Latest Forum Topics / LabroyMar | Post Reply |
Look out for this stock
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iPunter
Supreme |
05-Dec-2006 21:39
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The date is 6 Nov 2006 |
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iPunter
Supreme |
05-Dec-2006 21:35
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Tomorrow is a very important day in the progress of this stock. From indications on an olde-style TA chart, it is evident that it has arrived at a point where a 'decision' will be made. But it is rather hard to tell which way prices will head from here in the coming weeks. Much will depend on the price action tomorrow. 1.81, which is today's closing for this stock, will be the reference point. Any change in price from this reference point of 1.81 is significant. If its opening registers 1.81, one still needs to wait to see in which direction prices will go. If it heads downwards ie. to 1.80/1.79, that is can be the beginning of a downward move in the coming weeks. If it moves upwards from 1.81, ie. to 1.82/1.83, chances are good it will head in that same direction in the coming weeks. This is why tomorrow, Wed 5 Nov 2006 is so important. |
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shplayer
Elite |
05-Dec-2006 21:31
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singaporegal, thanks |
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shplayer
Elite |
05-Dec-2006 21:30
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Sorry, hit the wrong button. Lets start again. FA on Labroy Labroy has 4 core businesses:
Current price - $1.81 NTA - 30 Sep 06 - 34.22cts EPS - FY 2005 - 6.58ct-------YTD 2006 - 6.5ct. Forecast EPS FY 2006 - 8.5cts (est) P/E - based on Fcst 2006 - 21.3x Div - 2005 - 2.2cts------2006 (fcst) - 2.8 to 3.0 cts. Yield - based on fcst 2006 - 1.55% (not generous) With P/E at 21.3x, seems abit pricey to me unless there is growth potential in the next few years. Take a look at 2006 Q on Q eps 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 2.27cts 2.0 cts 2.23cts 2.3cts?..=> no growth From the above data, it seems that Labroy is facing the same capacity problems as other cos in this industry. see my threads on 'Sembmar - collapsing margins'. In this case, I think their constraint is more due to lack of suitable manpower rather than yard space (they've got lots of space in Batam.). Conclusion - In my opinion, this counter is fully priced at this level....unless mgmt is able prove they can increase output or there is an upturn in the shipping business in 2007. |
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singaporegal
Supreme |
05-Dec-2006 20:51
Yells: "Female TA nut" |
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Hi shplayer, Regarding your TA on this, I read the bollinger bands to be very tight. Sudden price change might happen soon. Direction of change can be told by other charts like Acc/Dist, Chaikin and RSI. Seems like there's a bias towards the south direction. BTW, I don't use MAs because they're a lagging indicator. |
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shplayer
Elite |
05-Dec-2006 20:48
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Labroy has 4 core businesses:
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IreneL
Senior |
04-Dec-2006 21:51
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Hi shplayer Many thanks for the willingness to do an FA on this counter. I have noticed that its price has been heading north these past few months. As I have missed out then, may want to buy/hold if the fundamentals are really good. Right now I feel the price is rather steep, and unless the FA and TA shows otherwise, I may wait awhile longer before entering. Hope your analysis comes in this week as I will be away the whole of next week. Much appreciated. |
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hippoo
Member |
04-Dec-2006 21:45
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Thanks! |
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shplayer
Elite |
04-Dec-2006 17:24
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hippoo, This counter not on my radar screen....but will do an FA and let you know in a day or so. |
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hippoo
Member |
04-Dec-2006 17:14
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Hi shplayer, Since you are a FA expert, can you also comment on the FA for this stock. Personally, i feel that the marine industry is still doing well.And LabMarine has been winning contracts over the last few rounds. For medium to long term, can keep this stock. |
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shplayer
Elite |
04-Dec-2006 14:28
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From the charts, in my novice TA opnion, I think its more likely to trend down in the short term because:
Appreciate opinions from TA gurus. TKS |
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hippoo
Member |
04-Dec-2006 14:11
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From TA point of view, the Bollinger bands are really tight, chaikin is slowly moving up. Acc/Dist although low, may be turning. If it burst with good volume and with price going up, can consider. |
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