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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
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teeth53
Supreme |
18-Aug-2007 21:43
Yells: "don't learn through life, learn to grow with life " |
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Sell into strength...Sub-prime woes is spreading into US housing woes payment scheme, cutting deeper into US economy and pushing further US to test it recession as FED ponder on how to save...this credit crunches from melting away. For a start FED cuts discount rate on loan to banks. What next...a interest cut...? mop up those bad mortgagers loan...? and "lei long" them..? Was wondering Ex-FED chief kept increasing rate to pop-up the economy w/o knowing bad load kept increasing...and now FED chief headache in trying to contain the damaged done. Ben is bang on saving US economy by making policy U turn. 1st was credit issue, then credit squeeze, next credit crunches, what next ?, credit melt down. 
Cash is king....hmm 
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elfinchilde
Elite |
18-Aug-2007 21:35
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hm. one more thing about this new class of BBs, the hedge funds: think of them as pirates. they do not necessarily hold long term positions. throw out buffett and all your guides. they can go long, they can go short. they do not care about the rules--not like there are any tho--the aim of the game is only one: profit. any way, which way. so play with them, not against them. |
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elfinchilde
Elite |
18-Aug-2007 21:17
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well manikamaniko, it's play time on monday! 
keke. still think it's better not to hold anything long term for now tho... charts-wise, a lot of counters have fallen through their supports like a hot knife through butter. because the contagion has spread. it's no longer just a subprime issue. that's the tip of the iceberg. the word 'subprime' is on everyone's lips, but how many understand the full extent of chaos theory? the idea that everything is linked. the real thing to watch for: the unwinding of the carry trades. the market is no longer about fundamentals. perhaps it has never been about this. cos fact is, no matter how good a company is, if everyone is selling its stock, then its price has only one way to go. and think about it: why is the fed suddenly cutting rates? The FOMC is concerned about inflation, not about the stock market. Not unless the gyrations of the stock market affect the economic growth of the country. then think again: not all the news have been announced yet. consider: fed is linked to banks. a sudden about-turn and secret cutting of discount rates to banks. but not key rates. Points to one conclusion=> some of the large US banks are in trouble. and they have not released this news yet. ie, Someone somewhere must have approached the higher echelons of government for a bailout. hence, the immensity of the problem which necessitates sudden governmental intervention? thus, likely direction of the global markets? see the stars and connect to form the name of the constellation. what do you see? note: the above is just my guess. and really, i'd rather be wrong than right. |
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teeth53
Supreme |
18-Aug-2007 21:02
Yells: "don't learn through life, learn to grow with life " |
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Bad news..All good eggs turning bad (all stocks is not spare, came under attack from hedge fund...redemption calling), hedge fund selling...and SGX declared it server is 3rd times (again) is unable to take the stress through this mess / huge selling order and good news is.... Hedge fund pounded on STI cheaper stocks after 2:30pm in a blink causing STI to recover lost ground from a low of 2,962.01 to closed off at 3,130.71 points (-21.45 points).
SGX. Coming week will see / saw again on volatile trading due to unsettling Sub-prime woes, Key currency (Yen rising interest rate) fluctuate, hedge fund shuting off certain amount of $$$ to..., $$$ money is drying up but US$ will be support, key market like Dow very un-settle-out to do a flavour like lower interest rate, oil price sliding, consumers spending less in the biggest market-US, market is fearful of market is jittery even with those very strong hedge fund supporters around. Just sharing my tot. 
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Manikamaniko.
Master |
18-Aug-2007 20:50
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The Dow "Cheonged" up very fiercely on Friday night!... |
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Livermore
Master |
18-Aug-2007 20:21
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If the key federal funds rate is cut and if the US dollar falls dramatically, the effects could be global. US consumers are still the biggest consumers. Then you will find a US with huge budget deficit and US consumers will less spending power |
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Livermore
Master |
18-Aug-2007 19:51
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US federal funds rate has remain unchanged at 5.25%. That is the key one | ||||
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singaporegal
Supreme |
18-Aug-2007 17:02
Yells: "Female TA nut" |
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Let's hope the rate cut by the Fed has halted the financial markets slide. However, I feel that the Fed's action may have only slowed down the effects of the subprime problem. Companies are still going bust in the US and the construction sector (one of the most important sectors) there will never be the same again after this debacle. Anyway, we'll see what happens next week. In the meantime, just relax for the weekend! :) |
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teeth53
Supreme |
18-Aug-2007 13:43
Yells: "don't learn through life, learn to grow with life " |
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Straits Times Money page-S34 (Sat, Aug 18, 2007). Invest at your own risks..  Trade w/Care
Currency turmoil in the spotlight and Hedge fund founder tries to sell his helicopter. More bad news and still counting...... 
