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Swiber - looks interesting in 2011

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Ooiyster
    26-Mar-2012 22:20  
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Singapore offshore services firm Swiber Holdings (SWBR.SI) said on Monday it had secured a US$273 million ($345 million) contract in the Gulf of Mexico.
 
The latest contract, awarded by an oil major from the Gulf of Mexico, entails offshore construction works for the procurement, transportation and installation of pipeline in the Gulf of Mexico, Swiber said. It did not name the oil major.
 
Work for the project will start immediately this year and into 2013.
 
 
 
 
moneycow
    16-Mar-2012 12:27  
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ya ha. This one not affected much with the placement Issue unlike Ezra.  But I thnk Ezra would go back up fast after 1 or 2 weeks when ppl get over the placement issue and new contract being announced... Ezion got no energy... so is Ezra for now... maybe its the Friday effect. profit taking...only those that got very good potential , ppl are buying in and up...with confidence... those no potential ones......down and down hard to go up.. :)
 
 
dowcog
    16-Mar-2012 10:18  
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ya.. just got out of dynamac myself. nobody talk about it in forum here.. duno y. chart look ok to buy this wk.. anyway 1c profit only. kopi $... lol

swiber actually will behave like ezion n ezra lo.. pullback to placement price.. then today go back up abit.. up to others to play..  i never really play swiber. help ppl see only. 

 

freeman_5js      ( Date: 15-Mar-2012 23:35) Posted:

they did?   damn....

dowcog      ( Date: 15-Mar-2012 22:05) Posted:



 

swiber just have share placement... wont go near for now... lol


 

 
catalyst
    15-Mar-2012 23:43  
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Money_money, I would feel that instead if you choose to average down in Erza, you should hedge the loss by putting in property counters.

Why look at Swiber which is in the same sector.

It does not make sense.

Looks at Capitaland.
 
 
catalyst
    15-Mar-2012 23:39  
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Note: analysis below was for Ezra. Money_money is in both threads, but holding Ezra.

catalyst      ( Date: 15-Mar-2012 23:27) Posted:



Chartwise, analysis has been " disturbed" by the falling window on 12 Mar.

From here on, anything can happen.

Looking at news of share placement, definitely not a good news for share price movement.

Your holding horizon is only a month.

Even if you average down, there is no guarantee it will go back up for you to break even on you dollar cost averaging.

Keep buying and buying when it trends lower is normally for long term holding. So that it will be possible to make it right back much later.

Even if you choose to average down, 1.10 is also not a good idea coz it is simply too close to 1.14. No point, right?

Look at levels 0.90 and 0.80 will be better. Use Fibo levels if you know how.

But first and foremost, you need to  decide your horizon.

Sticking to 1 month of holding power is simply impossible to do if price keeps falling. There is just no enough time.

Trading is not about how many days you can hold. Prices will decide for you, not timeline.

At this stage, your option will be to do a small cut loss. And live for another trade.

No trader can get it right all the time. Cut loss is important if things do not go with your trade.

Nevertheless, only the trader himself will can decide for himself, asanything can happen tomorrow.

 

 

 

 

Money_money      ( Date: 15-Mar-2012 22:42) Posted:

Got Ezra @ Average 1.13 not sure to average down more @ 1.10 looking to hold for 1 month


 
 
freeman_5js
    15-Mar-2012 23:35  
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they did?   damn....

dowcog      ( Date: 15-Mar-2012 22:05) Posted:



 

swiber just have share placement... wont go near for now... lol

 

 
ChillX
    15-Mar-2012 23:33  
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Gave up on this counter a few months back after it hovered at 91c and then dropped further. Sold at a loss at the time, but don't regret it. Management can boast via SGX announcement that they have record sales (early 2012) and yet no divident payment. That raised a major red flag with me.
 
 
catalyst
    15-Mar-2012 23:27  
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Chartwise, analysis has been " disturbed" by the falling window on 12 Mar.

From here on, anything can happen.

Looking at news of share placement, definitely not a good news for share price movement.

Your holding horizon is only a month.

Even if you average down, there is no guarantee it will go back up for you to break even on you dollar cost averaging.

Keep buying and buying when it trends lower is normally for long term holding. So that it will be possible to make it right back much later.

Even if you choose to average down, 1.10 is also not a good idea coz it is simply too close to 1.14. No point, right?

Look at levels 0.90 and 0.80 will be better. Use Fibo levels if you know how.

But first and foremost, you need to  decide your horizon.

Sticking to 1 month of holding power is simply impossible to do if price keeps falling. There is just no enough time.

Trading is not about how many days you can hold. Prices will decide for you, not timeline.

At this stage, your option will be to do a small cut loss. And live for another trade.

No trader can get it right all the time. Cut loss is important if things do not go with your trade.

