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UOB
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synnexo
Veteran |
28-Feb-2008 08:17
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Hmmm...that's not what someone else said. "Singapore is short of REAL talent, that is why we need to import more foreigners to lead us". |
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chinastar
Senior |
28-Feb-2008 07:49
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PM Lee has said that Singapore would be OK to have two local banks. Singapore is just a small country with great man. |
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Arbitrager
Senior |
27-Feb-2008 14:37
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UOB 4Q Net Down 5.7% On Higher Impairment Charges (2008/02/27 14:07PM)
SINGAPORE (Dow Jones)--United Overseas Bank Ltd. (U11.SG) said Wednesday that its fourth-quarter net profit fell 5.7% on higher impairment charges. Net profit for the period ended Dec. 31 was S$506 million, or S$1.31 a share, down from S$537 million, or S$1.38 a share, a year earlier. The bank said impairment charges for the quarter almost doubled to S$128 million. The charges included provisions related to UOB''s collateralized-debt-obligation portfolio of not more than S$61 million. The CDO portfolio stood at S$388 million as of Sept. 30. The company didn''t provide a year-end figure. The net-profit result was lower than the average estimate of S$510 million by analysts polled by Dow Jones Newswires. The estimate included CDO-related losses of up to about S$56 million. Net interest income in the fourth quarter was S$743 million, up 5.9% from S$702 million a year earlier and higher than the S$730 million expected by analysts. The bank said net lending increased 20.5% to S$92.7 billion as of Dec. 31. Singapore''s second-largest bank by market capitalization said the net interest margin was 1.94% for the quarter, down from 1.99% a year ago, but up slightly from 1.93% in the third quarter. Singapore banks posted robust loan growth last year amid booming construction and property markets. Analysts have said, however, lending won''t be as robust in 2008 given the global credit turmoil. "The net interest margin number for UOB was disappointing," said Kim Eng analyst Pauline Lee. "It is the lowest compared with Singapore''s two other local banks, and might be showing some sign of structure weakness," she added. In the statement, UOB Chief Executive Wee Ee Cheong said 2008 "looks set to be a challenging year." Non-interest income was S$532 million, up 2.9% from last year''s S$517 million, and higher than the S$324 million estimated by analysts. UOB said higher fee and commission income helped offset lower trading and investment income from higher mark-to-market losses on its investment portfolio. The bank posted a 47% drop in net gains from trading activities to S$25 million for the quarter. It also recorded a S$29 million loss from the fair value of financial instruments, swinging from a gain of S$23 million a year earlier. UOB declared total dividends for the year of 73.7 Singapore cents, down from 81.2 cents a year earlier. -By Patricia Kowsmann, Dow Jones Newswires; 65 6415 4157; patricia.kowsmann@dowjones.com |
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Arbitrager
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27-Feb-2008 14:24
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Pinnacle
Master |
29-Nov-2007 08:29
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Deutsche Bank raises UOB to "buy" from "hold" SINGAPORE, Nov 29 (Reuters) - Deutsche Bank has raised its rating on shares of United Overseas Bank "We believe the current volatility in the share market could see investors pay a premium for companies such as UOB that have an established track record," said Deutsche Bank in a client note. Deutsche Bank maintained UOB's price target of S$23.20. |
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Pinnacle
Master |
31-Oct-2007 14:51
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CITI - Buy: 3Q07 Mgmt Briefing ? Mortgage Outlook Still Strong Buy/Low Risk 1L Price (30 Oct 07) S$21.50 Target price S$24.00 Expected share price return 11.6% Expected dividend yield 2.9% Expected total return 14.5% Market Cap S$32,761M US$22,553M Maintain forecasts, target S$24 ? UOB 9M07 profit S$1,603m was 74% of FY07 estimates but 3Q profit S$501m (-14%qoq) was disappointing. We maintain forecasts as mgmt guided that much of the mark-to-market losses in 3Q were likely one-off and underlying mortgage growth is firm, suggesting a better core performance in 4Q. Margins are now our key 2008E forecast risk. Margins down 11bps qoq to 193bps ? Mgmt cited a combination of translation impacts from regional businesses in SGD terms (underlying loan spreads in source currencies being relatively stable) and the placement of excess funds in shorter maturity paper and hence lower yielding assets. CDO charge S$20m + S$46m MTM to equity reserves ? With past provisions of S$34m, about S$100m cumulatively has been taken against CDO exposures. One-third of these charges relate to the S$90m ABS (sub prime) CDO book. There have been no defaults in any of the S$388m CDO holdings. The ABCP vehicle is being wound up and should be completed by year end. Mortgage growth +21% yoy ? UOB continued to be ahead of peers in mortgage growth. Mgmt felt that while removal of deferred payment schemes may impact near-term sentiment, underlying fundamentals and demand remained strong. UOB might see less market share gains as the mass market picks up, but its focus mid-affluent private segment demand remains robust. |