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elfinchilde
Elite |
18-Aug-2007 13:11
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heyhey kilroy! let elfie know the positions of the JPY/US and the US/NZ (or is it yen/NZ?) pairs as it goes along, yea? another indicator to watch now. hehe. the carry trades are unwinding. the spike in the dow/europe is likely just a brief rally. fund houses, banks and hedge funds are majorly playing, hence the huge volatility we see everyday. as for holding long term, or selling or trying to bottom fish now, or trading. well, will give the following example, and let fellow investors draw their own conclusions. note: purely technicals, and only long, since i do not play shorts. if you do, it's simply reversal of the signal tho. NOT a buy/sell call. and the presumption is that you have the tools for intraday scalping, if you are into it. would never trade if don't have the tools or the money to lose for it. coscocorp: yesterday's OHLC (open, high, low, close): open: 4.1 high: 4.28 low: 3.48 close: 3.9. intraday trade signals, based on SMA crosses (simple moving averages at 30 and 60), which cosco responds to (ie, pick an indicator that your stock responds to!): buy: at 3.52, 1448 hrs. sell: 3.58, 1507 hrs. second signal: buy: 3.56, 1515 hrs. sell: 3.92, 1614 hrs. third signal: buy: 3.76, 1631 hrs. would opt to close all positions within the day, since i personally do not believe in holding anything long term at this period of time. hence, default close at selling px: 3.9. long term techs: sell signal clearly generated by MACD on 31 jul at close of 5.15. still on downtrend. likely to be a huge one since has not yet crossed into negative territory. candlesticks generating confirmation of downtrend signal. for past 16 days, 10 red. for those who are eyeing the intraday trade method: please please be very careful. note the time of the generated signals for trades. they are all less than an hour long. so do not play if you cannot watch it the entire time. |
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victorf
Master |
18-Aug-2007 12:09
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US market move just as i expected though the future is down to 100 plus point when there is STUPID selling in singapore market yesterday...good luck
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ruanlai
Master |
18-Aug-2007 10:28
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李资政：剧烈波动是暂时现象 股市将会稳定并回弹 （新加坡）联合早报 (2007-08-18)
● 蔡添成 内阁资政李光耀指出美国次优贷款问题引发欧美和亚洲股市剧烈波动，只是暂时的现象，预料再过几个星期或几个月就会稳定下来，然后再次回弹，不会影响中国、印度和东亚国家的长期增长。 他认为目前亚洲的大环境对新加坡有利，只要我国继续由能力强和能够高瞻远瞩的领导人治理，国人就可从容地克服国家所面对的各种挑战，迎向更美好的前途。 李资政昨晚在丹戎巴葛区的国庆晚宴上讲话时，强调新加坡未来将能继续克服各种挑战，迈步向前。 ?今年是个成功的年头，今后还会有更多美好的岁月等着我们。? 他说，现在的世界到处都是机会，同时也充满着风险。像最近环球股票市场出现抛售的紧张气氛，可能对美国和其他国家造成影响，但这只是短暂的情况，再过几个星期欧美和亚洲的股市就会稳定下来。 他也强调这次股市出现的恐慌，不会对增长潜能备受看好的亚洲区域构成任何的发展阻碍。 李资政在提到新加坡所面对的各种挑战及领导人所要解决的问题时也指出，要解决国家的挑战, 就必须要有高瞻远瞩的国会议员和部长去拟定长期的工作计划。 ?我们如要充满信心地迎接未来，相信自己能克服所有的困难，继续向前迈进，就必须要有最好的领导班子。他们必须是正直能干，立志为全体新加坡人谋福利者。? 他说，第三代领导人在治国方面已经驾轻就熟，预示着在今后十年，新加坡将继续保持政治稳定、经济增长和社会进步。 ?目前，总理和内阁部长的年龄大多在四五十岁之间。许多国会议员也是40岁左右，有些则是30多岁。他们干劲十足，未来10至12年里能够在选区里负起领导的重任。? 不过，他指出在下一届大选之前，李显龙总理和他的领导班子就必须同议员一起物色三四十岁的年轻候选人，以便在未来组成第四代领导班子，领导新加坡向前迈进。这是因为要成为能干的内阁部长，新任议员和政务部长都需要经过两届任期的磨练，才能得心应手。 