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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
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foucs6900
Senior |
10-Aug-2009 12:45
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Look likes Japan, Hong kong and Malaysia are having green tea seesion........oni SSE is at the border line...................hope tmr is our turn bah..........cheong for us STI................ | ||||
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iPunter
Supreme |
10-Aug-2009 12:13
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Joseph Prince, and numerous other enterprising leaders of mega churches , are making tons of money with their efforts, Just like MLM people getting converts exponentially... very lucrative in this world... hehehe..
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hahalol
Member |
10-Aug-2009 12:11
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http://www.potatohahalol.blogspot.com/ |
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cheongwee
Elite |
10-Aug-2009 11:58
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The truth shall prevail....a loss is still a loss...no matter whats... otherwise, where come subprime...where come market crashes....faith cannot save the world.. Even with one thousand Joseph Prince preaching...abt faith in God to save the market.. a loss is still a loss..it will come to grief.. faith must be backup with solid data, no make up, like changes to rule....no...no...no. this is call fake faith....fake hope..end game.. |
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jasonsg
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10-Aug-2009 11:19
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Does truth matters? No. Does loss matters? No. what matters, Faith! they change the accounting rules, people have faith, everybody will win in future. | ||||
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cheongwee
Elite |
10-Aug-2009 10:51
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July 26, 2009
Posted: 1052 GMT
LONDON, England – Last week when I appeared on CNN to talk about earnings, I raised the issue of the quality of the U.S earnings.
Wall Street gains sent the Dow above 9,000 points for the first time since January.
Investors have been pushing stocks higher fueled by better than expected earnings. The Dow broke through 9,000 for first time since January, while the S&P 500 has shot up 11 percent in the past two weeks. The U.S. earnings season has fueled a global rally. But are investors getting too euphoric? If you look at the revenue side of the earnings, not all is well. Take the 143 companies in the S&P 500 who reported last week. Revenues actual fell on average 10 percent from the same period a year ago, according to Bloomberg data. Steven Ricchiuto, chief economist at Mizuo Securities USA hit the nail on the head when he spoke about the divergence between earnings and revenues. “We know companies are cutting costs at a record pace, and that is helping earnings. But you can’t keep on shrinking your way to profitability. Eventually, you do damage to your end users. You have to get revenues up to have a sustainable upturn.” David Rosenberg, chief economist and strategist at Gluskin Sheff, echoed similar sentiments when quoted by the Financial Times. “Earnings may be beating low-balled estimates for the majority of S&P 500 companies, but there is no questioning the fact that we are also seeing a sustained decline in revenues.” “What we are still witnessing is a trading opportunity rather than a fundamental shift in the outlook. We must take into account what the risks are going to be once the buying momentum is lost,” he added. The bottom line is that companies can’t indefinitely cut costs, they need to get revenues moving higher. But every time they shed a job, that means one less consumer spending as much money in the economy, undermining the prospects for recovery, which in turn of course, hurts companies earnings prospects. In a research note this month, the economist Nouriel Roubini sounded a note of caution. “Expectations of corporate earnings will have to be downgraded again. Demand will be weak, most prices will be falling, and companies will therefore have little pricing power and their profit margins will remain squeezed. The expectation that in these conditions profits will rebound strongly is quite far-fetched.” Roubini is worth listening to, because he’s the guy who predicted the credit mess. As I’ve written many times before, any sustainable recovery is still far away. But for now, investors aren’t too concerned why companies are beating earnings expectations; that they are is enough. A closer analysis might make investors a little less euphoric. Do you agree or disagree? Posted by: Financial Analyst, Todd Benjamin |
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cheongwee
Elite |
10-Aug-2009 10:09
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tonite no market moving report at Wall st...
