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09-Aug-2011 14:17

Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors

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It is technical my dear, the problem can never left us.

next low buy up all blues, all soild fundamental that pay a few % div and hold tight till 2016 for next mkt top.

you will be glad.

first, ride on the blues, then sell , then buy mid cap and small for multi bagger profit.

if you love some of the blue u may keep it as your bed mate, like i did.

chriscyng ( Date: 09-Aug-2011 14:02) Posted:

Asian index rebounded.. All index bounce back...

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09-Aug-2011 14:12

Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors

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Yes, mkt are U-turining, but the problem is not longer isolated.

this problem began in the US, have spread ard the world, housing crises , become financial and give way to sovereign debt crises and then back to currencies crises .and then go round and round,

nation will go to war.

Today, all major economy are in deep trouble.

China today report high inflation after so many tightening, not working.

Japan, Europe, US. not forget ME and Japan which are on going, but problem there are overshadow by Europe and US.

now you done heard riot and chaos in europe, u will be hearing soon.

all upside down.

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09-Aug-2011 14:00

Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors

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want buy Capitaland at 1.5??? or even lower,sometimes next yr, u can.

but by then u will shivers, and scare stiff to buy.

i know this may hurt alot of ppl feeling, but that is the way the world is.

the HARD TRUTH, i hope this time politician let nature take over, and let bite the bullet, no more kicking can down the road.

let everything come down to earth and start all over again, for the good of our future children.

Our children are innocent, they should not shoulder our hugh debt. or inherit a world make chaotic by us.

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09-Aug-2011 13:50

Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors

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I think 10000 is still too high, but for now 10600 will be a good buy , for a short rally.

i dont want to psot how low dow , sti and s& p will be.

anyway, u will never believe it.

AND I THINK WEDNESDAY WILL BE GOOD TO BUY SOME

TIME TO DEFLATE BIG TIME, UNWINDIND

safe haven??? very soon nothing will not be safe, gold, treasury bill, u name it.

keep cash at home, CASH IS KING.

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09-Aug-2011 03:53

Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors

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Basically, if you refer to ECRI data all the way back to 1967...only reading lesser than -8, and stay there for a few wks, then recession usually follow.

so far, the indicaters reading is ard 1.7 to 2.0 trend down...from a high of 15 Apr of 8.0..so it is still early to forcast a recession. ECRI is accurate and have the IMF endorsement for it accuracy. See for yourself.

http://www.businesscycle.com/resources/

As such, i will wait out the mkt volatility and buy when time come. current already holding a quater, so long they dont hit cut off i will just leave them alone.

but next yr , truthly, i got this gut feeling , it is going to be hell....remember 2007, the problem start, then 2008 was hell till bottom in Mar 09.

i think right now is equate to end 07., the beginning of a long bear mkt.

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09-Aug-2011 01:39

Others / When to buy and sell in these volatile mkt???

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i read this from an investment newsletter....just to share...

at this point of posting the VIX is 39!!!

Here's what to watch for next...

Interpreting the VIX: When to Buy and Sell Your Stocks

Right now, the VIX is trending lower. This is important because if it continues in that direction - and into the mid to upper teens - you'll want to buy the VIX. Why?

Because each time the VIX has traded in the mid teens, it's represented a major opportunity to short the market, since that level has historically proved to be the bottom of the volatility range.

And that range - if we ignore only the most extreme bullish and bearish events as aberrations - is between 13 and 49.

~ At 13: This means investors are very complacent. You should buy the VIX and sell stocks.

~ At 49-Plus: This means investors are panicking. You should sell the VIX and buy stocks.

i think we are very close to this 49. but one point during the lekman bros,,,this VIX was 80 plus...so when we get there, just wait awhile, or maybe buy slowly. 25% BY 25%..

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09-Aug-2011 01:05

Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors

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Luckily, tomorrow we are safe becos of national day, so hopefully, tomorrow nite , there will be good news of G 7 or G 20 to stabilise the mkt.

so come Wednesday, mkt will have a rebounce.

but short term, i am bullish 6 mths,long term , it is still bearish. Why?

First, euro really cannot pay, becos it is too tough for them to cut back with those harsh austerity measures, with heavy taxes, and less pay. The bill are really too big to pay.

