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Sino Grandness - a growth stock with low PE

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guoyanyunyan
    03-Jul-2013 09:14  
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SG - Sino Grandness - More upside ahead after strong rebound


By Philip Teo 
Tue, 2 Jul 2013, 10:38:11 SGT

More upside ahead after strong rebound

Immediate resistance taken out.  Sino Grandness is likely to see further recovery after initiating a strong rebound at its 6-month uptrend support on heavy trading volume yesterday both the 50-DMA and $1.40 immediate resistance were conquered at the same time.

Indicator turning bullish.  The MACD is on the verge of a bullish crossover now, suggesting that the upside momentum is building up quickly.

Next key resistance at $1.60.  The counter could head higher towards the next key obstacle at around $1.60 (key peak) in the weeks ahead.

Immediate support at $1.40.  Meanwhile, we advocate a stop-loss exit around $1.35, which is slightly below the newly established resistance-turned-support at $1.40.

...Last Done: $1.465... 

 
 
ozone2002
    02-Jul-2013 09:27  
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this is what happened.. :)
Published July 01, 2013
Sino Grandness to spin off beverage segment in IPO
SinoGrandness01


Sino Grandness Food Industry Group is planning to spin off its beverage business segment for a listing on " an internationally recognised stock exchange" , it said on Monday. -- PHOTO:  SINO GRANDNESS FOOD INDUSTRY


Sino Grandness Food Industry Group is planning to spin off its beverage business segment for a listing on " an internationally recognised stock exchange" , it said on Monday.

Market reports had speculated that the initial public offer could be in Hong Kong Stock Exchange by 2014.

Its proposal has been met with a no-objection letter from the Singapore Exchange, although it is still subject to shareholders' approval.

Sino's beverage segment is parked under its wholly owned foreign subsidiary, Garden Fresh (HK) Fruit & Vegetable Beverage Co Ltd.


ozone2002      ( Date: 01-Jul-2013 10:24) Posted:



Last:1.43     Vol:3365k     +0.15

super fly!! what happened?????

gd luck dyodd

 

 
 
Nokita
    01-Jul-2013 12:55  
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S Grandness is one of the good picks in this basket of stocks.

May everyone have a profitable ride up!
 

 
ozone2002
    01-Jul-2013 10:24  
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Last:1.43     Vol:3365k     +0.15

super fly!! what happened?????

gd luck dyodd

 
 
 
wendel
    25-Jun-2013 16:31  
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didn't c ur post earlier...entered 1.265...huat arh!!
 
 
ozone2002
    25-Jun-2013 14:59  
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Shanghai whacked down 4%..bad market sentiment dragging all china stocks

Time: 2:28PM
Exchange: SGX
Stock: SinoGrandnes(JS5)

Signal: Support - Broken with High Volume

Last Done: $1.26
 

 
ozone2002
    21-Jun-2013 13:29  
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buy on pullback! 5xPE2014 gd luck dyodd

Sino Grandness

Wait for the Next Milestone

Buy on share price weakness.

from an all-time high of SGD1.60 to current SGD1.355 (down 15%).

However we see the recent share price weakness as a buying

opportunity. Our channel check suggests that the new products Garden

Fresh launched in 2Q13 have been well received by consumers. The

biggest catalyst, the potential Garden Fresh spinoff, also seems to be

on track. If everything carried on as smoothly as management

expected, we will very likely hear some positive news within the next six

months. At the current valuation of only 5.1x FY13 PER, we are not too

concerned about any downside risk. Reiterate BUY with TP SGD1.60.Sino Grandness share price dropped

New products, more channels.

new products at the Chengdu F& B trade show this March. Our channel

check suggests that some of the new products such as loquat-mango

juice have been quite successful. In addition, Garden Fresh also

secured some new distributors and penetrated new supermarkets in

Sichuan recently. These initiatives were launched right before the

summer season, which is the operating peak season for juice

companies. It will build a solid foundation for Garden Fresh to achieve

its full year profit target.Garden Fresh launched a series of

Potential spinoff in the making.

