
It is said that the stock market sees ahead of the economy but how come it fell off a cliff in 2007.and few anticipated it
Now they say there is light at the end of the tunnel but armstrong sees a depression.
So be careful as the future is uncertain.
cheongwee ( Date: 21-Apr-2009 17:17) Posted:
|
newmoon ( Date: 21-Apr-2009 18:34) Posted:
|
I am not saying Armstrong is wrong but i hope it cycle have a treshold of 2 to 3 monhts error for us to profit before hell come to earth...
Hope HS Dent is right...
i hope it have a error of some 2 month month for us to profit...
HS Dent April to Sept...dow to hit 10000 at least..
Harry S. Dent Jr., the author of ‘The Roaring 2000s’, ‘The Roaring 2000’s Investor’, ‘The Next Great Bubble Boom’ and his latest book entitled ‘The Great Depression Ahead’ states that “The most important cycle change for your wealth, health, life, family, business, and investments is just ahead during the first and last depression you are likely to experience in your lifetime.”
Dent makes it clear that his predictions, while almost always contrary to most economists and expectations, have almost always proved to be correct because his predictions are based on the same sound and quantifiable logic insurance actuaries use with a high degree of accuracy to predict, decades in advance, when people will die. Dent says he applies the same science to predicting what things will happen in between birth and death – such as when people enter the workforce, get married, spend, are most productive, borrow, invest, retire, buy houses and so on. He believes that such a study of demographics and other key cycles allows him to determine the future based on the facts of the present and of demonstrated behavior so he can see the pig, or the pigs, going through the python. With that understanding of the basis for his forecasting he goes on to predict (and I paraphrase) that:
Dow will Rebound to 10,000 – 13,200 within 6 Months
A likely massive stimulus plan will bolster the economy somewhat into 2009 for a likely rebound in the Dow to between 10,000 and 13,200. A projected bullish scenario puts the Dow between 12,000 and 13,200 between April and September 2009 if the Treasury rescue plan takes hold with the markets anticipating a recovery. A projected bearish scenario assumes that if the recovery is at best rocky, or at worst that we were to move more into a depression in 2009 than a serious recession, that the Dow would only get back to 10,000 to 11,000 and not last as long.
Yes, i come across this before...business cycle..
that why we must be alert,
newmoon ( Date: 21-Apr-2009 17:05) Posted:
|
Martin Armstrong downwards turndate for this bear rally is april19 or 20 2009.
no real recovery till 2011 june 13.
Good Luck.
www.contrahour.com:contrahour:2009:04:martin-armstrong-using-the-scientific-method-to-model-the-economy.html.webloc