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Pinnacle
Master |
31-Oct-2007 14:47
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Goldman Sachs - Weak 3Q07 rescued by write-backs; earnings, TP lowered, Neutral What's changed UOB?s 3Q07 net profit of S$501mn (-14% qoq, +8% yoy) is 6% above our forecast of S$471mn on lower-than-expected CDO-related provisions of S$20mn (and S$46mn against equity directly) vs. our forecast of S$89mn. Underlying earnings momentum is weaker than our already cautious expectations: (1) NIM -11bp qoq to 1.9%, mainly due to adverse FX movement, shortened duration of its treasury book, and lower loan yield (-38bp qoq to 5.46%); (2) a worse-than-expected hit to treasury income (-72% qoq, -65% yoy); (3) sequential decline (-3% qoq) in fee income across the board. Key positives: Loan growth of 3% qoq and 14% yoy (though lower than DBS?s 6%/23%), very low credit cost of S$4mn or 2bp of avg loans due to substantial write-backs and improvement in asset quality. Implications We recommend investors trim exposure to UOB in the short term, as we expect near-term share price pressure from (1) consensus earnings downgrade ? we lowered our already below-consensus FY07E/08E net profit forecasts by 0.2%/5%, which are now 3%/9% below consensus on (i) protracted NIM contraction (-3bp yoy in 08E and flat in 09E) with sustained margin pressure in its regional op, flat yield curve, and strengthening SGD (GS economists expect SGD to strengthen 5% against major regional currencies in 08E), (ii) vulnerability to capital mkt weakness, and (iii) sustained cost pressure; (2) Govt?s anti-speculative property measure(s) and UOB mgmt?s increasingly cautious stance on Singapore property prices could crimp its 08E loan growth. Valuation We lowered our 12-month target price by 7% to S$21 on 1.8X revised 08E P/B with 14.7X revised 08E P/E. Key risks Upside risks ? NIM recovery, better cost controls. Downside risks ? US stagflation, further property regulatory tightening, regional political risks. |
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Pinnacle
Master |
31-Oct-2007 11:55
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Pinnacle
Master |
31-Oct-2007 10:14
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2 days FOMC will end tonight. Before DJ close, the report should be out. If Fed rate is cut, every market will cheong, at least for the next few days. If rate is not cut, then god bless every market. |
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Pinnacle
Master |
31-Oct-2007 10:10
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DBS Vickers - Healthy growth but mitigated by NIM squeeze Buy S$21.50; Price Target : 12-month S$ 27.50 Story: UOBs 3Q07 results were below our expectations purely due to larger than expected NIM squeeze during the quarter. Separately, additional provisions of S$20m were made during the quarter for its CDO investments, while another S$46m was made for mark-to-market losses against reserves. Point: NIM was hit due to lower interbank rates coupled with SGD appreciation, causing forex translation losses. We note that there was no change to UOBs CDO position as compared to the last quarter. Total CDO investments by the Group remain at S$388m, of which S$90m are in ABS CDOs. The remaining S$298m are in Corporate CDOs, of which S$101m are due to mature by March 2008. Relevance: Maintain Buy with target price unchanged at S$27.50. Despite a lower NIM for the quarter, we note that NIM for 9M07 was 2.05%, which is marginally below our full year estimate of 2.08%. We believe that UOB would be able to weather out further NIM squeeze with stronger growth in low cost deposits. We understand that there could be upside to NIM in 4Q07 depending on the management of loans and deposits. |
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jasonfaxingliu
Senior |
31-Oct-2007 09:43
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when'll be the anouncement of rate cut (Singapore time) and if it anounce negative before DJ close tonight what will be DJ index and next day Singapore index? likewise, if interest rate cut, what'll be DJ and Singaproe index? | ||||||||||||||
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Pinnacle
Master |
31-Oct-2007 09:37
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Depending on whether Fed will cut rate tonight. If they don't cut, the market is going to be very bloody. |
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jasonfaxingliu
Senior |
31-Oct-2007 09:32
