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ThaiBev    Last:0.48    +0.015

up or down on debut?

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GorgeousOng
    11-Nov-2013 12:55  
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How is Thailand's economy ?
If is good thbev will gap up,
If no good thbev will gap down ...

Kao cai mai?
Chork dee mark mark!!!

Cheers!!!


 
 
2gether
    11-Nov-2013 12:46  
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if TB will to sell or takeover, can ask for prem. that will push up the px first.. hope to hear Si-fu  some light for this counter..

luketoh      ( Date: 11-Nov-2013 11:46) Posted:

No more strength

 
 
luketoh
    11-Nov-2013 11:46  
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No more strength
 

 
singsong
    09-Nov-2013 14:58  
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Can only give opinion.

If buyout by Myanmar Economic Holding (MEH) takes place, Thaibev will be out of the beer manufacturing business in Myanmar. It can still sell its Chang beer but the real profits would be in the manufacturing.

Myanmar Brewery has a dominant position in the Myanmar beer market. So for Thaibev, to lose Myanmar Brewery will be a loss. Of course, Thaibev can try set up its own manufacturing plant but it will be tough to compete against existing brands   of Myanmar Brewery.

The near-term price targets given by the various analysts ( ranging from 0.71 to 0.80 ) factors in Thaibev's 55% ownership of Myanmar Breweries and its potential going forward . UOB KayHian has   a long-term target of $1.05. Certainly   prices will have to be adjusted downwards if Thaibev loses Myanmar Brewery.

So nett nett, not good for Thaibev to lose its 55% of Myanmar Brewery.
 
 
newcoming
    08-Nov-2013 23:18  
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Can anyone teach.

If the Myanmar partner buyover the F& N 55%, how it will affect ThaiBev?
 
 
lingua101
    08-Nov-2013 14:34  
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so should not be negative impact to thaibev?

singsong      ( Date: 07-Nov-2013 10:04) Posted:

Myanmar military want to control brewery. It is a crony club.Their distributors are ex-generals or proxies of current generals. Now that Thaibev will take over, generals are sweating as rice-bowls affected. A lot of smoke and mirrors.Convenient to cry default of terms of agreement and manoeuvre a take-over.

 

 
2gether
    08-Nov-2013 13:34  
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problem looking at the F& N's  TA, it  is coming down.. it does not  help THBEV..

wesely2k      ( Date: 08-Nov-2013 09:42) Posted:

Very disappointed share.....should be 1/4 price of F& N.

 
 
bishan22
    08-Nov-2013 13:19  
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Dont hv high hope if it cannot clear 0.58. Thick wall.

wesely2k      ( Date: 08-Nov-2013 09:42) Posted:

Very disappointed share.....should be 1/4 price of F& N.

 
 
AseanTradingLink
    08-Nov-2013 12:41  
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Myanmar military aims to calm fears of economic interference
http://english1.cari.com.my/forum.php?mod=viewthread& tid=765954& fromuid=1950303
 
 
wesely2k
    08-Nov-2013 09:42  
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Very disappointed share.....should be 1/4 price of F& N.
 

 
oldflyingfox
    07-Nov-2013 15:53  
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It was much lower than the credit card debt, should be alright.

Eaglevsfox      ( Date: 05-Nov-2013 23:37) Posted:



hi flyingfox...yup, for long using phillip cfd is a 4% p.a.


oldflyingfox      ( Date: 05-Nov-2013 16:10) Posted:

Never play cfd before, u mean have to pay charges even go for long? How it was charged


 
 
singsong
    07-Nov-2013 10:04  
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Myanmar military want to control brewery. It is a crony club.Their distributors are ex-generals or proxies of current generals. Now that Thaibev will take over, generals are sweating as rice-bowls affected. A lot of smoke and mirrors.Convenient to cry default of terms of agreement and manoeuvre a take-over.
 
 
interfact
    07-Nov-2013 09:23  
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F& N spat with Myanmar partner turning ugly
MEHL starts arbitration process, saying it has clear right to buy over F& N's 55% stake

The Myanmar military-linked investment firm, which holds 45 per cent of Myanmar Brewery, has commenced arbitration proceedings to claim F& N's 55 per cent stake in the brewery, the company said in a statement yesterday.

 
 
Peter_Pan
    06-Nov-2013 22:28  
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chang beer or singha beer nicer?
 
 
Eaglevsfox
    06-Nov-2013 22:22  
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still holding in my portfolio and oso in my CFDs.

tonylim      ( Date: 06-Nov-2013 10:05) Posted:

ThBev'sTp is 70 cents.  Time to buy now before it hit above 60 anytime soon.

Eaglevsfox      ( Date: 05-Nov-2013 23:37) Posted:



hi flyingfox...yup, for long using phillip cfd is a 4% p.a.


 

 
tonylim
    06-Nov-2013 10:05  
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ThBev'sTp is 70 cents.  Time to buy now before it hit above 60 anytime soon.

Eaglevsfox      ( Date: 05-Nov-2013 23:37) Posted:



hi flyingfox...yup, for long using phillip cfd is a 4% p.a.


oldflyingfox      ( Date: 05-Nov-2013 16:10) Posted:

Never play cfd before, u mean have to pay charges even go for long? How it was charged


 
 
Eaglevsfox
    05-Nov-2013 23:37  
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hi flyingfox...yup, for long using phillip cfd is a 4% p.a.


oldflyingfox      ( Date: 05-Nov-2013 16:10) Posted:

Never play cfd before, u mean have to pay charges even go for long? How it was charged?

Eaglevsfox      ( Date: 01-Nov-2013 22:59) Posted:



Been on the long side @ 52 level : )
but philip cfd finance charges is high...killer

 

Hope it continue to clear the road block.


 
 
singsong
    05-Nov-2013 21:05  
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Thaibev owns about 28% of F& N.

F& N will distribute in specie 2 FCL shares for every 1 F& N share held.

TCC owns about 68% of F& N.

Now there is talk that Thaibev and TCC will do following swap :

(a) Thaibev 'gives' its FCL entitlement to TCC

(b) In turn, TCC 'gives' its F& N shares to Thaibev. 

Will some kind soul explain :

(1) How Thaibev's share price will be impacted when the holdings of Thaibev and TCC are swapped . If so, what is the expectation of   Thaibev price when the swap takes place

(2) Is there money to be made going into F& N shares at this juncture .

  Look forward to pearls of wisdom being shared. 
 
 
oldflyingfox
    05-Nov-2013 16:10  
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Never play cfd before, u mean have to pay charges even go for long? How it was charged?

Eaglevsfox      ( Date: 01-Nov-2013 22:59) Posted:



Been on the long side @ 52 level : )
but philip cfd finance charges is high...killer

 

Hope it continue to clear the road block.

 
 
Octavia
    05-Nov-2013 16:05  
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CIMB has a results preview for its 3Q results due 14 Nov. House expect Thai Bev to report a stronger 2H, thanks to an uptick in spirits sales volume. The non-alcoholic beverage business is unlikely to turn a profit yet but the quantum of loss depends on the intensity of both Oishi?s and Serm Suk?s promotional activities. There are no changes to its FY13-15 estimates and SOP-based target price. CIMB maintain its Outperform call, with the catalyst of further corporate restructuring. Specifically, Thai Bev?s plan to sell its 28.6% FCL stake, possibly to TCC, and for TCC to communicate its plans over their 61.7% stake in F& N.
 
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