
Another one from Alex to claim our nerves:
Bear Markets Compensate Long-Term Investors
History shows that investors who buy into a bear market at this stage - or at least hang on - are well compensated in the years that follow.
I don't expect the majority of investors to agree with me. Even among the ones who do, few will step up to buy much (if anything) really cheap while the merchandise is on sale.
This story is as old as the markets themselves.
William Bernstein, author of "The Four Pillars of Investing," once wrote that when it comes to investing there is only one eternal verity:
"Investing has always been, and will remain, an operation in which wealth is transferred from those without a working knowledge of financial history to those who have none."
Govern yourself accordingly…
Good Investing,
Alex
Another one to share with you all (from Alex Green):
- Before long you start feeling so pleased with yourself that you're sitting safely in cash - while your fellow investors are suffering - that you stay in cash too long.
- Eventually, the market starts to rally again, just as it has after every market break for the past 200 years. Often these upswings are sudden and violent.
- When you miss the rally, you're likely to tell yourself that you'll get in as soon as the market comes back down again.
- But what if it doesn't? You get left at the station - earning a less-than-mouth-watering .4% - while the equity train rumbles on.
Relax. Bear market is going to end soon. Don't count now. Too early. Be kind and fair to yourself. Don't panic.
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One quote from an investment officer to his client:
Soleil Securities Chief Investment Officer Vince Farrell said in a research note to clients this morning, "Bear markets end when the news is at its worse, and long before the statistics and the numbers turn to the positive. We need to keep that in mind."
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I was very encouraged when I read this. Hold tight and don't let go.... Like roller coaster, it will move up again. If you sell now and there is a strong rebound, high chance you will not go in again due to emotion. This is spoken from my experience (others might be different). I've seen about 4 cycles and they all behave the same.
Thanks. Mine blue chips down 13k. Need to consolidate liao and shop.
Any good 2nd liner/3rd liner counters to recommend.
loushare ( Date: 10-Oct-2008 20:22) Posted:
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blue chips went down by 21k, 2nd liners went down by 11k, 3rd liners went down by 1k.
bola, 2nd liner price $1 - $2, 3rd liner <$1 at begining of the this yr.
Hi do u mind share what's the diff between 2nd liners and 3rd liners? Thanks. Mine not recovering...
loushare ( Date: 09-Oct-2008 21:22) Posted:
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Does this mean there will not be any recession?...
And the market will climb because of solid economic growth?...
Anyway, there's no harm buying in now, as long as one knows clearly when to sell after buying...
Finally see turnaround in US now. Heard Buffet suggesting Govt taking stakes in their banks last month which was a big success in Sweden financial turmoil years back instead of "bailout". Those market doom gurus who spread pessimism all around are finally subdued..
Citigroup also just upgraded US equities just now....The light is finally here....Expect the market to rebound strongly from here.
I think many have already done that in the past few months...
And are obviously devastated!...
I would say the best time to buy stocks is when the economy is right in the midst of a big bad recession.
To buy and hold (this is true investment invest) at such times is probably the ideal thing to do...
rabbitfoot ( Date: 09-Oct-2008 08:53) Posted:
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singaporegal ( Date: 07-Oct-2008 21:45) Posted:
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Rogue,
Times are bad. I believe all of us lost... but believe there are more players out there losing more and really down...
Take it easi..
I lost a lot since last year. Monies, an acquaintance, and nearly my mind. Win 3 - 4 times cannot even cover one quarter of 1 time losses (failed my risk reward ratio and very poor money management), so cycle keep on continue until today. Lost the acquaintance "permanently", i nearly lost my mind. Although not close contact but still felt sad. Like what i always tell my friends, lost monies can always make back but lose mind or life, one can't look back. Treasure oneself and the loved ones around.

3rd liners have 'no more meat to drop'?
The next wave of drop has not arrived yet...they drop in steps,
(ie. dropping lower in steps after consolidating for a period... like terraces on a hill slope...
It is unthinkable for the bear market to be over ...
Things are really serious this time round...
loushare ( Date: 08-Oct-2008 20:00) Posted:
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Haha. provided u dare to go in now.
awchyeong ( Date: 08-Oct-2008 20:12) Posted:
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DBS bank has been buying back shares, why UOB & OCBC are doing so ?
Isn't the drop in the stock prices attractive enough for the govts to buy the stocks esp the Blue chips rather than pumping money into the banks? And then sell them slowly when the time is ripe