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bsiong
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01-Nov-2013 08:52
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report  - 10/31/2013  TAPER SPECULATION PRESSURES METALS Precious Metal prices are trading lower though afternoon trading.  News released Wednesday announcing the Federal Reserve will continue its bond buying program is settling in and starting to effect investors. CitrinGroup founder and executive chairman Jonathan Citrin said, 'It will be interesting to watch upcoming tapering expectations impact Gold's price, and also to see if inflation worries ever return to investors' minds. Traders are currently blind to any inflation implications of continued Fed loose monetary policy, eyeing capital appreciation much more than preservation.' U.S. stocks finished lower Thursday, curbing this month's gains.  Two days after both the Dow and S& P 500 closed at record highs, equities fluctuated and are trending downward. BTIG chief global strategist Dan Greenhaus said,  ' The reality is you have a number of earnings reports that weren't the best.' He added, 'Nobody believes the Chicago [Purchasing Managers' Index],' referencing the index that measures Chicago-area business activity, which climbed for the fourth month in a row. At 5:01 p.m. (ET), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
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bsiong
Supreme |
01-Nov-2013 08:49
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Gold Trades Through Initial Support 1310 of Interest as a SupportDaily  
Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT   -?Gold has exceeded the 9/30 high. The area that surrounds 1350 has been an important pivot (support/resistance) in recent months. If a pullback is going to materialize, then this is the place for it to happen.?   -?The minor trend should be considered higher against 1310 but a drop below there would present the swing trader with an opportunity to buy against the Oct low. Supports are 1294 and 1282.?   Trading Strategy: Allow for at least several days to a week of sideways/down action and maybe from slightly higher prices before looking for a low.   LEVELS: 1282 1294 1310 | 1335 1352 1362 |
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bsiong
Supreme |
01-Nov-2013 08:48
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report  - 10/31/2013  GOLD PRESSURED BY STRONGER DOLLAR A stronger U.S. dollar has Precious Metals prices falling sharply in morning trading, with the Gold price down approximately 1.5 percent and the Silver price down approximately 4.5 percent. Although the U.S. Federal Reserve didn't announce that it would begin tapering its quantitative easing program, Macquarie analyst Matthew Turner said, 'The market was expecting that in light of the government shutdown and weaker data there was going to be a supportive statement, perhaps more dovish than it has been in recent months, but it didn't move in that direction.' ANZ analyst Victor Thianpiriya added, 'For Gold, the intraday moves will continue to be driven by gyrations in the U.S. dollar.' The Federal Reserve stated Wednesday that based on recent data, the economy is too weak to begin tapering. When the jobless claims report was released Thursday morning, it showed that claims fell by a less-than-expected 10,000 last week. However, the four-week moving average actually rose by 8,000 to its highest level in more than six months. Now that California's highly-publicized reporting issues are corrected, claims are at a higher level than they were at the end of summer, which suggests that the labor market has softened. At 9 a.m. (ET), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
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bsiong
Supreme |
31-Oct-2013 08:50
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report  -- 10/30/2013  FED STATEMENT SUPPORTS U.S. DOLLAR, PRESSURES GOLD Today, the U.S. Federal Reserve met market expectations by not tapering its $85 billion monthly bond-buying program.  Recent economic data reflecting weaker than expected numbers for both unemployment and consumer confidence put a halt to the cutback in fiscal policy.  ''There is no explicit mention of the government shutdown or what impact it might have on the economy or the Fed's monetary policy,'' Capital Economics chief U.S. economist Paul Ashworth said in a note. ''It is possible that Fed officials want to downplay the recent two-week closure and the potential for another shutdown early next year because they still intend to begin tapering the asset purchases at the FOMC meeting in December.''  The Fed statement failed to acknowledge last month?s government shutdown, which could push investors to be more concerned with the stability of the U.S. economy. Gold dropped slightly during the Federal Reserve meeting when it was announced that economic activity is showing improvement.  ''The dollar strength is keeping Gold under pressure,'' Pension Partners LLC chief investment strategist Michael Gayed said in a telephone interview. ''The safe-haven premium is diminishing as the Fed sees signs of economic improvement.''  However, the Fed made the decision to not taper today for a specific reason, as  Fed chairman Ben Bernanke has said in the past that quantitative easing will not be cut back until economic conditions progress. At 5:15 p.m. (ET), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
