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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
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harryp
Veteran |
06-Aug-2007 16:28
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Just curious what is a Venerable newmoon doing in a stock market forum..... :)) |
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newmoon
Veteran |
06-Aug-2007 16:06
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Why do we say' falling in love' and not 'rising in love 'because when we fall in love we lose our rational mind and fall madly in love. If if you fall in love with your Market Misress it is the same phenomenon-it is equally addictive and irrational - you buy high and sell low or is it buy high and sell higher or sell low and buy higher or buy low and sell lower . I think there are more important things in life than the stock market-like being aware that you are breathing in and out and that there is suffering(dukkha) and that everything is impermanent(anicca) and understanding anatta(non self) which means that we are all interdependent. The world of the stock market is equivalent to the buddhist realm of "hungry ghosts" |
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newmoon
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06-Aug-2007 15:22
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To day is 24th day of the lunar calendar.(6/08/070 !3/08/07 is the new moon. This indicator is as good as any and it is free-just look up at the sky tonight. Sell near full moon and buy near newmoon + or - 7 days |
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timewatch
Senior |
06-Aug-2007 15:08
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very true when Dow is down, STI also goes down,and when DOw goes up STI stays, AS usual STI play very safe. |
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victorf
Master |
06-Aug-2007 15:02
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irrational pessimism now in the market even when Singapore economy is booming (goldern era as defined by our MM), and it is not logical...for those with strong holding power, it is time to accumulate good stocks (not all at once but bit by bit)...for those who have no money to hold but still want to trade, still the same old advice (follow the three rules) Rule 1: Be disclipline Rule 2: Be disclipline Rule 3: Go back to rule 1 Good luck |
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Centaur
Veteran |
06-Aug-2007 14:13
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Not surprising, getting used to seeing blood already. When Dow goes down, STI down but when Dow goes up, STI stays.. |
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knightrider
Elite |
06-Aug-2007 12:10
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Very soon, will reach 2006 level at 3280 liao. |
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newmoon
Veteran |
06-Aug-2007 11:50
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"Falling out of Love with the Market Mistress" This is what happens to the human brain when this occurs. The lizard brain and the limbic brain(emotional centres) hold their mating dance and the frontal lobe of logic takes a hike. |
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newmoon
Veteran |
06-Aug-2007 11:33
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The STI has corrected 10%. which is a definition of a major correction. Any further fall could be the beginning of a bear market. Only the waning moon is in your favour for a rebound.All indicators are useless when panic sets in.Human psychology is nor chartable. To sell the market short at this stage is not a good idea as fear has reached epidemic proportions . |
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teeth53
Supreme |
06-Aug-2007 08:57
Yells: "don't learn through life, learn to grow with life " |
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Singtel, Marine, oil and gas play with solid earning can help abit to lift STI, while Three big local Banks index of 29% is more then enough to ink STI RED. |
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baseerahmed
Master |
04-Aug-2007 22:19
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victorf : yeah .... a lot of us are curious to know ... how did u arrive at 21st july .... ? |
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mediacraze
Member |
04-Aug-2007 20:29
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Have to agreed with spurs88... At present stage, seems like the oil/ gas, marine sector blue chips still able to resist to the storm... still vest in KepCorp, SembMar and Ezra.... hope they will be fine coming monday..... |
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lausk22
Veteran |
04-Aug-2007 17:40
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When the market is a sea of red Everyone here also predicts red Well it is not difficult to guess Just self-fulfilling prophesy they said When the market is a sea of red Some people pray to the Fed To reduce interest rate the best To give those sub-prime woes a rest When the market is a sea of red Few people are happy, most are sad It is understandable I guess To lose money in a flash When the market is a sea of red Where is the safety catch For us to ledge on or hedge Well I guess cash is still best When the market is a sea of red |
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spurs88
Senior |
04-Aug-2007 17:21
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Don't worry lah. As I always said in my previous post, with turmoil comes opportunities. In chinese it is called 'wei ji'. Just pick stocks with good potential like Keppel corp when everyone is panickly selling. Wait for year end rally and your investment can reap at least 50%! |
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jerrymaguire
Member |
04-Aug-2007 15:50
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hi mirage, thanks for sharing. in your opinion, do you think fed will cut interest ? that'll be good to save the stock market, but this will give the dollars pressure to go down again right? |
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loushare
Member |
04-Aug-2007 14:09
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Hi victorf, curious to know how do you arrive at the date 21st July, just a few days before the correction ? |
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victorf
Master |
04-Aug-2007 12:54
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Looking forward to Monday, while the index can be down, i believe it will not be as worst as last time as the second wave ripple is generally smaller...do not be panic and be disclipine...good luck :) |
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victorf
Master |
04-Aug-2007 12:51
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market still uncertain and got to observe closely these few days (lots of spikes whether up or down)...got LOTS of CALLS from my friends (some still affected but with a reduced postion) who thank me for my advice in June...as for me not really affected by this down wave as out most position before 21st July but waiting to buy cheap good stocks...for those who are still trading my three advices are: 1. Be disclipine 2. Be disclipine 3. Go back to Rule 1. Happy weekend :) |
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mirage
Veteran |
04-Aug-2007 12:20
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QUOTES: MarketWatch SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- The mortgage crisis that's shaking capital markets could encourage the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, economists said this week.