from SGX by the end of this year. Although there have been

no further official updates on the matter, we believe that the application

to SGX has been submitted and other preparations have been

progressing. In good case scenario, we should be able to hear some

positive news within the next 6 months. However as we pointed out

before, even if the IPO is delayed, we believe that the company has

alternative ways to settle the CBs. Recent M& A deals in the beverage

sector such as Mengniu’s acquisition of Yashili, show that it is never

difficult for good quality F& B assets to attract buyers.Management hopes to receive a preclearance

Reiterate BUY.

and potential spinoff of Garden Fresh. The stock is trading at 5.1x FY13

PER and the current valuation does not pose much downside risk.

Reiterate our BUY call and maintain our TP at SGD1.60 as we wait for

the next milestone of a successful Garden Fresh IPO.We still like Sino Grandness’s for its growth prospects

Sino Grandness – Summary Earnings Table

FYE Dec (CNY m) 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F

Revenue 1019.7 1640.3 2427.7 2997.2 3522.1

EBITDA 231.9 427.8 564.7 692.0 796.8

Recurring Net Profit 151.5 289.1 392.2 483.5 556.2

Recurring Dilutive EPS (CNY) 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.9

EPS growth (%) 29.2 90.9 35.7 23.3 15.0

DPS (CNY) 0.04 0.00 0.09 0.12 0.13

PER (x) 13.1 6.9 5.1 4.1 3.6

EV/EBITDA (x) 8.9 5.2 3.9 2.6 2.1

Div Yield (%) 0.6 0.0 1.4 1.7 2.0

P/BV (x) 3.6 2.4 1.5 1.0 0.8

Net debt/(cash) 76.7 238.0 209.6 -181.1 -335.4

ROE (%) 31.2 41.3 36.4 28.4 23.7

ROA (%) 21.4 26.7 24.3 22.4 20.7

Consensus Net Profit

Source: Maybank KE
370 474 600

 
 
ozone2002
    13-Jun-2013 11:51  
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drop so little... hope it can go back to the price i bought 50c :)
 
 
ozone2002
    04-Jun-2013 13:26  
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  Great article that i can be proud of due to Sino Grandness's extraordinary gains

Three Shares That Have Made Investors a Fortune



Money tree 2Here’s a quick question for you: How much has the Straits Times Index (SGX: ^STI) gained in the last 12 months?

With all the news of big dives in Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index dominating financial media and possible fears of contagion for our local market – given how the STI fell by almost 2% the week before when the Nikkei made a 7% plunge – it can be easy to miss the forest for the trees. So, here’s your answer for some perspective: The index is up more than 20% since 31 May 2012. Hurray!

Investors who had purchased the index through index trackers like the Nikko AM Singapore STI ETF (SGX: G3B) would have been very happy indeed as a 20% annual gain is sizeable any way you slice it.

But, at the same time, there are also a handful of shares that have made annual gains far in excess of what the index achieved. Some have even made gains that are more than 10 times the index’s 20% return.

Let’s take a closer look at three such stocks in particular – Sino Grandness (SGX: JS5), Super Group (SGX: S10) and MTQ Corporation (SGX: M05). They’ve grown by 280%, 140% and 110% respectively and their share price performance along with the STI’s is shown in the graph below.

3 shares that made investors a fortune

Source: Yahoo Finance

Sino Grandness, a vegetable and fruit canning company, got listed on the Mainboard exchange in 2009 and since then, had seen its earnings-per-share (EPS) jump by almost three times from S$0.08 in 2009 to S$0.214 in 2012.

Last year was a particularly good one for Sino Grandness as its per-share profits almost doubled from S$0.118 in 2011. The company’s recent first quarter results for 2013 continued the trend of double digit year-on-year earnings growth as quarterly EPS increased by 23% to S$0.052.