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bsiong
Supreme |
31-Oct-2013 08:46
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Gold Fails to Confirm New High in Silver MarketDaily  
Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT   -Gold has exceeded the 9/30 high. The area that surrounds 1350 has been an important pivot (support/resistance) in recent months. If a pullback is going to materialize, then this is the place for it to happen.   -The minor trend should be considered higher against 1310 but a drop below there would present the swing trader with an opportunity to buy against the Oct low. Supports are 1294 and 1282.   Trading Strategy: Allow for at least several days to a week of sideways/down action and maybe from slightly higher prices before looking for a low.   LEVELS: 1310 1327 1336 | 1362 1375 1395 |
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bsiong
Supreme |
31-Oct-2013 08:44
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report  -- 10/30/2013  JOBS DATA DISAPPOINTS ALL EYES ON FED Precious Metals prices are higher this morning as investors await an official monetary policy decision from the Federal Reserve. The Fed is wrapping up a two-day meeting Wednesday, and most are expecting a continuation of its quantitative easing (QE) program. U.S. economic data has been the major driver of the decision to continue QE recently. The Labor Department announced early Wednesday that the economy added 130,000 private-sector jobs in October, while expectations were for a gain of 150,000 jobs. Gold and Silver prices have climbed since the Labor Department's release, but most analysts say that further movement could occur when the Fed announces their policy decision Wednesday afternoon. The Gold price ''may rally if the Fed FOMC statement indicates the Fed has become more dovish, as pointed out before, we would expect the rally to fade if physical demand in Asia, and China in particular, is not strong,'' Standard Bank analysts said Tuesday. ANZ Research added, ''A break to the upside will target levels of $1,365/oz and $1,375/oz, while immediate downside support rests at $1,342/oz.'' At 9 a.m. (ET), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
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bsiong
Supreme |
30-Oct-2013 08:41
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Gold Pullback Underway after 2 Week Advance?Daily  
Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT   -Gold has exceeded the 9/30 high. The area that surrounds 1350 has been an important pivot (support/resistance) in recent months. If a pullback is going to materialize, then this is the place for it to happen.   -The minor trend should be considered higher against 1310 but a drop below there would present the swing trader with an opportunity to buy against the Oct low. Supports are 1294 and 1282.   Trading Strategy: Momentum is slowing. Allow for at least several days to a week of sideways/down action and maybe from slightly higher prices before looking for a low.   LEVELS: 1310 1327 1336 | 1364 1375 1395 |
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bsiong
Supreme |
30-Oct-2013 08:39
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report  - 10/29/2013The Gold price suffered a mild drop from a five-week high today as the U.S. dollar rose against competing world currencies. ''A lack of fresh, bullish fundamental news is keeping buyers scarce,'' one analyst said. ''The key ?outside markets' are also in a bearish daily posture for the Precious Metals  - a firmer U.S. Dollar Index and weaker crude-oil prices.'' Investors and analysts alike continue to ponder the future of the Federal Reserve's liberal quantitative easing (QE) policy. The monthly two-day Federal Open Market Committee meeting began today. In the past, the meeting has been a platform for significant Fed policy announcements but few experts are expecting momentous news following tomorrow's close. Most experts expect the bullion-friendly monetary easing program to continue until the second quarter of 2014. U.S. stocks continue their winning streak as the S& P 500 climbed to its third straight record finish as slow domestic growth indicators lead to expectations of continued monetary stimulus. ''It still seems that the Fed has created this good news is bad news, bad news is good news scenario,'' Huntington Asset Advisors chief investment officer Randy Bateman said. ''The anticipation is that the Fed will retain its purchasing of $85 billion in monthly Treasury and mortgage securities, which is going to continue to help the housing market.'' Equities and Precious Metals investors continue to eye any economic news that could lead to a sooner-than-expected QE taper. However, weak consumer confidence reports, factory output, home sales data and mixed corporate earnings point to sluggish economic growth and will most likely convince Fed officials to continue their asset buying program. At 5:07 p.m. (ET), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
