Latest Forum Topics / Straits Times Index |
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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
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elfinchilde
Elite |
11-Jan-2008 13:34
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got a question: is the index actually accurate? cos if you look at the individual counters, a lot are down; but it's not reflected in the index? is the index's rise solely due to capland and singtel? the rest of the blues are down/minimally up....doesn't seem to tally.....*blur* |
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soloman
Master |
11-Jan-2008 13:13
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Currently shorting by hedges funds Foreign brokers also seeling out some STI will recover by 5 pm Don't sell !!!!! |
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cyjjerry85
Elite |
11-Jan-2008 12:16
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for the past two days...DOW up...ppl in the Asian markets cheered..IN THE MORNING only...only to find out later in the day that their local index close negative |
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cyjjerry85
Elite |
11-Jan-2008 12:07
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agree man...this is pure madness...seeing lots of RED |
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huatah
Veteran |
11-Jan-2008 12:03
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tis is simply crazy.. wipe out de gain within mins.. and hit negative zone.. now bak positive.. alamak.. |
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cyjjerry85
Elite |
11-Jan-2008 12:01
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wassup wif the Asian indexes...any idea about the dropping at the moment? from a positive like yesterday...morning +30 points...den now -6 |
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CWQuah
Master |
11-Jan-2008 12:01
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One heck of a mkt plunge 5 mins ago. 3304. |
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Manikamaniho
Senior |
11-Jan-2008 10:17
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Very good and useful article by Jeff Wilde posted by Cashier...
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baseerahmed
Master |
11-Jan-2008 10:16
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could relate to sooners. good post. |
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www.collinseow
Member |
11-Jan-2008 08:34
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My personal view on the Singapore Stock market.2 cents worth. |
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Livermore
Master |
11-Jan-2008 07:28
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CHINA As growth slows in many developed economies, both companies and investors are looking beyond their borders in search of high growth opportunities. One of the most exciting and potentially rewarding areas of capital growth is China, the latest and greatest investment frontier for growth-oriented investors. The combination of China?s massive population and its focus on the modernization of the country?s infrastructure and technology, especially after its entry into the World Trade Organization (WTO) in December 2001, could prove to be the greatest investment opportunity of the 21 With a population in excess of 1.3 billion people and a surging middle class totaling about 300 million people with newfound wealth to spend, the market opportunities in China are extraordinary for companies looking to sell their goods and services. From former state-owned enterprises to startups and high growth companies, it is easy to understand the growth potential as reflected by China?s rapid GDP growth. Clearly, the 21 Foreign multinationals are jockeying for a piece of the action in China. Investment capital is continuing to flow into Chinese enterprises, ranging from auto manufacturers to textile plants to Internet and technology companies. This trend has been emerging over the course of the past few years and by all indications, the equity markets are now firmly convinced about the validity of China as a major global economic powerhouse. For investors looking for growth, look no further than China. st century. The government may rule with an iron fist under a communist political party system, but it has a clear agenda to establish a super economy and business climate that encourages entrepreneurship and material wealth. st century will see China become a dominant economic superpower.Where to Look for Growth At Numerous industries are experiencing stellar growth. Real estate is booming on inexpensive credit, and increased prosperity has fueled an increase in private consumption that is helping to drive the economy forward. There is definitely much growth potential and money to be made in China in the coming decades. This growth is not without cost. China is consuming the world?s commodities a torrid pace - turning oil, coal, plastics, and steel into the world?s consumer goods. To fuel the industrial growth, factories will continue to require more energy resources in the coming years. But due to limited resources within its own borders, China is looking to buy foreign oil companies as well as forming key strategic alliances with oil rich countries in places such as Africa and the Middle East. The sheer size of the population and the growth of the middle class will drive demand for energy including the massive shift from bicycles and public transportation to private vehicles. By 2010, China could have 90 times more automobiles than it did in 1990. The annual growth rate for automobiles is 19% and could surpass the number of automobiles in the U.S. by 2030, according to The Institute for the Analysis of Global Security. China will also see a rise in demand for the heating and powering of homes as more people buy real estate and move to cities where there are building booms to try to keep pace with the mass migration of people from rural to urban areas. China is currently the world?s second biggest user of oil at