李资政昨晚在丹戎巴葛民众俱乐部以华英语向在场的千多名基层人员和居民发表约30分钟的讲话。 他告诉在场居民，新加坡国内的基础强稳，也拥有良好的条件，包括种族和谐、人民团结和有超过95％的国人拥有自己的房子，这使我们处在有利的位置。 ?年轻一代受过良好的教育，以英文作为第一语文，母语为第二语文。英文让我们取得资讯和知识，让我们同世界接轨。英文也是互联网的主要用语。? 同时，由于保留了各族的母语为第二语文，也使我们更加有利。 ?我们的年轻一代具有双语能力。政府正在不断地提升中小学、工艺教育学院、理工学院和大学的素质，以达到世界水平。目前也正考虑开办第四所大学。? 他指出，由于政府调整并削减雇主的公积金缴交率、降低公司税和个人所得税，同时调高消费税，而又推出抵消配套减轻低收入者的负担，这一系列改革措施将使经济受益，进而让国家和人民获得好处。 不过，对人口老龄化的问题，他认为随着国民人均寿命越长，提取公积金最低存款的年龄或退休年龄也会相应提高，而政府也会鼓励身体健康的年长者继续工作。 谈到全球的发展趋势时，李资政指出不断涌现的新科技、即时的通讯和快速廉价的交通运输已使世界趋向统合。 ?现在，人人都能即时知道发生在世界各地的事情。? 他因此提醒国人，随着环境的不断变迁，大家必须作出相应的调整，随时准备面对各种挑战，忍受暂时的痛苦和不便，以适应改变及克服困境。 |
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teeth53
Supreme |
18-Aug-2007 10:11
Yells: "don't learn through life, learn to grow with life " |
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Temporary reprieve, Sell into strength. Outlook on STI (Monday, 20-8-007) will start of on optimistic note and by 12 noon...profit taking...afternoon will continue to be the same patten as in the morning...a late surge around 16:00 hour before profiting taking some in. Happy trading . Just my tot.
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skeleton
Member |
18-Aug-2007 01:19
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Thanks....hmmm..guess i will sell off some on monday (if it's still at this level) and collect some cash for hunting so as to reconsolidate my portfolio. 
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cyjjerry85
Elite |
17-Aug-2007 23:49
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1234567 good video from youtube that u posted...pretty comprehensive analysis on TA part of the DOW | ||||
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Pinnacle
Master |
17-Aug-2007 23:45
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The effect was felt immediately with a sudden surge after the rate was cut . But caution and confusion set in thereafter, which caused DJI to retreat. We really need a helping hand from God to pull the market. |
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1234567
Senior |
17-Aug-2007 23:42
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It's interesting .... Market Correction Analysis 8.16.07 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kI3fijRJtgk |
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davidxiao
Member |
17-Aug-2007 23:35
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lts not too late as "God help those who help themself " Benake cut rate just in time! Much Appreciated ! | ||||
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chipchip66
Master |
17-Aug-2007 23:00
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Looks like this Bear Monkey has been tamed by sub-prime bug. A little too late isnt it?
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Pension
Elite |
17-Aug-2007 22:45
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Alan greenspan had ever reduced the interest rate to as low as 2.5 percentage and start to increase rate when market became better. He know how to react to market sentitment, for benake, he is too slow to react and keep worry of inflation. inflation can be control not by the interest rate can be other method. | ||||
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