Such earnings performances would have gone a long way in propping up Sino Grandness’s share price. If we dig deeper into the other two companies, Super Group and MTQ, we’ll see similar trends as well.

2012 saw Super Group’s EPS increase by almost a third from S$0.111 in 2011 to S$0.142. Meanwhile, the instant beverage manufacturer’s first quarter results for this year saw a 25% bump up in per-share profits from S$0.317 a year ago to S$0.397.

At the risk of sounding like a broken record, here’s how MTQ Corporation, provider of engineering services to the oil & gas industry, performed for its financial year ended 31 March 2013 – EPS grew by 41% from S$0.163 in the previous year to S$0.231.

These three companies saw considerable share price increases, but underneath that, were three businesses that became more valuable as per-share profits grew.
 
 
ozone2002
    27-May-2013 11:19  
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climbing up to TP of 1.6.. impressive rally by this gem

gd luck dyodd
 

 
ozone2002
    16-May-2013 10:31  
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Sino Grandness (KE)

Watch Out For The Next Step

Results within expectation.

within market expectation. Revenue grew by 32% yoy to RMB376m and

net profit grew by 25% to RMB70m. 1Q net profit accounts for 18% of our

full year forecast but it is more of a factor of seasonality (last year 1Q net

profit accounted for 19% of full year number). We reiterate our BUY call

on Sino Grandness and keep our target price unchanged at SGD1.60.

The next catalyst will be the clearance from SGX for Sino Grandness to

spin off Garden Fresh, its beverage business.Sino Grandness’s 1QFY13 results were

Garden Fresh: on track to meet target.

drive the growth with revenue up 50% yoy. Gross profit margin also

improved thanks to the in-house production facility which significantly

reduced the loquat puree cost. As a reminder, Garden Fresh has to

achieve RMB250m net profit this year to enjoy the highest conversion

PER for the CBs. This implies about 56% yoy growth, thus 50% growth in

1Q seems on track to the target.Garden Fresh continued to

Stronger quarters ahead.

for three reasons. 1) 2Q/3Q are usually the peak seasons for canned

vegetable export business. 2) Beverage sales also tend to be stronger in

summer season. 3) RMB290m indicative orders signed in March during

the F& B trade fair could start to contribute to revenue in 2Q.We expect 2Q and 3Q results to be stronger

Canned fruit could drive growth after Garden Fresh spinoff.

might take into account the asset quality of the remaining business after

the potential Garden Fresh spinoff. In our view the remaining business

will still be growing healthily. Apart from Garden Fresh, Sino Grandness

still have two parts of business left, namely canned vegetable export and

domestic canned fruit. In 1Q, despite some minor slow down (-3% yoy) in

the canned vegetable export revenue, domestic canned fruit revenue

grew strongly by 94% yoy. The company will continue to grow domestic

food business and expand the product range, which provides the growth

engine for the remaining business.SGX

Keep invested while waiting for the next step.

call on Sino Grandness. Our current target price is pegged to 6x FY13

PER, which could be significantly raised once getting approval from SGX

for Garden Fresh spinoff. We maintain our target price for the time being

but watch out for the further step towards the Garden Fresh IPO.We reiterate our BUY

Sino Grandness – Summary Earnings Table Source: Company, Maybank KE

FYE Dec (CNY m) FY11 FY12 FY13F FY14F FY15F

Revenue 1019.7 1640.3 2427.7 2997.2 3522.1

EBITDA 231.9 427.8 564.7 692.0 796.8

Recurring Net Profit 151.5 289.1 392.2 483.5 556.2

Recurring Dilutive EPS (CNY) 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.9

