Latest Forum Topics / COSCO SHP SG Last:0.135 -0.002 | Post Reply |
CoscoCorp
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pharoah88
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16-Apr-2010 09:50
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Sembcorp Marine: Buy S$4.40 , Bloomberg: SMM SP Profiting from sale of CJ70 jackup Price Target : 12-month S$ 5.60 (Prev S$ 5.25) By: Janice CHUA +65 6398 7954 Jeremy THIA +65 6398 7974 · Seadrill exercises option to buy CJ70 jackup from SMM. · This sale estimated to add S$105m to SMM’s bottom line over FY10/11. · FY10/11F raised by 5% and 13%; factoring in sale of jack up and upward revision in Cosco Corp’s earnings. · Maintain BUY, TP raised to $5.60. Seadrill exercises option to acquire SMM’s CJ70 jackup. Seadrill announced that it has exercised its option to buy a CJ70 design jackup rig. This comes just two days after it revealed that it had entered into an option agreement with SMM to buy it. This was contingent on Seadrill’s ability to secure a long term charter for the rig, which has just materialized. The jackup is presently under construction at SMM’s Jurong Shipyard (JSY), with expected delivery date at end 1Q2011. Boost to SMM earnings. To recap, the CJ70 jackup is a high spec, harsh environment jackup rig originally being built for Petroprod, prior to having its newbuilding contract terminated by JSY as milestone payments were not received. As SMM has collected 50% of the initial contract value of US$442m from Petroprod but has not picked up any profits, there is significant upside from this sale. Based on the sale price of US$350m (excludes owner furnished equipment) we estimate this would add c. S$36m and S$69m to SMM’s FY10/11 net profit forecasts. Beneficiary of recovery in Cosco’s earnings. We have also raised Cosco Corp’s net earnings by 6% for 2010 and 44% for 2011, on the back of an expected influx of orders from the offshore sector. YTD, Cosco has secured US$600m worth of contracts from offshore and shipbuilding sectors, reversing the trend of a decline in order book. SMM’s FY10/11 earnings forecasts are hence raised by 5% and 13% to account for the sale of the jackup and SMM’s 30% stake in Cosco Shipyard Group Target price raised to S$5.60. Our SOTP valuation for SMM is raised to $5.60 (prev S$5.25), implying a 16x PE on FY10 earnings. Potential catalysts include 1) new offshore contract wins for SMM, specifically the award of Petrobras’ tenders in 3Q10, 2) new contracts for Cosco Corp, and 3) smooth execution on its shipbuilding order book. |
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ozone2002
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16-Apr-2010 09:35
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take profit or cut loss for contra traders those hold long term can wait..
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i780samsung
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16-Apr-2010 07:41
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is it not dangerous to short this one now, since it is still in CD till next week? some fraction of buyers may only bought this for dividend and long term investment. | ||||
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178investors
Veteran |
15-Apr-2010 22:45
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happy for those who sold yesterday... today we use our yesterday profits to short and profit some. tomorrow, this stock likely gap down so hope all who profited from the upmoves and use your profits to short for more profits. expect to see cosco retrace downward correction in coming sessions to 1.60 and lower may be.\ huat ah!
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maxcty
Master |
15-Apr-2010 22:07
Yells: "always a learning day for me in trading" |
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wow...then pity those who got it at 1.84 today~~ | ||||
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ozone2002
Supreme |
15-Apr-2010 21:57
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big down bar on large vol..forming an island formation after breakaway gaps.. time to sell.. protect ur profits rather than let it be eroded by the market look out for exhaustion gaps.. DYODD.. |
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nickyng
Supreme |
15-Apr-2010 18:59
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aya....today general mkt is down lah! :P
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iwonder
Veteran |
15-Apr-2010 17:22
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A wise call indeed.!
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jke6312
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15-Apr-2010 17:02
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this counter has gone up from 1.25 on 30 Mar to 1.84 yesterday....sure will come down...do not rush in to buy...the sky is not the limit | ||||
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JJSeng
Senior |
15-Apr-2010 16:00
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Haha .....the ship had turn back for u to board lah...
