
Mobile telecommunications: Strong prepaid net additions and increasing postpaid ARPU Prepaid subscribers? net additions rebounded strongly after significant prepaid subscribers? termination in the second quarter last year, resulting from subscribers? failure to register their prepaid lines. As for average revenue per user (ARPU), the surge in postpaid ARPU is driven by data usage, which is gaining popularity in Singapore. At the penetration rate exceeding 100% in Singapore, the major drivers for subscriber addition are handset discounts, promotions and market positioning. StarHub?s performance was achieved on the back of these three factors. Cable TV: Generating positive uptake StarHub has been generating positive quarterly subscribers? net additions since Q4 of 2004. In Q406, the division added 9,000 new subscribers. Its ARPU has been stable due to the fact that StarHub is the nation's sole cable TV provider. Singapore?s cable TV penetration rate remains at 40%-45%. The pay-TV competition in Singapore is increasing, with the influx of Internet Protocol TV (IPTV) service providers. MediaCorp, the dominant free-to-air broadcaster, has even released its drama series on its website, which is downloadable for a fee. Nevertheless, i Capital believes that StarHub still has an edge in terms of offerings, content (i.e CNN, Phoenix, Bloomberg, ESPN, Discovery, National Geographic, etc) and size (487,000 subscribers as at Q406). StarHub has launched its high-definition TV service that offers wide screen and clearer images than conventional TVs. The increase in IPTV demand also bodes well for StarHub?s broadband division. Broadband: Increase in speed offerings sustaining ARPU, while adding subscribers Broadband subscribers continue to experience strong uptake. At the same time, the ARPU remains stable and has not been diluted, which is impressive. This is very much attributable to the group?s efforts in continuously upgrading its broadband speed offering, something that Streamyx should seriously consider following. In December 2006, StarHub was already offering 100Mbps residential broadband using the DOCSIS3.0 technology. Financial performance: Growth in all business segments will further enhance profitability For the last five years, StarHub experienced growth in all its business segments, including its fixed-line division. What makes StarHub interesting is that not only does it own a two-way hybrid fibre-coaxial (HFC) network that reaches over 99% of the homes in Singapore, it also has the products and services to pump into the HFC network. The growth in broadband sales would bring lucrative margins to the group, as it is riding on the group?s existing networks. StarHub?s capital expenditure is stabilising at the range of S$250mil?S$300mil per annum, allowing the group to generate significant free cashflow. In March, the group announced a proposed capital reduction of 155.3 million shares (or 8.3% of its issued share capital). The exercise involves one StarHub share being cancelled for every 12 StarHub shares held by each shareholder. For each StarHub share cancelled, shareholders will receive S$2.86. Subject to approval from the authorities and shareholders, the cash distribution is expected to be paid by July. This is the second capital reduction exercise undertaken by the group. The first involved the cancellation of one StarHub share for every 7 StarHub shares at S$2.13 in September 2006. Conclusion The group?s 2006 net profit included a tax credit adjustment of S$77.2mil, which arose from the recognition of deferred tax assets. Excluding this item, the group still reported about 20% year-on-year bottom line growth. Among the telecommunications players in Singapore, StarHub?s business positioning is the most attractive. Although the mobile telecommunications industry in Singapore is not expected to generate exciting growth, we foresee StarHub outperforming the market by eating into the largest player?s share. Expecting the group?s profit margin to improve with more and more content being pumped through the group?s networks and the group starting to generate strong free cashflow, StarHub is enticing at its current PE. With this, i Capital retains its ?buy? rating for the medium term for StarHub. |
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Source from The Star (Malaysia) dated 17 May 2007 |
I agreed with New Guy as this stock got good fundamentals...StarHub just reported nett profit of $70mil for the 1st Q ended 31 March 2007, a 14% increase from $61.4mil recorded a year ago. Declare interim dividends of 3.5cts per share....Just bought in some today and waiting for it to "Cheong" tml....
Cheers!!!
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With the capital reduction , the Eps and ROE will increase thus making the share more valuable .As for me I don't mind getting in now as it provide a stable support in any major correction . For every 1 lot , I may lose 80 share in value but I may get 920 share increase in capital appreciation, still worth it . Just my personcal opinion
With the annoucement of the rise in 1Q result .. I am going in ......
share cancellation @ 2.86; 1 for 12 shares, so buying >2.86 is losing money as u pay more but get back only 2.86. so, we shld wait til share cancellation(capital reduction) is over , then buy.
any comments?
Hi jackjames,
Yah... large price change today. But look at its volumes. Its not too spectacular. I foresee some correction tommorow?
I'll reply about OSIM on the OSIM thread.
The research firm said it believes that StarHub -- as the only telecommunications operator in Singapore offering mobile, fixed line, broadband and pay-TV services -- has the ability to bundle its services, offering it an edge over its competitors.
"Its 'hubbing' strategy has been effective in capping churn rates and customer acquisition costs," S&P analyst Alexander Chia said in a client note. Chia forecasts StarHub's revenue will rise by 8.9 pct, 7.7 pct and 5.8 pct to 1.97 bln sgd, 2.12 bln, and 2.24 bln for 2007, 2008 and 2009 respectively, driven mainly by its cable broadband and data and Internet segments.
"We like StarHub's capacity to generate annual operating cash flows of 500-600 mln sgd," S&P added. "With its stated intention of operating only within Singapore, we believe StarHub's shareholders will continue to see the return of excess cash."