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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
elfinchilde
Elite
30-Jun-2008 16:53     
 
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tactical analysis on soccer teams. ooh yea. rather than tactical analysis, it's statistical analysis. i had made all my bets at the outstart by buying the likely winners and the top of table for two groups. hedged it in such a way that 9 out of 13 outcomes were positive.

we can bet on F1 teams? *hhmmmmmm*

yuppers. think long term not short term (even if you're a scalper). wealth is built in years, not days.

what's the point of getting 100% return in one year, but losing 200% in the next two years? really, it's more *sense* to just go for 15-20% yoy.

remember always that trends can rarely be beaten, and those who do so are statistical anomalies. The best performing fund in history for a 20 year period is the Magellan fund. their returns? 25.4% pa.

So let's not be under any delusions of 100-200% returns consistently for decades. If you make 100% in a good year, time to lock it in as well as shut out the ego that tells ya you're wonderful/fabulous/incredible. nothing like pride to kill one's sharpness in the marketplace.

ooh. looks like we'll hit 150 before my 2 mths guess. hehe. wheeee.......Those twitching, think positive: "The best time to buy is when there's blood on the streets".   

cheers.
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Blastoff
Elite
30-Jun-2008 16:48     
 
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 Alert Admin 		That's not good...
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CWQuah
Master
30-Jun-2008 16:46     
 
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BTW, oil made a new high -142.74!
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AK_Francis
Supreme
30-Jun-2008 16:41     
 
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Yells: "Happy go lucky, cheers."
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yah man, now only clocks 0.85b. not much activities during the half an hr of show time.

don't waste time leow, sw off and give the man a tiger leow. Cheers.
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Blastoff
Elite
30-Jun-2008 16:28     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Volume pretty low, only around 830m.
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CWQuah
Master
30-Jun-2008 16:18     
 
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Looks like Elf also performs 'tactical' analysis on soccer teams hehehe! :-P

Maybe time to look at the F1 teams hahhahah!

Back to the markets - so much for window dressing. HSI, Nikkei nowhere near their opening levels. Still distribution mode.
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sthinvest
Member
30-Jun-2008 16:15     
 
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Oh, no such intention really but just sharing my thoughts and flow in the forum. 

Anyway, it's always good to learn from fellow forumers like you, be upgraded and wisely prepared. As we all know .. trading in this market is just like fighting a war. Really not for the uneqipped and ill prepared.

And yes, Spain deserve the trophy! :)



elfinchilde      ( Date: 30-Jun-2008 15:37) Posted:



hehe, thanks for the 'promotion', sthinvest. pls keep in mind tho that as individual investors, we're all responsible for our own decisions. no one can 100% predict the market afterall.

spain won!!! i had bets on them from the outstart. hehe.

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fivestar
Member
30-Jun-2008 15:53     
 
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 Alert Admin 		I've always been impressed in Elf's technical analysis on some counters. however I wish to hear from Elf. more analysis on macro economy basis and whole market trend... many thanks to Elf.

elfinchilde      ( Date: 30-Jun-2008 15:37) Posted:



hehe, thanks for the 'promotion', sthinvest. pls keep in mind tho that as individual investors, we're all responsible for our own decisions. no one can 100% predict the market afterall.

spain won!!! i had bets on them from the outstart. hehe.

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elfinchilde
Elite
30-Jun-2008 15:37     
 
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hehe, thanks for the 'promotion', sthinvest. pls keep in mind tho that as individual investors, we're all responsible for our own decisions. no one can 100% predict the market afterall.

spain won!!! i had bets on them from the outstart. hehe.
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AK_Francis
Supreme
30-Jun-2008 15:15     
 
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Yells: "Happy go lucky, cheers."
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 Alert Admin 		watching soccer till half time. 1:0 in favour of Spain. as DJ last Fri clocked down 106, didn't even sw on screen to do anything, went for breakfast till now. expected market will not not do well, leave it loh. surprisingly, STI sustained ah. good sign, but take care of profit taking loh, next few days.
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CheeryVGoh
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30-Jun-2008 14:55     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Got it! Many Thanks. Cheers!
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sthinvest
Member
30-Jun-2008 14:36     
 
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Not so nice to publish it leh.

Actually you can easily find it in this thread. Click Elf's past postings and it's just there. As usual, do your own research and go in within ur means. Happy investing!
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CheeryVGoh
Member
30-Jun-2008 14:30     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Hi Sthinvest, Could you share Elf's list of 6 stocks? Xie Xie!
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sthinvest
Member
30-Jun-2008 12:57     
 
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Thanks! Have been reading ARs and picking some under valued stocks recently. Market is so unpredictable and any major announcement or action from the big economies can very quickly change the scheme of things.. Your list is definitely on my radar. :)



elfinchilde      ( Date: 29-Jun-2008 18:13) Posted:

yuppers. keep cool, base your decisions on proper fundamentals and/or technicals, and shut out the white noise of the market.  

DCA at this point in time allows you to profit if a rebound occurs (since no one can tell when the real rebound will be); whilst if it goes down further, it offers the opportunity to buy good stocks at better valuations.

i believe i've named abt 6 stocks already on this thread previously. for those who have been reading and trying to find clues.   seriously though, those have FA backing. it's just keeping a clear mind and waiting for entry now. Patience is the name of the game. 

Pls read the ARs and make your own, informed decisions, based on your own temperament. What's meat for one man may be poison for another. As with always, remember: you fire the gun, you bite the bullet.  



sthinvest      ( Date: 29-Jun-2008 17:29) Posted:

Do agree with your assessment on back to value investment in this market. Doing  DCA while trying to find the bottom is way to go now. Many battered stocks are actually ready for picking..
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ozone2002
Supreme
30-Jun-2008 11:15     
 
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 Alert Admin 		after window dressin...markets will free falll...wwwheeeeeeeeeeeeee!!
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CWQuah
Master
30-Jun-2008 10:43     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Don't expect too much of the market. Odds are most funds actually liquidating again on rally.
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aleoleo
Master
30-Jun-2008 10:34     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Today is the last day for the first half -year, thus there will be a "window-dressing" for STI today. Hopefully afterlunch break, "window-dressing" effect will happen, lets see and pray !! Blue chips should up today....
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ozone2002
Supreme
30-Jun-2008 09:41     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Run up to Independence day rally
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tanglinboy
Elite
30-Jun-2008 09:28     
 
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I am very surprised to see STI up today. Another sign of BB playiing around?
 
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ozone2002
Supreme
30-Jun-2008 08:54     
 
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what????? nikkei up????? this is a joke..

more reason to short @ higher levels..
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