also increase sharply, such as China and Russia, Commerzbank said. As a result, supply from these countries is unlikely to reach the global market.

“All in all, we are confident that the  gold price will achieve– and indeed exceed, at least temporarily –  the $2,000 per troy ounce mark next year,” Commerzbank continued.

Silver
According to the second biggest German bank, silver can be expected to profit as industrial demand picks up. The automotive industry in particular is set to contribute to demand growth. Auto production is expected to expand, and cars use silver for electronic components. An improving economy is also likely to mean more demand from the housing and construction sectors.

“We are convinced that  silver will once again exceed the $40 per troy ounce mark in 2013,” they added.

Platinum Group Metals
The bank said a widely followed Johnson Matthey report issued earlier this month does not look for any fundamental change to the supply/demand picture next year. Johnson Matthey forecast a supply deficit this year and next.

“The strikes in South Africa are likely to have a long-lasting impact, and may even flare up again if low prices and higher costs result in mine closures and mass redundancies. At the same time, demand from the automotive industry and other industrial applications is expected to recover. This points to a further year of deficits, which should be reflected in higher prices. We expect  platinum to exceed the $1,900 per troy ounce mark by year’s end 2013,” Commerzbank added.

Palladium is also forecast by Johnson Matthey to be in a supply deficit in both 2012 and 2013.

“Supply is likely to fall further, mainly as a result of lower Russian sales. At the same time, demand from the automotive industry is likely to remain robust, so another year of supply deficit appears inevitable. We see considerable upside potential for  palladium and foresee a price of $950 per troy ounce by year’s end 2013,” Commerzbank concluded.

 

/i read i post/

 

 

 
bsiong
    30-Nov-2012 10:21  
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Commodity Technical Analysis: Gold Bounces Following Strong Sell Off

 

Daily BarsCommodity_Technical_Analysis_Gold_Bounces_Following_Strong_Sell_Off_body_gold.png, Commodity Technical Analysis: Gold Bounces Following Strong Sell Off

Chart  Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

 

Commodity  Analysis: I wrote yesterday that “weakness off of the 61.8% retracement demands respect but a drop below 11/20 high (1735.51) would create overlap and suggest that an important top is in place.” Gold didn’t just create overlap…the price nearly broke the 11/15 low. Viewed in light of the 3 wave advance from 1672.50, the trend is lower.

 

Commodity Trading Strategy: Given market conditions lately, there is nothing at this point that would surprise me but a move back to former resistance at 1735 would present a short opportunity against the 11/23 high.

 

LEVELS: 1673 1684 1705 1735 1745 1754

 
 
bsiong
    30-Nov-2012 10:20  
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 11/29/2012

By  Brandi BrundidgeNovember 29, 2012


GOLD SLOWLY RECOVERS DO BRITISH BANKS HAVE ADEQUATE CAPITAL PROTECTION?

Gold is slowly recovering today after yesterday's profit taking  took the metal’s price down. The price of Gold has increased more than 10 percent for the year so far as investors have flocked to the yellow metal as a safe haven. Jeff Kilburg, CEO of Killir Kapital Management believes the Federal Reserve is adding value to Gold as they continue to print money. Kilburg said, “The theoretical value of Gold when you see that the monetary base grow by another 18.4 percent, $735 billion, it puts Gold at $2,000.”

The Bank of England announced today that British banks may not have sufficient funds to protect themselves against financial market mishaps. Next year the BoE’s Financial Policy Committee will have power over British bank regulation and have already encouraged the present regulator to re-evaluate the banks’ capital to accurately represent the risk of bad loans and examine fines for misconduct. “Progress by banks in raising capital has slowed and investor confidence remains low. … The Financial Services Authority should ensure that firms either raise capital or take steps to restructure their business and balance sheets in ways that do not hinder lending to the real economy,” the BoE said in its half-yearly Financial Stability Report.

