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Bottoming Out

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cyjjerry85
    16-Oct-2008 23:47  
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the rebound we saw in the 2nd quarter of this year...i saw a report on MoneyCNN ...it was said that the stock markets normally react 6 months in advance before the actual economic recovery 

any quotes for the above?
 
 
sgdividends
    16-Oct-2008 21:15  
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Can also look at the VIX chart...Sentiment..

source: www.sgdividends.blogspot.com

Spotting the Bottom - Look at the Fear Index!


The Fear Index has shot up again wildly! At a high of 76.94!.(See our previous article on The "Fear" Index)
Some of our readers have asked me, what the heck is this?SGdividends will explain it as simplified as possible and just state the things you need to know.
The "Fear Index" is a guage of investor's confidence. The lower it is in value, the more complacent people are. Notice how the boom years of 2005-2007 are marked by low values.The higher it goes, the more panic there is. Notice it again?
Investing Idea: SGdividends believe that the market cycle bottom will be reached when there starts to be a reversal of this index. Clearly, as of now, its not reached! (See our article on Sectoral Investing).
But, don't wait for the bottom. (See Chua Soon Hock's take on catching the bottom)
It's your money - invest it wisely. Learn, understand and execute.
 
 
singaporegal
    16-Oct-2008 21:10  
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With the global consolidated effort to correct the financial crisis, I believe the healing process has just begun. However, I think the market still has some way south to go before turning around. The irrational euphoria a few days ago was just another "buy on rumour, sell on fact" type of bounce.

Look out for clear economic signs of bottoming out - lower jobless claims, better housing data, lower unemployment, higher housing prices, retail data. 
 
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