Secondly, right now most country are up to the nose due to last recession, print money like mad. So now they got no means to kick start their economy if it turn down again.

Thirdly, US now also have to cut their spending, this is a sure way to drop back into recession.

Fourthly, China also cannot sell to US, uneployment will soar, social upheavel for sure to follow. After so many tightening still no good progress. Further tightening will stall growth and increase unemployment.

Fifth, Japan is still struggling with their post earthquake problem, radiation and etc., yen unwinding, problem

Almost all major economies got big problem.

Do you think Singapore can go it alone?

i think we should buy provision( rice and can food) and store at home, have cash at home, put just enough money in the bank for bill payment.

i think we will have one major conflict within the next 3 to 4 yr and. it got to involve the whole world.

i hope not.

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09-Aug-2011 00:46

Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors

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Those rating agency shd be sue by invester who lost money when lehman gone under. They are the one who give it AAA.

many ppl lost their live saving. Why investers was not able to sue them is becos they are cover by disclaimer., like analyst who make buy and sell call.

i really don tknow why these BB have listen to these ppl.

anyone can enlighten me???

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09-Aug-2011 00:31

Yanlord Land / The Accumulation Zone

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I think hold your buy first.,

this type of mkt carnage will not just last one wk, it is going to be several wk of hell.

wait till vol get thin, and buying and selling get bore.

for those who are already in the mkt, use stop loss . if still got profit, take first.

luckily, still got 70% on the side line.

be pateint, dont panic, stay cool.

stockmarketmind ( Date: 08-Aug-2011 20:43) Posted:

This stock is strong, however it is going down south before it will rebound. Am looking to load big time when I see BB loading!

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08-Aug-2011 19:18

Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors

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It is during such trying time that we have to contain our feeling, try not to read so many news. Dont let emotion rule.

most likely, in such time bad news is more than good.

These bad news got no benefit, it got you to sell in panic, then before you know , a few weeks or months down, you see px higher than today,

you end up depress.

Use your gut feeling, and buy fundamental solid stock, like i read the boss of singxpress in the paper yesterday.

he told reader not to listen to analyst(news) , use your gut feeling.

so far i am a little mre than a quater in the mkt, was thinking that a rally was coming,so as take advantage of most coy previous yr excellent performance, luckily, this crash come early.

and most of my stock have yet to reach stop loss. , except some.

Just dont be too pessimitic,

My gut feeling tell me a rally possible before the yr end. You see px higher than before friday crash.

good luck, happy holiday, may all be safe and well.

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07-Aug-2011 14:03

Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors

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I think all these messes will lead the whole world to a major conflict.

I think only a major war should not be rule out.

The last 2 WW was cause by economic confilct also.

And the old wound with our neighbours are going to surface once again.

Readiness in your only defense, whether be it stock or total defence.

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07-Aug-2011 03:19

Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors

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Don't believe in every news you read.

there is a saying, " if you did not read newspaper, you are not inform, if you read newspaper you are misinform."

those journalist want you to buy their story at time.

don't panic, i believe we will see px way higher than prior to mkt crash last friday..

wish everyone here well and safe. so be it...Amen

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07-Aug-2011 03:04

Straits Times Index / STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors

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This guy over at S& P is a junk, what have a late approval to rise the debt ceiling got to do with credit agencies???

they should be more concern on the ability of the debtor to pay.

how they are going to pay, does that matter???

does your bank ask you how you got your money to pay your loan? did u borrow it or steal it or ask your mother for money???

did the bank ask you these questions?

this guy is truthly a junk??? really.

have US defaulted before.

since they are always behind the curve and rate junk only when ppl did not pay, why not wait till US cannot pay then rate them, also not too late.

OK, you guy take this guy out and whack him. till he become a junk, then i will pay for his koyok.

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07-Aug-2011 02:23

Others / US down to AA+....What would happen on monday.....

