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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
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Livermore
Master |
31-May-2007 22:06
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Hi IPunter & Rayphua, Thanks for your comments:). As you probably already know my style, it is a simple one. Accumulate, leverage and hold. To me the most important thing in investment is manage your risk profile well. I just epxlained to a colleague today. If you make $10, maybe you can afford to lose $3. If you make $20, you can afford to lose $7 etc. Notice as your profit grows, you can adjust your risk profile upwards. It is a slow and steady process but once you have built a firm capital base, you can make money quite fast. To make more money you need to be a bit aggressive but not reckless. There is a difference. I am only aggressive when my earlier lots are in paper profit as I average up. I have plan B if plan A fails. Yes, warrants seem a bit risky. But as long as you don't put too many "bullets" at one go, it is quite ok. Look at FerroChina MBLECW070905 (time it just nice for the result announcement) now at 30c. If you buy 10 lots at 30c, 5 lots at 20c and 5 lots at 5c, surely you cannot lose money. The warrants is unlikely to go to 5c and it cannot be 0c. |
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ed88ks
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31-May-2007 20:38
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ed88ks
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31-May-2007 20:32
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novena_33 , it's from http://ww2.dowtheoryletters.com/ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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ed88ks
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31-May-2007 20:29
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PAUL KANGAS: My guest "market monitor" this week is Elaine Garzarelli, president of Garzarelli Capital and welcome back to NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Elaine. ELAINE GARZARELLI, PRESIDENT, GARZARELLI CAPITAL: Nice to be here Paul. KANGAS: During our last several visits, you've been decidedly bullish on the U.S. stock market and given these recent new highs, including today, correctly so. You told us the U.S. economy had rarely been in such good shape as in recent times. Any change in your position? Is the stock market getting ahead of reality? GARZARELLI: No, no. Actually, the stock market is catching up to where it should have been last year and we think it has a lot further to go. KANGAS: Where do your widely followed 14 marker indicators standard now? GARZARELLI: Well, a bullish reading at 65 and they're at 67 percent; 30 percent would be a major sell signal and 42 percent would be a correction greater than 4 to 7 percent. KANGAS: You're still quite bullish? GARZARELLI: Definitely, best economy I've ever seen. KANGAS: When you were here last in October, you said the housing slump was basically over, but it has gotten a bit worse hasn't it and has it bottomed finally? GARZARELLI: Well, the mortgage rates are down, 30-year mortgage rates down 100 basis points and I think housing now is flattening out and it should start to turn up later this year in 2008, modestly. |
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iPunter
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31-May-2007 19:16
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Livermore... :) Although I use the nick "iPunter", I am in reality not the punting type like horse-punters or share-punters in the usual sense of the word. To me, the moment anyone 'dabbles' in shares (ie.whether as an investor, trader or gambler), he/she is 'punting', ie. betting on the hope that the shares bought will rise and bring them money. And that no matter how long it takes to realise that hope, sticking to one's guns till the end is the style of the 'investor'. By the way, I don't dabble in warrants as these are high-leverag instruments as I have pointed out in another thread. To me, I think that if one does not first learn to lose in normal shares, one should really not dabble in warrants. This is because losses in warrants are much more devastating than losses playing shares. I also never buy with the intention to do a contra. I do contras only on those occasions when the shares I bought have immediately risen much in a day or two. |
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novena_33
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31-May-2007 17:19
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Hi ed88ks, by the way where u get that comment from ? pay service? or web site? | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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teeth53
Supreme |
31-May-2007 17:13
![]() Yells: "don't learn through life, learn to grow with life " |
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Just a gentle reminder, STI is post for rebound to see another 200 pts or a new high.. ![]()
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ed88ks
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31-May-2007 14:01
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This appears in Straits Times Forum. |
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ed88ks
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31-May-2007 13:57
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After yesterday's Dow close, Russell wrote:
"I believe the early part of the third phase of the bull market is now underway. This is what I call the 'worldwide globalization bull market.' This bull market is floating on massive liquidity, low interest rates, easy credit and the ability of the central banks of the world to create all the money they want out of thin air. I consider today's confirmation and record high by the S&P 500 to be an important event."
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rayphua
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31-May-2007 13:51
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Volume upward trending, Cashiertan. Healthy. Will update any squeeze breakouts when it happens on Friday. Cheers. |
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cashiertan
Elite |
31-May-2007 13:38
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i think the key is what stocks to buy? btw, is volume for DOW good yesterday? | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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rayphua
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31-May-2007 12:44
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Livermore, you're discounting too much from yourself. I've seen your posts, makes a lot of sense. Btw, I am thrilled by the dow performance last night. It was important. For about 11 days, it was trading without any clear directions. Strength was weak, it was moving north or south without committment. But yesterday's was decisive, and a rebirth for the dow. The worldwide indices show the same enthusiasm. Too bad we're not trading today. |
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Livermore
Master |
31-May-2007 12:30
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The good trader should be RayPhua whose "tips" gives a ray of hope and optimism which shines through.....:) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Livermore
Master |
31-May-2007 12:27
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Hi IPunter, Actually I am just ok as a trader. I still wish to hold 1 or 2 stock for long term and I try to make more money puntting like you:). I like warrants. The gains are good if you play it right. For mother shares that are at high price, you won't make much buying the mother share if you don't have much cash. I try to choose those warrants with 3 - 4 months time frame and whose exercise price is below the mother price. I intend to a full time investor when I retire.*ha* |
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iPunter
Supreme |
31-May-2007 12:06
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[error] Extracted from today's online: The Bangkok Post... " |
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iPunter
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31-May-2007 11:54
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Extracted from today's: The Bangkok Post... SET at five-month high as political tensions ease Thai stocks rose 1.32% yesterday to a five-month high on growing optimism that the political deadlock that has paralysed the country's policymaking and economy was nearing an end. That should give some indication of STI's performance on Friday and thereafter. |
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iPunter
Supreme |
31-May-2007 11:38
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The position of the Dow shows that the world market is still sound and healthy. Regarding China, I would bet the the desire to make money is the dominant force at play. See what happened when the authorities there tried so hard to dampen the market? The market became even stronger (rose more!). |
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iPunter
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31-May-2007 11:34
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Livermore... :) |
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Novocaine
Veteran |
31-May-2007 07:54
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wow..Dow surged 111 pts lst nite! So much for the China pullback..They dun even bother bout it! If onli the markets here have more guts and dun follow the china market..after all the reasons for the pullback is clear! |
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Livermore
Master |
31-May-2007 07:47
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Hi IPunter, I had the plan but hesitated.*Sigh*. I don't try to time the market. I wait for the first sign. Never good to time the market. For instance, you sell at $2 for share A but the stock goes to $2.40. You lose out a lot. At $2.40, it went down to $2.32, that was the sign for me to sell off half my positions. Well I went to second plan and sold off another share to have capital to accumulate on A bit by bit. |
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