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so is 21.30 now a good buy? what will be the trend today and tomorrow? high $ ? low $? | ||||||||||||||
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Pinnacle
Master |
31-Oct-2007 09:28
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CIMB - UOB (S$21.50) - 3QFY07 results - Poor results on weak NII & trading Below expectations. 3Q07 net profit (S$501m) was 12% below our expectations (S$572m) and consensus (S$569m). CDO-related losses (S$20m) were not huge but core earnings trend was surprisingly weak. Margins in particular, showed a significant contraction while loan growth momentum slowed. Trading income was unexpectedly low. 3Q ROE dipped to a disappointing 11.9% (2Q: 13.9%). Interest income was 6% lower qoq. Loan growth (+3.3% qoq) was decent, but not spectacular. Mortgage still drove loans though slower regional loans (Thailand and Indonesia) plus some slowdown in OECD loans (Singapore ACU loans) meant a deceleration in loan growth momentum. Loan growth was far from being the main disappointment, margins was the culprit. NIMs surprisingly contracted 11bps, partly from exchange translation impact (weaker regional currencies vs. S$) and partly from a flight to safety as UOB migrated to shorter-term investments to seek shelter from volatile market conditions. We portray the impact in Figure 1. UOB guides that they have since lengthened the duration of their portfolio though this is done on a measured way as they are still cautious. Margin pressures are expected to remain in Thailand and Indonesia though the lending environment is healthier in Singapore. Non interest income dragged down by poor trading quarter. Non-interest income declined 27% qoq. Fees were relatively unaffected in 3Q but trading income did poorly as losses from derivative hedges more than offset portfolio gains. Management guides that 4Q trading income should recover from 3Q lows. Costs were well controlled, CDO impact low. Costs (-3% qoq) were capped in relatively poor quarter but weak topline pushed up the cost ratio to 44% (2Q:39%). CDO charges were only S$20m, more than made up for by Singapore SP write-backs. NPL ratio declined to 2.3% (2Q: 4.6%), reflecting a benign environment. Cut FY07-09 EPS by 1-3%. We trim our EPS on lower margin assumptions. Maintain Neutral rating and S$22.40 target price. We roll forward to an end CY08 target price. Our target P/BV, based on Gordon Growth (ROE 13.2%, COE 8.9%, growth 4.2%) is brought down from 2.0x to 1.9x. Applying our valuation target onto our FY08 BV leaves our S$22.40 target price unchanged. We see UOB?s caution reflected in 3Q results but that same prudence has dragged down short-term core earnings somewhat, producing a report card that will not trigger outperformance. |
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Pinnacle
Master |
31-Oct-2007 08:55
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Phillip Securities Shares 1523.7m Market Cap. S$32.8b Trailing P/NAV 1.98x Forward 2007 P/NAV 1.84x PER 16.6x 52-week Price Range 17.50-24.20 52-week P/NAV Range 1.61x-2.23x Listing Bourse SGXMainboard Major Shareholders Wee Investments 7.28%; Wah Hin & Co, 5.3% Net earnings was down by 14.3% to S$501m (+8.2% yoy, -14.3% qoq, 2Q07: S$585m), due to lower interest income and lower trading and investment income resulted from MTM losses from widening credit spreads. Net interest income rose to S$714m (+4.4% yoy, -6.2% qoq, 2Q07: S$761m) driven by higher loans volume but partially offset by lower contributions from money market activities. Interest margins dipped to 1.93% (3Q06: 1.97%, 2Q07: 2.04%) as the bank shifts its investment to shorter term assets. Non-interest income decreased to S$393m (+16.6% yoy, -26.7% qoq, 2Q07: S$536m) over the quarter due to lower trading and investment income, which was a result of MTM losses due to widening credits spreads triggered by the US sub-prime crisis. Expenses decreased to S$487m (+14.8% yoy, -3.4% qoq, 2Q07: S$504m) due to lower provision for bonuses. Cost to income ratio declined to 44.0% (3Q06: 41.6%, 2Q07: 38.9%) ROE and ROA decreased to 11.9% (3Q06: 12.1%, 2Q07: 13.9%) and 1.18% (3Q06: 1.18%, 2Q07: 1.38%) this quarter respectively. Diluted EPS excluding onetime items, dipped to S$1.29 (3Q06: S$1.18, 2Q07: S$1.50) while net book value declined to S$10.84 (3Q06: S$9.89, 2Q07: S$10.95) as well. This quarter?s lackluster results had caused us to adjust our earnings downwards to S$2.2b and S$2.5b for 2007 and 2008 respectively. Net interest income slid for two consecutive quarters made us realize that interest income and interest margins could have peaked in the first quarter. Thus, we are setting UOB?s target price to S$23.30, 1.87x FY08 NAV based on our Gordon growth model. Maintain Hold. |
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singaporegal
Supreme |
30-Oct-2007 21:58
Yells: "Female TA nut" |
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UOB's TA charts look slightly bearish with Acc/Dist and Chaikin dropping slightly. | ||||||||||||||
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Pinnacle
Master |
30-Oct-2007 14:45