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bsiong
Supreme |
29-Oct-2013 22:08
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report - 10/29/2013  PROFIT-TAKING DROPS GOLD FROM FIVE-WEEK HIGH The Gold price is retreating from a five-week high in early morning trading as the Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting begins today. Expectations are that when the meeting concludes Wednesday, the  Fed will announce a continuation  of its highly-accommodative quantitative easing program. VTB Capital analyst Andrey Kryuchenkov said of the Gold price, ''We had decent gains yesterday and a bit of profit-taking was to be expected. The main focus remains on the Fed and the market seems to have factored in the central bank will not change its current accommodative stance. ? The market will continue to be sensitive to any U.S. data and bullion's trade will continue to be strongly correlated to the dollar index.'' MarketWatch's Brett Arends gave five reasons that the  stock market bulls are getting it wrong. Arends likened today?s situation to that of the dotcom bubble of 1999 and the housing bubble of 2006. Among reasons given were recent stock valuations in bubble territory, the fact that even noted market bears are turning bullish, and current debt levels. At 9 a.m. (ET), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
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bsiong
Supreme |
29-Oct-2013 12:49
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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October 28, 2013 - 16:56:26 PDT
Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Quiet Comex Option ExpirationGold is a monetary metal, the premiere monetary metal. & it is obviously coming back into its own after a long bear ... read more |
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Octavia
Elite |
29-Oct-2013 10:18
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Gold Tests 5-Week Highs. " Should Continue Pushing Higher" : CitiOn the back of dismal data this morning merely compounding the belief that whatever happens, there will be no Taper anytime soon (and record high physical premiums over spot as Indian demand surges), gold prices broke back above $1360 this morning to five-week highs. Of course, that 'rise' was very quickly squelched as stocks POMO'd higher from the US open but, as Citi's FX technicals group notes, the break of $1343 points to a test of $1430 and a bias to testing back above the $1522-32 region.     Via Citi, Gold and Silver should continue pushing higher ? Gold is breaking through resistance around $1,343 and should move towards the $1,430. We continue to be of the bias that Gold is setting up for a multi-year rally and a break above the $1,522-$1,532 area would solidify this view. ? In periods in which Gold does well, Silver actually outperforms. It is already setting up a double bottom which targets $24.40 and an overshoot of that area could take Silver towards $26 in the near term. Gold is pushing higher Gold is pushing higher through the 55 day moving average and we continue to expect higher levels in both the near and long-term. The next resistance level to watch in the short-term is the $1,430 area, where the 200 day moving average converges with the August high. Through there the $1,522-$1,533 area could provide further resistance. This area held well as support in 2011 and 2012 and the break below this year led to accelerated losses. A break higher through that area would suggest to us that the correction for this year is over and that the long-term uptrend has resume (as we have previously articulated, we remain of the bias that Gold will continue to see gains in the coming years and maintain a long-term target of $3,500 ? this is further supported by the idea of no Fed tapering for the foreseeable future) Silver outperforms when Gold moves higher We have seen over the last decade that in the periods where Gold rallied, Silver actually outperformed (red arrows). During periods where Gold prices declined, Silver did worse than Gold (green arrows). If we are in fact seeing the beginning of a long-term Gold rally, we would expect Silver to once again outperform. Levels to watch on Silver Silver is now through the neckline of a double bottom which targets $24.40, in line with resistance around the $24.24-$25.00 area, where the 200 day moving average converges with the late April and August highs. Through there $26 is an important resistance area (lows from late 2011 and 2012) and a move through there suggests much higher levels for Silver going forward. |