Problems in the subprime mortgage market have spread into other parts of the home loan market, causing the private, secondary mortgage market to freeze up. That's limiting the availability of some home loans.
The troubles have also infected the leveraged-loan and high-yield debt markets, widening corporate credit spreads and derailing financing for some leveraged buyouts.
"The central bank can do something to help alleviate all this stress," Maury Harris, chief U.S. economist at UBS AG (UBS :
UBS Ag
Last: 54.08-1.04-1.89%
4:06pm 08/03/2007 Delayed quote data Sponsored by: "Whether widening spreads are good or bad for the stock market depends on the central bank response," he added. "Spreads could come back if the Fed cuts interest rates."
UBS expects the Fed funds rate to be at 4.75% by end of 2007, down from the current 5.25%. That would help the stock market, Harris added.
If there's been a big increase in risk aversion in the market, that would worry the Fed and could prompt action, said Lou Crandall, chief economist at Wrightson ICAP, the U.S. research firm of ICAP, the world's largest inter-dealer broker.
"From the Fed's perspective, if risk perceptions change that's fine," he explained. "But if risk capacity goes down, then they'd be a little bit more worried."
"Then finally there's the implication of a big increase in risk aversion," Crandall said. "That's when everything's coming together at once and the system is most exposed."
Treasury prices rallied Friday, pushing the yield on the benchmark 10-year note down to its lowest level since mid-May. Meanwhile, high-yield corporate credit yields have jumped in recent weeks, widening spreads. That increased the cost of borrowing for companies.
Higher borrowing costs make companies more wary of committing to large, long-term investments. If businesses stop spending as much, that could dent economic growth, said Crandall.
Business investment has been one of the economic bright spots in recent months, helping to cushion the impact of subprime mortgage turmoil on consumer spending.
The U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 3.4% in the second quarter, the fastest pace since early 2006, the Commerce Department reported recently. See full story.
Business investment increased 8.1% in the quarter, while investments in equipment and software grew at the fastest rate since the third quarter of last year. Investments in structures jumped 22.1%, the fastest pace since the second quarter of 1994.
But if borrowing costs remain higher for companies, such strength in business spending could wane, Crandall said.
"Prospects for capital spending are a lot murkier than they were earlier in July," he said. "Conditions we're experiencing right now would have a noticeable effect on economic activity if they persist."
 Alistair Barr is a reporter for MarketWatch in San Francisco. |
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jerrymaguire
Member |
04-Aug-2007 12:14
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i think is difficult for bernake to cut the interst rate. with bad employment data and inflation (not so exciting), there is no reason unless the stock collapsed like year 2000, but dow has been ended like that situation now. cutting the interst rate will give a pressure to dollars, this is one for fed concern too. wave C can bring dow to 12800, her final support. it better dont break, if correction is too big, the it will bring us into a recession and bear market for long time. does anyone know how to buy a put warrant ? |
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