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Singapore's UOB Q3 net up 8.2 pct, below expected United Overseas Bank Loans grew at a double-digit pace fuelled by a property and construction boom, but the bank said it suffered from a lower contribution from interbank money market trading, a stronger Singapore dollar and mark-to-market losses on debt securities. "The negative impact should reverse once the market regains confidence or when the debt securities mature," it said. The bank reported net profit of S$501 million ($345.3 million) for the July-September period, up from S$463 million a year ago, but lower than a mean forecast of S$516 million by five analysts polled by Reuters Estimates. "The market is undergoing a volatile period, but the impact of the credit volatility on our core business is minimal," Chief Executive Wee Ee Cheong said in a statement. "We will ride out this uncertain period and continue to focus on building our core business," he said. Investor hopes for a better result were raised last week after DBS Group Holdings "We remain positive on Singapore banks, given the prospects for loan growth, generally stable margins, exposure to regional economies, and reasonable valuations," said Sanjay Jain, a banking analyst at Credit Suisse, in a client note on Monday ahead of the result. "Key risk is a sharp slowdown or a recession in the United States." UOB, which had a smaller direct exposure to risky debt compared to DBS, made provisions for its exposure to collateralised debt obligations (CDOs) in the second quarter and July. MARK-TO-MARKET LOSSES The bank announced more mark-to-market losses in the third quarter. It made another S$20 million worth of provisions against its CDO investments of S$388 million. In addition it made another S$46 million of mark-to-market provision against its reserves. UOB's lending grew 15.6 percent, at a slower pace than DBS, which reported 23 percent loan growth in third quarter from a year earlier. UOB's net interest income rose 4.4 percent to S$714 million, while non-interest income, which includes commissions and fees, grew 16.5 percent. An analyst at an investment bank said the net interest income showed a "disappointing" increase compared to DBS, which saw a 15 percent jump in net interest income in the third quarter. UOB, controlled by its chairman Wee Cho Yaw and his family, is considered the leader in the loan market for small and medium businesses and benefited from Singapore's strong economic growth. UOB shares have risen faster than its rivals in the last quarter when banks were hit by concerns over CDO exposure. UOB rose 0.5 percent in the third quarter, compared to DBS which fell 5.3 percent, while OCBC dropped 2.7 percent. Before the latest result, UOB had been expected to report net profit of S$2.15 billion for the full-year ending December, down almost 18 percent from S$2.57 billion in 2006 when earnings were boosted by one-off gains, according to a consensus mean of 19 analysts polled by Reuters Estimates. |
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Pinnacle
Master |
30-Oct-2007 13:24
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Singapore's UOB Q3 net profit up 8.2 pct, below expected Singapore's second-biggest lender by assets, United Overseas Bank The bank reported net profit of S$501 million ($345.3 million) for the July-September period, up from S$463 million a year ago, but lower than a mean forecast of S$516 million by five analysts polled by Reuters Estimates. The bank said that trading and investment income was hurt by mark-to-market losses from widening credit spreads triggered by the U.S. subprime crisis. Investor were hoping for a better result after DBS Group Holdings UOB, which had a smaller direct exposure to risky debt compared to DBS, made provisions for its exposure to collateralised debt obligations (CDOs) in the second quarter and July. It made another S$20 million worth of provisions against its CDO investments of S$388 million. In addition it made another S$46 million of mark-to-market provision against its reserves. UOB, controlled by its chairman Wee Cho Yaw and his family, is considered the leader in the loan market for small and medium businesses and has benefited from Singapore's strong economic growth. Shares of UOB have risen faster than its rivals in the last quarter when Singapore banks were hit by concerns over exposure to CDOs. UOB rose 0.5 percent in the third quarter, compared to DBS which fell 5.3 percent while OCBC dropped 2.7 percent. |
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mirage
Veteran |
26-Oct-2007 11:52
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DBS Vickers Research has a 12-mth target price of $27.50. Overweight rating for UOB. http://www.remisiers.org/research//Sgbank251007%20dbs.pdf |
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mirage
Veteran |
10-Oct-2007 09:11
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UOB is up 20 cts to $22.90 today, it trading between $22.80 to $22.90 today. UOB is moving up slowly but surely. | ||||||||||||||
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