around 6.4 million barrels per day or about 32% the consumption of the U.S., according to the CIA World Factbook. In an attempt to alleviate the growing dependence on fossil fuels and promote a cleaner environment, the country has adopted a "Clean Energy Policy." For instance, China is encouraging the use of compressed natural gas (CNG) to power vehicles and natural gas for homes. Natural gas is one of the cleanest energy sources and one of China?s most abundant natural resources. The country?s annual consumption of natural gas is estimated to rise to 100 billion cubic meters by 2010 and 200 billion cubic meters by 2020 from the current 40 billion cubic meters, according to China?s 11th Five-Year Plan period (2006-2010). The consumption of liquefied natural gas (LNG) is also expected to be strong. In the technology area, there is exceptional growth. From consumer electronic goods to IT infrastructure development, China is a fertile market for companies. A key focus is strengthening the country?s technology infrastructure to world standards including the area of e-government services, which is predicted to be significant as the country industrializes and further develops into a major world economic power. Given that China only ranks 74th out of 191 countries in e-government spending, according to the United Nations, we believe there is ample room for growth. Growth Report, we are extremely bullish on numerous facets of the Chinese economy and believe growth opportunities for investors will be broadly based. But investors shouldn?t count on China?s growth alone to create fat profits. The secret is to ignore the hype, and pick the right industry at the right time, and for the right reasons. Too many investors fall into the trap of paying top dollar for companies that have enjoyed rapid and unsustainable growth, only to later realize that they are the in the last car of a roller coaster that is about to take the plunge. China should be near the top of every investor?s watch list and increasing exposure to investments in China should be a clear goal in the near term.Another area of superlative growth is mobile phones. There are currently more mobile phone users in China than there are people in the U.S. The size of the Chinese mobile phone market was an astounding 461 million subscribers in 2006, up 578% or 378 million users from 2005. Sales of mobile phones increased 40% to 120 million units in 2006 compared to a 25% global growth rate, according to the China Mobile Communications Association. In 2007, growth is expected to slow to 25% with 150 million units but it will remain ahead of the estimated global growth rate of 20%. Add in the upcoming launch of 3G mobile phones expected by the 2008 Beijing Olympics and you have tremendous growth opportunities in the area of mobile phones. The Chinese healthcare sector is also on the verge of extraordinary growth. With 1.3 billion people, the costs for healthcare could be staggering. That is why the country is focused on improving its healthcare system in an effort to make people healthier. From promoting the benefits of dairy products to traditional Chinese medicine and a growing market for medical devices and services, healthcare should play out as a major area of growth. The most impressive area of growth could prove to be the retail sector. Driven by rising income levels, a burgeoning middle class, and adopting a "shop until you drop" mentality, consumer spending is expected to accelerate in China. The Chinese government is encouraging wealth and spending. The retail sector in China has been on a significant uptrend. In 2006, the government lifted its tight regulatory hurdles on the ability of foreign retailers to enter into the Chinese market. With the relaxed policies, any foreign retailer wanting to expand into China will no longer be required to form a joint venture with local companies. On this note, over 1,000 applications submitted by foreign retailers have been approved, according to The Shanghai Foreign Investment Commission. |
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cyjjerry85
Elite |
11-Jan-2008 01:55
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tt's wad the stock market is all about...behind the dollar signs...it is in actual fact made up of humans! ![]() UOB Kayhian report: strongly believing in the 3300 support...well Thurs closing is at 3311...will we see a rebound from here~..... |
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synnexo
Veteran |
11-Jan-2008 01:50
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Nice article indeed. Its alright to lose a few battles to win the war...in practical quite difficult to attain as humans are emotional. |
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cashiertan
Elite |
10-Jan-2008 23:58
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Here is a great article from Inner Worth magazine that I wanted to pass on to you. Stay Calm, Relaxed, and Ready: Don't Crack Under Pressure Successful traders have learned how to make trades in a carefree, relaxed, and focused manner. They don't put unnecessary pressure on themselves, stress themselves out, and then crack under the pressure. They don't believe that they must succeed on any single trade; they keep their eye on the big picture. They don't believe they need to be right. They don't impose their will on the market. And they don't try to predict the future behavior of the market. Instead, they objectively observe market conditions, make a detailed plan of attack, and let the market take them where it wants them to go. They stay calm and relaxed, and ready to anticipate what will happen next. Successful traders enter "the zone" as Mark Douglas and others have described this peak performance mental state. Seasoned traders do not doubt or second-guess themselves. They freely enter and exist trades without worrying about the consequences. This carefree approach to trading allows them to see trading opportunities more easily and allows them to take advantage of these opportunities when they arise. Trading is a lot like playing sports. Players must stay objective, calm, and