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iPunter
Supreme |
10-Aug-2009 09:54
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There are as many fund as there are retail traders... But in any case, the market may also fall back on Tuesday... then it's even more healthy, since the markets have proven resilient in the last few days ... ![]() |
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cheongwee
Elite |
10-Aug-2009 01:59
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Tuesday morning may be OK, but i am afraid fund will use this opportunity to sell again..in the afternoon....hope not. | ||||
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cheongwee
Elite |
10-Aug-2009 01:41
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I thk all those profit are questionable, and i am bullish nw till late summer...but i thk market will see a new low in 2010.. i know u dont like it, but i just like to bring to your attn...and warn you that.crises is far from over.... trillion dollars losses in global stock market cannot be make good in 2 yrs...just cannot make sense.. |
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iPunter
Supreme |
10-Aug-2009 00:43
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Yup... As the saying goes... the stock market leads the economy... When people are shivering when they merely hear the word 'stocks' mentioned, when thoughts of prolonged recession looms in every corner of the land, the market usually rallies in the face of mass cynicism as it rises some more... _________________________ "The Genie Tutorials" |
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samloh28
Member |
09-Aug-2009 18:09
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From the past 20 years' statistics, for every peak STI made, it would fall and came back strongly to surpase its previous peak. The previous peak of about 3900 would be surpassed in the next 6 to 12 months, if we go along with the previous history. Going back to some history in terms of months, STI surges from 1450 in March 2009 to 2550 today. The Stocks market commencment of rise or bulld run usually is about 6 months ahead of the good news. Now is only the beginning of economic growth or to be more precise, is the prelude to the beginning of growth. If we have followed USA's news in the past 3 weeks, the majority of news 80% are upbeat and good news, pointing to almost certainty of growth in 2nd half of 2009, and may come as early as 3rd quarter 2009. The most prominent good news occured on 31 July 2009, where the growth is -1% for 2nd quarter, contrary to most economists' view of -1.5%, good news indeed. The other very good news occured on 7 Aug 2009, when the USA unemployment dropped 0.1% to 9.4%, instead of the prediction of advancement of 0.1% to unemployment to 9.6%. These are good news which push the DOW jones strongly in the past 3 weeks and along with it pushes German, French, UK's stocks to its highest growth this year. What I am trying to say is now, it is not even growth yet. When the grow starts to register in USA in 3rd quarter 2009, it may likely to push DOW to its previous peak. Likewise in Singapore, we are talking about -4 to -6% growth and stocks had surged more than 1000 points. The major or real BULL run will come when USA starts to grow in 3rd quarter 2009 and Singapore economy will benefit from it. And it is highly possible that STI will surge past 4000 points, with the economy registering healthy growth in 2010. And the companies will show normal P/E ratio of 15 to 20. Just to have some patience. There will be corrections along the way, but overall the trend, based on the world economy recovery, it is pointing to bull run. If there are no corrections along the way, how are the big boys going to make delta profits ? |
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foucs6900
Senior |
08-Aug-2009 22:38
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Well ok for the assurance, since Monday is holiday, lets pray at home or go Temple, Church.....etc to pray, hope some BBs or even DBS, UOB n OCBC themselevs push up their px, if not STI wont chnage much and aso to be fair to all their loyal Sharesholders for holding so long !!!! Being net profit shld show some up n not dwn, although some brokers or expert may said abot bad debt concern their nx quaters, some logi but but look at the result.......last 10 months is the worst of all recession period and all local 3 banks survive and came out strong with profit......is net profit with no loss of even last quater at all.....look at AIG, HIG, B.O.A hw they perform........got earned, then must show result on shares px too, yes they may hv annc dividens of 14cts....but wat about those who bot their shares past 2 yrs n hold till now, hoping of with gd result at least target at close of 15 or even 16......Last yr Aug was at avergae px of 18.88 to 19s and now base on the earnings thru recession, show that they are being strong and shld stay at ard 15 to 16s and not let those BB or even Shorters shot it dwn...........Hahaha sori for my long winded, just wan to let go my steam oni, if anyone dun like it, pls ignore it as tis is my own personal view........... | ||||
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wongmx6
Veteran |
08-Aug-2009 22:02
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In my point of view, You are right. |
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foucs6900
Senior |
08-Aug-2009 21:40
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Sorry guys correct me if i wrong, past weeks STI bleeds esp Friday mostly is cos by 3 local banks shares px drag dwn, esp DBS ???? If we wan to see the index goes up double or even to 2650, we need to depend on them liao if not still the same rite? | ||||
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iPunter
Supreme |
08-Aug-2009 20:32
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If that comes to pass, we will expect another super duper animated graphic treat from you... hehehe...
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cheongwee
Elite |
08-Aug-2009 18:46
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yes, hope it is double ...so when sti open tues...it will go rocket.
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cheongwee
Elite |
08-Aug-2009 18:41
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thanks...before i always refer to CNN...it come with what market expectation, when actual time of release of news.. thanks alot.
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DnApeh
Master |
08-Aug-2009 17:21
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come on, double or nothing.
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wongmx6
Veteran |
08-Aug-2009 16:55
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I wish that link below could help you.
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