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iwonder
Veteran |
15-Apr-2010 14:33
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You are right......but I missed the 1.75 train ...have to get onboard at 1.77........waiting for first target at $2.00
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pharoah88
Supreme |
15-Apr-2010 12:56
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NEWS today Thursday April 15, 2010 page 2Growth forecast conservative: Analysts They project 7.5% to 9.5% growth, optimistic about wages and jobs Millet Enriquez emelita@mediacorp.com.sg SINGAPORE On-year gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 13.1 per cent was the highest in 16 years, and with such a spectacular showing coming out of last year’s recession, analysts believe the economy can hit 8-percent growth for the full year — even if the rest of the quarters record disappointing growth. Some felt the Government’s latest revised forecast was still too conservative. IMR Robert Prior-Wandesforde, senior Asian economist with HSBC in Singapore, said growth could average 9.1 per cent; Mr David Cohen, Action Economics’ director of economic forecasting for Asia, cited 9.5 per cent. The strong showing will also translate into more jobs and lead unemployment levels to fall to below the 2 per cent level, resulting in technical “full employment” this year, the private sector economists said. The services sector, which accounts for about 68 per cent of total employment here, is expected to be the main beneficiary. OCBC Bank’s head of Treasury Research and Strategy Unit, Ms Selena Ling, said: “With the integrated resorts coming onstream, demand for tourism-related manpower is expected to increase significantly.” She also expects companies to adjust wages and bonuses to reflect the improved economic conditions, estimating nominal wage growth to be about 4 per cent on-year. Better job prospects are already apparent in the manufacturing sector, the economy’s star performer with 139 per cent on-quarter growth in the first three months. Mr Renny Yeo, president of the Singapore Manufacturers’ Federation, said some of its members are already hiring but cautioned the spree could be curbed by the rising labour costs and the Government’s plans to tighten its foreign worker levy policy. Still, analysts reckon the spectacular growth in the manufacturing sector, which was supported by the biomedical and electronics sector, may not be sustainable. “At some stage, the restocking momentum will also start to fade off,” said Mr Kit Wei Zheng, economist at Citigroup. DBS economist Irvin Seah agreed and said he expects a pullback in the pharmaceutical sector due to the industry’s volatile nature. Going forward, the services sector will likely become the economy’s new star performer as it is poised for record growth, economists said. “Export orientated industries will also continue to benefit from the extremely strong and, in my view, sustainable recovery in the regional trade cycle,” said HSBC’s Prior Wandesforde. — After the first quarter’s stunning performance, private sector economists are now revising their growth forecast up for the year to between 7.5 per cent and 9.5 per cent, a tad higher than the Government’s revised projections announced yesterday. |
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pharoah88
Supreme |
15-Apr-2010 11:45
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TEMASEK MAJOR SHAREHOLDER
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pharoah88
Supreme |
15-Apr-2010 11:42
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what is the Total number of shares held by TEMASEK ? sEEms LiKE TEMASEK WiLL appointment a DiRECTOR On COSCO BOARD
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pharoah88
Supreme |
15-Apr-2010 11:40
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S$1.75 CHERRIES EXCELLENT PICKINGS |
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pharoah88
Supreme |
15-Apr-2010 11:33
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THANKS
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AK_Francis
Supreme |
15-Apr-2010 10:08
Yells: "Happy go lucky, cheers." |
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STI lose steam, margin gain now ard 7.25, dropping fr high of 18.23 early trading. Ha ha, must use something to knock my head liao. At kopitiam, broker quietly mentioned ds burger week plus ago, while its px was ard 1.35. As I hv dumpped my Yzjiang earlier, hence no confi to acq ds burger, instead buying Innotek. Liao Chou ah. Am wanted to chase DBS at 15.60 pre-Q. Heng ah, near miss at 15.62. Later withdraw loh, not cheap counter, run road. |
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nickyng
Supreme |
15-Apr-2010 10:01
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is this my SHORT signal ? hee.... :P |
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joseah
Member |
15-Apr-2010 09:38
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Losing momentum .... at 1.77 now... |
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iwonder
Veteran |
14-Apr-2010 22:09
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Just to update on this counter: Temasek annouced today that they have accumulated another 1.4 mil shares on 9 April 2010, on the back of earlier purchase on 8 April 2010.
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