not crack under the strain of wanting to be "the best" or "perfect." Over the weekend, college football fans observed what happens when a team seems to be playing "so perfectly" that some say they are "unbeatable." All season long, the Oklahoma Sooners have been winning, and winning big. They were the only undefeated college football team, until Saturday night, when they lost by over three touchdowns to the Kansas State Wildcats. What's surprising about this loss is not that the Sooners lost, since even the best teams can lose occasionally. It was the way they lost and how they seemed to be defeated psychologically. After making their only touchdown in the early moments of the game, they seemed to be stunned and shaken for the rest of the game. They couldn't make even a single touchdown. It was unexpected and hard to believe. One commentator said it was like the bully who had never been beaten down. They knew how to win, but when upset and knocked down, they didn't know how to get back up. Sooners' Quarterback Jason White said, "They put pressure on us and got to us a few times." And as the clock ticked away, Kansas State made another touchdown, then another, and then another. As one announcer put it in the final minutes of the game, "They just want to lick their wounds and go home." From a purely psychological perspective, one can wonder what would have happened had the Sooners lost one of their first few games. Maybe they would have learned how to recover from a setback, and when they were down by a couple touchdowns, they could have easily come back to make the win. It's like what some hedge fund managers say about good traders: "The best traders are those who have blown out their accounts a few times. They know what it feels like, know how to recover from it, and the possibility doesn't haunt them anymore." Although it's unpleasant to think about, it's worth considering the worst-case scenario, and making a detailed plan to recover should it happen. It's just one strategy for learning how to trade in a carefree manner so that should you face a severe financial setback, you can recover from it. Trading in the zone requires intense concentration and focus, and it's difficult to maintain this stance when the pressure is on you to perform. Thus, you must do whatever you can to reduce the perceived psychological pressure. The most obvious way to relieve such pressure is to think in terms of probabilities and carefully manage risk. It's useful to remember that you may not win on any single trade, but after a series of trades, you will have enough winners to make a profit in the long run. It's also important to manage your risk. Determine your risk up-front and risk only a small amount of trading capital on a single trade. Doing so will ease a lot of the pressure, allowing you to be more open to see the opportunities that the market offers. Don't crack under the pressure of a potentially mortal financial defeat. Consider the possibility, and be ready to recover from it. Have a very profitable day! Dr. Jeff (Trade Secret Vids) |
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simck001
Senior |
10-Jan-2008 23:23
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I am allergic to RED these days. Please don't show me red paint, red ink, red font, red wine, red grapes or red light...... or I would get into shock and collapse. |
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shplayer
Elite |
10-Jan-2008 22:11
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singaporegal, If the 'community' did no have sufficient time to prepare for the transition, I think it would have been better to postpone the implementation date than to high handedly bulldoze ahead and cause this chaos. What happened today is a major disgrace to those responsible. |
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CWQuah
Master |
10-Jan-2008 22:03
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The new STI is more fund-house friendly, easier to replicate for Singapore-equity funds. Not to mention, much easier to 'manage'. I think there might be more volatility in future. Most of the shares in the new STI are expensive blue chips, typically beyond the reach of most retail investors. Try punting 10 lots of SGX hahah. So I'd expect it to be dominated by the sBBs and bigger institutions. BTW, Businesstimes site also gives 'realtime' STI index. But it still seems to lag SGX. Tried Yahoo Finance and a few other sites, none could give intraday charts. Sigh. SGX better fix it real fast... it's a big embarrassment to advertise so much in the papers and end up pissing off the trading population. |
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elfinchilde
Elite |
10-Jan-2008 21:43
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not sure if it's just me, but i think the new STI is not going to be fully representative of the general market. with only 30 component stocks, it becomes much easier to manipulate. and for ppl to check the general health of the market (sti as weathervane), it's not going to be fully relevant anymore; would do better to check the component index of your sector perhaps? on the plus side, it also means you have a sectorial guide as to which industry is doing better and which should be avoided... yah. troublesome; brokerage site didn't give index, had to go sgx site. hope they settle it soon... |
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singaporegal
Supreme |
10-Jan-2008 21:38
![]() Yells: "Female TA nut" |
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Agree. I think not enough time was given to the brokers to setup the system. One thing I don't understand is why SGX changed the STI? Isn't a stripped down STI with fewer constituents less useful than the previous one? |
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shplayer
Elite |
10-Jan-2008 21:31
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The transition was supposed to be seamless........what a BIG mess by SGX and their partners in integrating this new system. How to be a World Class financial center? |
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