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bsiong
Supreme |
29-Oct-2013 08:44
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Gold Upside Momentum Slowing above 1350Daily  
Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT   -Gold has exceeded the 9/30 high. The area that surrounds 1350 has been an important pivot (support/resistance) in recent months. If a pullback is going to materialize, then this is the place for it to happen.   -The minor trend should be considered higher against 1310 but a drop below there would present the swing trader with an opportunity to buy against the Oct low. Supports are 1294 and 1282.   Trading Strategy: Momentum is slowing. Allow for at least several days to a week of sideways/down action and maybe from slightly higher prices before looking for a low.   LEVELS: 1310 1327 1345 | 1364 1375 1395 |
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bsiong
Supreme |
29-Oct-2013 08:42
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report  -- 10/28/2013Precious Metals prices remained flat through Monday before this week's Federal Reserve meeting. Today, economic data was released showing a September increase in U.S. factory production of only 0.1 percent, which is lower than the 0.3 percent rise that was forecast in a Bloomberg survey of economists.  The low figure suggests once again that the Fed will delay tapering until early next year as weak U.S. economic data continues to be released. ''With the recent shutdown, fiscal brinkmanship and modest employment numbers, there is little reason to taper,'' Barclays PLC analyst Suki Cooper wrote in a report today. ''Prices lack support from the physical market for sustained gains.'' The Federal Reserve begins its two-day policy meeting Tuesday, which has the market in a frenzy over the Fed's next financial move. Gold has been reacting heavily the past few weeks with the government shutdown and the likelihood that the Fed could stay true to its tapering statement made this past summer. ''Gold is very sensitive to the U.S. data because if more and more figures confirm that tapering will be delayed, that is positive for the U.S. Treasury market and negative for yields,'' Quantitative Commodity Research owner Peter Fertig said. At 5:10 p.m. (ET), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
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bsiong
Supreme |
28-Oct-2013 21:46
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report -- 10/28/2013  GOLD STEADIES AHEAD OF MONTHLY FED MEETING The Gold price is trading relatively flat on Monday morning as Precious Metals investors speculate over the future of the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing program.  With the recent government shutdown in Washington and uninspiring economic figures fresh in the minds of Fed officials, many economists expect no deviation from the current level of stimulus following the Fed's two-day policy meeting later this week. ''The longer-term outlook for Gold has turned a bit more positive recently because the tapering is not a foregone conclusion considering how the U.S. data has developed over the last couple of months,'' Saxo Bank senior manager Ole Hansen said.    Gold has rallied six percent over the last two weeks  and is hovering near five week highs. U.S. stock figures are fluctuating during morning trading  following ongoing corporate earnings data and expectations for new industrial production figures.   ''Optimism over corporate earnings and the fact that there?s no end in sight to the lax monetary policy of the Fed have combined to leave equity traders on the front foot as the new week gets underway,'' one analyst said.  Investors will await the opening bell to see if manufacturing predictions and further earnings numbers can live up to the forecasts and drive key stock indexes higher to start the week. At 9:40 a.m. (ET), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
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bsiong
Supreme |
26-Oct-2013 09:44
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Weekly Gold & Silver Market Recap -- 10/25/2013  GOLD AWAITS FED?S NEXT MOVE Gold remained flat during Monday trading as investors were still unsure of the Federal Reserve's next move regarding fiscal policy. The yellow metal jumped nearly four percent the previous week under assumptions that the Fed will not taper its $85 billion monthly bond-buying program especially after the recent government shutdown, which has hurt economic growth expectations. ''At some point the Fed will have to start tapering, there is also a consensus view that over three, four, five years bond yields will most likely be higher, and right now inflation rates are very low and show no sign of picking up,'' Credit Suisse analyst Tobias Merath said. ''These are the factors you will look at, if you ask yourself whether there is a need to buy Gold right now.''  