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well, becuase Asian mkt start trading first before US, so i expect mkt to be in a still selling mode.( invester don't know how the dow will respond to this downgrade, so they will sell first)

and also partly Tuesday is a holiday for us,

but overall, i think i bet to buy some and keep over the holiday, i bet that dow will be muted to this downgrade.

wish me luck, .

best time to buy, is when Europe started trading, they will be the factor that causes Asian mkt to come down even more.

overall, i am still bullish till end of year.

i believe those who buy during this preiod will be glad when mkt trend up again.

tea444u ( Date: 07-Aug-2011 01:46) Posted:

hmm..things clearer after reading this...Mr Andrey, you seem well informed about the situation ...thank u for sharing!!

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07-Aug-2011 01:15

Others / US down to AA+....What would happen on monday.....

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In fact, everyone blame US for comsumption, but do you know, alot of country progress because of export to US., even including Singapore.

Even China , today prosperity was based on export to US.

US did not mess themselves, the world is to be blame as well. the world want progress , so they keep exporting to US.

since u know i cant pay, but you still want to lend(export) to me, who is wrong???

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07-Aug-2011 01:07

Others / US down to AA+....What would happen on monday.....

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those credit rating are always behind curve, why pay for this type of service.

any fool can rate any thing after it happen.

As invester, we expect, them to sound alarm long before it happen, so i can do redemption to my investemnt.

now after they cannot pay then you tell me that they are junk, what can i do, somemore i must pay you.

already alot of fund are giving them a miss. they are the one who rated lehmen investemnt product AAA , which causes alot of ppl to lose their life saving.

these rating agency should be rated junk themselves.

look at ECRI, they are worse every penny, their call for recession are always accurate.

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07-Aug-2011 00:52

Others / US down to AA+....What would happen on monday.....

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Funny thing is during last wk of stock down trend, people are still seeking safe haven in US T-bill, why? why they know a down grade was in store yet they buy???

simple because.

first, ...no AAA, AA and A rated country ever default over the last 15 years( this is a data from S& P themselves)...15 yrs long enough for invester to be call safest in this investment sphere.

second...why buy AAA which is more expensive? when i can get AA which is good enough and better return. ( both never defaulted for the last 15 years!!!)

so , i dont think this downgrade will cause invester to panic, unless they rate it as junk like Greece.

so I think this is already px into the mkt, invester more or less know this downgrade is a sure thing to follow, since those rating agency already blow their horn in advance.

Thus i dont think Monday Dow will be come crushing down due to this downgrade, in fact , i think US dollar will strengthen due to safe haven seeking.

in fact, it may be a scam, to get ppl to lend to US more, for AA is better return then AAA, and cheaper.

Thus dollar to strengthen and remain strong.

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06-Aug-2011 16:33

Others / US down to AA+....What would happen on monday.....

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Did u not know big coy announcing cutting manpower, why? since they are making good profit, shd be expanding, right?

simple, they know order have slow, going forward, that time is bad ahead., that is why.

to stay in business, they got to downsize, or get loan or go under..first, they cut cost, next sell asset, next,, chapter 11.

rotijai ( Date: 06-Aug-2011 16:27) Posted:

nop.. not stock nor property..

well.. cant sell business and lose their jobs uh? :)

andreytan ( Date: 06-Aug-2011 16:25) Posted:

In a deleveraging and deflating enviroment , you dont want to hold stock or property,

company sell asset to rise capital, if there cannot get it form institution, so it have a downward pressure on asset.

and these bad economic situation , they got to do a fire sale, that make px come down even faster.

so both security and asset px will collapse.

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06-Aug-2011 16:28

Others / US down to AA+....What would happen on monday.....

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i think next yr, property will start to collpase, hope not so fast., but gradually.

if u got stock in property, time to sell.

and those reit, will also be affected.

cash will be king.

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06-Aug-2011 16:25

Others / US down to AA+....What would happen on monday.....

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rotijai ( Date: 06-Aug-2011 16:17) Posted:

lol..

i am only worry tat US dollar wont go up..

if it goes up to 2 (against sgd).. even better :P

my family got like 90% of our assets in US..lol

andreytan ( Date: 06-Aug-2011 16:14) Posted:

US dollar, but u say the dollar is shit, right.

if the world go to reverse gear, u will be amaze at the speed of the dollar soaring skyward.

why? unwinding, deflating, deleveraging ?

.

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