At 5:15 p.m. (EST), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,727.70, Up $8.90.
  • Silver, $34.31, Up $0.56.
 
 
bsiong
    30-Nov-2012 00:56  
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 11/29/2012

By  Geoffrey VarnerNovember 29, 2012


FISCAL CLIFF OR FISCAL ROLLER COASTER?

Optimism from yesterday is pointing to a positive start to the markets today.  The Dow reversed a greater than 100 point opening deficit yesterday  after comments from both political parties alluded to a resolution of the budget crisis by Christmas. According to the most  recent Bloomberg Global Poll of Investors, there is sentiment that the U.S. will in fact avoid a head long dive off the fiscal cliff. When investors were asked which markets had the best opportunities for 2013, the U.S. was picked at the top, which has happened for eight straight quarters of this poll.

The Gold price also saw a sharp correction yesterday as it rode the rollercoaster ride of the fiscal cliff talks.  Ross Norman, CEO of Sharps Pixley, said,  “Gold is being pulled higher on this prevailing optimism over the fiscal cliff.” He goes on to say, “One would expect good news on the fiscal cliff to be Gold-negative, but now Gold is acting as a risk asset like shares.”

At 9 a.m. (EST), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1,725.40, Up $6.70.
  • Silver, $33.91, Up own $0.15.
 
 
bsiong
    29-Nov-2012 08:53  
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 11/28/2012

By  Ted PrinceNovember 28, 2012


GOLD DOWN ON MASSIVE STOP-LOSS TRADING AS STOCKS MOVE HIGHER

The Gold price fell today in sharp contrast to the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S& P 500. After reassuring comments today on the part of President Obama and Speaker of the House John Boehner, the  stock market spiked more than 100 points. A hard line approach appears to be under way in Washington as President Obama indicated he would like  a solution to the fiscal cliff sooner than later. “The president set a timetable, that he'd like to get this done by Christmas, as opposed to drawing it out to Dec. 31, and I do think the markets are encouraged that there is an aggressive, let's get it done, attitude,” said Jim Russell, chief equity strategist and regional investment director, wealth management, at U.S. Bank.

As stocks rallied, Gold suffered its largest single day plunge in almost a month. Fiscal cliff concerns and ongoing worry over Greek debt initiated a hefty round of stop-loss orders at today’s open in which  2 million ounces of Gold futures exchanged hands in less than five minutes. Experts still assert that Gold still promises upward movement as a long term investment. According to Richard Hastings, macro strategist at Global Hunter Securities, “[G]old will come right back after other assets take a beating.” The fiscal cliff countdown continues with 33 days left on the clock to see if politicians can find a strategy to sidestep the $600 billion in tax hikes and spending cuts set to take place at the end of the year.

At 5 p.m. (EDT), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:

  • Gold, $1721.30, Down $23.00.
  • Silver, $33.82, Down $0.24.
 
 
bsiong
    29-Nov-2012 02:23  
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Commodity Technical Analysis: Gold Struggles at 61.8% Retracement

 

Daily BarsCommodity_Technical_Analysis_Gold_Struggles_at_61.8_Retracement_body_gold.png, Commodity Technical Analysis: Gold Struggles at 61.8% Retracement

Chart  Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

 

Commodity  Analysis: “Gold bounced from the 50% retracement of the rally from 1672.50 Thursday but what bothers me about being bullish is the corrective nature of the rally from the low (3 waves). However, the low on day 3 of the month and emotional trade at the low (11/2 was a JS Thrust day) suggests that price is likely to stay above 1672.50 for the remainder of November. Perhaps a complex correction is underway (series of 3 wave movements) throughout November.” Weakness off of the 61.8% retracement demands respect but a drop below 11/20 high (1735.51) would create overlap and suggest that an important top is in place.

 

Commodity Trading Strategy: “I’m on the lookout for a wave 2 or B top below the October high at higher levels. 1770/80 is of interest as a reversal zone.” Weakness below 1735.51 would turn me bearish against 1755.

 

LEVELS: 1719 1727 1736 1754 1771 1780

 
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