The Fed has already announced they will not cut back monetary policy unless the job and housing markets show improvement both have been fragile since 2008. HOUSING MARKET RECOVERY LOSING GROUND The housing market is showing some weaker than expected data  as the National Association of Realtors reported Monday that U.S. home resale?s fell 1.9 percent for the month of September. The drop is thought to be caused by higher mortgage rates along with consumers in the market place whose salaries are barely rising. Investors believe recent higher borrowing costs are slowing the housing market recovery. DELAYED JOBS REPORT BOOSTS GOLD, SILVER PRICES The U.S. Labor Department?s jobs report, originally due October 4, was released Tuesday morning.  Economists expected an increase of 185,000 jobs in September, and the report showed a gain of 148,000, well less than expected. The unemployment rate fell slightly to 7.2 percent, which boosted stock futures in premarket trading, but the overall report was enough to push Gold and Silver prices up more than one percent. Lately, the Gold price seems to be directly tied to the possibility of quantitative easing tapering. U.S. Federal Reserve officials have said recently that stronger economic data is needed before tapering will be announced, so the disappointing jobs report affecting the Gold price in a positive way was no surprise.  While noting that the possible government shutdown could have affected hiring in September, Macquarie analyst Matthew Turner said, ''On the other hand, employment is the key variable for the Fed tapering. In terms of Gold market reaction, as long as they haven't done it, there is always that suspicion that they can't do because the economy is not that strong, which could support prices.'' GOLD DOWN SLIGHTLY AFTER REACHING FIVE-WEEK HIGH Following a rally that pushed Gold to a five-week high on Tuesday,  profit-taking forced the yellow metal lower Wednesday. During a year that has seen Gold enter short-term bearish territory, some analysts have a positive outlook going forward as the metal is set to realize its first year of losses in more than a decade. Adam Koos, president of Libertas Wealth Management Group likes Gold?s prospects if it can stay above the critical technical level of $1,250 an ounce. He added that Gold?s ''longer-term intermediate bearish trend was just broken and we?re looking at a positive trend for the first time this year.'' With the nomination of Janet Yellen to Federal Reserve Bank chairman, investors and analysts will await indication of her agenda regarding the future of quantitative easing (QE). Most analysts are predicting the announcement of a QE to be delayed until at least mid-2014. Historically, the ultra-loose monetary policy has been a strong catalyst for higher Precious Metal prices. WHEN WILL QUANTITATIVE EASING BE TAPERED? In September, the Fed announced their decision not to cut back its infamous $85 billion monthly bond buying program due to the current U.S. economic condition. ''If you look at where we are economically, versus where we were a year ago, we're virtually in the exact same place,'' Goldman Sachs Group Inc. President Gary Cohn said. ''So if quantitative easing made sense a year ago, it probably still makes sense today.'' The question many investors have is when the Fed will decide to taper fiscal policy as it will have to eventually happen with a growing balance sheet. ''They're in a position where they know they can?t quantitatively ease forever, they know they?re building a bigger and bigger balance sheet, but their No. 1 objective is to try and grow the U.S. economy,'' Cohn said. ''I do believe eventually they will taper. Eventually can be a very long time.'' SOFT DOLLAR, QE SPECULATION LIFT PRECIOUS METALS Gold traded higher Thursday as a weaker  U.S. dollar helped lift Precious Metals prices. ''A still weak U.S. dollar -- the U.S. currency has weakened against the euro to exceed the $1.38 mark for the first time in almost two years -- is one major reason why the Gold price has been able to gain to around $1,340 per troy ounce this morning,'' analysts at Commerzbank AG said. The perpetuation of quantitative easing measures by the U.S. Federal Reserve is also helping boost the Gold price as the recent  government shutdown and disappointing employment numbers lend credence to Fed officials wanting to delay a possible stimulus taper. ''The stimulus story is lending support to Gold,? Frank Lesh, a trader at FuturePath Trading, said. ?Worries about the health of the U.S. economy are pushing some to Gold.'' GOLD RALLIES BACK TO EVEN ON WEAK CONSUMER SENTIMENT The  Gold price rose back to even levels  Friday following early losses as weak consumer sentiment data increased the appeal of Precious Metals, setting Gold up to realize a week of gains. ''Bad news is a good news for Gold,'' Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst at AvaTrade, said. ''Core durable good and consumer sentiment have further firmed the optimism'' for continued quantitative easing. ''We have to keep in mind that we still need to factor in the cost of a government shutdown for November?s data, which does not seem good either,'' he said. Technical traders of Gold are now looking for the yellow metal to break through the next resistance level of $1,380 before it can break out of its current range and signal the potential start of a bullish move in the short to medium term.   At 4:30 p.m. (ET), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