Nevertheless, only the trader himself will can decide for himself, asanything can happen tomorrow.

 

 

 

 

Money_money      ( Date: 15-Mar-2012 22:42) Posted:

Got Ezra @ Average 1.13 not sure to average down more @ 1.10 looking to hold for 1 month

 
 
Money_money
    15-Mar-2012 22:42  
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Got Ezra @ Average 1.13 not sure to average down more @ 1.10 looking to hold for 1 month
 
 
catalyst
    15-Mar-2012 22:31  
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No head no tail, how to advise?

What are you holding and what price?

Long term or trading?

Money_money      ( Date: 15-Mar-2012 22:17) Posted:

swiber or Ezra which has more upside for the next few days ? i am thinking of buying more to average down 

 

 
Money_money
    15-Mar-2012 22:17  
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swiber or Ezra which has more upside for the next few days ? i am thinking of buying more to average down 
 
 
dowcog
    15-Mar-2012 22:05  
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swiber just have share placement... wont go near for now... lol
 
 
Money_money
    15-Mar-2012 21:50  
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Any Ideal @ Current Price Which is a better Buy Ezra or Swiber ?
 
 
Jackpot2010
    15-Mar-2012 21:24  
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15 Mar 2012 - another crap research from CIMB (see link below). 

Why within a fortnight, TP$ was lowered from $0.94 to $0.79 for no apparent reason. But still " Outperform" call?.


http://www.remisiers.org/cms_images/research/Mar12-Mar16_2012/Swiber_CIMB_15.3.12_OP.pdf
 
 
Jackpot2010
    15-Mar-2012 11:39  
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DYODD is very true. there is no short-cut to investing, especially for newbie.

Take this example - Why Swiber cannot regain its high of $3.90 (Oct 2007)?   If u DYODD, u find that they cannot generate enough cashflow from operations due to heavy capital outlay. So they hv to issue placement so many times to solve their cashflow problem - a high risk co with no reward (zero dividend).
 

 
dowcog
    15-Mar-2012 11:19  
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i always take these reports with a tablespoon of salt... read the FA given just to know the figures.. DOYDD, and never take their projections too seriously. especially for short term trading.

 

whether its fishy or not.. that one no one really can do anything if they are doing by the book and gave the required disclaimer - past performance is not a reflection of future performance blah..

 

but as jackpot2010 pointed out... think we all know what source not to rely on.. i dont rely on any reports TP for price levels also. might as well do TA fibonacci.. both not that accurate.. but still projections.. lol

 

not vested. but keeping an eye for buddies vested. so posting here to update if i have news on it as well.

 
 
 
Jackpot2010
    15-Mar-2012 11:01  
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27 Feb 2012 - " Outperform - TP $0.94" - this crap research by CIMB was issued just a week+ before the placement news. 

http://www.remisiers.org/cms_images/research/Feb27-Mar02_2012/Swiber27022012ke.pdf

CIMB oso did same on EZRA just b4 placement announcement.

Regulators should investigate CIMB, one analyst by the name of siewkhee.lim@cimb.com.

Is it mere coincidence or something fishing going on??  

I'm not vested in both, but vested in bluechip O& M- Keppel and I know CIMB research is unreliable.

silvermansac      ( Date: 14-Mar-2012 16:27) Posted:

When open it going to drop like shit . 

 
 
cheng987
    15-Mar-2012 10:12  
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I think it will go further down because of nearly 10 per cent discount ***GOOD LUCK

  The Placement Price of S$0.635 per Placement Share represents a discount of approximately

9.74% to the volume weighted average price of S$0.7035 for trades done on the shares of the

Company (the “

Shares were traded immediately prior to the trading halt on 14 March 2012 and up to the time the

Placement Agreement was signed).
Shares”) on the SGX-ST on 13 March 2012 (being the full market day on which the

dowcog      ( Date: 15-Mar-2012 09:30) Posted:

think so too myself.. afraid for those vested its not a gd news.

cheng987      ( Date: 14-Mar-2012 16:03) Posted:

I think Swiber will go down below the placement share's price because no dividend is pai


 
 
nickyng
    15-Mar-2012 09:52  
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wah! still holding well at 66.5cts siah! whileas EZRA start to LS to 1.105 level...wow... :P
 
 
dowcog
    15-Mar-2012 09:30  
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think so too myself.. afraid for those vested its not a gd news.

cheng987      ( Date: 14-Mar-2012 16:03) Posted:

I think Swiber will go down below the placement share's price because no dividend is paid

dowcog      ( Date: 14-Mar-2012 15:14) Posted:



this one i really duno la.. even though i know ppl from sgx n reuters financials last time.. lol

 

but know got ppl vested. so pls prep for something like ezion n ezra...:p 


 
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