EPS growth (%) 29.2 90.9 35.7 23.3 15.0

DPS (CNY) 0.04 0.00 0.09 0.12 0.13

PER (x) 13.9 7.3 5.4 4.3 3.8

EV/EBITDA (x) 9.4 5.5 4.1 2.8 2.2

Div Yield (%) 0.6 0.0 1.3 1.6 1.9

P/BV (x) 3.8 2.5 1.6 1.0 0.8

Net debt/(cash) 76.7 238.0 209.6 -181.1 -335.4

ROE (%) 31.2 41.3 36.4 28.4 23.7

ROA (%) 21.4 26.7 24.3 22.4 20.7

Consensus Net Profit
392.3 482.7 601.5

 
 
novice_trader
    15-May-2013 09:26  
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Waiting for another buying opportunity to reenter...
 
 
ozone2002
    15-May-2013 09:23  
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From DMG (to be taken with a pinch of salt after their 180 deg turnaround on their back to back  report on Ausgrp)

Sino Grandness reported a 24% y-o-y growth in 1Q13 earnings to CNY70.5m. Results are in-line with expectations, accounting for 18% of our full year estimates as Q1 is traditionally the weakest quarter. Stock price has risen 23% since our last note. We continue to remain positive on the stock. Re-iterate BUY with unchanged TP of SGD1.74 based on our SOTP valuation. This translates into an undemanding 6x FY13F P/E.

1Q13 results in-line. 1Q13 earnings growth of 24% y-o-y to CNY70.5m accounts for 18% of our full year forecast. Results are in line with expectations as Q1 is traditionally the Group’s weakest quarter due to weaker sales of its export canned food division. Historically Q1 would account for 18-20% of full year earnings.

Sales of domestic canned fruits almost doubled. Overall, the canned food division registered sales growth of 9% y-o-y to CNY 137m, accounting for 17% of our full year estimates. While export sales declined by 3%, domestic sales almost doubled, rising 94% y-o-y to CNY30m. This is in line with management’s guidance and target of focusing on the Chinese domestic market. In the long run, Chairman Mr Huang Yupeng expects domestic market sales to supersede the export market.

Sales of beverages up 50% y-o-y. Sales of beverages was up 50% y-o-y to CNY239m, accounting for 17% of our full year estimates. We are projecting a 60% growth in 2013 beverage sales. Going forward, we expect growth to come from expansion of its distribution network into new provinces and channels.

Lower cost of raw materials bumped up gross margins. 1Q13 gross margins came in at 40.5% vs our 2013F of 39.3%. On a y-o-y basis, gross margins has expanded by 3ppt, largely due to in-house processing of puree for beverages as well as economies of scale.

SOTP-derived TP of SGD1.74. We value Sino Grandness using sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation to derive TP of SGD1.74. Since our last post-roadshow note on 25Apr2013, stock price has risen by 23%. We still see further upside and re-iterate BUY

 
 
novice_trader
    09-May-2013 16:43  
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Thanks for the advice bro... Decided to keep it until near result date, must not be too over excited sometimes.
 
 
ozone2002
    09-May-2013 16:38  
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how much u are planning to make from this? 10%? 20%?

are u in this for the long term? or short term?

no stock can go up all the way in a straight line..

gd luck dyodd

novice_trader      ( Date: 09-May-2013 15:31) Posted:

Bro ozone2002, is it time to exit?

 

 
tea444u
    09-May-2013 16:25  
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think ok to wait till near results ? bonus announcemnet? 1 for 2?

francisd      ( Date: 09-May-2013 10:30) Posted:



Results will be out on Wed. 15/5/13. 

Cheers.

 

novice_trader      ( Date: 09-May-2013 10:17) Posted:

Any expert Sifu advice on this counter? Also when will the results be out? Thought is on Wednesday 8th May?


 
 
novice_trader
    09-May-2013 15:31  
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Bro ozone2002, is it time to exit?
 
 
francisd
    09-May-2013 11:31  
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Started moving...... now 1.375.
 
 
Vivivie
    09-May-2013 11:19  
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novice_trader
    09-May-2013 11:01  
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Thanks bros! Noted.
 
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