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bsiong
Supreme |
26-Oct-2013 09:38
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Mid-Day Gold & Silver Market Report - 10/25/2013  GOLD RALLIES BACK TO EVEN ON WEAK CONSUMER SENTIMENT The  Gold price has risen back to even levels  following early losses as weak consumer sentiment data increased the appeal of Precious Metals, setting Gold up to realize a week of gains. ''Bad news is a good news for gold,'' Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst at AvaTrade, said. ''Core durable good and consumer sentiment have further firmed the optimism'' for continued quantitative easing. ''We have to keep in mind that we still need to factor in the cost of a government shutdown for November?s data, which does not seem good either,'' he said. Technical traders of Gold are now looking for the yellow metal to break through the next resistance level of $1,380 before it can break out of its current range and signal the potential start of a bullish move in the short to medium term. Another day of modest gains for U.S. stocks has pushed the  S& P 500 to within one point of its all-time intraday record. Investors and analysts continue to scrutinize economic data to determine the future of the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing program. ''Earnings have been good enough and the liquidity spigot is open so that people see very little risk in the system,'' Charlie Smith, chief investment officer of Fort Pitt Capital Group Inc., said. ''It's like a giant game of musical chairs. The attitude on the part of most investors is that they have to play while the Fed got the music going.'' At 2:33 p.m. (ET), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
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bsiong
Supreme |
26-Oct-2013 01:16
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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bsiong
Supreme |
26-Oct-2013 00:16
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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October 24 2013 American Politics, Monetary Policy, and the Price of Gold     |
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bsiong
Supreme |
26-Oct-2013 00:11
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report - 10/25/2013  GOLD HEADED FOR SECOND WEEK OF GAINS The Gold price is  headed for a two percent gain on the week, even with a slight retreat from the five-week highs attained yesterday. The U.S. dollar is trading against other currencies at a nine-month low, and U.S. Treasury yields are at three-month lows. HSBC said in a note, ''The recent trend in Gold and its volatile reaction to the most recent economic release show the market is still heavily data-dependent for price direction. While we are bullish on Gold longer term, further gains may be difficult to achieve in the near term.'' U.S. stock futures are  mixed in premarket trade amid earnings reports  from some Dow and NASDAQ components. For S& P 500 companies that have reported so far, 52 percent surprised with positive results, and 72 percent beat expectations. For economic data, U.S. durable-goods orders for September rose by 3.7 percent, which had little effect on markets. Another report, the University of Michigan/Thomson Reuters consumer sentiment index, is due later this morning, and expectations are for a drop. At 9 a.m. (ET), the APMEX Precious Metals spot prices were:
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bsiong
Supreme |
25-Oct-2013 08:43
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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Gold 1350 Has Been an Important Pivot Since JulyDaily  
Chart Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT   -Gold is testing the 9/30 high or more generally, the 1350 area. The area that surrounds 1350 has been an important pivot (support/resistance) on multiple occasions since July (circled). If a pullback is going to materialize, then this is the place for it to happen.   -The minor trend should be considered higher against 1310 but a drop below there would present the swing trader with an opportunity to buy against the Oct low. Supports are 1294 and 1282.   Trading Strategy: Allow for at least several days to a week of sideways/down action and maybe from slightly higher prices before looking for a low.   LEVELS: 1318 1327 1337 | 1352 1364 1375 |
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